GhostWhoVotes reports a Galaxy poll for tomorrow’s News Limited tabloids, conducted yesterday and today, has the Coalition’s lead unchanged at 55-45. On the primary vote, Labor is steady at 32%, the Coalition is down one to 47% and the Greens are up one to 12%. Kevin Rudd’s lead over Julia Gillard as preferred Labor leader has widened still further, from 49-34 to 53-32 – I believe this is in comparison with November, when Gillard was at the peak of her fortunes. More to follow.
UPDATE: Full tables here. The poll also has Tony Abbott leading Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister 37-33; 59% believing Gillard will lead Labor to the next election against 21% for Rudd; 47% still favouring an election in September against 44% for as soon as possible, compared with 55% and 38% last time (I’m guessing most of those in the election now camp aren’t on top of the half-Senate election timetable); 53% believing Labor made the wrong decision in “rejecting Kevin Rudd and endorsing Julia Gillard” against 32% who thought it the correct decision; and three further question of dubious utility.
UPDATE (25/3/13): Essential Research has Labor dropping two points on the primary vote to 33%, but the dividend goes to the Greens (up two to 11%, their best result since July last year) rather than the Coalition (steady on 47%). The Coalition’s two-party lead is steady at 54-46. Respondents were also asked how likely it was that they might change their mind, with results following the usual pattern for such questions where the more strongly supported party also has the firmer voting intention. The most popular rationale for Labor voters is that they “don’t want Tony Abbott to be Prime Minister” (35%), while Coalition voters were most likely to offer that “the Labor Party has been a poor government” (34%).
Further questions gauged support for and knowledge of media regulation, with 43% saying they were happy with existing media regulation, 29% wanting more and 10% wanting less. Twenty-nine per cent supported the federal government’s recent much-criticised proposals against 34% opposed, a fairly even result allowing for the tone of media coverage.
UPDATE 2 (25/3/13): Now Morgan chimes in earlier than usual with its fourth “multi-mode” poll combining face-to-face and internet surveys, this time scoring 3494 responses, and it shows a Labor gain from last week reversed: Labor down on the primary vote from 33% to 30.5%, the Coalition up half a point to 46.5% and the Greens steady on 10.5%. The Coalition’s two-party lead is up from 54.5-45.5 to 57-43 on respondent-allocated preferences, and 54-46 to 56-44 on previous election preferences.
Psephos,
Vladivostok.
So where is ghost?
[We could put Mega into parliament. He reminds me of Windsor. A quality act.]
He’s great. but once he got there he’d find it ain’t so easy
Mega’s “mounted the wrong argument” regarding sex for the disabled might have been expressed better
confessions@3402
Ooooooooooooooooohhhhhhhhh!
Jen
You are probably right.
At least you can see who not to read by the appearance of the 4 letter word
Scarpat,
Maybe there is no Newspoll and she’s trolling for lulz.
[So where is ghost?]
BEHIND YOU!!!!!!!!!
mega for labor treasurer!!
and sign me up for the pledge- outstanding idea
Is Ghost who votes an example of voting fraud?
[He’s great. but once he got there he’d find it ain’t so easy]
That’s for sure. I think he is a good man but the need in politics to make concessions to achieve an outcome would be too much for him I suspect.
Gary Gray on Lateline now
Excellent performance by PMJG on 7.5….Totally on song.
The Cypriot banking sector is 8 times as big as its whole domestic economy.
bemused@3392
Hmmm what is going on? 😯
Why is William so protective of one particular poster? 👿
This grey guy must be alright if the greens hate him
Andrew
Perfect choice for Treasurer.
PVO has started playing his games will not be long till Newspoll now.
Diogenes@3400
Yes indeed.
Until recently I had under-rated him.
rummel@3417
First sensible thing you’ve said in weeks!
Mhh, Guytaur.
i realise how sad my life has become- refreshing the screen for the newspoll result
Do you think it deserves a Gandalf, Player One?
Peter van Onselen @vanOnselenP 2m
Wow… #Newspoll
Minister starting his career admitting that the Mining tax was a debacle!
Mod Lib@3424
Nah – I’d give him a Saruman.
[zoidlord
Posted Monday, March 25, 2013 at 10:52 pm | PERMALINK
Peter van Onselen @vanOnselenP 2m
Wow… #Newspoll]
Could have ALP in front given the closeness of the last one :devil:
Peter van Onselen @vanOnselenP 33s
Did I say wow once or twice?
PVO saying WOW, must be good for the coalition
Minister Gray “I don’t think Mining companies are rorting the 457”
PVO likes to stir. He’s like a little boy
Whatever happens with Newspoll, the two Galaxy and ER polls not shifting blunt any movement so no one should get excited either way.
Its business as usual. 😀
Chris Kenny @chriskkenny
To be frank, I thought ALP might do worse. #newspoll but it matters little for now
I don’t think you can go straight from a Wizard to a Saruman….will have to take that one to The Fellowship Board for a decision.
Go to: http://www.righttowork.com.au
Diog
Yes good or bad Newspoll nothing to get depressed or elated about.
Diogenes, fear not if Newspoll moves to the coalition the meme will be polls crash after the spill
Diogenes@3433
Newspoll should be expected to shift just for being off trend last time so the first +2 or so of any change can be ignored.
Is it just me or is waiting for the Newspoll one of the highlights of the fortnight?
Even a six point shift to the Libs, which I very much doubt, only equates to a two point average movement.
Peter van Onselen @vanOnselenP 53s
#Newspoll going up on the website now…..use the refresh button…
Gray is very humble. A quality we can afford to see more of.
Minister Gray understands that in WA, 457 visas add to the potential output and the dynamism of the economy.
Mod Lib@3435
Gandalf did, after deposing Saruman he became “The White” in his place.
My God! What am I doing! … William – help! ban me! Quick!
PVO wants people to look so thy can say “see! heaps of people are interested in our polls”
I really like this Grey guy. He answers direct questions with direct answers without trying to spin….is he really part of this Gillard government? He doesn’t seem to belong.
PVO wants people to look so thy can say “see! heaps of people are interested in our polls”
exactement.
[My God! What am I doing! … William – help! ban me! Quick] lol I agree WB, for there own protection.
[Is it just me or is waiting for the Newspoll one of the highlights of the fortnight?]
I’m waiting for Lateline. 😀