The fortnightly YouGov Sky News Pulse poll joins RedBridge Group and DemoAU in recording a primary vote lead for One Nation, who have surged four points in the second such poll since the budget to 29%, with Labor down two for the second fortnight in a row, to 26%. The Coalition has more than lost the two-point gain it made in the post-budget poll, being down three to 20%, while the Greens are steady on 13%. Two-party measures have Labor leading One Nation 52.5-47.5, in from 53-47, and the Coalition 51.5-48.5, in from 52-48.
Anthony Albanese has taken a hit on his personal ratings, down three on approval to 34% and up four on disapproval to 60%. He holds a 47-41 lead over Pauline Hanson on preferred prime minister, in from 50-38, and 41-39 over Angus Taylor, in from 41-38. Forty-six per cent of all respondents said they believed the Coalition and One Nation should work together to form government with 31% opposed, breaking down to 45% and 28% among Coalition voters and 53% and 25% among One Nation voters. The poll was conducted last Tuesday through to yesterday from a sample of 1471.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has One Nation drawing level with Labor on the primary vote at 27%, with Labor down half a point and One Nation up one-and-a-half, with the Coalition down three to 20% and the Greens steady on 13.5%. Labor’s lead over One Nation on respondent-allocated two-party preferred is unchanged at 53.5-46.5; against the Coalition, Labor’s lead improves from 53-47 to 55.5-44.5 on respondent-allocated preferences, and from 52-48 to 53.5-46.5 on previous election flows. The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1542.
The birth of One Nation now rivals any of the political conniptions since Federation.
The second coming of Pauline and her political party is astounding in that it outperforms her first appearance in the Australian political landscape.
Pauline owes much to the demise of both the Liberals and the Nationals and the succession of poor leadership selection by both parties.
The wealth “inequality” that was institutionalised by the elongated Howard years remains contentious after twenty years.
The demise of the “dead tree” media has more than likely heightened the role played by both media owners and media players with their use of new technology.
The polling industry has become more interrelated and complicit with changing technology in both its predictive measurement and influence in the “whatever it takes” media colosseum.
The majority of Australians had never encountered “franking credits”, as they became an issue, and the majority of Australians still wouldn’t recognize a Capital Gains tax discount with three guesses.
The progression from the 2025 election shellacking by Albanese of Dutton and the LNP to this age of ON Mark 11 (two years from an election) is remarkable to say the least.
The “pot pourri” of explanations regarding the ON phonomen has no boundaries.
The opinion polling companies should be sweating at the 2028 federal election , it will be a Labor vs one nation if not , the opinion companies should be under more scrutiny , and be made to explain publicly how their assumptions have been wrong and made without much evidence.
Claiming voters tell them that they are going to vote for one nation and do not , it no excuse, the opinion companies are the ones making the assumptions.
If victorian state election is a flop for one nation , the opinion polling companies and propaganda media units will be sweating more
Scott says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 6:10 am
First question polling companies should ask..
Which party will you put last ?
World News & Politics Patrol:
Finland seizes nearly €4m in Russian assets: https://yle.fi/a/74-20229298
Russia finance officials tell Putin war spending is unaffordable: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/06/02/world/politics/putin-russia-ukraine-war-economic-cost/
Russia launched 37% more attacks but still lost ground in May, Ukrainian war tracker says: https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/russia-launched-37-more-attacks-061208306.html
EU agrees deal for deporting migrants to third-country ‘return hubs’: https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260602-eu-agrees-deal-for-deporting-migrants-to-third-country-return-hubs
Ghana’s parliament passes anti-gay bill mandating prison sentences: https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2026/06/02/ghana-parliament-anti-gay-bill/1901780429090/
Murder victim told police ‘I can’t breathe’ while handcuffed: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crlpyw05l75o
Officer involved in Henry Nowak case resigns after Starmer says he ‘felt sick’ watching bodycam footage: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/henry-nowak-police-bodycam-starmer-farage-live-updates-b2987714.html
Anti-immigration protest held in Norfolk after seven refugees charged with child sexual offences: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/norfolk-refugees-charged-child-sexual-offences-protest-norwich-b2984731.html
Marco Rubio Snaps When Told Trump Iran Deal Is Just Obama’s but Worse: https://newrepublic.com/post/211242/marco-rubio-snaps-donald-trump-iran-deal-barack-obama-worse
MAGA Freaks Out After Trump Ally Registers as Foreign Agent: https://newrepublic.com/post/211218/maga-donald-trump-ally-michael-flynn-foreign-agent
Hegseth Blocks Promotions Of Black, Female Navy Officers: https://www.huffpost.com/entry/hegseth-blocks-black-female-navy-officers-promotions_n_6a1de6a3e4b032392fa574d2?origin=home-latest-news-unit
Trump Appoints Home Builder Nepo Baby With Zero Intel Background To Oversee U.S. Intel Ops: https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-pulte-dni_n_6a1ee092e4b08a03cfbc7bff
GOP senators balk at Trump’s pick of Pulte to head national intelligence: https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5906007-republican-bewilderment-trump-dni/
New Mexico’s Epstein ‘Truth Commission’ issues 14 subpoenas at inaugural meeting: https://www.denver7.com/us-news/crime/new-mexicos-epstein-truth-commission-issues-14-subpoenas-at-inaugural-meeting
Police investigate videos of men mysteriously emerging from New York City sewers: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/police-investigate-videos-men-mysteriously-emerging-new-york-city-sewe-rcna347914
There has already been multiple electoral events to justify the polling companies reading of ONP support – something they were particularly accurate at measuring for the SA Election in particular
By elections in Farrer and Nepean have only confirmed the trend transcends jurisdiction, time to face reality. Whether it lasts is the question, not whether it is
ABC article on the polls reporting that One Nation has taken the lead and that the budget is not as popular as hoped with younger voters.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-05-31/pauline-hanson-preferred-prime-minister-gen-x-redbridge-poll/106742802
Girls locked in cages, raped by 700 men: UK MP shares Pak grooming gang testimonies
The British MP read out harrowing accounts of systematic sexual abuse, violence, intimidation, racial targeting and alleged police misconduct, alongside claims that public authorities, healthcare workers and children’s home staff repeatedly failed to protect vulnerable children.
https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/uk-mp-rupert-lowe-shares-pakistan-grooming-gang-shocking-testimonies-in-parliment-2921034-2026-06-02
Max says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 6:50 am
There has already been multiple electoral events to justify the polling companies reading of ONP support – something they were particularly accurate at measuring for the SA Election in particular
By elections in Farrer and Nepean have only confirmed the trend transcends jurisdiction, time to face reality. Whether it lasts is the question, not whether it is
—————————
South Australia , One nation was taking liberal party votes and seats , the big swings against Labor were in very safe labor seats with Labor primary vote over 50%and even 60% , and Labor primary vote still ended up higher than the one nation candidate.
Farrer and Nepean were liberal party held seats
South Australia Labor increase majority , the opinion polling companies narration is One nation is going to gain federal Labor seats, on what evidence ?
Pakistanis build mosque illegally in Japan. Embarrassments follow
The mosque in Japan’s Kawagoe city was inaugurated by Pakistan’s Ambassador to Japan, Abdul Hameed, in April. Weeks later, the Pakistani mission was forced to issue a clarification after it emerged that the structure had been built without the necessary approvals from local authorities. Locals are now demanding the structure be razed.
https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/pakistan-japan-mosque-illegal-ambassador-inaguration-embassy-clarification-demolition-request-2920871-2026-06-02
UK Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood condemns the violence against police in Southampton tonight
“The scenes this evening in Portswood are completely unacceptable. The Nowak family made a powerful call to us all yesterday to not let Henry’s death be used to create further division, hatred or tension. “There can be no justification for hijacking this tragedy to stir up violence and disorder. Those responsible can expect to face the full force of the law. “I thank the police who have tonight shown great bravery and calm in the face of disgraceful violence directed at them”.
Good posts scott, these bedwetters sound like they could use yet another juggernauting
Thanks WB
THINK ABOUT IT
The media, especially Murdoch and 9-fairfax, are so excited with current trends, the opinion polls are coming out thick and fast.
I have never seen so many opinion polls 2 years out of election. Whereas as they are almost silent about state opinion polls even close to elections, we are having 2-3 opinion polls every week.
IMO, the media is thinking that so many opinion polls will make ALP MPs nervous and change leadership.
Otherwise, there is no need for so many opinion polls when the country is as peaceful as it could be.
Or for the media to spend so much money on opinion polls.
nadia and Thomas are overstimulated IMO. 🙂
And WB is working very hard to compose these polls throughout the week.
Remember , just before 2022 Victorian elections, HS and the Age produced so many polls, which they said that L-NP would come to power and Andrews will lose his seat. There was absolute frenzy in Victorian media.
The samething is happening now. The media is trying to bring down a democratically elected government with huge majority with exacerbated or false stories because they don’t like that Government .
Socrates says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 6:51 am
ABC article on the polls reporting that One Nation has taken the lead and that the budget is not as popular as hoped with younger voters.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-05-31/pauline-hanson-preferred-prime-minister-gen-x-redbridge-poll/106742802
________
The budget is to help future home buyers and decrease wealth inequality. Those that benefit e.g. Gen Z, don’t pay attention to the budget. Those that care about it are mostly those with something to lose. Makes sense.
However, that the budget is the reason for the ON rise? Yeah, nah. It is about social acceptability. The budget may be a small factor. But the elephants in the room are the media, Coalition preferencing, Coalition MPs defecting. And let’s not forget the referendum.
There are enough reasons now why ON is socially acceptable.
The media hates Albanese as much as ex-Victorian Premier Andrews.
They want to bring him down at any cost. In the process, if L-NP is destroyed and country goes to dogs, they don’t care. They are feral, frenzy and loathsome mood. They are absolutely contemptable because they are trying to bring down a competent government with hardly any scandals.
Remember, there were hardly any polls in first 6 months after 2025 election. The media were licking their wounds and plotting their strategy. Hence they started in earnest in November, 2025 and never let up even when L-NP was falling apart, which led to the rise of ON.
Now far-right Advance Australia is working hard across Australia but far-right figures (not just right wing figures) like PP, JJ, Timmy, Paul A, Gympie, are operating even in PB
From WB above:
YouGov
Labor leading One Nation 52.5-47.5
Labor leading Coalition 51.5-48.5
Roy Morgan
Labor leading One Nation 53.5-46.5
Labor leading Coalition 55.5-44.5 )respondent-allocated), 53.5-46.5 (previous election flows)
Lot of hyperventilating over results which, if replicated at the election to be held two years from now would see Labor retain Government with a still healthy majority.
‘Psephologists’ out there, riddle me this: how often has a Government been, not merely narrowly ahead in the polls, but actually behind, at some point 1 to 2 years out from the next election, and gone on to win, versus gone on to lose?
Too many posters on here are getting far too carried away. My advice is to focus on the aggregate polling picture provided by BludgerTrack (which is why we are all on this site, if we’re honest), and saves out rhetorical ammo for the real target: PHON’ egregious attacks on working Australians.
PAULINE HANSON OPPOSES YOUR PAY RISE.
PAULINE HANSON OPPOSES YOUR TAX CUT.
Part of the ON rise could be the lemming effect. Join the popular bandwagon and swagger about. No policies, so there is nothing to defend. I wonder if they could be shamed into changing their vote?
I see ON is now campaigning with the anti abortion mob. I don’t think Australia has the same evangelical fervour as Yankland. I can see this being fertile ground for progressive parties to go to town on them. Dutton was smart enough not to touch it. But Abbott and Taylor. In a normal world this would cement the female vote to Labor, Greens and Teals. Let’s see.
I still think – even if the current polling holds until election commencement- that a two party fight of Labor v ON will see Labor retain government on the back of a strong metropolitan vote.
Griff socially acceptable to who? It ain’t acceptable to support racists if I’m in the room. I’ll be taking names.
Are we looking at a new norm for now?
One Nation leading, Labor well sub of 30, LNP around 20, Greens in the teens (that may be a bit wishful) others just behind
The “major” party combined primary sub 50
As Max highlighted the polling numbers for One Nation have been confirmed at a few electoral tests now although we haven’t had one yet with everyone running
As I’ve said before, Federal Labor is very different to SA Labor. They are polling 10 points less on primary vote for a start
We live in interesting times
#PlentyIn28
Good post Newy.
Labor started targeting ON on this in parliament the other day.
I agree re the polls at this stage of the cycle. If I recall correctly, Dutton was sitting pretty about a year before the election.
Let’s get the truth upfront. Pauline Hanson is a known commodity: she is not fit in any sense to be prime minister of this country. Don’t fall for the cheap gibe, “she couldn’t be worse than Albo”. That’s nonsense; Hanson would be far worse than Albanese. She would threaten every aspect of this country, from its prosperity to its cohesion, leading a party that has built nothing and shows no capacity to exercise executive power.
…….
The nation’s opinion-making organs are now on notice. It is past time to terminate Hanson’s free ride as a celebrity and treat her for what she is – the leader of our frontrunning party who wants to become our PM. That means ending the favourable immunity she has enjoyed, investigating her dubious ties with Gina Rinehart, assessing what her policies mean and probing how she would govern.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary%2Fpauline-for-pm-its-time-one-nation-faces-serious-scrutiny%2Fnews-story%2F196db1dc59f97766a464f677269d0f7b?amp
__________________
This is the start and finish of Paul Kelly’s contribution to today’s Australian. He did, however, leave out one entity out of the immunity tribe, though.
Proud to be Australian this morning, and proud of our Government:
“Australian troops will be sent to Poland to train with Ukrainians”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2026/jun/03/politics-live-australia-aukus-submarines-pauline-hanson-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-question-time-senate-estimates-labor-one-nation-coaliton-ntwnfb?page=with%3Ablock-679b43ab8f08d7cb6f3007fa#block-679b43ab8f08d7cb6f3007fa
And we have figures like ‘HBG’ on left so overexcited and overstimulated by the polls that they are saying dreaming #PlentyIn28. Ridiculous.
People like ‘Difficult’ is showing equal hate as JJ, PP, Timmy on far-right in the face of threat of ON instead of showing nuance in their criticism of Albanese government.
Lynchpin, Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 7:33 am:
So was John Hewson, and Kim Beazley twice.
BK
She is not worth to be a councillor let alone a MP. She could neither organise a chooks lottery nor a piss up in a brewery.
She is so much worse than Albanese that there is no redemption for her.
The Age Editorial 03/06/26
Every Victorian who has been paying attention knows the time for action by Allan was in mid-2024, when it was first revealed that gangland figures in alliance with the Labor-friendly CFMEU were feasting on the public funds made available to the Big Build.
Since then, we have been subjected to one deflection or distraction after another, from the premier’s 2024 IBAC “referral” letter, to Transport Minister Gabrielle Williams’ 2025 “referral” to Victoria Police over $6 million in escalator repairs that were never carried out.
Each of these manoeuvres spoke of a government determined to do the bare minimum to try to cauterise the scandal rather than establishing the necessary accountability.
_______________________
Now we’re supposed to believe the Allan govt will finally do something about it in late 2027 if they are re-elected.
Pigs might fly.
Trump stretching credulity with this appointment…
Hard Being Green, Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 7:32 am:
Glad you put that qualifier in. It is rather important. We haven’t had an electoral test, after the SA election, of Labor v ON. All these electoral tests have shown is where ON sits in the pecking order of the right of Australian politics.
So far, the polls are still showing Labor ahead of ON on TPP. I guess we haven’t had any electoral tests contradict that so far.
Not so Jolly Jumbuck and Jacobin full of brimstone and fire. Labor politicians of the past must be rolling in their graves with the current government. What silly tosh. All hail Queen Pauline as she hangs out with big Clive and Gina. Let them eat cake!
Omar Comin’ says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 7:29 am
Griff socially acceptable to who? It ain’t acceptable to support racists if I’m in the room. I’ll be taking names.
_________
Obviously not us. But to many others. At least until you work out how to enter the metaverse 🙂
LoL Taylormade. Quick, put Jess Wilson in a cosplay piggy suit, she will fly!
newy boy says:
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 7:46 am
Hard Being Green, Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 7:32 am:
Glad you put that qualifier in. It is rather important. We haven’t had an electoral test, after the SA election, of Labor v ON. All these electoral tests have shown is where ON sits in the pecking order of the right of Australian politics.
So far, the polls are still showing Labor ahead of ON on TPP. I guess we haven’t had any electoral tests contradict that so far.
________
Yep! We know from polling that they are bleeding mostly from the Coalition primary. We know from SA that they are bleeding in areas that are Coalition strongholds, with limited impact due to limited secondary preferences.
Next test is Victoria.
The ON “executive” around Pauline are all dodgy refugees from other political parties.
The irony!
So, even with all the faux rage of Taylor over the budget and with Abbott installed as the power behind the throne, the Liberals are nevertheless down two points. Labor’s down too, in the face of the Hanson vortex. It looks like ON mania is not a passing aberration. Whereas most wouldn’t admit to supporting her party, that’s now changed.
Won’t take many more polls till One Nation takes over from Labor on the poll trackers Newy Boy, if these numbers are maintained
It’s interesting with Get Up ramping up the anti One Nation campaign, well getting ready to, the Unions will do the same, Zack suggesting that the Greens should as well
Will that solidify support for One Nation or break them? Maybe somewhere in-between
The union one will be fascinating, I’d imagine there are plenty of union people saying they’ll vote One Nation despite their horrible approach to workers. Lots voted against The Voice despite a big union push for the Yes vote
Some less than perfect reporting in the old media regarding the wage decision. The minimum wage is going up 6% not 4.75%. It is the rest of award wages above the minimum wage that goes up 4.75%.
Trump’s pick to head US intelligence is way worse than Tulsi Gabbard (and you thought Trump cannot get any worse)
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/6/2/800049166/whitehouse/trumps-pick-to-head-us-intelligence-is-way-worse-than-tulsi-gabbard/
Like BK I am pleasantly surprised to see Paul Kelly call out the shallow vacuousness of Hanson and her lack of leadership ability. Like Abbott, all Hanson has is an ability to criticise and divide. As Abbott, Donald Trump and Nigel Farage demonstrate, that does not mean you can run the country.
Hanson’s “policies” are a generous set of promises of more jobs, more pay, more homes, more doctors, more defence, and yet less taxes to pay for them. They are mathematically impossible to deliver. You don’t get something for nothing.
As an example of the impossibility I saw last night Bizzcan posted Hanson’s promise of Australia spending 5% of GDP on defence. WTF?? That is double what we spend now, and more than we were spending at the height of the cold war. To do it would require a massive increase in taxes, yet Hanson says she will cut taxes.
– The DC Brief.
lol that ain’t never happening
From Dawn Patrol (thank you HoldenHillbilly)
That’s brave of them.
One story that isn’t getting as much coverage as I expected is Clive and Pauline getting together for her birthday, have they made up? Is Clive still planning on running or will he just back One Nation?
Interesting development in the ACT with Leanne Castley, former Liberal Leader, quitting the party to become an independent
Time to get to work, enjoy your day
#PlentyIn28
There is a lot of criticism that goes the way of the Greens. Their policies may not be liked – but they ARE assessable. The offerings of One Nation are incapable of rational assessment.
– INDEPENDENT
Pauline Hanson is a character parodied by any one Australia’s famed comedians, is at the height of its popularity, is surrounded by a cast of lessor performers and is at risk of being so popular that Pauline demise will be inevitable, spectacular, swift and as hilarious as her rise to fame.
Tony Abbott has been re introduced into the Pauline routine to help extend it’s long running success.
Pauline’s presentation has all the gravitas of Dame Edna’s “hello possums”!
Pauline would not be out of place on “the Mavis Bramston Show”.
The Australia media have reached a new nadir with the Pauline parody, falling over themselves to be part the media sensation.
It’s almost reality TV and very tempting to see out the series to observe the carnage that will accompany her ascension to the top of Australian politics.
https://yapms.com/app/aus/house/2025001/blank?m=1sta6gt4m6l5a3e
This is what the 2028 election result would have looked like according to polls released around July 2025.
It is official.
Abortion will be an election issue in the 2028 federal election.
What that means electorally, I am not certain. The haste with which Chrisafulli damped it down suggests that he, for one, has concerns.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/02/barnaby-joyce-rallies-anti-abortion-activists-as-they-target-nationals-mps-in-nsw-vote-ntwnfb
As per AI summary
————
Abbott’s Slush Fund: In the late 1990s, then-Workplace Relations Minister Tony Abbott set up a legal defense fund that raised nearly \(\$100,000\) to back civil actions by One Nation dissidents. He specifically supported a lawsuit by Terry Sharples, which aimed to challenge the party’s official registration.The Criminal Conviction: Although Abbott backed civil proceedings, this pressure eventually triggered broader investigations. In 2003, Hanson and One Nation co-founder David Ettridge were convicted of electoral fraud and sentenced to three years in prison. Hanson ended up serving 11 weeks in maximum security before being freed.
Seriously whilst MAGA is dying in a very drawn out and ugly death, we have One Nation showing its hand here.
What crapola is this????