Wayne Swan’s electorate of Lilley covers the Brisbane bayside north-east of the city centre, between the Brisbane and Pine rivers – an area accounting for industrial Eagle Farm in the south and residential Brighton in the north – along with suburbs nearer the city from McDowall, Stafford Heights and Everton Park eastwards through Kedron, Chermside and Zillmere to Nundah, Nudgee and Taigum. The redistribution before the 2010 election had a substantial impact on the electorate, adding 26,000 in Chermside West and Stafford Heights at the northern end (from Petrie) and removing a similar number of voters in an area from Clayfield and Hendra south to Hamilton on the river (to Brisbane), but the margin was little affected.
Lilley was created in 1913, originally extending from its current base of Nudgee, Aspley, Kedron, Eagle Farm and Brisbane Airport all the way north to Gympie. It did not become entirely urban until the enlargement of parliament in 1949, when Petrie was created to accommodate what were then Brisbane’s semi-rural outskirts. Labor won Lilley in 1943, 1946, 1961 and 1972 (by a margin of 35 votes on the latter occasion), but otherwise it was usually safe for the prevailing conservative forces of the day. A decisive shift came with the elections of 1980 and 1983, when Labor’s Elaine Darling won and then consolidated the seat with respective swings of 5.2% and 8.4%.
Wayne Swan succeeded Darling as the Labor member in 1993, but like all but two of his Queensland Labor colleagues he lost his seat in 1996. Swan stood again in 1998 and accounted for the 0.4% post-redistribution margin with a swing of 3.5%. He added further fat to his margin at the each of the next three elections, although in keeping with the inner urban trend his swing in 2007 was well below the statewide average (3.2% compared with 7.5%). The 2010 election delivered the LNP a swing of 4.8% that compared with a statewide result of 5.5%, bringing the seat well into the marginal zone at 3.2%.
Swan’s path into politics began as an adviser to Bill Hayden during his tenure as Opposition Leader and later to Hawke government ministers Mick Young and Kim Beazley, before he took on the position of Queensland party secretary in 1991. He was elevated to the shadow ministry after recovering his seat in 1998, taking on the family and community services portfolio, and remained close to former boss Beazley. Mark Latham famously described Swan and his associates as “roosters” when Beazley conspired to recover the leadership in 2003, but nonetheless retained him in his existing position during his own tenure in the leadership. Swan was further promoted to the Treasury portfolio after the 2004 election defeat, which he retained in government despite suggestions Rudd had been promised the position to Lindsay Tanner in return for his support when he toppled Kim Beazley as leader in December 2006.
Although he went to high school with him in Nambour and shared a party background during the Wayne Goss years, Swan has long been a bitter rival of Kevin Rudd, the former emerging as part of the AWU grouping of the Right and the latter with the Right’s “old guard”. He was in the camp opposing Rudd at successive leadership challenges, including Rudd’s successful challenge against Beazley, his toppling by Julia Gillard in June 2010, and most recently when he sought to recover the leadership in February 2012, when Swan accused Rudd of “sabotaging policy announcements and undermining our substantial economic successes”. Swan succeeded Gillard as deputy upon her ascension to the prime ministership.
Swan’s LNP opponent for the second consecutive election will be Rod McGarvie, a former soldier and United Nations peacekeeper. McGarvie won a July preselection vote from a field which included John Cotter, GasFields commissioner and former head of agriculture lobby group AgForce, and Bill Gollan, owner of a Deagon car dealership.
Leroy,
For Barnaby Joyce to talk about soap operas is hilarious – he himself is a one-man soap opera 😆
Even funnier is that Marius Benson could only stop the stream of econobabble (not psychobabble, BW) by saying “Whoa”!
@bemused/1999
One thing I agree with you, Private Schools should be Privately funded.
kezza – on the date: 7th from my viewing of it.
Keating got him right when he described Joyce as “Bjelke-Petersen Junior” back in early 2010.
kezza2 @ 1983
It would not, but it may alter how it is displayed to you (or C@tmomma).
The system adjusts for time zones to display in local time. Of course this can also shift the date by one day at times.
Do you have a dial-up modem, ADSL modem or Cable Modem?
Bowen cleverly naming journos.
fiona @ 1986
“Shirley” is a Liberal hack from Chadstone and does regular comedy segments on that program.
CTar1
That’s interesting.
We’ve had so many power outages here over the past couple of weeks and each time the power comes back on I religiously reset the time and date on my computer (from discussions previously on PB, I take it my poor old computer has a flat battery in the motherboard? – hope I’ve got the terminology right!).
Anyway, nuff said on the topic.
Latika is apparently basing her comment about JG saying “the past doesn’t matter” on the transcript of Sky News Agenda. Can anyone direct me to that?
thirdborn314,
Tony Abbott expertly calculates when he can get away with telling a lie. 35 years ago is long enough ago that he can stand up and brazenly say it didn’t happen and thus challenge anyone else, other than Ms Ramjan, to come forth and naysay him. Chris Murphy has done that and challenged Abbott to sue him for defamation. Abbott has not said anything since that challenge, as far as I know.
bemused
[It would not, but it may alter how it is displayed to you (or C@tmomma).
The system adjusts for time zones to display in local time. Of course this can also shift the date by one day at times.
Do you have a dial-up modem, ADSL modem or Cable Modem?]
Think I understand what you’re saying.
Modem? ADSL2+
lizzie
Why doesnt Libtika mention the fact that the coalition including Abbott, said that the PM had questions to answer, which she did. Does he not have questions to answer?
victoria
I’m interested in chasing up the basis of her quote because she’s using it against the PM.
So on the balance of probabilities, Abbott is lying about Punchgate. When is his next press conference.
bemused @ 2007,
I’ve listened to “Shirley” many a time and oft. Perhaps she should try for a gig at the Comedy Festival 😉
burgey
[Only on this site could the death of someone’s father become a Rudd vs Gillard issue.]
Some people on this site could turn a leaf dropping to the ground into a political issue.
Morning Bludgers – glorious day on the Mid North Coast.
A very well handled presser by Chris Bowen and I just loved the way he named journos so clearly.
Next step is they should do what they do at the NPC and name themselves and their employer.
OMG, isn’t Barnaby an absolute goose!
How embarrassment.
A thousand times worse than his “None of your business” comment to a question about his ‘discussion’ with TA re Coalition policy on foreign investment.
Oh, and imagine trying to discuss anything at all with him, with or without him having a skinful.
The thing that really bothers me about Marr’s Quarterly Essay is once you get past his university history, he paints a picture of Abbott that some who despise Abbott might actually begin to like and he’s done it in a way that gives him an intellectual status I don’t think he deserves.
He does however accuartely idenitify many of his policy positions that the ALP have foolishly in my view chosen to ignore in order. For example, he shows that he’s a big government conservative who doesn’t believe in WorkChoices. Correct and correct. He also shows that he was the one who sold Howard on the ETS in 2007
Spur
[Could those either pro Gillard or pro Rudd stop politicising the PM’s Father’s death. I think ir’s disgusting}
I am with you Spur! There is a time for everything and everything in it’s time.
And for the record I am sure that Kevin and Therese Rudd would have more class than to tweet a condolence message,
kezza2 @ 2011
I doubt your ADSL2+ Modem is your problem. It would not discriminate between sites.
Get your son back 😉
lizzie
Perhaps Latika may be referring to some comments the PM made at the time Paul Kelly put the question to her on Sunday agenda
mtbw
I can imagine therese organising a lovely message and flowers
victoria
Well, this is frustrating. I can’t find any transcripts relating to the PM on Agenda. I wonder how long ago it was. If it was before “the questions” then it shouldn’t count.
OMFG. That Joyce interview was excruciating!
OTOH, it was extremely amusing to hear how many times he said “Wayne Swan”. It came across as scarily obsessive.
I just hope Wayne’s kiddies don’t have a pet rabbit …
The WEF meeting Kev-07 is attending is in China.
So he won’t be using any sort of ‘smart phone’ there.
Lizzie
Remember the weekend when the PM appeared on Agenda and Peter Van Onselen was slightly embarrassed by Paul Kelly asking the question
Will the Govt go after Abbott in the Parliament re Punchgate?
bemused
[Get your son back]
Well, if it’s not the modem, I don’t need him 😆
Actually, loathe to contact him because he seriously needed a break from demands on his time. (he’s overloaded with uni, and girlfriend probs).
I can put up with this problem till he’s ready to collect the next lot of his gear.
The actual message is “Google Chrome cannot connect to . . . .” (just got booted again!)
k2
Go to ControlPanel, Date & Time, and look for Internet time. Look for Change Settings and set your Time Server to ‘au.pool.ntp.org’ without the quotes.
Once that is done the time and date on your PC will correct itself every time you logon to the ‘Net.
Dio #2016 , easy. Leaf dropping – did it blow off due to stronger winds due to climate change , or fall early due to changes in seasonal temperatures , or fall due to reduced rainfall ? And away we go ready to blaze away at each other and (as a secondary focus of course ) at the Greens for joining Abbott in blocking the CPRS, or Kevin for not somehow getting it through anyway, or Julia for not really believing in it enough, or …
MM
You know I actually thought of those as possible reasons for the leaf being politicised.
The big question is will Psephos apply for Rudd’s position as his foreign policy adviser?
victoria
Can’t find the blasted thing. Perhaps I won’t waste my time as Latika isn’t going to withdraw her tweets.
[Latika Bourke @latikambourke
You can read the document designating Nauru as an offshore processing country here: http://latika.me/P358gK ]
Dear Mr. Bushfire Bill,
Interesting segment on THIS AMERICAN LIFE- Ira Glass.
Subject SWITCHEROO The future of the print media.
ABC RN 9th September, about twenty minutes in.
This is unbelievably scary. The latest assault on true free speech:
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/technology/technology-news/farah-troll-should-be-nervous-says-ofarrell-20120910-25n5z.html#ixzz261k2AxIQ
[Chaff Bags R Us @ShockJockCoach
I heard Ray’s apology to @AndrewVoss9 beautiful stuff. read so fast It was worthy of a closing down ad for a rug shop
]
Ray Hadley forced to apologise on air – and totally in-character, does it grudgingly.
I had the misfortune of watching some of the Brisbane v Nth Qld NRL game on Saturday night at a friend’s place in sydney’s western suburbs. Ray Hadley was “calling” the game – he seemed to have a touch of the Barnyards. Those watching the game agreed Hadley was a d*ckhead.
Morrison comes across as angry and nasty – he thinks that having asylum seekers in Australia as a problem. My mother would say he has sh*t on the liver or SOL.
The reason I mentioned the lack of books written about the PM the other day is because I think this Quarterly Essay on Abbott has a very real danger of making him likable among intellectuals whereas I think something like that needs to be done for the PM. I think this might stem from Robert Manne’s (I think he has influence over what the topics are for the Quarterly Essay) personal dislike of the PM
@headspace_aus: For Suicide Prevention Day we’ve produced an infographic on #suicide looking at the shocking stats & warning signs http://t.co/xSAHuJOA
lizzie
I am more peeved that Latika is ignoring the fact that a person has said that this occurred, and initially Abbott did not recall it and then flatly denies it occurred. Is Latika not interested in Abbott’s character?
kezza2 @ 2029
A couple of suggestions:
1. Contact your ISP for advice.
2. Re-install Chrome or try another browser.
spur212
I am sure intellectual people are capable of thinking for themselves
Has the government actually said much about Abbott this morning at all ?
I have heard very little about it at all from either side today. Just wondering what in particular has got latika in knots.
Is she just trying to make something out of nothing re labor “attacks” ?
Perhaps trying to divert the issue back onto labor and give the libs some cover ?
Whatever the reason I have always found her to be a idiot.
Spur, why would intellectuals like Abbott? That defies reason.
Labor would look like hypocrites if they pursued the Abbott stuff from 30 years ago in QT today, given that the Liberals would have been similarly damned if they’d asked questions about the Slater & Gordon stuff.
@latikambourke: Hmm, Opposition beginning to try and make some wriggle room if the boats don’t stop in the event of an Abbott Govt….? ‘Many many years.’
muttley @ 2030
just did as you advised, well got as far as the Internet time stuff and I don’t have an option to enter au.pool.ntp.org –
but, then I checked Phone & Modem Options, and the modem I’m using isn’t there! Indeed, no modem is there! What does that mean?? Would that be the cause of all the issues I’m having?
btw, my son’s computer was the main one and mine was added as a user on the network (if that’s the terminology)
should I attempt to let the computer find my modem?
muttleymcgee @ 2030
I can see where I can select a different clock server but see nowhere I can add in another. Running Windows 7.
Further to the above scary article about putting internet trolls in handcuffs, is this very good point: