The flurry of post-budget polling, encompassing Newspoll, Nielsen, Galaxy, Essential Research and Morgan (so basically everyone except ReachTEL), came in slightly above Labor’s recent form, pushing them up 0.5% on two-party preferred on the weekly BludgerTrack poll aggregate. Labor also gains three on the seat projection, which come off the totals for Victoria (where they were boosted by a 54-46 lead in Nielsen), South Australia and the territories. On the primary vote, the “others” total has increased for a fifth week in a row, to a level matched in the current term only in March and July 2012. See the sidebar for full details.
Some further polling nuggets:
• Gemma Daley of the Financial Review reports a poll of 600 respondents conducted “by the resources industry” which shows Tony Windsor surprisingly well placed in New England, with 49% to Barnaby Joyce’s 38%. Previous polling in New England over the current term has included a Newspoll survey of 504 respondents in October 2011 which had an as-yet-unchosen Nationals candidate leading Windsor 41% to 33%, and a ReachTEL in June 2012 which had the Nationals lead as high as 62% to 25%.
• Somewhat confusingly, the resources industry poll also covered “a sample that concentrated in three western Sydney seats, which was extended to all of the seats in the area”. This showed Labor would “at best achieve a 44 per cent two-party preferred result”, costing it every seat in western Sydney.
• Roy Morgan offers further budget polling, conducted by SMS and involving 1409 respondents, half contacted before the budget and half after. Asked whether the budget would “benefit you and your family”, 32% said yes before the event and 68% said no, which was little changed afterwards (30% and 70%). Also featured are age and gender breakdowns.
Today’s Chris Hadfield.
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=607025202648554&set=a.157475407603538.32702.151680104849735&type=1&theater
well with the story about ford
WE WILL need MR shorten and greg combet more than ever=
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I suppose the liberals would let the people that are let go
eat cake
my say
I think you got that in one.
Apparently announcement is expected around 9:15
and I also think rummells graphic account
re his post should be deleted
we don’t need that type of talk on the blogs
==========================
its not good for many reasons,
=========================
but I doubt my call will be heard
Whatever the full story of the incident in London this is one brave lady.
[A mother-of-two has described how she put her own life on the line by trying to persuade a British soldier’s murderers to hand over their weapons.
Cub scout leader Ingrid Loyau-Kennett selflessly engaged the terrorists in conversation and kept her nerve as one of them told her: “We want to start a war in London tonight.”
Mrs Loyau-Kennett, 48, from Cornwall, was one of the first people on the scene after the two Islamic extremists butchered a soldier in Woolwich, south east London.
She was photographed by onlookers confronting one of the attackers who was holding a bloodied knife.
Mrs Loyau-Kennett was a passenger on a number 53 bus which was travelling past the scene, and jumped off to check the soldier’s pulse…….]
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=10885597
guytaur
You will be aware that in many western countries now there are laws that specifically relate to acts of terrorism. Some of the most severe of these laws allow people to be imprisoned without charge for long periods and even allow authorities to withhold any information from the relatives of the alleged terrorist or associate. Basically someone can ‘disappear’ without trace.
If the definition of terrorism includes the murder we have seen in the UK today then I think democracy faces a greater threat from within than from without.
My comment this morning is simply that politicians must be careful of their comments in such matters. What Cameron and Boris J have done is labelled these murders as acts of terror before there’s even been a superficial review of the facts.
David M
Posted Thursday, May 23, 2013 at 8:18 am | Permalink
Aussie Achmed
I am not so sure about the Honest Colon tag, perhaps CoLIAR might be more contemporary.
========================================================
CoLIAR describes him well….I still like Colon because he’s full of it….
Socrates
[The more this straightforward case is dragged out, the more pessimistic of seeing justice I get.]
Yes it is pretty straight forward. One of three things has happened:
1. Engineer is negligent because they haven’t designed sufficient bracing to protect the wall from wind loads
2. Contractor is negligent because they haven’t built what the engineer designed, or
3 (most likely) Contractor is negligent because they didn’t even get it engineered to start with.
Contributing negligence from Councils and Certifiers may play a supporting role, but those three options cover all the realistic causes. It was human error, not some freak wind or act of god. And people payed with their lives for the negligence. I sure wouldn’t want to be the contractor right now.
ratsak,
I think you might find that the wall that collapsed was erected many years ago when there was another structure on the site.
What has happened is the site has been cleared, but the developer left the wall in place as a barrier.
Tom
I am not contradicting your point on the need for the call on caution. I note the ABC is saying suspected terror attack.
Very restrained of them given Camerons rhetoric about not bucling etc.
Mr Hockey used his budget reply on Wednesday to commit to fiscal repair, debt reduction and a return to surplus “as quickly as possible”.
But refuses to say how. What cuts will he make, what taxes will be increased, what spending will be cut back, what welfare will be reduced,
The people are not getting the full story and are being deceived by slogans and one line rants that have no substance
I so so agree
with TOM HAWKINS
===========================================================
that’s why I would like to the
see the post with those words removed
the
graphic words,
but this type of thing written on a public blog
is very unhelpful
and should not be accepted.
===========================================
the media will most likely repeat it
but not on a blog please
=================================================
we never know who read this place,
I think you understand what I am saying
Greensborough Growler
[What has happened is the site has been cleared, but the developer left the wall in place as a barrier.]
There was a large screen erected against the brick wall. At one end of the wall the screen projected far above the wall. If the screen was attached to the brick wall it would have acted like a sail.
Swan Presser coming up live shots shown on 24
William refers to a “primary vote surge for others“.
Is it reasonable to infer that this surge could be an increasing awakening that the Opposition is a crock, as push comes to shove?
AA,
Joe Hockey stands for motherhood, Australia and a hot lunch for orphans.
Swa presser now on 24
Pressed “post comment” too quick.
…………. Are voters leaving Abbott but not sure yet how they’ll reconcile their dislike of PMJG and the masochism of voting for the ship of fools under Captain Pug.
Peter Garret must have a cold. He sounds like he should be a shock jock.
confessions
Thank you for latest pic from Chris H love it Off to the Pbers lunch in Port Macquarie now, sky still blue here but forecasting a lot of rain later in the day and worst tomorrow!!!
GG,
Yes all that, however when you do that you still have to engineer it. Doubly so when you then go and whack a great hoarding on it. Removing supporting structure behind a wall, excavating adjacent to it, whatever you need an engineer involved to make sure what you’re doing doesn’t end in tears.
People see a brick wall and think ‘oh that looks stable’, but a brick wall is a cantilever. Just like a balcony projecting from a building has to be engineered to stop it falling down due to gravity loads the wall need to be engineered to stop it falling down due to wind loads. Once they removed the building behind the wall etc it had no support against wind.
It should have had steel structure supporting behind it tied into the brickwork at many many points to brace the wall against wind (and other) loads. It clearly didn’t and someone is going to be for the high jump for it.
GG – Hockey has had his chopped from under him so mnay times by LOTO and Caucus I’m surprised he can stand at all
Looks like Ford Australia is closing down.
Dreyfuss presser now
GG – The old ‘wall’.
I wonder why they left it there.
Bizarre and with deadly consequences.
“@Simon_Cullen: Craig Emerson will hold a press conference to detail the Government’s response to Ford’s announcement. 11:30am.”
ratsak
Curiosity question as you seem to know stuff on this – Are the slimmer bricks used in old buildings in Rome and, I’ve noticed in S-E Asia more stable?
CTar1
Perhaps some “heritage” regulation.
“@smh: A Ford insider has told @Drivecomau that the company will close all of its manufacturing facilities in Australia on October 16, 2013.”
poroti
[Perhaps some “heritage” regulation.]
I guess you’re right: saving some of the facade.
A FORMER senior bureaucrat has rejected suggestions of a bloated public service, saying there’s been a steady decline in public sector numbers as a proportion of the total workforce.
Opposition leader Tony Abbott has suggested a coalition government would slash the public service by 12,000 positions over two years to save money.
However Terry Moran, current president of the Institute of Public Administration and the former head of the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet, said the public sector had already shrunk.
“Since 1984 there has been a steady and large decline in the public sector as a proportion of the total workforce, from 26 per cent to 16 per cent. This is the Commonwealth, state government and local government,” he told ABC radio.
“The biggest decline has really been at the Commonwealth level followed by the states and territories.”
Mr Moran says the public sector could shrink further but that could rely on achieving efficiencies as well as ministers deciding what they want the public sector workforce to do.
He said a coalition government could reduce Commonwealth public sector numbers by getting the public sector in the states to take more responsibility for service delivery.
Ford doing its best not to be an election issue it seems.
Closing in October the month after the election.
Big month, October. Federal election and Ford shutdown?
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/may/22/world-run-out-water-ban-ki-moon1
[“Where once the focus was on trade-offs between water use and biodiversity, today we are coming to understand how biodiversity and water security are mutually reinforcing,” he said.
“Ecosystems influence the local, regional and global availability and quality of water. Forests help regulate soil erosion and protect water quality and supply. Wetlands can reduce flood risks. Soil biodiversity helps maintain water for crops.
“Integrating nature-based solutions into urban planning can also help us build better water futures for cities, where water stresses may be especially acute given the rapid pace of urbanization.”]
Got my months wrong. Apologies.
AA
[ut that could rely on achieving efficiencies as well as ministers deciding what they want the public sector workforce to do.]
That’s the key bit.
Getting ministers to decide that some things being taking care of should no longer be done is very difficult.
So things just get stretched until breaking.
october 2016 is the closure date for Ford. Not this October
AussieA
Never thought I’d be in agreement with Terry Moran (and IPA Pres, too).
This “proportion of public servants to population” thing is so obvious yet the Oppn constantly use raw figures to make their comparisons. Screeching “greatest ever debt”, for example, is too easy. Simple arithmetic used all the time.
Mind you, I’m sure all Oppositions use it.
victoria
See my post at 79.
We will know for sure at presser 10:45
guytaur
Radio just reported closure in October 2016
Ford workers about to be told 510 jobs to go at Geelong engine plant in October 2016. Company has not sought state or fed govt assistance.
9:57 AM – 23 May 2013
We will look after Ford workers, says Treasurer Swan http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/political-news/we-will-look-after-ford-workers-says-swan-20130523-2k26p.html … #springst #auspol #ausecon #ausbiz
10:00 AM – 23 May 2013
We will look after Ford workers, says Swan
The federal government has pre-empted a major announcement by Ford on its future in Australia, saying it would do everything it can to look after affected workers and communities.
The Age @theage
so I work choices comes in
it would be the ford workers that would cop it
=================================================
I read a story last year that the lnp would make people move to where there is work
now that sound great when you say it quick
but what about mum and the children what if mum works too
“@SabraLane: Union rep’s told the ABC that Ford’s Broadmeadows + Geelong facilities will close form 2016. Only R+D wing will remain. 1000s of jobs gone.”
“@abcnews: Viv Premier Denis Napthine met with #Ford officials yesterday. Is waiting for formal announcement from company before commenting further”
so if workchoices, I suppose its not an if
it will be in by another name
we need the labor gov, more, than ever
poroti
I was up early watching the news on the London incident.
The poms amuse me with their terminology – ‘Dave’ in Paris declaring that he was returning to London to attend ‘Cobra’.
It sounds like a secret committee but just means ‘Cabinet Office Briefing Room A’.
Young Nick Dole predicts Abbott will blame Ford closure on the Carbon Tax
If Abbott and the vituperative viper shadow minister Mirabella link ther Ford anniuncement to the carbon tax I will go bloody spare! It would have NEGLIGIBLE impact on the closure decision.
guytaur
Yep he will
lizzie – 88
I agree all Oppositions run the arguement regarding spending etc.
But the issue I see in the last 3 years in particular has been the lack of unbiased reporting and analysis in the MSM.
Abbott says “budget emergency” and MSM run the story as if it is fact and without any true analysis.
A recent example would be Abbotts comparison between what the Cyprus Govt did in going after money in peoples bank accounts and the Govt taxing earnings over $100,000 in superannuation. It proves his credentials as an economic minnow but MSM did not take him to task