Newspoll didn’t report this week on its normal three-weekly schedule, presumably to allow clear air for the Farrer by-election. But we do have the weekly result from the ever-reliable Roy Morgan, which had Labor up a point to 30.5%, the Coalition up one to 25%, One Nation up half to 22% and the Greens down one-and-a-half to 11.5%. Labor’s two-party lead narrows from 54.5-45.5 to 53.5-46.5 on respondent-allocated preferences, and from 53-47 to 52.5-47.5 on preference flows from the 2025 election. The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1605.
I think the Libs loath ON like Labor Loath the Greens. In politics parties tend to loath other parties that are a threat to their voter base.
It’s interesting that we are slipping into a centre-left autocracy/dictatorship because of weak conservative parties and demographics changes. Everyone fears of a extremist dictatorship, but if this current state of politics continues, we might have one formed from the centre.
So is this time we crack people skulls open and feast on the goo inside cuz holy hell it seems that labour is still in a strong position where the Liberals are still floundering but no apparently All Is Lost in Angus is gonna get 100 seat majority apparently
Probably should wait for the autocracy before we start the skull cracking and goo feasting 🙂
Trust is a bridge and being lied to weakens it. The strength of the bridge and the size of lie would seem to figure. With that in mind, if you’ve ever forgiven a transgression, you’ll understand what, in time, comes next. But if you’ve never forgiven, bitterness awaits. I guess.
Or, as someone pointed out earlier, two years is a long time in politics.
GSP
I thought it was Marlowe in The Jew of Malta, but I could easily be wrong
But it was already probably an old joke, back in the day
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-jim-chalmers-and-anthony-albaneses-budget-flops-with-every-generation-of-voters/news-story/45c8892cc75b73f650c0b6b50405fce9
archive version: https://archive.is/gk8vT
Detailed Newspoll tables x 2 here! No paywall.
https://origin.theaustralian.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/budget-newpoll.pdf
The below one has the voting figures, PPM etc.
https://origin.theaustralian.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/budget-newpoll-2.pdf
Primaries: ALP 31 (0) ON 27 (+3) L/NP 20 (-1) GRN 12 (-1) OTH 10 (-1)
No TPP provided
Sl oh I know but it’s funny because it people 56 to 44 to labour where we know it but I’m always amazed labour tend to keep a positive polling before at least a year and a bit more
I don’t really think it’s fair to call Albo’s Labor a dictatorship. If Labor goes too far against the voters and loses an election fair and square then they’ll respect the voters’ decision and leave without causing much of a fuss.
It’s Pauline that’s doing the whole Rita Repulsa routine from the Power Rangers, screeching at everything and using her powers to turn molehills into mountains.
SL at 8.54 pm
Yes, and it wasn’t just an anonymous Lib source either. The former MHR for Hughes, Jenny Ware, is quoted:
‘“The danger is in their rush to beat One Nation and to defeat One Nation that they are going to fall into the trap of the One Nation rhetoric and of thinking down to One Nation’s level,” she said.
“We need to have this conversation about immigrants and infrastructure and housing. The danger in a lot of the rhetoric that I’ve heard, both implied and direct, is that we then start targeting certain groups.”’
The article aired T. Burke’s description of the Taylor thinking down pose:
‘The budget reply was quickly slammed by immigrant advocacy groups, while Labor labelled the policies as dog-whistling. On Friday, the home affairs minister, Tony Burke, said: “The one permanent resident that Angus Taylor seems happy with is Pauline Hanson, who’s a permanent resident in his head.”’
Kevin Bonham
@kevinbonham
·
1m
#Newspoll ALP 31 L-NP 20 ON 27 Grn 12 Ind/other 10
My 2PP estimate for this poll 54.0 to ALP (-0.7)
vs ON 53.0 to ALP (-1.7)
So, the Newspoll has dropped.
Labor: 31% (=)
One Nation: 27% (+3)
Coalition: 20% (-1)
Greens: 12% (-1)
Others: 10% (-1)
No 2pp
Anthony Albanese: 40% Satisfied (=), 57% Dissatisfied (=)
Angus Taylor: 36% Satisfied (+3), 48% Dissatisfied (+2)
Preferred Prime Minister:
Albanese: 46% (=)
Taylor: 38% (+1)
This is a good result for Labor.
LotY
if all the capital is heading for new builds, how does that restrict supply, and cause the bad things you mention?
So, with all the “Get Jim” carry on last week, Newspoll has a 54-46 2PP flow to Labor.
What a circus this past 5 days has been.
New thread upcoming!
Man with the news poll result think labour will be having a good night tonight
54-46 at this stage of the electoral cycle having introduced generational tax changes is astonishing.
Angus Taylor is finished.
From the ABC:
Hundreds of auctions got underway across the country on Saturday, with prospective first home buyers buoyed by the biggest tax reform in decades.
At one auction, for an apartment in South Melbourne, the successful bidder had spent more than a year trying to buy.
“I think it’s great to encourage younger buyers, rather than investors making more money all the time. It’s giving us young people a shot at it,” she told the ABC.
Newspoll Could opposition deliver a better Budget?
Yes 39 No 47
🙂
With ON on 24% above LNP on 23%, how can Resolve do a meaningful PPM of Albo vs Taylor? It should be a three way comparison of Albo, Taylor and Hanson. So much of the MSM is treating Hanson in a frivolous manner (“look at my million dollar flying toy”) and have already forgotten that ON won Farrer and thereby demolished the LNP vote. Meanwhile the MSM are boosting Taylor as the man who will beat Albo by fixing the tax system and keeping out nasty immigrants. They almost completely fail to mention that Taylor and the LNP are desperately trying to outdo Hanson’s brand of toxic politics.
Based on primary vote percentages, it is currently a three way contest between Labor, LNP and ON and the leader of each should be subjected to the same level of scrutiny. While convention dictates that Taylor is the leader of the opposition in parliament, the reality is that he leads only one non-government party and his main opponent at present is the leader of ON.
Resolve is inaccurate, boosting Taylor and the Libs.
I get Labor 2PP ~ 31 + 7 + 0 + 10 + 6 = 54.
Again, on the old assumptions. Who knows whether that still works?
“The soul of the Liberal party is now corroded by hate”
“concerned the language on migration was “dog whistling” and being fuelled by the threat of Hanson’s minor rightwing party”
SL did you post an article from 2001 by mistake?
It’s interesting that we are slipping into a centre-left autocracy/dictatorship because of weak conservative parties and demographics changes. Everyone fears of a extremist dictatorship, but if this current state of politics continues, we might have one formed from the centre.
@Thomas Brian Mutter
Did anyone refer to Robert Menzies as a ‘dictatorship’ though?…..yeah, didn’t think so.
New thread.
Is there any reason we should be assuming Resolve is inaccurate, besides it giving results some people don’t like?
I’m sure Labor will take that Newspoll.
As I said earlier, Farrer may change who the LOTO is, but not the PM.
Labor hasn’t even started really communicating the budget benefits yet.
Asha – It just seems a bit more conservative at the moment.