Newspoll: 50-50

The Australian reports this fortnight’s Newspoll has it at 50-50, compared with 52-48 in the Coalition’s favour in the year’s first Newspoll a fortnight ago. Julia Gillard has opened a 53-31 lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister, up from 48-35 last time and basically back where it was at the end of last year. More to follow.

UPDATE: GhostWhoVotes comes good on the primary vote figures: Labor up four points to 36 per cent (and didn’t they need that), the Coalition down three to 41 per cent and the Greens down one to 13 per cent. Personal ratings are even better for the government: Julia Gillard’s approval is up five points to 50 per cent and her disapproval down three to 39 per cent, while Tony Abbott is down four to 38 per cent and up five to 49 per cent. Abbott’s figures are consistent with last week’s Essential Research and inconsistent with Nielsen’s 54-46 to the Coalition last week. Nielsen was also inconsistent with Galaxy’s poll on the weekend, which conformed with the overall trend in showing the situation much as it was on election day.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,585 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50”

Comments Page 70 of 72
1 … 69 70 71 72

  2. [She has. She says she is dealing with the parliament the people voted for. Surely this makes sense.]

    What about the people who voted for her on the understanding she would not introduce a carbon tax

    Hypocracy is not validated by a hung parliament

  3. confessions,
    [I mean what I say, and I say this based on the public record.]

    Pull the other leg 😉

    Couldn’t be bothered asking you to provide something, anything, to support yet another one of your sweeping assertions.

    Cheers and good night 🙂

  4. [3444

    David

    Posted Thursday, February 24, 2011 at 10:10 pm | Permalink

    Thanks its the jurnos union boss I wish to have “conversation” with. It is time to attack. Enough is enough.
    ]

    Ahh Michael Sinclair -Jones – the Former President David “F***ing Outrage”* Cohen is currently in India.

    *So named by the Worst of Perth blog in response to the Sunday Times Raid.

  6. [He may have felt some pressure.]

    Who knows what underhanded pressure he has been getting from the libs? They may have been talking censure for a while. They might have thought the levy vote could spur a no confidence if it was deadlocked or defeated.

    I remember the coalition had been haranguing both the Indies during the 17 days. And Hockey did go into Oaky’s electorate and badmouth him. I’d put nothing past them they are so desperate for power.

  7. [Mr Squiggle

    Posted Thursday, February 24, 2011 at 10:13 pm | Permalink

    She has. She says she is dealing with the parliament the people voted for. Surely this makes sense.

    What about the people who voted for her on the understanding she would not introduce a carbon tax

    Hypocracy is not validated by a hung parliament
    ]

    you mean like Howard and his Never Ever GST ??

  11. Dee,

    No I haven’t seen anything but I was interested to see if anything more came out of Hockey jumping the gun on thr FOI emails re exit fees from Treasury.

    Swan seemed pretty confident in his reply in QT yesterday. Interesting to see what happened. i assume it would have come out in estimates today ?

  12. [What about the people who voted for her on the understanding she would not introduce a carbon tax

    Hypocracy is not validated by a hung parliament]
    Oh yes it is. Abbott would also have to have been a hypocrit if he was to form government. No party had a majority. Therefore promises were going to be broken. You can’t get passed that.

  13. Diogenes
    Posted Thursday, February 24, 2011 at 10:10 pm | Permalink

    Gorgeous Dunny

    Unfortunately for you, we live in the real world and saw her say it repeatedly with our own eyes.

    ‘What, did she have Anna Bligh’s sign language translator?’

    your problem diogenus is you had politcal houindi trick of polisy done by Jiulia played before your own eye but with no magicians camoflage !

    and you still could not see it , becaue you did not twigg there were always 2 CC options , and she’d promise only one of them but Julia answered Q’s dependant of which CC option she as asked about quite truthfully Is all Doc’s politcally naeve

  14. [Pull the other leg ]

    I don’t need to ‘pull the other leg’. The Hansard clearly shows that the Greens voted against taking action on AGW in the last parliament.

    Do they have the stomach for helping to enact legislation in this parliament? I’m entitled to ask.

  16. [3460

    scorpio

    Posted Thursday, February 24, 2011 at 10:17 pm | Permalink

    Pegasus,

    Media release by the Australian Council for Social Service:

    And?????????????????
    ]

    Pegasus is applying for a job at Their ABC and is showing off his copy/pastin, um, I mean Journalistic Capbilities.

  18. Mr Squiggle,

    Circumstances change.

    Get down off your high horse and breath the air of pragmatism.

    Besides I am a labor voter. We can do these things. If that makes me a hypocrite then so be it.

  20. Pegasus
    Posted Thursday, February 24, 2011 at 10:13 pm | Permalink

    confessions,

    I mean what I say, and I say this based on the public record.

    “Pull the other leg 😉
    Couldn’t be bothered asking you to provide something, anything, to support yet another one of your sweeping assertions.”

    what you mean is Confessions is mean for telling it as it is , facts

  22. steve,

    [ What’s all this business about Caroline Overington? Is she being herself? ]

    I understand she’s having trouble getting up herself of a morning! 😉

  23. [What about the people who voted for her on the understanding she would not introduce a carbon tax]
    Squiggle, please explain the practical different between a carbon tax and a carbon trading scheme from the perspective of the voter.

  27. [I don’t need to ‘pull the other leg’. The Hansard clearly shows that the Greens voted against taking action on AGW in the last parliament. ]
    The Hansard clearly shows that the coalition (excluding 2 rebels), Greens, X and Fielding voted against the previous CPRS bill. Trying a bit of spin?

  29. Mr Squiggle,

    [Hypocracy is not validated by a hung parliament]

    Is “hypo cracy” a new way to describe the Rabbott?

    When he’s hypo, he tends to go crazy?

  31. BB @ 3093

    [It was all about Abbott and the implication – no matter how ludicrous – that Matt Franklin would write such a story about him. Yes, I probably hit a nerve there, but the OO would be the first to say “toughen up princess” when it comes to “robust” reportage of the news, or what they decide is the news.]

    Exactly – the hidden hand of the Leader of the Opposition is well and truly up the back of Franklin’s and Overington’s collective shirts here, as they toe the apologist line in shilling shamelessly for the embattled Abbott.

    One would have thought that politics, being a rough and tumble game for ‘manly’ people like Mr Abbott, would have inured him to such parody, but it seems that Tony’s glass jaw is more and more on display recently, given his ‘death stare’ brain fade, his ‘shit happens’ gaffe and his more than homoerotic recent cuddling up to ‘The Parrot.’

    It also ill-fits the Leader of the Opposition and his boosters at the OO to be seen criticising The Member for Lyne about the ursine Joe Hockey’s substituting for ‘The Parrot’ at a fund raiser in his Federal seat and calling him a Labor stooge, thence after Oakeshott calls them on it, proceeding to call him a ‘sook’ and implying he was a big girly-man, when they then simultaneously whinge about a piece of satire on a semi-obscure (apologies to all PBers, but we are hardly mainstream media) blog site. Life imitating art, if ever I’ve seen a case!

    Who needs to harden the f*@k up in this equation?

  32. [I am sure that Windsor has the presence of mind to see a doctor if feeling unwell?]
    Maybe, but what about a food-taster?
    👿

  35. [William Bowe
    Posted Thursday, February 24, 2011 at 10:20 pm | Permalink
    Extradition decision not going well for Assange.]

    Don’t worry William. The Australian Attorney General will ensure the protection of all Australian citizens and ensure he is considered innocent until proven guilty.

    Ooops. I forgot, the Australian Attorney General has already said Assange is guilty.

    Q: Of what?

    AG: “Don’t bother me with details, hes just guilty”

  36. [Mr Squiggle,

    Hypocracy is not validated by a hung parliament

    Is “hypo cracy” a new way to describe the Rabbott?

    When he’s hypo, he tends to go crazy?]

    Scorpio – please note how I give your comment priority

    Its my fingers that cannot spell, not me

  37. [the hidden hand of the Leader of the Opposition is well and truly up the back of Franklin’s and Overington’s collective shirts here]

    The alternative is that a Walkley Award-winning journalist has allegedly trawled the comments of an indie media blog in order to gather content for her msm column.

    How debasement for her, if true.

  38. [3476
    Diogenes
    Posted Thursday, February 24, 2011 at 10:24 pm | Permalink
    Assange gets a trip to Sweden.
    ]

    About time he faced the Swedish legal system, one of the finest in the world.
    If he’s innocent, then he has nothing to fear.

  39. [ you mean like Howard and his Never Ever GST ??

    More like Howard who introduced Workchoices without mentioning it. How bad is that?]

    Gary – you have me there, Workchoices is the better example of Howard hypo-cracy than GST.

    The GST was put before the people before an election and will stand in history and an act of steel ballls

    BTW< I hvae been taking spelling lessons from Ron

  42. Doyley

    Altern “Carbon Tax” proposal that was ti run till 2020 is a tax on consumption w/o a mechanism to g’tee ANY emmissions reductions at all Its like taxing cigarrettes or petrol , there may be some reduction it is why Julia ruled out a carbon proice , Garnaut also did not like it

    stupid journo’s kept arsking her is she going to hav a “Carbon Tax” , so she said no , tuthfully because that altern Carbon Tax” option Labor did not suport

    BUT when Journo’s asked Julia in election will she put a Price on Carbon , Julia said “YES’ provided there is consenus from th CC Assembly

    now she always then went on to talk bout Labor’s CPRS which would be th BASIS model of such an CC Assembly (per my quotes earlier)

    But stupid Journo’s then zero-ed in on ridiculing th whole CC Assembly itself idea as that gave them there anti labor msn ‘story’ !

    (INSTEAD of Journo’s either zeroing in on that a CPRS itself would push up enegy prices and also that a transitionery 1 yr carbon tax was part of that very Labor CPRS)

  44. Frank

    [hopefully the Brother of a Mr G Face will kindly offer him some board and lodging ?]

    I doubt he’ll get much choice in his lodgings. I’d be surprised if the Swedes bail him.

  45. [The Libs don’t proclaim themselves to be the party of the environment.]
    Eeer, yes they do; just ask them. And they have had at least 2 of their last 4 leaders who have favoured a carbon trading scheme.

    It will be interesting to compare the final Gillard carbon bill with Rudd’s CPRS bill and measure whether it has moved towards the Greens preferred position or away from it. That would be a meaningful measure of whether the Greens have been pragmatic and successful at it.

  50. [I imagine we have a prisoner exchange program agreement with Sweden if worst comes to worst for Assange.]
    I think Assange is more worried about a prisoner exchange program with the US.

Comments are closed.

Comments Page 70 of 72
1 … 69 70 71 72