Federal polls: YouGov and Roy Morgan (open thread)

Two more pollsters find One Nation yielding the fruits of a post-budget backlash, with the Coalition sinking ever further.

The fortnightly YouGov Sky News Pulse poll joins RedBridge Group and DemoAU in recording a primary vote lead for One Nation, who have surged four points in the second such poll since the budget to 29%, with Labor down two for the second fortnight in a row, to 26%. The Coalition has more than lost the two-point gain it made in the post-budget poll, being down three to 20%, while the Greens are steady on 13%. Two-party measures have Labor leading One Nation 52.5-47.5, in from 53-47, and the Coalition 51.5-48.5, in from 52-48.

Anthony Albanese has taken a hit on his personal ratings, down three on approval to 34% and up four on disapproval to 60%. He holds a 47-41 lead over Pauline Hanson on preferred prime minister, in from 50-38, and 41-39 over Angus Taylor, in from 41-38. Forty-six per cent of all respondents said they believed the Coalition and One Nation should work together to form government with 31% opposed, breaking down to 45% and 28% among Coalition voters and 53% and 25% among One Nation voters. The poll was conducted last Tuesday through to yesterday from a sample of 1471.

The weekly Roy Morgan poll has One Nation drawing level with Labor on the primary vote at 27%, with Labor down half a point and One Nation up one-and-a-half, with the Coalition down three to 20% and the Greens steady on 13.5%. Labor’s lead over One Nation on respondent-allocated two-party preferred is unchanged at 53.5-46.5; against the Coalition, Labor’s lead improves from 53-47 to 55.5-44.5 on respondent-allocated preferences, and from 52-48 to 53.5-46.5 on previous election flows. The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1542.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

58 thoughts on “Federal polls: YouGov and Roy Morgan (open thread)”

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  1. DPReesays:
    Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 7:49 am
    LoL Taylormade. Quick, put Jess Wilson in a cosplay piggy suit, she will fly!
    _______________________
    As per The Age Editorial. You must be one of the Victorians that HAVEN’T been paying attention.

  2. LoL Taylormade. I’m informed by cosplay Jess on the nightly news reading her cue cards and performing mock outrage. What will they dress her in next? At least Scomo’s dress up box is being recycled.

  3. On AUKUS some more detailed analysis has been done by Adm Peter Briggs about the implications of the “second hand Virginias” decision. Briggs thinks we will most probably get Virginia Block IIIs once all constraints are considered. This article demonstrates how complex it will be keeping these subs in operation while Australia is (supposedly) building SSN AUKUS.
    https://johnmenadue.com/post/2026/06/second-hand-submarines-a-sovereign-flaw/

    There is a strong element of “I told you so” in this article on AUKUS. Again, the critic is well informed.
    https://gentleseas.blogspot.com/2026/05/no-new-virginias-for-australia-under.html

  4. I woke up 3 this morning with the following thought:

    Trump at a rally as a fat greasy duck with one leg in a cast and waving his wings as he quacks on and on and…ad nauseam.

    Made me wonder if it’s a sign of things to come.

    I call bullshit on Donnie going off at Netanyahu, he loves and worships his favourite dictators and nationalist thug leaders too much to dare upset them.

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jun/02/trump-shouted-and-cursed-netanyahu-over-threat-to-resume-beirut-bombing

  5. I know it isn’t a regular conducted poll, but the New Daily has this result;
    * No – I think voter support will drop off come an election – 62%
    * Yes – If One Nation has the support there’s no avoiding it – 22%
    * Not sure – It’s up to Labor and the Coalition to turn the polls around – 16%
    From 2691 votes

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