Galaxy: 64-36 to federal Coalition in Queensland

GhostWhoVotes relates that tomorrow’s Courier-Mail will carry a poll of 800 Queensland respondents (producing a margin of error of 3.5%) which puts the Coalition’s lead in the state at 64-36. This is less bad for Labor than the spectacular 68-32 in the Queensland component of last week’s Nielsen result, but quite a bit worse than the 58-42 in the January-March geographic breakdown from Newspoll (which was mostly conducted before Labor’s post-leadership challenge downturn). Galaxy has Labor at 23% of the primary vote, the Coalition at 56% and the Greens at 11%, compared with 18%, 56% and 11% in Nielsen. The poll has support for the carbon tax at 25% and opposition at 72%, respectively down four and up five since November.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,819 comments on “Galaxy: 64-36 to federal Coalition in Queensland”

Comments Page 2 of 57
1 2 3 … 57

  1. [Schnappi
    Posted Saturday, May 19, 2012 at 12:14 am | Permalink
    Article needs to be read in full]

    Lol, im surprised no one as yet has quipped about the Abbott conspiracy where he is bringing down europe single handed just to prevent Swan getting a surplus.

  2. [ Without stating the bleeding obvious, this bears all the hallmarks of a planned, carefully orchestrated campaign by the Liberal Party to bring down a democratically elected government. Australia’s home-grown Watergate. ]

    Rossmore,

    Thanks for that info. Now comes the hard task of joining the diverse dots.

    The reporter who cracks this is a shoo-in for a Walkley.

  4. Earlier call to arms …. Minus some crap,

    1519
    Rossmore
    Posted Friday, May 18, 2012 at 10:38 pm | Permalink
    Time for all of us on the Left of centre, including comrades in the Greens, to put our differences aside. The Libs are prepared to do whatever it takes to bring down a democratically elected Labor Government. Time for collective action, time to get very angry.

    None shall shatter the crystal spirit.

  5. rummel

    [Lol, im surprised no one as yet has quipped about the Abbott conspiracy where he is bringing down europe single handed just to prevent Swan getting a surplus]

    Something like that at this time of morning would say your pissed or forgot your meds as the article you probably did not read in full was about others than the scumbag,

  6. Good night, Bludgers,

    Thanks all for the instructive discussion over the past couple of days on the Ashby matter.

    +++

    Bluddy ABC. It reports it will be 4C here. Tosh! Ice is already forming
    on the roof. And that’s inside. Can’t they get anything right!

    The bluddy local IGA ran out of briquettes, which might have served, but some selfish, well-padded swine bought the buggers. Do these people have any regard for thin people?

    Fortunately, a load of firewood should lob sometime over the weekend.

    Oh, well, another three-dog night. It’s the snoring that gets me …

  9. Schnappi

    I read your link re Peter Wicks @12.14. He left out the bit where Thomson was set up by aliens and Cathy Thomson is an alien in disguise.

  11. There was a massive disconnect between how most PB’ers perceive Newman and the LNP and how most QLD’ers perceive them both before the election and now. Most of the vibes I am getting are positive which is not the same as is being described here.

  14. Here’s an example of the problem with Gillard:

    Today there’s a story about her reaching out to business. That’s all well and good, but does she communicate the values of aspiration and success to voters? Does she connect with that values system? No. Why? Because there’s no fluidity. There’s no emotional pay off. She talks about the facts when people want the feelings. People want a bit of inspiration, a bit of spiritualism and all they see is wooden, monotonous, legal tone. It’s not appealing at all

  16. Night all. Why I view the Libs with disdain. At the end of the day they care more about themselves and preserving their little protected and privileged lives, than their fellow men or women. They’ll happily accept middle class welfare while slagging off single parents. I ain’t got nothin in common with them. I fundamentally dislike their values and morals. I don’t want to be seen with them, break bread with them or have a beer with them. They are hollow, empty people. Goodnight.

  17. In regards to Campbell Newman, he’s going to have a reasonable honeymoon period before the pendulum swings. I’d say 6-8 months. He’s got free reign for now regardless of how people on here view some of these “Joh like” decisions he’s making.

    There will eventually come a point when people will begin to think “hey, this guy’s got too much power” and he’ll start to lose control. Right now though, they’ll bask in the electoral glory

  18. [She talks about the facts when people want the feelings. People want a bit of inspiration, a bit of spiritualism and all they see is wooden, monotonous, legal tone. It’s not appealing at all]

    Perhaps as an atheist she finds ‘a bit of spiritualism’ hard to do. 😉 Seriously though, I wouldn’t disagree with some of your list on the previous page (though I think some are a bit harsh), but the really irritating part is that if anyone bothered to list them, Abbott’s gaffes would be worse, but they get a pass because that’s not the media narrative. They might say he’s negative on occasion, but any specific incidents get ‘forgotten’ while anything Gillard says that’s deemed wrong gets aired endlessly, usually in distorted form.

  23. [Today there’s a story about her reaching out to business. That’s all well and good, but does she communicate the values of aspiration and success to voters? Does she connect with that values system? No. Why? Because there’s no fluidity. There’s no emotional pay off. She talks about the facts when people want the feelings. People want a bit of inspiration, a bit of spiritualism and all they see is wooden, monotonous, legal tone. It’s not appealing at all]

    She is an extremely poor leader, very poor communicator. She is a departmental CEO, not a PM or leader. She stole a job for which she has no talent.

    As I have said anybody could do what she has been doing, no special talent at all, a seat warmer, when you have a friendly senate.

    But this ordinary individual had to be raised and beautified in order to meet the expectations her fans had of her. But it takes a certain sort of blindness to believe she much more than a door stop for the factions.

  24. Deflationite

    Abbott knows how to hit the points in regards to the individualistic, success/excellence orientated values system. His issue is polarisation and he deals with it by putting the focus on Gillard rather than himself (if he’d focused on himself, there’s no way he’d have got away with policies like Direct Action or his PPL scheme)

  25. The list of gaffes Abbott has made is longer than Gillard’s. People here will say the media hasn’t pointed them out. I say the ALP has been a sleep to a lot of them and failed to assert some of his finer moments into their answers to questions

    Abbott was making more than a mistake a day in relation to the economy. The Ashby claims against Slipper took the air away from it. Hockey this week at the NPC made around 5 or 6 mistakes, the best one being whether the Coalition would accept Thomson’s vote (I thought it was pretty much a dixer from Mark Riley but it happened to catch him off guard)

  26. [As I have said anybody could do what she has been doing, no special talent at all, a seat warmer, when you have a friendly senate.]

    So the composition of the Senate is the factor on which everything hinges, while that of the House doesn’t matter a damn. Can you explain to me how that works exactly?

  27. [As I have said anybody could do what she has been doing, no special talent at all, a seat warmer, when you have a friendly senate.]

    My two bob is the PM outsmarts every shadow minister in parliament and runs rings around a weak opposition leader who policies he has put up get no coverage as they are crap.
    She does not duck questions and has been under fire from day one.Unlike a weak opposition leader who walks away from questionersand say babies are Just are.

  28. I think that anyone who doesn’t get the irony of labelling a whole state as backward and intellectually inferior on the basis that it doesn’t vote for ‘your’ party in majority, is themselves a few shingles short. The threads on Queensland here have lately taken a highly bigoted tone. Do you really believe that attacking and villifying (and the ones that do so are hardly intellectual powerhouses themselves) a state will increase the amity felt for the lefties in the north? I say this as a person of Labor background. That this type of scurrilous, weaselly, lying, intellectually bankrupt approach is pursued here I think speaks ill of all involved. Substitute any other ethnic or cultural group (except perhaps Christians- Christians and Queenslanders appear fair game) and you might, despite the limited comprehension of some, get the point. Perhaps you might consider the vitriol heaped on Rudd here and elsewhere (and a man obviously the ‘smartest in the room’ -another irony that seems to elude you) in pursuing heightened amity with the Queenslanders.

  29. Respecting Gillard, she has good days in parliament but outside seems as wooden as a marionette. So the people have two choices, a cardboard cutout android, and someone who is mad as a cut snake.

  30. Honestly , if people are against the carbon tax, then the coalition has lost the election

    the news ltd will not tell people about the direct action which will have the worlds most expensive carbon tax implemented

  32. Good morning Dawn Patrollers
    Compulsory reading here – Jessica Irvine.
    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/unpicking-the-collective-whinge-20120517-1ytk0.html
    Between Nicola and Tanya Big Tobacco is in for a fight.
    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/big-tobacco-targeting-teens-says-plibersek-20120517-1ytm3.html
    More compulsory reading. Lenore Taylor this time.
    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/the-powerful-spin-of-abbotts-wrecking-ball-20120518-1yvlu.html

  33. BK

    [‘I’ve got to be frank, it’s too easy to blame the media … and there ‘s no purpose blaming the opposition for doing what, after all, you would expect them to do, and that is to beat you. In a sense I think we simply make politics too hard. The truth will normally do,” he said.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/the-powerful-spin-of-abbotts-wrecking-ball-20120518-1yvlu.html#ixzz1vG2PHgdk ]

    I recall that someone reported that ABC24 was running a banner on Friday recasting Kelty’s “The truth will normally do,” as ‘ALP should stop lying’.

  35. BK

    When reading Lenore Taylor this morning, I thought why doesnt the PM talk like she does in Parliament? Why dont they stick up for their policies.? Where the hell is combet on selling the Carbon rebate and why arent they on every available TV and radio selling Labor gov new NDIS, age care.etc

    They have given up the fight and punted all on the rebates. Lazy communication and politicing.

    On a another note I too find they vitriol on Qld voting OTT. Remember 1500 mexicans move here every week and from the looks of it from Vic. We dont want anymore Vic conservatives thx U. 😉

    On Qld they need a central figure whose engaging and can talk as well as think. Not Rudd. Respect to him for his hard work but think Qld needs another to take up the fight.

    This is constructive criticism that if Labor doesnt adhere to they will find themselves like
    Qld all over the natin

  36. its the media who will not tell the truth , in what the coalition will bring in

    newsltd have acknowledge that abbott will bring in a carbon tax , but it doesnt suit their agenda for labor to retain government

    GOVERNMENT SHOULD BRING IN THE NEW MEDIA LAWS ASAP

  37. The government has nothing to lose now, if it brings in laws to make the media report things fairer on all sides of politics , then people will be able to get the idea on how and who isnt bad for the country

  38. Meguire Bob

    [ GOVERNMENT SHOULD BRING IN THE NEW MEDIA LAWS ASAP ]

    Agree – even sooner if possible plus a complete clean out at the ABC.

  41. Probably too controversial for PPQ: “Queensland – The Police State” number plates, tastefully finished with a blue and white checkered border.

  42. [Why isnt Labor figures asking every single person they talk too ‘what the hell is Direct Action?’]
    And what is the plan and cost of the next stage when the world does engage in a carbon based economy?

  43. Why hasn’t Lenore Taylor written ‘the truth’ before this? She, and the rest of her media mates, have spent the whole time Labor has been in office, dissing the government and giving the lies and exaggerations of Abbott prominence without ever calling him out on the rubbish he spruiks.

  44. BK

    [And what is the plan and cost of the next stage when the world does engage in a carbon based economy?]

    I think keeping the politics simple is what Labor HAVENT been doing. Their messaging is correct but too hard for the news cycle, too hard for the 5min nterview. Once ppl undrstand what Labor is askng ie.on direct action, then they will naturally ask the next series of questions themselces.

    On Lenores article, I agree with her this morning because the usual is not working. Usual being another day without anyone from Labor gov refuting quickly opp Talking points, or another day without anyone from Labor coming out and saying this is Bullshit. (and I mean swear)

    Ipad keyboard sucks bynthe way

  45. http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/the-powerful-spin-of-abbotts-wrecking-ball-20120518-1yvlu.html

    Hope bk does not mind but leaving text, is for passers by who want or cannot be bothered reading.

    Having convinced the nation that Labor’s policy was built upon a categoric lie, rather than a half-lie mixed with obfuscation, confusion and political necessity, Tony Abbott skilfully set about demolishing it without much regard for the truth either.

    Almost every one of his photo opportunities regarding the carbon tax exaggerates or wilfully misrepresents its impact.

    Just this week he visited the successful food distribution business PFD Food Services at its premises in Victoria. PFD would have high power bills due to its use of refrigeration. But it should also be able to pass on any extra costs without any worries about being undercut by overseas competition -it’s a bit hard to replace a domestic trucking fleet with a cheaper offshore version. And those passed-on costs are part of what households are being compensated for.

    None of that detail concerned the Opposition Leader as he began his speech about how the carbon tax would be like a wrecking ball through the Australian economy.

    ”First of all,” he said, ”power costs will go up by an estimated 20 per cent”.

    Actually, the Treasury has estimated that power costs will go up as a result of the carbon tax an average of 10 per cent.

  46. I think it was miss taylor who wrote a book about abbott in 2004 with lots of things that worried me , but i have not been able to find it if late on the net

  47. Dogma dont ask why here
    Write and ask why
    I saw your comments and wrote to me combet,
    Also every labor member we write to we must mention
    Media laws asap.

  48. Its time (without the Whitlam) to start fighting back. PJK said the other night that Labor gave up the credit for the good economics in the 80’s. That was wrong then and would be wrong now.

    If we let this current crop of Labor gov give up the credit, then who is the goose, us for believing inmthem even though they will b out of gov, or them who’ll hav to sit there and think if only.

    Putting pressure on Lqbor figures to start fighting back shld be incouraged.

  49. Thx u My Say, for the ‘doing’. When u say your going to do something u do. I also write on twitter to alot of politicians and incourage.

Comments Page 2 of 57
1 2 3 … 57

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *