The Australian’s Troy Bramston tweets that Newspoll has the Coalition leading 57-43, down from 58-42 last time. However, the poll has Labor’s primary vote below 30% for the first time this year, down one to 29%, with the Coalition also down a point to 48% and the Greens steady on 9%. Tony Abbott’s lead as preferred prime minister has reached a new peak of 45-33, up from 43-35 at the last poll three weeks ago, but personal ratings are little changed: Julia Gillard is steady at 28% approval and 62% disapproval, while Abbott is down one to 36% and steady at 53%.
UPDATE (Essential Research): Essential Research has Labor down on a point on the primary vote for the second week in a row, now down to 34% with the Coalition and the Greens steady at 47% and 8%. The Coalition’s lead on two-party preferred is up from 54-46 to 55-45. Also covered were intention to vote for a different party in the Senate (9% yes, 67% no); leaders attributes (Julia Gillard for some reason doing better than when the question was last asked in April, and Tony Abbott slightly worse); support for a long list of decisions made by the Rudd-Gillard government, the only net negative result being for the carbon tax; Tony Abbott’s intention to scrap the Gonski education reforms (32% approve, 44% disapprove); and sexism and discrimination against women.
UPDATE 2 (Morgan): The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll reverses an unusually good result for Labor last week, with the Coalition up 2.5% to 47% and Labor down the same amount to 30.5%, with the Greens unchanged at 9%. The Coalition’s two-party preferred lead is up from 54.5-45.5 to 56.5-43.5 on preferences from the previous election, and from 53.5-46.5 to 55.5-44.5 on respondent allocation.
jaundiced view
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 8:07 pm | Permalink
[ I guess a prediction, even from one of the better journos, is indulging the ‘fiction’ that anything at all is happening about the Labor leadership, but what the hell:
“@PaulBongiorno: Prediction: Kevin Rudd will capitulate to the will of his colleagues later his week and nominate after a spill.”]
Just another entry into the Leadershit Trophy.
AA @1079
That survey does not say that at all.
Only 27% of Australians are against scrapping the tax according to their own numbers.
Talk about spin.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/jun/24/tasmania-forests-environmental-protection-heritage
Fantastic to see loggers and greenies on the same page – great outcome and well done to all involved
[Rex Douglas
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 8:14 pm | PERMALINK
bemused
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 7:50 pm | PERMALINK
………
…Some people here have a strange mind set…
…….
Unsurprising to see you back here, bemused….. and abusing others again.]
Its unsurprising to see people trying on the “being abused” card again against Bemused……. People seem to get naturally soft and easily offended while loosing debates with bemused.
bemused
“The psychopathology of this would make an interesting subject of study.”
As a current postgraduate psychology student, I disagree.
Confessions@1089
Clearl the producers of Priscilla – Queen of the Desert missed your Memo.
And I was not asking about that anyway. I was asking how being stalked like a Wilderbeast and being fly blown are sexist?
Liking Lenore Taylors policy contributions at The Guardian Australia.
GA is off to a good start. 🙂
IF there is a challenge and IF Rudd wins, I would pay money to see the look on his face when the Independents side with the Coalition in the Confidence vote.
One of the funders for that group of wankers called the IPA.
https://twitter.com/SimonChapman6/status/349049889956704256/photo/1
[Clearl the producers of Priscilla – Queen of the Desert missed your Memo.]
So, you’re equating homosexuality with transvestitism now?
BB
If that remote chance of Rudd beating Gillard before close of Parliament becomes a reality I doubt Rudd would let Parliament take the vote.
Tom Hawkins@1065
Take it up with markjs, I am not responsible for his behaviour, I just described it.
Meguire Bob @608
“people do not like dirt campaigns”
For once I agree with you. Gillard is so full of shit and spite her eyes are brown…
[He’s had 1,096 days (counting the leap year) to convince a majority of his colleagues to take him back.]
That is kinda funny because the foundation of it is…. Gillard has had 1,096 days and still she has Labor going down the drain. Think she has had long enough?
[ One of the funders for that group of wankers called the IPA.
https://twitter.com/SimonChapman6/status/349049889956704256/photo/1 ]
So repealing the plain packaging legislation is on the cards if Abbott wins?
I didn’t realize that – although I guess I’m not surprised.
Meguire Bob @608
“people do not like dirt campaigns”
For once I agree with you. Gillard is so full of shit and spite her eyes are brown…
Sad that the ALP drones have not learned one single thing from the QLD ALP election campaign.
Chip Rolley @ChipRolley 3h
Hey, what if Gillard called a spill and Rudd didn’t challenge. Wouldn’t that be just incredi…. #ohwait
I did something today which I haven’t done for a long time, something which I had promised myself I would never do again. I read an article in Andrew Bolt’s column in the Herald Sun. And the most surprising thing about it was that it seemed to make good sense.
In a nutshell, he argues that for Labor to have any chance at the election it has to unite behind Kevin Rudd. As he put it “it’s either all for Rudd, or no hope for Labor. The reasons he gives for this conclusion are surprisingly logical. I won’t reproduce them here, as other PBs have pretty much covered them already.
It just struck me as odd that Bolt of all people would come out with something which he believes would be beneficial for Labor – if it could be achieved.
rummel@1066
Thanks, I do my best to keep you Tory’s honest. 😀
alias:
No, the heart transplant analogy does not work because you are comparing two very different outcomes. Have you not seen pollsters themselves dismiss the alternate leader beauty contest question?
To give you an eg, MT is preferred Liberal leader yet the Liberals lead in every poll. Too bad for those people who elected to have a heart transplant under your conditions!
Btw thanks for posting the photo of the super moon last night. Here are some taken in WA:
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.543207452387138.1073741905.269003509807535&type=1
Should the ALP throw Rudd out at the end of the week?
If he does not win a challenge?
If he fails to challenge?
Darn
Andrew Bolt, for all his ideological stridency, often calls these things fairly straight.
Even before the 2007 campaign, he was calling John Howard dead in the water, and suggesting Peter Costello was the LNP’s only hope to win that election.
He was right then, and he’s right now.
[Clearl the producers of Priscilla – Queen of the Desert missed your Memo.]
When it comes to the former Premier of SA, yes it did.
But interestingly it didn’t miss yours, though. More homophobia???
[Step away from the keyboard, go outside and actually talk to people in the real world.]
i can tell you still have not watched the abc interview Slow One.
[Take it up with markjs, I am not responsible for his behaviour, I just described it.]
But you are responsible for your own posts and that school yard effort was pathetic. If you can’t see that (I’m not suggesting you admit as much as that would be completely foreign to you) then it’s evident that you still have that rather large chip on your shoulder.
Thanks for pics link Confessions. Some dazzling photos.
[ It just struck me as odd that Bolt of all people would come out with something which he believes would be beneficial for Labor – if it could be achieved. ]
If Bolt is in favor of it it can only be because he believes this would ensure a Labor wipeout, not because he thinks it would be beneficial to Labor.
However, all this is a bit academic. This outcome cannot be achieved since Rudd has promised till he’s blue in the tie that he’s not going to challenge Gillard.
So Bolt is probably just mischief making.
[That is kinda funny because the foundation of it is…. Gillard has had 1,096 days and still she has Labor going down the drain. Think she has had long enough?]
If the same standard was applied to Gillard that was applied to Rudd, Gillard would’ve been rolled 1.5 years ago.
“..promised till he’s blue in the tie..”
I’ll pay that Player One. That’s pretty funny.
Adam Giles climbing a particularly steep section of his learning curve:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-06-24/chief-minister-tells-27lefties27-to-27pss-off27/4775908?section=nt
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-06-24/agencies-return-serve-on-chief27s-27pss-off27-comment/4776030?section=nt
shellbell
‘Hopefully Darren Lehmann will imitate Bobby Simpson and purge Australia cricket of the pampered second-raters like Simmo did with Greg Ritchie, Tim Zoehrer and Wayne Phillips.’
Would they have anyone left – Clark…
Time to send Ponting over. At least he would bring some much needed maturity to the field (and off it). Even if he gets bamboozled by the England spin bowlers.
Chris Kenny @chriskkenny 8m
So despite the trouble in cricket, ALP set to stick with rotation policy.
Retweeted by Stephen Koukoulas
Paul Bongiorno @PaulBongiorno 17m
Further Prediction. If @KRuddMP doesn’t nominate after a successful spill. The leadership will be settled this side of an election defeat.
[Andrew Bolt, for all his ideological stridency, often calls these things fairly straight.
Even before the 2007 campaign, he was calling John Howard dead in the water, and suggesting Peter Costello was the LNP’s only hope to win that election.
He was right then, and he’s right now.]
I think the Libs loss in 07 would have been greater if the Smirk had taken over. Bolt is a snake; he speaks with a forked tongue – if you use him as a reference to support your argument then you need to go back and reconsider your position.
Cranky,
[If that remote chance of Rudd beating Gillard before close of Parliament becomes a reality I doubt Rudd would let Parliament take the vote.]
Sorry, but leader of the Labor party, in a hung parliament, with the Independents’ opinions up in the air (although hinting at not supporting Rudd) is not automatically Prime Minister.
If there is any parliamentary sitting time I’d say the Governor-General would insist on a vote of confidence.
JM
The NT police are raging lefties parasitising Aboriginal suffering? That should shock a few of them.
Giles is waaaay out of his depth.
So the R*ddists are now forced to reference Bolt! This is hilarious.
Remember it was Bolt who was leaked polling which he then used to argue for R*dd Removal.
If Bolt is arguing for the ALP to dump a leader you can bet it’s with the Liberals interest in mind. That was his motivation then, and it’s his motivation now.
Our second raters can cock a snoot because they get squillions in the IPL regardless of whether they punch people out or get pissed or refuse to do their homework.
Tom Hawkins
Well demonstrably, Bolt was right about Howard’s outlook leading up to the 2007 election. On whether Costello would have helped things, I think you’d agree you’re in the minority there in believing he would have made things worse. Costello may well have lost to Rudd, given a fresh face over an old face but I believe he would have taken fight up to Rudd more effectively than Howard did.
Of course these things can never be proved. In any event, Bolt was writing off at Howard at a time when the conventional wisdom among the conservative commentators was that Howard could still walk on water, so that doesn’t really fit your appraisal of Bolt.
It is nice to see Bolt take a rest from searching the world for cherrypickable glaciers that are advancing.
[confessions
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 8:45 pm | PERMALINK
So the R*ddists are now forced to reference Bolt! This is hilarious.]
Hang on a second! You are one of the posters that argues for the Bolt (and ex Senator Fielding) policy of Malaysian rendition.
…yet you laugh at others who just quote him! LOL 🙂
Rex Douglas@1091
Keep reading my posts and learn Rex.
For abuse you will have to try some others like joe carli and muttleymcgee.
I just logged in after a private audience with the pope, well someone in the Vatican who said he was the pope, and noticed there have been 1000 posts since morning (Oz time).
I assumed there must have been a significant development like Shorten making unhappy noises but I gather its business as usual?
[Costello may well have lost to Rudd, given a fresh face over an old face but I believe he would have taken fight up to Rudd more effectively than Howard did.]
Costello only ever prospered when the match was rigged, the fix was in and his opponent had one arm tied behind his back.
Costello was the weakest of the weak, groomed like Abbott for “Greatness” but never able to get it.
[I think the Libs loss in 07 would have been greater if the Smirk had taken over.]
true, may labor supporters were wanting costello to take over so the loss would have been greater, same as many lib supporters now want rudd to take over.
Bonus for the libs is that rudd would most likely continue as leader after the loss for some time, further prolonging labor divisions and the libs hold on power.
[ ABC News @abcnews 4h
A feasibility study for the Southern Hemisphere’s largest wind farm on Tasmania’s King Island will proceed http://bit.ly/1ccOzbx
]
Some nows. ABC can shock at times.
Dio:
Are you in Italy?
Mio Dio! 🙂
Rummel..: ” Its unsurprising to see people trying on the “being abused” card again against Bemused……. People seem to get naturally soft and easily offended while loosing debates with bemused.”
What is it with you “soft-dicks”..: You give sh!t to the PM. every day you come on here and when her supporters step in to retaliate (because she has no capacity to..)on her behalf you go all creamy and apply vicarious association to the moderator to defend you as if he was one of your own!..
If you are going to stick it up people, expect to get some stick back!…But that’s right, I forgot..for all your waffling, you really have no philosophy..just opportunism!
soft-dicks!
Diogenes
[I just logged in after a private audience with the pope]
Did you pray that the bag purchased from the street vendor lasts more than a week?
My travelling companion bought a “Louis Vuitton” handbag in Venice. Both handles came off at the same time a week later in Lyon.
this may be a stupid question but can an Australian PM prorogue Parliament?
The Tory PM in Canada Stephen Harper did this when he thought he’d lose a vote of confidence when he held only a minority govt and shut Parliament down to recess early.
Can an Aussie PM do this?