A new poll from RedBridge Group/Accent Research for the Financial Review is the strongest yet for One Nation from any pollster, recording a four-point increase on last month’s result to 31%. This puts them well clear of Labor, who are down three to 28%, and particularly the Coalition, who are down two to 20%, while the Greens are down a point to 12%. Respondent-allocated two-party measures have Labor with leads of 51-49 over both One Nation and the Coalition, which are respectively in from 55-45 and 54-46 last time.
Anthony Albanese’s combined very favourable and mostly favourable rating is down five to 29%, with unfavourable and very unfavourable up five to 48%, and neither down two to 18%. Pauline Hanson is steady on 40% positive, down one to 40% negative and down one to 14% neutral. Angus Taylor is up one to 21% positive, up three to 25% negative and down four to 23% neutral. Whereas Albanese and Hanson have near total name recognition, 21% say they have never heard from Taylor, down only one on last month. Jim Chalmers’ positive rating is down five to 17% and his negative rating is up eight to 35%. A three-way preferred prime minister question has Anthony Albanese down two to 31%, Pauline Hanson up two to 25% and Angus Taylor steady on 14%. Questions on the budget have 23% rating it good for the country as a whole and 53% bad, with 11% saying it would be good for them personally and 48% bad. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1005.
Also just out is a Fox & Hedgehog poll in the News Corp tabloids, which has Labor on 29% (down a point on the last such poll in late March), One Nation on 27% (up four) and the Coalition on 25% (up two), with no result provided in the report for the Greens (UPDATE: Down three to 10%). Respondent-allocated two-party preferred results have the Coalition leading Labor 51-49, reversing the result from the last poll, and Labor leading One Nation 54-46, in from 56-44. The poll also finds 40% agreeing that Pauline Hanson and One Nation are ready for government, with 45% disagreeing. The sample for the poll was 1700, with field work dates not disclosed – hopefully more detail will be provided shortly by the pollster.
UPDATE: Full report from Fox & Hedgehog here. Angus Taylor notably holds a lead on 38-36 lead over Anthony Albanese on preferred prime minister, after Albanese led 39-35 in late March. Albanese is down one on approval to 29%, steady on 19% neutral and up two on disapproval to 51%; Taylor is up five on approval to 29%, down two on neutral to 32% and up five on disapproval to 29% (“never heard of” is down from 18% to 10%). A hypothetical question inclusive of a teal party had it on 6%, with Labor three points to lower at 26%, the Greens one point lower at 9% and the others essentially unchanged. Voluminous further questions on the budget include an overall finding of 19% favourable, 47% unfavourable and 25% neutral. Thirty-two per cent said they had seen the much-hyped social media memes on the budget tax policies, with 60% saying they had not.
lmao, ham it up “Jolly Jumbuck”. How long have you been saving up for this one champ, longer than the news on the telly by the sounds of it 😆
Omar Comin like I don’t know why people are celebrating or in panic mode over polling which seems to me that labors like what 51 to 49 like the problem is momentum’s hard to maintain remember when we we had people thinking Peter six months out was going to win the election even though news polls like at most for them 51 to 49 I mean hey honestly I would like to see Hansen as prime minister because that way she can’t hide from the scrutiny someone said it there are grievance party sure she might have dreams of being p.m. bottom let’s just say if she does the s*** that she wants to it’ll make Tony Abbotts prime minister ship look like the Anthony’s one
Omar Comin’says:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 9:38 pm
lmao, ham it up “Jolly Jumbuck”. How long have you been saving up for this one champ, longer than the news on the telly by the sounds of it
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Let JJ have his winter of discontent. As fairly soon he will be shoved back into that billy bag again.
Jolly Jumbuck,
26% for the ALP is not a good figure, especially on YouGov.
YouGov is a fairly accurate polling outfit.
Albo is now in Julia Gillard Territory with that figure.
We’re now several weeks after the budget, but the polling continues to sink somewhat for Labor.
Most govt’s usually cop a smack post budget (Libs included), but this smack seems to be dragging on a bit.
There will be nervous Labor backbenchers seeing an ALP primary at 26%.
Should have a Newspoll this Sunday. Newspoll is not known for volatile moves (for any party), but I’d say Labor will drop a tick to 30%….maybe 29.79% rounded up.
Tonight is not a good poll for the ALP. I see KB has done a 2PP calculation and it comes out 50 evens.
Nadia I like you but I think you need to not do this especially this far out because if labour kicks Anthony out now when they have two years to turn it around then I’ll be very pissed remember the other times government state and federal government have polling like this a year in I mean Queensland Labour had some polling where I was like 48 to 52 the Queensland liberals and look what happened they managed to maintain government
QR, its Labor.
Also nadia good points; lets see if Labor learnt the absolute lesson from Rudd; dont panic at the first sight of bad polling…
Miskal you mean like 6 months out of election when liberals were leading are you guys were running around like headless chooks I’m sorry but you guys seem to like act like one nation this far out is going to be 90 seats majority me and other people knows what happens on here when people were thinking that they were right all I’m saying is people act like a couple of bad polling two years out and it’s the end of labour
QR yeah there’s definitely a part of me that wants to see these frogs get their king but on the other hand that would be a pretty big disaster for the country.
On these numbers, Pauline will be feasting on cake with big Clive in big Gina’s jet. The world is a funny place at the moment.
It was bad enough watching what the Tories did with 10 years in Australia and the UK or how the conservatives have massively spiked immigration in Australia by destroying the economy of New Zealand. You can see them screwing up local councils in the UK.
Now we’re watching morons like Trump and the fascist in Argentina ruin their nations.
I do not want that here at all. Ever.
Stating the obvious but worth pointing out. When Gillard had the ALP getting polls with primaries in the mid 20s those same polls had the Coalition with a primary vote around 51-52% and the TPP was close to 60:40. I think it’s fair to say, it’s a pretty different political landscape
Not saying a primary in the mid 20s is good, certainly not what you need to win a majority outright. But with landscape that’s going to become increasingly more of a multi-party democracy, that’s just how primary votes will look. And majorities won’t happpen
Omar I mean the problem is she hasn’t even been opposition leader yet which I laugh when people saying she’s prime minister material I mean it’s easy to say s*** to people when you’re not expecting to be in government like let’s face it at the moment if I was labour I’ll be fine it’s a rough patch the coalition has more problems at the moment but apparently people here seem to think that are labours on their way to getting 30 seats one nation supreme Party of Australia and we all be in Gina reinhardt’s working camps
So the strategy of calling ON racist bastards ad nauseam is working as well as ever then. There’s obviously no need to do something panicky, like maybe trying to persuade their voters with respectful reasoned arguments.
Omar Comin’says:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 9:54 pm
QR yeah there’s definitely a part of me that wants to see these frogs get their king but on the other hand that would be a pretty big disaster for the country.
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Both good points, let’s compromise and hope Pauline gets to be Premier of Qld. So more a toad than a frog Queen.
nadia says:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 9:43 pm
Jolly Jumbuck,
26% for the ALP is not a good figure, especially on YouGov.
YouGov is a fairly accurate polling outfit.
Albo is now in Julia Gillard Territory with that figure.
We’re now several weeks after the budget, but the polling continues to sink somewhat for Labor.
Most govt’s usually cop a smack post budget (Libs included), but this smack seems to be dragging on a bit.
There will be nervous Labor backbenchers seeing an ALP primary at 26%.
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I am just having a go at the ones here that seem to think labor/greens are the bestest ever and should win every election ever. I have given them reasons why people vote One Nation and it is like the three monkey’s.
I still fully expect labor to win the next federal election, whether albanese is still there by then… Who knows. The Labor party took quite a few years from creation to winning government. But it happened. One Nation may end up being the same they seem to have a few of the old labor ideas.
Jolly Jumbucksays:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 9:27 pm
I expect this poll on top of the last one will cause intergenerational trauma.
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Jordan Shanks will be having a meltdown.
Ghost Of Whitlam honestly the only thing you can do is protect yourself America got Trump also Argentina is probably wasn’t getting better in the first place also with the reform party in the UK councils maybe that will give the people there more caution as for Australia I mean I don’t know I think Pauline Hansen has more of a chance of Dying than become prime minister and the party ending with her Cult of personalities don’t end well
LoL TM. Jess Wilson for PM, she’s ace!
Honestly I just want someone to come to me and say what’s the path to getting 76 for one nation without saying that the polling today’s gonna be the polling at the election like I’m starting to think people think you can like generally some people here think that a YouTuber has gonna have a panic attack over a polling because Labor is evil I will stop typing now I might be annoying people
Miskal says:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 9:51 pm
QR, its Labor.
Also nadia good points; lets see if Labor learnt the absolute lesson from Rudd; dont panic at the first sight of bad polling…
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PM Gillard “bottomed out” at 26% on a Neilsen Poll in June 2012.
Link:
She was gone 11 months later.
Anyway, we’re now in 2026. What is saving the ALP is – of all things – the pref flow from the Libs.
You can’t script this!
Catch up for Newspoll Sunday – hopefully – or maybe it’s best we skip newspoll for a week and let things calm down.
If ON voters would listen to reason they wouldn’t be ON voters.
DPReesays:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 10:03 pm
LoL TM. Jess Wilson for PM, she’s ace!
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We have to put up with her nearly every night on ABC news in Victoria. She is such a shouty naysayer.
I’m starting to prefer Angus over her. Mainly as we see him a lot less.
So I guess Labor’s only option is to dissolve itself and make Pauline Queen Of Australia For All Eternity or whatever.
nadias second of all don’t use one poll to base Anthony’s leadership we all know governments go through a rough patch like remember when I don’t know people Peter Dutton had in the bag six months before an election they have two years also Gillard lost popularity because she knife popular pm you can’t compare the two
There is no merit in comparing Anthony Albanese’s position with Julia Gillard’s.
Kirsdarke I mean I am joking but apparently people seem to think that this polling is gonna hold up in an election that’s two years away where anything could happen like I could get shot out of Canon tomorrow
William I’m pretty sure there was other problems that Gillard had that Anthony’s doesn’t have in my opinion and you can correct me if I’m wrong they’re doing fine like I don’t expect polling full labour to be super good for like two and a half years like that 2022 to 2025 run word took literally to July for the liberals to be leveled
Quentin Rountree,
Have you ever heard of a thing called ‘punctuation’?
Quentin Rountreesays:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 10:10 pm
Kirsdarke I mean I am joking but apparently people seem to think that this polling is gonna hold up in an election that’s two years away where anything could happen like I could get shot out of Canon tomorrow
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In my opinion there will be two more budgets before next election too. One in May 2027 and the other March 2028.
Entropy, ol cosplay Jess is good for a laugh. What will they dress her up in next? It’s still the same old dodders running the party. She’s just the current poster girl.
The ex-major political parties need to ask why this is happening and be honest with themselves. Australian politics is no longer Labor v Liberal.
Case in point Labor is playing politics with the CGT/NG/Trust changes by combining these in one bill with other tax changes for the primary reason to wedge the Liberals. It’s this type of negative politics that is turning people away from the ex-majors.
No lessons being learned just more of the same. It’s scary where we may end up. We have passed the point where we keep saying “it will be ok no one will elect Pauline”.
Sobering thought, maybe they will.
Ante Meridian sorry I need text to speech I’m really s***** typing I will test it so for me to type paragraph it would be like 10 minutes. Kirk yeah but people think Labour’s lost and one nation’s gonna be super majority apparently hell apparently this Redditer things that one nation can keep up the momentum I have not seen a political party have that big of Momentum push
For months, rising support for One Nation has been framed as a net positive for the Australian Labor Party. This miscalculation is becoming a serious risk. I know the people who are shifting their political allegiance; their primary motivation is not just the rising cost of living or the housing affordability crisis, though those issues do exist. This shift is fundamentally driven by concerns over immigration, specifically regarding Islam and changing cultural norms in local communities. Critics will inevitably raise the standard counterargument about who will sustain our workforce and aged-care sectors, but this concern does not target established migrant communities like the Filipino population. The core issue is an underlying tension regarding Islamic immigration and a growing frustration with a perceived lack of cultural integration and respect in everyday public interactions. If the political Left wants to understand why voter loyalty is shifting, it must finally acknowledge and address these specific cultural anxieties. How do you do that against an opposition that wears a Burqa to parliament?
Albanese isn’t terminal but his polling possibly worsens, the poll trend seems to be mirroring the UK.
Quentin Rountree,
Ah, I see. My apologies.
Steelydan you do realise this you gov had Coalition losing more to one nation than labour right do people not see that landlord of the year also do not compare UK to the Australia we have a different voting system hell one nation could only do well in the regionals and some of the outer suburbs
Quentin Rountree says:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 10:09 pm
nadias second of all don’t use one poll to base Anthony’s leadership we all know governments go through a rough patch like remember when I don’t know people Peter Dutton had in the bag six months before an election
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Exactly, so what it really means is Labor had a bounce to become popular again, but then has come back again to being unpopular. It seems being unpopular is more the norm for albanese.
Howard was very unpopular, but had a massive trick up his sleeve. Throwing endless welfare at the middle class and a mining boom and selling off the last of the assets Labor never sold. Not to mention no mainstream internet. I think howard was an atrocious PM.
Things are vastly different now. HUGE government’s debt all over the country, local state and federal.. Nothing can get built because we have made it so expensive through regulatory costs and fees, bureaucratic mini empires within departments rule the country, no politician will dismantle these powerful unelected institutions that have Australia by the balls. There is not going to be any mining boom again due to the huge costs and fees and regulatory hurdles. Nothing left to sell.
What I suspect will happen is the country will stagnate.
Steelydan, or, and I ask you to hear me out here – we could deport those whiny fucks to antarctica since they don’t share our aussie values.
DPReesays:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 10:13 pm
Entropy, ol cosplay Jess is good for a laugh. What will they dress her up in next? It’s still the same old dodders running the party. She’s just the current poster girl.
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An OHS accident just waiting to happen. Unfortunately I’m over that pantomime. No matter how they dress her up, the fact that the religious nutters faction lead by Bev McArthur is right behind her, is all you need to know.
Howard’s other trick was introducing new anti-terrorism legislation every (from memory) eight days on average. And nobody ever asking why he did such a scheisse job of drafting anti-terrorism legislation that he had to keep fixing it all the time.
Entropy says:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 10:26 pm
DPReesays:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 10:13 pm
Entropy, ol cosplay Jess is good for a laugh. What will they dress her up in next? It’s still the same old dodders running the party. She’s just the current poster girl.
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An OHS accident just waiting to happen. Unfortunately I’m over that pantomime. No matter how they dress her up, the fact that the religious nutters faction lead by Bev McArthur is right behind her, is all you need to know.
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No one can out Scomo, Scomo. Best welding technique!
Ante Meridiansays:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 10:28 pm
Howard’s other trick was introducing new anti-terrorism legislation every (from memory) eight days on average. And nobody ever asking why he did such a scheisse job of drafting anti-terrorism legislation that he had to keep fixing it all the time.
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Wasn’t it due to faulty fridge magnets?
Yes its another bad poll but Its not the same situation as Gillard. Gillard was already in minority government and couldn’t afford to lose so much as a by-election. So bad polls were deadly.
Whereas Labor under Albo still has 94 seats and a divided opposition. Albo could drop 20 seats at the next election and still govern with Teal support. I can’t imagine the Teals would support Hanson. So worst case this poll would see a minority Labor government, not a One Nation government.
I also remain convinced that this poll is influenced by a blizzard of disinformation which has been quite shameless. If economic reality proves better that will turn around over coming months.
The world economic situation is still terrible. Labor has done as much as possible without stoking inflation to counter it, but hasn’t gotten much credit for it.
There are some other issues costing Labor votes IMO like NDIS reforms, NACC dysfunction and AUKUS cost and lack of delivery. NDIS reforms are needed. Hopefully NACC reforms will happen after Brereton’s departure.
AUKUS? I know defence and foreign policy stuff rarely decides elections but this turkey must be costing Labor votes by now.
Jolly Jumbuck the problem Pauline Hanson has is sure at the moment she’s popular but what happens when she has to make some decisions she’s going to be in the same situation Peter is remember we’re the only ones keeping tabs on it at the moment like say 10% once it hits election campaign and let’s be honest about Hanson she’s a grievance party also I think it people giving Anthony s*** he’s pretty smart I think go through rough patch now and not worry about doing the hard stuff two years before an election. Socrates yeah I don’t know why people comparing this to Gillard I mean labour has what you said 94 seats I don’t think all of them are going to go away it’s still two years away so that’s why I get angry when people Point to other countries or other elections in Australia’s history you can’t compare one election to this election also I don’t think Labor is panicking at the moment sure would they like to polling to be better yes but I even I think they don’t think that they’re gonna be on 55 to 45 or 54 to 46 until the next election
I have just blogged in. I note that Jolly Jumbuck had a few posts before being challenged as to whether or not he supported the wage increase for low paid workers. No response, obviously because he can’t admit that Hanson ids anti worker.
Steelydansays:
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 10:16 pm
For months, rising support for One Nation has been framed as a net positive for the Australian Labor Party. This miscalculation is becoming a serious risk
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I think it still could be. As long as Labor don’t lose too many voters to ON. Which it appears they might be.
Entropy
I saw your earlier question about AUKUS but see others have already answered most of it.
The question on when does sub construction start in Adelaide is a sore point, and one of the reasons for my criticisms of AUKUS from the start. Barring a miracle, the main employment benefits from AUKUS are in UK, USA and the Canberra bureaucracy, then Perth, for the first ten years. AUKUS is a net job killer for Adelaide till at least 2035. That is if everything goes right.
We are still living in an Australia very much shaped and warped by John Howard.
naths it could also be where Labour’s losing the vote like if they’re losing it in the regional areas then it’s not as bad as them losing it in the Urban areas honestly people need to calm down like a person said here Labor has 94 seats I doubt they’re going to lose all of them one nation has to gain 75 I mean Peter had a task and that was 58 seats and look what happened . Steve yeah but let’s be honest they’re probably gonna be dying soon Labor just needs to start making good ad campaigns I want to know also be surprised of people to start getting sick of it too
Labor has been building support amongst younger educated middle class voters, this budget took from those groups.