The only new federal poll this week was the monthly-or-so accumulation from Roy Morgan, encompassing 5084 responses from between August 25 and September 21. Labor is credited with a lead of 55.5-44.5 on both the previous election and respondent-allocated measures, which is in from 56.5-43.5 last month on respondent-allocated, but unchanged on previous election. There is next to no change on the primary vote: Labor is on 34%, the Coalition 30% and the Greens 12%, no different from last time, while One Nation gains half a point to 9.5%. The accompanying release has two-party breakdowns by state and gender.
The other big electoral news of the week was Liberal candidate Gisele Kapterian abandoning her Court of Disputed Returns challenge to her 26-vote defeat at the hands of independent Nicolette Boele in Bradfield. Kapterian said the opportunity to review the ballot papers that had been referred to Australian Electoral Officer for adjudication during the counting process left her “satisfied the right call was made overall”.
New theory on why the US gov just shut down:
Stanford University-ADP Research colaboration report just posted a 32k decline in US private sector jobs in September, defying the expectation of a 50k increase.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/adp-employment-change
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/10/01/economy/adp-private-jobs-report-september
The US Gov shutdown means that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is unlikely to publish its formal jobs numbers this Friday.
Theres no doubt that Trump is a complete lunatic.
James O’Brien tonight.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qgYm_4rIAnA
“Is this why PHON is surging, why Farage is dominant, why Hastie decided to play with migration fire and… why Nadia slipped in the Berserker Burke barb?”
Well yeah? Brexit didn’t mean Brexit, it meant dislike of open borders and illegal immigrants through the Channel Tunnel, something even Boris Johnson didn’t really grasp. The far right across Europe and America has returned to their favourite issue – immigration both legal and illegal.
Australia is insulated from it both because with no land borders our illegal immigration problem is pissweak on the world scale even without “stopping the boats”, and because of bipartisan policy on keeping the boats stopped. But Hastie and co faithfully imitate every trend from overseas, like the WFH debacle so yeah they’re going with what is working for Farage and Trump and right wing imitators across Europe. The ALP have to deal carefully with it but they have understood that need since Rudd’s well meaning but failed effort to roll back offshore detention.
Welcome back Steve ‘tinfoil hat’ Davis!
Former Howard Government Deputy PM – John Anderson – has a slick You Tube channel badged as “John Anderson media”. Most of its content seems to be dedicated to giving this grub (Chavura) a free platform to denigrate Indigenous culture and the history of dispossession and genocide. I wonder how much Hancock Prospecting (or associated entities) money is being channeled into this project.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/the-far-right-figures-teaching-students-at-a-sydney-college-20250930-p5mz2v.html
A fun fact: the now retired and briefly ON Senator for NSW, Warwick Stacey, studied for his MA at Campion College during and after covid.
This is a serious question now: how much money is Gina spending on sowing the seeds of fascism in this country.
We have revealed the biggest foreign influence operation in modern Australian history.
At least $108 million AUD – likely far more – has flowed into Australia from foreign donors to underwrite a network of third-party groups dedicated to shutting down the use of fossil fuels and other progressive agendas.
The organisations we investigated raised and spent more last year than both major parties spent combined at the last election.
Their structure creates the illusion of a spontaneous, grassroots movement. In reality it is a foreign-funded, centrally directed campaign that has astroturfed the national debate and entrenched a fifth column within our democracy.
How did we allow foreign entities, with no accountability to the Australian people, to bankroll such a vast network of activist groups focused on delaying and disrupting our critical infrastructure?
Gerard Holland and Jon Anderson pushing the National Party climate denial rubbish under the guise of a slick institute.
https://www.page.org.au/About/Vision/
I think Donald watches too much Fox News, and believes what they say (I maintain he’s the first Fox News President): https://www.youtube.com/shorts/mI58kRfHF5k
Some interesting comments too.
And John Oliver on an edit of a Trump interview on Fox (it involves Epstein): https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Za7Ae2IuivY
Edit: The Late Show with Stephen Colbert “A Lifeline For Easily-Confused Senior Citizens”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLcaRPrMXbY which might explain the source of Trump’s confusion on the situation in Portland.
New thread.