Weekend miscellany: federal preselection news (open thread)

The race for the new WA seat of Bullwinkel takes shape, five Liberal candidates line up to succeed a retiring member in the SA seat of Grey, plus more Victorian redistribution aftermath.

Federal polls may be coming down the line shortly from Resolve Strategic in the Age/Herald and Freshwater Strategy in the Financial Review. Until then:

The West Australian reports three potential contenders for Liberal preselection in the new seat of Bullwinkel in Perth’s eastern hinterland, which by my reckoning has a notional Labor margin of 2.9%: Matt Moran, an Afghanistan veteran and former Ten Network reporter who ran unsuccessfully for the Curtin preselection in February; Holly Ludeman, a veterinarian and activist in the campaign against a ban on live sheep exports; and Jonathan Crabtree, a commercial and estate planning lawyer who led the Senate ticket of Cory Bernardi’s Australian Conservatives in 2019. The paper earlier reported that Labor preselection would be contested by Kyle McGinn, a former Maritime Union of Australia organiser who has served in the state Legislative Council for Mining and Pastoral region since 2017, and there are suggestions the Nationals candidate will be former state party leader Mia Davies.

InDaily reports five candidates for Liberal preselection in the regional South Australian seat of Grey, which will be vacated with the retirement of Rowan Ramsey, its member since 2007: Dean Johnson, mayor of Kimba and president of the Local Government Association; Tom Venning, Barunga Grains farming manager; Rikki Lambert, former chief-of-staff to Family First senator Bob Day; Matt Sampson, a Whyalla police officer; and Suzanne Waters, who ran in the seat for the United Australia Party in 2022.

Nine Newspapers reports on expectations that Michelle Ananda-Rajah will run in Liberal-held Deakin or Menzies with the proposed abolition of her existing seat of Higgins, which she gained for Labor from the Liberals for the first time in the seat’s history in 2022.

• Labor has announced candidates in its Coalition-held targets in Brisbane: disability advocate Ali France in Peter Dutton’s seat of Dickson, where she also ran in 2019 and 2022; Rebecca Hack, a former school principal now of the Queensland Teachers Union, in the Greens-held seat of Ryan; and Rowan Holzberger, electorate officer to Senator Murray Watt and candidate from 2022, again to run in Forde.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,035 comments on “Weekend miscellany: federal preselection news (open thread)”

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  1. Been Theresays:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 9:46 pm
    It’s good to see responsible Labor governments taking action!
    _____________________
    What like a temporary suspension on accepting donations. It doesn’t take much to impress you.
    Allan’s referral to Vic Police and IBAC is just spin.
    The UFU have proved how much of a waste of time that is.

  2. PPS Lorbain.

    I read on the weekend about Labor playing word games with the export of military stuff to Israel. Sure no bombs, no jets, no blah blah BUT they havent put a freeze on companies exporting component parts for the F whatever planes dropping bombs on Palestine along with technology developments. And, these Jets are now capable of deploying Nuke bombs FFS. Very disappointing double talk if you ask me from our defence minister.

  3. Been Theresays:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 9:59 pm
    Ven that shows what an important commodity wheat is.

    Is there any other food product that comes anywhere near this, maybe rice?
    ========================================================

    Corn production at 1.15 billion metric tonnes exceeds wheat at 0.81 billion metric tonnes.

  4. Western Australia

    Australian Crop Report: June edition

    Winter crop production in Western Australia is forecast to rise by 7% to 15.9 million tonnes in 2024–25. This is 8% below the 10-year average to 2023–24 of 17.2 million tonnes.

  5. Lordbainsays:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 10:01 pm
    Yes Sandman, the greens have been mute on hamas… except those times they condemned the behaviour.


    Please refer me to any hansard where the Greens condemned HAMAS Lordbain. Not on the website where it is implied rather than clear direct condemnation and always tied to equal condemnation of the IDF, but in Parliament where it counts.

  6. FUBARsays:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 10:12 pm
    Western Australia

    Australian Crop Report: June edition

    Winter crop production in Western Australia is forecast to rise by 7% to 15.9 million tonnes in 2024–25. This is 8% below the 10-year average to 2023–24 of 17.2 million tonnes.
    ==============================================

    That’s a future forecast reliant on perfect conditions occurring. The actual slide was for 2022 actual production output. On actual production achieved in 2022, WA doesn’t get on that slide.

    Also that is total winter crop. Which barley, canola and lupins are included and make up about half of the number. We only want the wheat number alone.

    https://www.agriculture.gov.au/abares/research-topics/agricultural-outlook/australian-crop-report/western-australia

  7. Sandman

    Explain how this is coded

    https://greens.org.au/news/australian-greens-statement-one-month-after-terrorist-acts-hamas-israel

    One month after the terrorist acts by Hamas into Israel, the Australian Greens mourn the over 1400 innocent Israelis who lost their lives. There is no excuse, no justification and no celebration that can be found in attacks that deliberately targeted and sought to traumatise civilian communities. This was not an act of resistance, nor a legitimate military offensive. This was a terrorist act and we will continue to condemn it as such.

    And why do I need something in the hansaed?

  8. davidwhsays:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 10:26 pm
    We will argue over anything here.

    Mind you regardless of who is correct that’s a lot of loves of bread.
    ========================================================

    Just arguing against WA exceptionalism, when the facts don’t support the claim.

  9. Entropy says:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 10:17 pm

    Yes. You are right. I was wrong. Thought it was wheat only but it wasn’t. Doing three things at once.

  10. davidwh says:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 10:26 pm

    Correct – and yet there’s numpties who carry on about “food security” for Australia. We produce far more food than we could ever need

  11. FUBARsays:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 10:41 pm
    Entropy says:
    Monday, July 15, 2024 at 10:17 pm

    Yes. You are right. I was wrong. Thought it was wheat only but it wasn’t. Doing three things at once.
    ==================================================

    That’s fine, nice in someways arguing on a safe topic like cereal crop production. Not really wanting to revisit any more explosive topics tonight.

  12. “Correct – and yet there’s numpties who carry on about “food security” for Australia. We produce far more food than we could ever need.”

    That’s very true, FUBAR.
    We also produce far more gas than we could ever need.

    Hmmm…..

  13. Lordbain says

    Sandman

    Explain how this is coded

    https://greens.org.au/news/australian-greens-statement-one-month-after-terrorist-acts-hamas-israel

    And why do I need something in the hansaed?

    ——-

    You need something in Hansard because the Greens should/could stand up in Parliament and repeat what they said on the website if they werent so hell bent on doing anything and everything they can to win the seat of Wills. If you are representing your electorate in the HOR or the senate you should condemn Hamas in the Parliament as well as giving lip service opinions on the Australian Greens website. When Labor moved a motion to condemn Hamas at the first opportunity [when Parliament resumed] guess who abstained [on October 18th]. Yep, the four Greens. Explain that if you please.

  14. Lordbain says

    Sandman

    Explain how this is coded

    https://greens.org.au/news/australian-greens-statement-one-month-after-terrorist-acts-hamas-israel

    And why do I need something in the hansaed?

    ——-

    You need something in Hansard because the Greens should/could stand up in Parliament and repeat what they said on the website if they werent so hell bent on doing anything and everything they can to win the seat of Wills. If you are representing your electorate in the HOR or the senate you should condemn Hamas in the Parliament as well as giving lip service opinions on the Australian Greens website. When Labor moved a motion to condemn Hamas at the first opportunity [when Parliament resumed] guess who abstained [on October 18th]. Yep, the four Greens and only the four Greens. Explain that if you please.

    Oh forget it – lt wouldnt do for you to admit you are wrong about anything would it or that the Greens dropped the ball on anything . Ive wasted enough effort here with you. Lets walk around each other on PB as we normally do in silence.

  15. Thanks bc

    Corruption presides in the USA.

    From the SCOTUS to the vey lowest.

    For a Nation found on democracy and fairness it’s pretty pathetic!

  16. From Jack Smith’s X account:
    “1. Appeal to the 11th. Subsequent motion to change the presiding judge, citing her history on the case. Could end up with SCOTUS.

    2. Refile with US Attorney. None of the charges are being disputed in her 93 page opinion.

    3. 2 + possible venue change (less likely)

    Lots of options.

    It’s far from over.”

  17. CNBC
    IMF raises India’s economic outlook, says global growth will remain lackluster

    KEY POINTS
    •India — which the IMF had previously called “the world’s fastest-growing major economy” — is expected to grow 7% in 2024, higher than April’s projection of 6.8%.
    •China’s economy is predicted to grow 5% this year, remaining the same from the IMF’s May prediction.
    •Growth from both India and China will account for almost half of global growth this year.

    https://www-cnbc-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2024/07/17/imf-raises-china-india-economic-outlook-us-and-global-growth-lackluster.html?amp_gsa=1&amp_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQIUAKwASCAAgM%3D#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17212076739521&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cnbc.com%2F2024%2F07%2F17%2Fimf-raises-india-economic-outlook-us-and-global-growth-lackluster.html

    “Europe, U.S. growth
    Global growth in 2024 is expected to grow at 3.2% — unchanged from its April forecast, and will likely increase slightly to 3.3% in 2025, the IMF said.

    The U.S. economy is predicted to inch higher to 2.6% this year compared to 2023, slightly lower than its 2.7% projection in April.”

    “Growth in the euro zone for this year has been upgraded to 0.9% — 0.1 percentage point higher than April’s projections, driven by stronger momentum of services and more-than-expected net exports in the first half of 2024.”


  18. Been Theresays:
    Tuesday, July 16, 2024 at 12:55 am
    Thanks bc

    Corruption presides in the USA.

    From the SCOTUS to the vey lowest.

    For a Nation found on democracy and fairness it’s pretty pathetic!

    Once US is to be proud of their justice system. Now not that much.
    US electoral system is a mess to put it mildly.

    Whereas Australian Justice system and Electoral system are strong

  19. Entropy, I am pretty sure Bandts never worked with the CFEMU (if he has please let me know).

    I am not saying NACC would regulate unions; im saying that if theres some cover being given to corrupt entities by political entities that re receiving donations from them, then maybe the NACC should have a look.

    This would apply to any entity, whether it be private, union based etc.

    I am not sure why this would be unreasonable?

  20. It’s known that Rupert Murdoch privately despises Trump. Murdoch’s failed attempt to have Doug Burgam picked as VP was an underhanded way to undermine Trump. Trump showed Murdoch who is boss and now Murdoch will have to kiss Trump’s ass moving forward as he can’t afford to upset the Fox News viewership by publicly turning on Trump. Murdoch will not be a happy man, Greg Sheridan alluded to as much in The Oz by calling picking Vance a “mistake”.

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