DemosAU has published its quarterly MRP poll for Capital Brief, which combines demographic modelling with a large-sample survey of 9343. This has produced its most radical result yet with respect to One Nation, showing a median projection of 68 seats for Labor (down 15 on the first quarter MRP and 26 on the 2025 election), from a primary vote that drops three points to 26%; 60 for One Nation (up eight on the first quarter), who gain three to 30%; 13 for the Coalition (up four on the first quarter and down 30 on the 2025 election), who are steady on 21%; three for the Greens (up two on both the first quarter and the 2025 election result), who are up one to 13%; and six others (up one on the first quarter, but down six on 2025).
Compared with the first quarter result, One Nation is now rated the more likely winner in Labor-held Paterson, Eden-Monaro, Ballarat, McEwen, Petrie, Dickson, Moore, Pearce, Bass, Lyons and Lingiari, together with Liberal-held Cook; the Coalition has recovered front-runner position from One Nation in Casey, Flinders and Moncrieff, as has Rebekha Sharkie in Mayo; Liberal are now rated favourites over Labor in Chisholm; and the Greens are rated favourites in Labor-held Richmond and Brisbane. The survey period was May 27 to July 11; plentiful further detail is available from the pollster’s full report.
Also out yesterday was the weekly Roy Morgan result, which has Labor steady on 27.5%, One Nation up three to 25.5%, the Coalition down one to 22% and the Greens steady on 14%. Labor’s respondent-allocated two-party lead over One Nation narrows from 55-45 to 53.5-46.5, and its leads over the Coalition narrow from 56-44 to 54-46 on respondent-allocated preferences and from 53-47 to 52.5-47.5 on 2025 election preference flows. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1643.
Miskal can’t confront the blindingly obvious: that Miskal always slags Labor, so Miskal deflects.
“Miskal can’t confront the blindingly obvious: that Miskal always slags Labor, so Miskal deflects”
Projection thy name is BW.
You changed the topic from the economic forces that caused the closing of domestic production to your usual rants
BW whines
“You might think you are being devious or even clever. You might be too thick to realize that you are posting in bad faith. Or you might just be too thick and too self unaware to understand that you might just as well be a Hansonite One Hundred Per Center.”
—————–
lol says the person who ranted for years in support of the Informal Party.
lol says the person who would put ON above the Greens.
You really need to stop talking about yourself.
“Australia’s diesel stocks have increased every year that the Albo govt has been in power.”
_____
But but but Miskal hath proclaimed that Labor only started doing policy stuff on this front since 2026!
Albo just must be lucky I guess.
“But but but Miskal hath proclaimed that Labor only started doing policy stuff on this front since 2026!
Albo just must be lucky I guess.”
Where did I say that AE?
I dated your list, and noted all BUT ONE was in 2026.
I have repeated 2022 as the earliest date multiple times.
Try again… and im still waiting for that link btw on shipping fleets leading to the closure of oil refineries.
edit – 3:49pm
“I mean you said it yourself; if the best you can do is a list of projects and policies that at the eaaarliest is 2022, to argue that Labor has always been forward thinking while they have been in power for 25 years since 1970, then I am afraid you have failed.”
So, you gonna apologize or what
Boer = good, but Lordbain/Miskal is def not a One Nation cats paw.
Shove Lordbain/Miskal into a One Nation party room function and there would be fists & blood within minutes.
Lordbain would never put up with the right/far right.
Complete anathema.
“Pegasus says:
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 8:37 pm”
______
Mighty Pegasus, astride the Great A’Tuin clocks on in time to lead us all to the beneficent Anti-Labor Party Nirvana. Namaste
Sprocket.. this sets the flavour for what’s to follow… Running joke? It might be a joke to entitled, jumped-up infants like Whitelaw. But it is no joke for taxpayers who prop up Catholic Schools NSW, or parents who pay fees to send their children to its schools.
Waiting.. waiting for the shock horror MSM editorial pieces.. after all this is an attack to the heart of democracy by rightwing catholics, not satisfied with destroying American democracy they also want an end to Australian democracy & free will
Greetings Bludgers ! I rarely find the time these days to get my PB jollies as much as I wish I could, but this demos AU with it’s “MRP statistical modeling framework ” pricked my ears.
I wonder if Lord Bilbo and/or other learned types could give a simple take on this ‘model’?
Firstly, are there any similarities between this demos AU poll and the huge 2025 election-eve Yougov poll?
From what I can understand, MRP works by taking a broad national dataset to map out how different demographic groups vote, and then applies those voting probabilities to the exact demographic blueprint of each individual seat to project a local winner.
I find this methodology quite stupid, if true. It completely ignores the seat by seat realities on the ground- the identities, issues etc.
What an abysmal clusterfuck … all those years & decades of establishing Sydney’s second international airport.. & then they allow housing to be built under the flightpath… beyond stupid.. want a Royal Commission into something useful.. have one on this planning abomination.
‘That’s not a truck’: What locals heard on the first night of 24/7 flight noise from new airport…
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/that-s-not-a-truck-what-locals-heard-on-the-first-night-of-24-7-flight-noise-from-new-airport-20260728-p60j6f.html
I like the new Victorian Premier.
A no nonsense attitude when it comes to the press pack, and actually addressing the needs and concerns of the state.
Several people are trapped inside a shopping centre after a strong earthquake hit south-west Japan, officials say. Some local media reports that there was an explosion at the Aeon Mall in Kumamoto, following the magnitude 7.1 earthquake.
Emergency services said “many people” were trapped inside the Aeon Mall in the Kumamoto region.
Latest You Gov (via News 24)
Poll Period: 21-27 July
Sample: TBA
* ALP 28 (nc)
* ON 25 (-1)
* LNP 22 (+2)
* GRN 13 (+1)
* Ind/Oth 12 (-2)
Link: https://www.news24.com.au/politics/australian-politics/labor-on-lowest-majoritywinning-vote-since-federation-as-voters-turn-on-major-parties-news24-pulse/news-story/30abb89ce081815670d1a05c4517f90e
It doesn’t seem like any of the papers covered AEMO’s latest Quarterly Energy Dynamics report except for the Oz (thanks, Hh). They actually did a good job – there was only one snarky bit. Moreover, the writer had a pretty good understanding of the subject matter. If they had of included graphs, it might have better than Renew Economy’s effort:
https://reneweconomy.com.au/wholesale-electricity-prices-plunge-as-renewables-surge-batteries-boom-and-gas-power-hits-23-year-low/
Speaking of which, this is the main one:
There’s lots going on – the two main features are the growth of wind at the expense of coal and (big) batteries displacing gas.
YouGov 2PP
ALP v LNP 53 – 47
ALP v ON 56 -44
Can’t find the sample, but it will be around the 1500 mark
That Newspoll is looking more and more like an outlier by the minute.
Scepticsays:
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 8:50 pm
What an abysmal clusterfuck … all those years & decades of establishing Sydney’s second international airport.. & then they allow housing to be built under the flightpath… beyond stupid.. want a Royal Commission into something useful.. have one on this planning abomination.
‘That’s not a truck’: What locals heard on the first night of 24/7 flight noise from new airport…
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/that-s-not-a-truck-what-locals-heard-on-the-first-night-of-24-7-flight-noise-from-new-airport-20260728-p60j6f.html
__________________
Only royal comission needed is the mental faculties of the locals.
Besides, they have this available to them:
https://www.infrastructure.gov.au/department/media/news/western-sydney-international-airport-wsi-noise-insulation-program-commences
“I have repeated 2022 as the earliest date multiple times.”
So, 2022 was the first occasion that Labor held the treasury benches since 2013. On that we can agree.
Was the risk of oil refinery offshoring ‘a thing’ when Keating left office in 1996? Or when Whitlam was booted in 1973? If not, why the actual fuck are you making this point, which for some reason you want me to apologise for:
“to argue that Labor has always been forward thinking while they have been in power for 25 years since 1970, then I am afraid you have failed”
The only time over the past 30 years that Labor held government BEFORE 2022 was between 2007-13. So unless it is a lack of forward thinking on fuel reserves by either the Whitlam or Hawke-Keating governments why the fuck are you calculating their periods in office other than to smear Labor generally?
The fact is this problem arises only in the past 30 years. Therefore, to sustain an argument for a lack of forward thinking (Lib/Lab same same; baaad centrists yadda yadda) you are only left with the R-G-R government and the Albanese government to criticise.
I have laid out my reasons for why IMO the current government has done a sterling job in the circumstances it inherited. No need to rehash those.
But what about the R-G-R government.? One policy area it was very active in was – as I’ve posted above – securing the domestic coastal shipping industry. Having a viable coastal shipping industry was IMO an important factor in the decision the petroleum company bean counters faced as to whether or not to shutter most of our local oil refineries last decade.
Now, in the 2010-13 period the Gillard government didn’t do a lot more than monitor the situation with local oil refining and fuel security. No doubt it was mainly focused on the expected rapid decarbonisation of the Australian economy on account of the ETS and carbon pricing. It probably assumed that potential offshoring of oil refining to Asian super sized refining operations posed no threat to fuel security in an expected to be rapidly decarbonised economy. … however three things happened AFTER Labor left office which completely changed that. Firstly, in 2014 first Putin with his first Ukraine gambit and then the ascension of Xi Jing Ping heralded the reemergence of ‘great power’ geopolitics for the first time in 70 years.
Secondly, Covid demonstrated the patent vulnerabilities of global supply chains; and then thirdly, the 2022 Ukrainian invasion by Putin demonstrated that 2014 was no aberration.
Already by the mid 2010s the then Labor opposition was talking loudly about fuel security. When Albo came to power in 2022 words were turned into actions.
Despite the events of 2014-22 having a majority of Australia’s mineral fuels refined in Asia was not a particularly parlous starting point for the new government to begin strengthening our fuel security, given that it was being conducted in countries that were themselves stable and with whom we had long standing trade relations (and net surplus trading accounts with).
The Orange dum dum however, really shat the nest for the global economy in late February this year. Thankfully, Australia had a Labor government led by a PM savvy enough to reinforce Australia’s position at the head of the queue for Asian refined oil, leveraging off our existing trading ties and especially our gas exports to these every same countries.
So other than smear, ‘please explain’ where exactly has Labor failed to be ‘forward thinking’ on fuel security at any stage of has held power since 1972?
Given there has been a bit of interest in Victoria today,
The Vic Federal figures (ie: Albo, not Allan/Carroll) are as follows…
* LNP 28%
* ALP 26%
* ON 20%
* GRN 16% (very high figure for the Greens in our 2nd largest state)
* Indies/Others 10%
* CSA 0% (this is dead)
There are problems for the Federal ALP in Victoria. Remember the Feds hold a significant amount of Federal divisions there (27 out of 38, from memory). There may be an “Allan drag”. It may be corrected with her removal today, but Albo needs to lift the Victorian Primary vote back above 30 otherwise there will be a lot of seats in play next Federal election down south.
We also used most of our oil, which historically came from Bass Strait:
(2C Resources are potentially recoverable but haven’t been developed for economic reasons.)
https://www.ga.gov.au/aecr2025/oil
One Nation primary sitting at 32% in W.A., and 34% in QLD.
Labor has retaken the primary lead amongst Gen X & Millenials.
Greens lead amongst Gen Z (voters born after 1997) with a 35% primary.
Very polarised electorate.
I was going to say, young & middle aged people in Australia are going to not have a bar of the far right for the next century at least. (The oldest Gen Z person is 29 years old, and the oldest Millennial is 42 years old.)
AE, still waiting for the link. You keep changing your argument and honestly its rather sad.
Labor has had 25 years since 1970 (which you’ve changed btw) to implement policy to reduce our dependence on offshore supplies. Instead, the only worthwhile policy mentioned tonight started in 2022, with all others in 2026 after the horses had bolted.
So by your own logic the forward thinking party only started forward thinking 4 years ago… 4 years as opposed to the 1970s.
Which is the ENTIRE POINT of my earlier comments.
You keep focusing on actions from 2022 onwards, so you obviously agree that Labors actions have been recent, and the fact almost all of them are 2026 means you must agree it was hardly proactive planning, but instead was reactionary policy based on the strait.
And this is not some fresh concerns; critics of Fukuyamas end of history argument have been pointing out this risk for decades.
Hell, Rudd in 2007 was talking about the need to reduce dependence on global supplies… and we all remember how quickly the Labor party fell into infighting and fucked it for the left for a decade (yes yes blame the greens like you always do, but the single biggest vote killer for labor was their own constant backstabbing and white anting).
Honestly though AE why can’t you just say that maybe Labor has also contributed in part to the situation we find ourselves in.
Thanks Nadia, good numbers for the Greens
LNP bouncing back a little although those One Nation numbers in Queensland and WA are a worry
The Secret Harbour by-election will be fascinating
Labor stuck
Australia now getting oil from places like Argentina since nothing can come out from the UAE due to the blocked Straight of Hormuz
Miskal – you might have forgotten that Labor was out of office Federally for 9 years prior to 2025 and couldn’t implement policies to do anything during that time. During 2007-2013, the Greens joined the Coalition to block Labor initiatives in the Senate, including the CPRS. That takes us back to 1996, a different world.
Hard being green well considering Queensland’s conservative I wouldn’t be surprised if a bunch of Liberal voters went to one nation I live in Queensland I actually live the same area that David the national leader lives
“Labor has had 25 years since 1970 (which you’ve changed btw) to implement policy to reduce our dependence on offshore supplies. Instead, the only worthwhile policy mentioned tonight started in 2022, with all others in 2026 after the horses had bolted.”
Oh for fucks sake. In the 1970s and 80s most of our oil WAS locally sourced. We had 8 local refineries AND a local coastal shipping fleet to transport it all.
So why the fuck do you keep bringing up Labor’s time in office during those periods as being in some way relevant to this debate? What was the ‘lack of forward thinking’ around the Whitlam cabinet table in fucking 1973 or the Hawke cabinet in 1985 regarding the issues to do fuel security in 2026?
Frankly, mate, you are left with the R-G-R government to shitcan Labor as in some way meaningfully contributing to the fuel security issues on account of a ‘lack of forward thinking’.
You are clutching at straws. Labor phobic to the core. Let me break it to you: it was the Tories wot dun it!
Nadia I wonder why that makes one nation jumpy they probably have support but it’s in areas where they were already going to support them
Can someone let me know when was the last time a Prime Minister campaigned in a state by-election.
The reason is we have a by-election for Secret Harvey. The West Australian has been rubbishing Albanese because he won’t be campaigning for the ALP. To make sure everyone gets the message the articles aren’t paywalled.
I wonder if Hanson, Canavan, or Well Done Angus will be campaigning for their candidates?
If Albanese did campaign, they would write an article critisising his interference in state affairs.
“Miskal – you might have forgotten that Labor was out of office Federally for 9 years prior to 2025 and couldn’t implement policies to do anything during that time. During 2007-2013, the Greens joined the Coalition to block Labor initiatives in the Senate, including the CPRS. That takes us back to 1996, a different world.”
Steve, are you implying that the Greens blocked every proposed policy by Labor during 2007 to 2013? On top of that, are you saying the greens blocked labor proposals to reduce our overseas dependence?
Otherwise whats the point in your comment? Hawke and Keating did not launch policy to reduce overseas dependence. Rudd raised it in speeches but didn’t back it in policy. Gillard didn’t propose policy. Labor only began to really launch any policies on the topic in 2022, and the vast majority of policies on this topic are based in 2026.
Which brings us back to the original point; Australia’s current position is not just because of the coalition being absolute trash (they are), but is in part also due to short sighted policies by labor governments.
Oh for fucks sake. In the 1970s and 80s most of our oil WAS locally sourced. We had 8 local refineries AND a local coastal shipping fleet to transport it all.
Actually AE the return to use of domestic sourced oil occurred due to the first gulf war (which should look very familiar). And then when the global market recovered Australia returned to global consumption, driven by costs shifting away from viable domestic production.
This would have been a great time to start looking at reducing our vulnerabilities to global shocks… which is why its a shame that the proposed and implemented solutions were short term in nature… which is the exact same thing happening now.
Honestly you don’t even seem to know australian history…
“Honestly though AE why can’t you just say that maybe Labor has also contributed in part to the situation we find ourselves in.”
____
Fuck me dead.
You jumped into the debate to defend fellow Labor-phobe P1’s lies.
Now you want to ‘win’ this debate by extracting some concession that some Labor government or other may have Ben less than perfect at some point or other since 1972 on the issue of fuel security and – ergo – hath materially contributed in some meaningful way to said fuel security issues of today.
Yeah. Nah. Fuck that. It’s an absurd argument. And it certainly doesn’t excuse P1’s shitfuckery.
Do better; point to an actual policy of any Labor government that materially contributes to the current mineral fuel security situation, rather than fudging the argument by talking about the total time Labor has been in office since 1972 as being some sort of res ipsa loquitor indictment of Labor. I’d actually like to debate THAT sort of meaningful contribution, and I’m sure we could even find some common ground on policy which, when viewed with the benefit of hindsight, turned out to be less than ideal. However, remember exactly what I called P1 out for: the accusation that Labor has had many years and has totally failed to secure our fuel security.
GrannyAnny says:
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 9:45 pm
Can someone let me know when was the last time a Prime Minister campaigned in a state by-election.
The reason is we have a by-election for Secret Harvey. The West Australian has been rubbishing Albanese because he won’t be campaigning for the ALP. To make sure everyone gets the message the articles aren’t paywalled.
I wonder if Hanson, Canavan, or Well Done Angus will be campaigning for their candidates?
If Albanese did campaign, they would write an article critisising his interference in state affairs.
==============
You should know by now the “Get Albo” routine. The media hate him and the “West Australian” rag has him at the top of their hate list. ie: Gina good, W.A. Premier puppet OK, & Canberra bad.
Very simple recipe.
Also, it’s Secret Harbour, not Secret Harvey, not that that alters the “Get Albo” routine.
“Now you want to ‘win’ this debate by extracting some concession that some Labor government or other may have Ben less than perfect at some point or other since 1972 on the issue of fuel security and – ergo – hath materially contributed in some meaningful way to said fuel security issues of today.”
This has been me.since the start you tool.
Glad you admit though that labor has played a role (less then lnp, which p1 said from the start) in our current position.
I guess its a step up from you ranting about the trots, good work AE!
It will be interesting to see polling post-Allan’s premiership. Burham received a decent bounce, most likely meaning that Starmer was on the nose more so than Labour itself, though Farage’s undeclared gift of £5m was no doubt a contributing factor. A charismatic leader can make a big difference.
In the limited time before the election, I think Carroll’s imperative should be on improving the lot of the worker. One such way would be to extend half pubic transport fares past 1 Jan next year; reduce rego & third-party insurance from the current 20% to 50%; and increase rebates for electricity & gas to vulnerable households. A Royal Commission into the building industry is neither here nor there for the worker. It’s the cost of living that counts.
“This
would have been a great time to start looking at reducing our vulnerabilities to global shocks… which is why its a shame that the proposed and implemented solutions were short term in nature… which is the exact same thing happening now.
Honestly you don’t even seem to know australian history…”
______
Australia may have returned to global oil supplies, but the move to shutter local oil refineries only started fully more than a decade later. So there is that.
Also, the notion that in someway the asserted fact that Australia returned to locally produced oil in 1990/1 is somehow an object lesson for fuel security in 2026 is patently absurd. Whilst we can increase local oil refining capacity we are not likely to be able to dramatically increase local oil production because 90% of our oil reserves are depleted. So there is that as well.
So I’m really not sure why you bring up our lived experience during and after the first gulf war as having any relevance to today. Nor does this example reflect badly on the Hawke-Keating government because Labor left office with those 8 local refineries still in operation, and as for local oil production – THAT is largely dependent on availability of oil, and the reserves are all but gone. Nothing to do with a lack of foresight or bad decision making by Labor governments.
“Glad you admit though that labor has played a role (less then lnp, which p1 said from the start) in our current position.”
Yeah. Nah. I’m happy to concede the possibility, because let’s face it, governments, even good labor governments, are made up of fallible humans. But you gotta still make the case: and you have singularly failed to do so. Point to the actual policy failings that occurred on Labor’s watch.
Sorry earlwood I misrepresented you as a supporter of AUKUS. This corrects it
There once was a fellow named Earlwood,
Who loved submarines as he should;
With periscopes bright
And deep dives at night,
He thought them remarkably good.
But AUKUS, he grumbled, was wrong,
Too tangled, too costly, too long;
Then dogs in Morocco
Made quite the kerfuffle,
Yet still his anti-AUKUS stayed strong.
“Secret Harvey”
_____________
For some reason, this made me think back to January 2016…
SL
This is the basic problem in oil supply for Australia. Most of our oil is gone. This doesn’t change regardless of who is in power. When the refineries closed we also lost most of our storage too.
So we either keep importing and remain vulnerable to disruption or electrify ASAP. ASAP still means 20+ years because it is a huge task.
In the mean time a small local refinery with storage for critical uses (diesel and avgas) will increase the resilience of our supply. But planning, designing and building a new refinery normally takes around 7 years.
“Yeah. Nah. I’m happy to concede the possibility, because let’s face it, governments, even good labor governments, are made up of fallible humans. But you gotta still make the case: and you have singularly failed to do so. Point to the actual policy failings that occurred on Labor’s watch”
Easy; the lack of policy related to the reduction of oil consumption (domestically sourced or otherwise).
Also prove iv never had an elephant in my house; thats the same logic your trying to use by asking someone to prove the negative, rather then being brave and spending some time googling (not ai) and looking at policies from the 1970s to today regarding the reduction of dependence on offshore oil supplies.
Think of it as a learning experience, stretching out your grey matter. Hell at this point ill give you points if you bring up LNP actions such as the 1978 Import Parity Pricing, which accelerated the shift to greater demand for internationally sourced crude for refineries.
Because again, the lnp sucks, and sucks worse then Labor. But Labor also wasted decades without proposing legislation to begin the long fight of reducing out vulnerability to such shock events.
As a chemical engineer (Sydney, 1967), a long long time ago, who actually worked in the two Sydney oil refineries, the reason that they were shut down was that they were stuffed, as in utterly and completely fucked. Rooted, worn out. Not worth saving. The platformer catalyst was inneffectual, half of the bubble caps in the main distillation columns had turned to rubble, and the heat exchangers were leaking like sieve. As I said, fucked, rooted, sad, tired, no bloody good.
There once was a fellow called Yabba,
Who spoke with a silvery yabber;
He’d quote ancient Greeks
For weeks upon weeks,
Then polish each phrase with a dabber.
He loved the recorder’s sweet wheezing,
Its tootling, its trilling, its pleasing;
At breakfast he’d play,
At dusk and midday,
While neighbours stood quietly freezing.
“A mansion,” he sniffed, “is excessive;
A cottage is far more expressive.
Give me walls that are tight,
Just a cupboard of light,
And a parlour discreetly oppressive.”
So Yabba grew grander by shrinking,
With lofty and miniature thinking;
He tootled with pride
In a house two feet wide,
And called it refined, without blinking.
Shorter Miskal: Labor bad for not delivering NetZero 2026. Last two times Labor attempted to go any faster than the pace you grubs routinely criticise labor for now going on carbon reduction front it got politically thumped. So maybe, it’s Australians who really suck in your world view. It must be, given that 88% of the voting public routinely snif your political wares and walk on by.
“ yabba says:
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 10:31 pm
As a chemical engineer (Sydney, 1967), a long long time ago, who actually worked in the two Sydney oil refineries, the reason that they were shut down was that they were stuffed, as in utterly and completely fucked. Rooted, worn out. Not worth saving. The platformer catalyst was inneffectual, half of the bubble caps in the main distillation columns had turned to rubble, and the heat exchangers were leaking like sieve. As I said, fucked, rooted, sad, tired, no bloody good.”
______
I guess the question though is why were they not maintained, with key items of kit routinely replaced if the refineries were so critical for fuel security? Somehow Labor is to blame in all of this. Just has to be. Because … vibes … something something 25 years in office, at least nearly as much as the LNP so that we can all sing ‘Lib/Lab. Same/same. All no good. Yadda yadda’.
Dick Smith personally sent each federal Labor MP and senator a booklet in the mail this week that featured Hawkey on the cover with a quote of his from a speech he did in 2016 where he argued the need for Australia to take up Nuclear energy as a clean solution that would save the planet. He must be getting bored up in middle Dural ?
The Greens are a not a party of Government. They are niche party that wins the votes of people who care more about the climate than they do about their marginal tax rate, more about the environment than they do about prices.
That’s fine, someone has to do it. The Greens can safely ignore the big money interests that own and control all of the big megaphones in this country. Labor can’t if they want to get 50% of the two party preferred vote and a majority of Lower House seats.
In a sense, I see the Greens as the “anti One Nation”. Just as One Nation says out loud what many, possibly most, Liberal and National supporters actually think, The Greens do something similar for many Labor people. Be that as it may, the Green vote seems very unlikely go far above the 12% or so they have has in the last few election cycles, but they can hope to be heard by a Labor Government if they are willing to be a bit more flexible than they have been since 2007.
The Coalition can safely ignore and demonise the Greens. They can safely ignore the issues that the Greens care about. While the Coalition is in power, progress on climate action, the environment, indigenous advancement and the social issues that the Greens care about lurches to a halt, often into reverse. The Green’s best hope for progress is to engage constructively with Labor. And of course Labor can do nothing from Opposition.
The circumstances have changed.
We changed our position.
Our position changed.
The mob is coming
“ The Green’s best hope for progress is to engage constructively with Labor. And of course Labor can do nothing from Opposition.”
______
But but but … it’s the principle that matters. That and the cosplaying self absorbed glory of turning your face into the wind and screaming.