Essential Research: 61-39

The latest two-week rolling online panel survey by Essential Research shows federal Labor retaining its record 61-39 lead from last week, although the preferred prime minister gap has narrowed from 41 per cent to 35 per cent. Tellingly, the government’s handling of the financial crisis has the favour of 63 per cent of respondents against 18 per cent disapproving, compared with 31 per cent and 35 per cent for the opposition. Also covered are attitudes to the US presidential race.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

861 comments on “Essential Research: 61-39”

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  1. Rupert Murdoch will be making across-the-board cuts to his Australian operations. With any luck, Pies will be relegated to lunch room duties.

  2. [Virtually every single news outlet in the country has gone this way.]
    Yeah very true. But the fact The Oz has gone for it as well means they can’t be considered much better than the News Ltd tabloids.

    I guess it is the best way to get hits, which is what pays the bills.

    It’s not all bad though, Megalogenis is worth reading still.
    [People generally like to listen to people who think like they think so they can think that the way they think is the way people should think. :-)]
    It is quite sad though, because it means people have lost the sense of how hard it actually is to properly understand something. The brash judgment is considered superior to the well considered opinion.

    It doesn’t help when people who are meant to know things, like about running the world economy, have just proven that actually had NFI.

  3. [Rupert Murdoch will be making across-the-board cuts to his Australian operations. With any luck, Pies will be relegated to lunch room duties.]
    Did he announce this in one of his speeches?

    They could lose half their staff and it wouldn’t matter.

  4. [People generally like to listen to people who think like they think so they can think that the way they think is the way people should think.]

    I should add it’s also why blogs are rarely too diverse in the views.

    Bolt’s blog is just a shock blog; ditto Piers’. Those who can’t be bothered ringing up Alan Jones, go on to Bolt’s blog and are comforted by what they read, and thus have no problems with what they right.

    And to be honest, it’s why PB leans to the left. Sure there are some who go on blogs for a fight, or who genuinely love a hot debate, but just as I wouldn’t join a conversation at a pub full of young Liberals, I stay clear of right wing blogs, and go for the more friendly crowd here.

  5. [go on to Bolt’s blog and are comforted by what they read, and thus have no problems with what they right.]

    whoops Freudian slip perhaps? 🙂 I meant, of course “what they write”.

  6. Grog, I recently visited a right wing blog I’d posted at once or twice a while ago and went to post something new only to find I had been banned.

    I think many bloggers are violently opposed to having people disagree with them, which sort of doesn’t make sense to me at all.

  8. which one? to be honest ltep I don’t know any right wing blogs besides the bolt and piers’ ones.

    [I think many bloggers are violently opposed to having people disagree with them, which sort of doesn’t make sense to me at all.]

    I have no problems with people who disagree with me, I just don’t like the ones who are violently opposed to me!

  12. 660 thanks ltep, I’ll be sure to put it on my blocked list! Just read one post – “President B. Hussein Reveals his inner a**”

    No point reading any further…

  13. [I think the right wing bloggers would be welcome here]

    We went out of our way to get GP reinstated, so I think the evidence is there to support that

  14. [We went out of our way to get GP reinstated, so I think the evidence is there to support that]
    Wow, I never knew he was banned!

  15. you guys have no idea just how long i lurked on the outskirts of this blog before i was game to post, that was untill i thought bugga it i’m missing all the fun, now you cant shut me up.

  16. This blog could quite easily have become right-leaning, had the election result been different. Steven Kaye, Nostradamus (and others who I’ve forgotten) would still be filling it with gloating “Told ya so’s!”

  17. [Wow, I never knew he was banned!]

    It was short but sweet 🙂

    Look, I wasn’t saying we’re all bleeding heart lefties here – and thank God we’re not.

    With regard to the views expressed on blogs though, it always comes back to the owner/moderator. William’s posts are factual rather than opinion, so there’s no urge to abuse as you find on other sites.

    Props to William for keeping things pretty much on the level. (suck up over – I did afterall get my first snip last week, freakin rule #2!)

  18. News Ltd closed at around $12.40 a share last Friday.

    10 years ago they were trading at $14 and as high as $28 at the peak of the dot com boom. However the $12.40 includes a two for one share split therefore their shares are worth $6.20 compared to 10 years ago. Also their yields are among the lowest on the ASX. This is a company that should not be anywhere near as affected by the GFC as finance stocks.

    🙂

  19. [you guys have no idea just how long i lurked on the outskirts of this blog ]

    Same here… I can’t even remember how I got here. Most likely someone linked it in either Matt Price’s blog or Blogocracy. Read for a bit, then dived in mid-way through last year.

  20. [Steven Kaye, Nostradamus (and others who I’ve forgotten) would still be filling it with gloating “Told ya so’s!”]

    A few have been lost along the way…

    Wonder what ever happened to ‘voter boy across the water’ he was in the finance industry in England from memory – would’ve been good to hear some inside info on the GFC

  23. I did, and I received weird emails for some time afterwards for my efforts. Snoopy/Moose has been banned twice, most recently after returning under a new name during the WA campaign. You occasionally seem him on the News Ltd blogs. Banned Steven Kaye as well. Just plain didn’t like the guy, and it was my ball back then to play with as I saw fit. Nostradamus was never banned – in fact, I don’t think he ever posted here much, he was mostly one of Palmer’s.

  24. [Cedric Conan? Pretty sure William banned him.]
    Didn’t Cedric have a female sock puppet name as well? It was the same sort of “so says” posts, but from a female name.

  25. The “female” RWer I remember had a name I’ve forgotten, the one who wrote in simplistic couplets such as:

    [Liberals stand for opportunity; Labor stands for desperation]

  28. A year later and we’re still talking about him!

    Give the man his due, he was a feather ruffler of the first order.

    I miss him.

  29. [ Same here… I can’t even remember how I got here. Most likely someone linked it in either Matt Price’s blog or Blogocracy. Read for a bit, then dived in mid-way through last year. ]

    Similar here, except I came in from Wikipedia – whoever writes the election articles on Wiki (and particularly the individual electorate articles) uses PB as a reference a whole lot, so I ended up linking straight to here. I lurked for ages in the comments bit because I didn’t want to get involved with the 1000 post US threads. 😉

  30. [For a quick memory lane trip, this was the blog that Samantha Maiden wrote about in The Oz (Newpoll 53-47! the horror!!!)]
    Can’t see any posts from me. Hopefully that means I was out letterboxing!

  31. [The “female” RWer I remember had a name I’ve forgotten]

    It was “tabitha”

    Eg:
    [Posted Tuesday, November 6, 2007 at 12:41 pm | Permalink
    Labor is false at heart and craves power over people
    Liberal is true at heart and serves the people]

  34. [Can’t see any posts from me. Hopefully that means I was out letterboxing!]

    Found you on post 1107 ShowsOn..

    Anyhoo this has become too introspective for me (and yes I know I started it).

    Night all.

  35. [The “female” RWer I remember had a name I’ve forgotten, the one who wrote in simplistic couplets such as:

    Liberals stand for opportunity; Labor stands for desperation]

    That was Tabitha 🙂

  36. William,

    Come-on now, you can satisfy our curiosity now can’t you?

    The unseen hand didn’t belong to you, did it? You weren’t just stirring the pot eh?

  40. Steven Kaye & friends were great at reading the tealeaves weren’t they. Compare this with the current reality.

    [It’s all falling into place. With the rate rise on Wednesday, the PM will be able to hammer home his message that the economy is facing inflationary pressures resulting from the drought, soaring oil prices and booming growth (business confidence and investment are at 13 year highs) and that Krudd and his band of cretins and goons will not be able to manage them properly, further driving up rates. The good employment news on Thursday will only underscore his theme.]

  45. [I remember ESJ going on about getting a blog at The Australian.]

    Would you really be surprised if even GP got a blog at The Australian?

  46. ESJ never crapped on about factual issues. I believe he had the offer but things never worked out.

    A pity, as he would have stood out as a moderate intellectual against the current backdrop of right wing lunatics on that paper.

  48. [ESJ never crapped on about factual issues. I believe he had the offer but things never worked out. ]
    Ahh interesting.
    [Researchers in Japan say they have created functioning human brain tissue from stem cells for the first time.]
    Have they been able to make souls yet?

    JOKE! 😀

  50. I would strongly suspect that CO would have to be in Uncle Rupert’s sights at the moment. She might try for a job with Malcolm.

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