Morgan has published another of its mid-week phone polls of 660 respondents, conducted last night, and it finds the two parties deadlocked on two-party preferred. Labor’s primary vote is down four points on last week to 38 per cent, with the Coalition up three to 45 per cent. It also finds Tony Abbott’s approval rating (up six to 52 per cent) has overtaken Julia Gillard’s (steady on 46 per cent), with Gillard’s disapproval up two to 39 per cent and Abbott’s down two to 38 per cent. However, Gillard retains a 48-37 lead as preferred prime minister. Gender gaps are found to have rapidly narrowed, and while there is evidence for this across the board, Morgan has perhaps strained credulity in finding the Coalition 0.5 per cent ahead on two-party preferred among women and behind 0.5 per cent among men.
I see its poetry night.
Well here’s a %%$#^ poem for yz.
Its called “STFU and campaign”.
GFC GFC GFC GFC GFC GFC
EVERYONE COPPED GFC
RIGHT UP THE WAZOO
EXCEPT OSTRAYA
STIMULUS STIMULUS STIMULUS
EMPLOYMENT UP SEE GRAPH, JOBS
ECONOMY ECONOMY ECONOMY, JOBS
DEBT MINISCULE SEE GRAPH, JOBS
INTEREST LOW SEE GRAPH, JOBS
No pasaran!
ABC on wednesday night is great 😀 My tax money well spent. Shame about the rest of the stuff.
Psephos @ 388 and scorpio @ 429
So. From your replies, I have to assume that the Liberal Party’s (secret) agenda is to flog the ABC.
Rudd said he wasnt going to stand by and watch Abbott get into the lodge.
In other words without him Abbott would because Gillard is failing.
ltep
That would be giving the MSM a bit too much credit.
@lefty e 701
I like it!
Surely sale of the ABC would require legislation which would never pass the Senate and would be deeply unpopular.
[Rudd said he wasnt going to stand by and watch Abbott get into the lodge.
In other words without him Abbott would because Gillard is failing.]
That’s a pretty big spin on that. All Governments (and members thereof) campaign on the possibility of the opposition winning. (Even if the polls are 60-40 in their favour.)
[I’m just saying that Gillard has to win this election for Labor. Rudd can’t.]
No but he is going to pull back a heap of those lost votes in many of the marginals that are so crucial to Labor winning.
If he gets out there with the same message as tonight, hot on the heels of good coverage tomorrow, then it will swamp Abbott and take away any oxygen from his run.
lefty
the truce seems to be holding
sort of
😉
Glen,
Thats a bit of a stretch.
Rudd’s health should be the No 1 priority – if he gets the go ahead from his specialist, he can certainly start helping out in other parts of QLD, or even just around Brisbane(plenty of marginal seats).
Rudd proved tonight that he’s a class act, and Julia & her brains trust should be f**king grateful that the man has probably just won the election for her.
I should take this moment to remind people the legislation to reform the ABC board appointment process was not passed before the election. Conroy’s proposal, although not perfect, would’ve gone some way into restoring confidence in the boards independence.
[I think it’s fair to say that Kevin Rudd squarely blames David Marr and his half-baked pop psychology efforts in the Quarterly Essay for setting up the scenario in which he was knifed.]
I go along with that. Marr’s radio and telly appearances and media comment about Kev being consumed with anger had an enormous effect in completing the picture that had been built up over 3 years of his temper, his rudeness, his chaotic work practices, his inability to keep staff, etc.
Marr only backed off slightly at the end of tirade on Q&A when he said he found him intelligent and interesting. All other interviews focussed on the enormous negatives around Kev. From that day the gloves were off and the media went after him harder. Oakes articles on Kev and Labor being cactus didn’t help.
Gillard was a loyal deputy until caucus decided to vote for the change. Without being asked to challenge she would not have done so. In hindsight it would have been to her advantage to let Kev go, suffer the awful media he would have received, lose the election and she would have walked it in for next time.
She stepped up to do what her colleagues asked of her. It’s sad the way it happened but I’d say inevitable.
And I go along with IntheKnow – 2 PS kids ‘in the know’ confirm it.
Good God, when infrastructure ministers have a brain fart the most common outcome is
A Feasability Study into A High Speed Rail Link between Melb and Sydney.
Well this comes up about every 5 years, usually after a change of Govt and in the middle of a term when they run out of sendible ideas, consultants love it, just polish of the old models and add a zero to the costs. Very Fast Train of the 80s anyone?
It’s how it will be spun.
[lefty
the truce seems to be holding
sort of]
I think there should be an amendment to give freedom toward either side to do as they wish when they come across a rogue (ie a non-adherent to the truce, such as MWH)
Would a better reward for the Ruddster be….Minister for Climate Change?
[ In early extracts of his interview broadcast tonight, Mr Rudd said no government or leader “was perfect”, putting himself, Bob Hawke, Paul Keating and Ms Gillard in that category.
]
Rudd vows to campaign for Gillard
Would it be correct to assume Rudd believes that Menzies, Fraser and Howard – and their respective governments, were NOT in this category ?
Fair enough, Diogenes. I’m sorry but I though you’d heard the interview, hence my comment.
TSOP
Sikk em rex
Glen that media message is way complicated. Think of a snappy newspaper headline and that’s how the story will be constructed.
Mithrandir,
[ABC on wednesday night is great 😀 My tax money well spent. Shame about the rest of the stuff. ]
Everything else that the ABC presented in this 24 hour period has been totally overtaken by one short interview on ABC radio.
Phillip Adams has guzumped the whole media throng and I bet they are all spewing.
David Marr is a pretentious prig full of his own self-importance.
[Would a better reward for the Ruddster be….Minister for Climate Change?]
Minister for Programmatic Specificity (I know! I know! It’s a cliche and a bad joke! Stop booing!)
Seriously, I still think he is happiest and most efficient in FA.
[Glen that media message is way complicated. Think of a snappy newspaper headline and that’s how the story will be constructed.]
“Rudd: Gillard needs me” ?
I actually have a feeling the media will try to spin this as Rudd saying Julias campaign is going crap.
Rudd agrees that Gillard’s campaign has lost its way and he’s going to help bring back on track 😀
Pebbles
I’m on the other side of Main North Road, closer to the foothills.
Agree with you on the Nick Champion signs – they’re everywhere. Strauss’ have been defaced a fair bit too (which I hate for any candidate) along Yorktown Road and haven’t bothered to fix them.
[I’m sure Rudd did a good interview but that isn’t going to help Labor. People will just say that if he’s so great they shouldn’t have dumped him.]
i just watched rpa great programe great drs
you would not instill much confidence in me so i hope i dont need you
The leaking wouldn’t have been Rudd, but it would have been his acolytes. Not wanting to be too cynical he does get to play the hero from a situation caused essentially by his staffers here (in my opinion).
I’m willing to bet the effect was greater than his acolyte(s) expected – and that he would have had a quiet word to them on the side to that effect now. I think he feels bad about it. I doubt he would have directly told them to leak – being a cunning politician I doubt he wasn’t as unequivocal that they shouldn’t as he could have been.
It’s only a theory but it’s the sense i get. It felt like a directed shot(s) across the bow – not to play Rudd out of the game (or else). Laced with some bitterness.
Yeah – the acolytes do the bidding – the leaders maintain the plausible deniability.
[Surely sale of the ABC would require legislation which would never pass the Senate and would be deeply unpopular.]
It’s already been all but colonised by Murdoch, the OO and the Liberal Party. Bastards.
[In other words without him Abbott would because Gillard is failing.]
Nah — sorry Glen — straw grasping — you’ve been learning from the MSM. Spin. spin. spin.
It is hilarious — they keep telling us ALP spins — but the MSM is the best at it — they can try to make red look blue! Just like you with that one Glen.
699.. I guess the target must be companies who employ plenty of older workers already… because I just don’t buy it actually getting people back into the workforce… clearly plenty needs to be done to do so but this “policy” won’t do it. Just another hollow attempt at looking to have real policy when you don’t.
Kevin Rudd is Labor’s best asset.
There will be people here at PB and elsewhere who will continue to say that he is a problem that is best left under a rock or in a cupboard but that’s because they will never ever find it in themselves to admit that they just might have been wrong. If KR makes a contribution and is seen by many as a real plus in the campaign and if Labor gets over the line those same people will say that it’s all down to JG and weren’t they really smart to knock over KR. Of course if Labor lose those same people will say that KR was a distraction in the campaign and probably cost the party the victory it so richly deserved.
I personally think he’s a champion.
No the headline should be
“I’m Kevin and I’m here to help (whether you like it or not)”
ok so will Rudd campaigning in Qld stem the tide of projected losses in Qld and save the ALP? If so the faceless men should crawl on broken glass to thank this guy for his contribution when they shafted him. this shows the inner strength and credibility of the man.
my say
again i say
all is well
we,the people,united,will never be didvided.
I thought the subtext from the Rudd interview was preaching unity to the labor faithful, dont avenge me, fight the common enemy.
he said he didnt want abbott winning without proper scrutiny. i’d say that was in reference to the media. you lot are trying very very hard to find a negative in a very tightly scripted interview.
Glen@730
It’s a sign that they realise that they’re wrong and they are willing to change tack – Alan Carpenter stuck to his script – and he paid for it.
Why Didn’t Howard do the same ??
Too funny my say.
I also think Rudd sucks up Julias oxygen and reminds people of the damned leaks.
[Theres no way Rudd will be PM again unless Labor get very desperate.]
I don’t agree with that. I reckon Kev’s intelligent to understand that his colleagues need his attention a little more and he could come back like Howard did – bigger and better than ever.
And stick it right up all those media opinionistas.
Scringler,
[So. From your replies, I have to assume that the Liberal Party’s (secret) agenda is to flog the ABC. ]
Personally now, I couldn’t give a rats what happens to it. I watch very little of it now and will watch and listen to a bloody site less after the election.
More verballing gutbutter, Glen.
my say, you would have been vey proud of Rudd this evening. Very.
we will never be divided. not by that scum abbott!
The beauty of it Dagget is that no matter what each side will spin this interview to their advantage.
Gillard never earnt the office of PM and even if she wins this election she wont have either because it was Rudd’s PMship she stole.
The truce holds. I even didnt rant in support of Martin B before (…I wanted to). Check you on the flipside, August 22
Glad you liked my lovely GFC poem. Here’s a flippin haiku version for the inner-city seats
GFC GF
C how we didnt get the
GFC here, jobs.
k
maybe he is smearing himself with it
😉