Polls: Essential Research, Morgan and more (open thread)

Essential Research finds Labor taking the lead, Roy Morgan does the opposite, YouGov has results on deportations policy, and uComms suggests no surprises at Saturday’s Cook by-election

The fortnightly Essential Research poll has Labor recovering a lead on the 2PP+ measure after a distinctly poor result last time, with Labor up four to 48% and the Coalition down four to 46%. However, Labor remains at its lowest ebb for the term of 29% on the primary vote, with the Coalition down two to 34%, the Greens up three 14%, and One Nation down one to 6%. For both measures, undecided is steady at 6%.

A regular question on the economic outlook finds an eight point drop since February in the expectation that conditions will get worse over the next twelve months to 48% and a two point rise in expectations of improvement to 21%. Further questions focus on housing, including a finding that 51% support removing “tax concessions like negative gearing and capital gains tax discounts for property investors”, with only 19% opposed, and 40% wanting lower house prices against 15% for higher and 45% for “stabilised”. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from 1165.

The Essential poll also asked about the two specifics of the government’s deportation bill that was blocked in the Senate last week, with 51% support for one-year prison terms for non-citizens who refused to co-operate with deportation against 17% opposed, and 50% support for blacklisting countries that refuse to accept deportees from further visa applications against 14% opposed. However, a poll published yesterday by YouGov found only 31% support for the government having “the power to ban all visa applications from a particular country” when the alternative option was to “treat all visa applications on an individual merit basis regardless of country origin”, support for which was 60%. The YouGov poll was conducted March 29 to April 6 from a sample of 1517.

The weekly Roy Morgan poll contradicts Essential Research in finding the Coalition leading for first time since its first poll for the year, with a 51-49 Labor lead last week making way for a 50.5-49.5 lead to the Coalition. The primary votes are Labor 29.5% (down half), Coalition 38% (up half), Greens 13.5% (down two) and One Nation 6% (up two-and-a-half). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1731.

The Australian Institute has a uComms poll for Saturday’s Cook by-election, which unsurprisingly finds Simon Kennedy assured of retaining the seat for the Liberals. After distribution of a forced-response follow-up for the initially undecided, the primary votes are 52.8% for Kennedy, 17.3% for the Greens, 11.7% for independent Roger Woodward, 8.0% for Animal Justice, 5.7% for Sustainable Australia and 4.4% for the Libertarian Party, with Kennedy leading the Greens 65-35 on two-party preferred. There were also numerous attitudinal questions, including a finding that 51.2% rated former member Scott Morrison’s legacy as prime minister as good against 43.6% for poor. The poll was conducted March 28 from a sample of 914.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,749 comments on “Polls: Essential Research, Morgan and more (open thread)”

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  1. Deborah Snow picks up one of the threads and makes a point of noting it:

    As is well-known, the Bondi area is home to a significant population of residents of Jewish heritage. Tensions have been running high between the Jewish and Muslim communities in Australia’s two largest cities – and in the square of public opinion – ever since the Hamas attacks on Israel on October 7 and the bloodbath in Gaza that has followed. Emotions and rhetoric have been running white-hot. The merest hint that Saturday’s attack could have been related to what is unfolding in Israel and Gaza would have been akin to dropping a lit match into dry kindling.

    Not that that stopped armchair theorists from leaping into premature speculation on social media, with some responsible voices sheepishly retracting in the hours that followed.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/not-since-the-lindt-siege-has-sydney-known-grief-like-this-20240414-p5fjnl.html

    Blot? Credlin? Chris Kenny?

  4. “ Meth & mushrooms re: Bondi. And yet there’s still people out there who think drug use is a victimless crime. What a joke.”

    ____

    What a vile, ignorant troll you are Jasmine.

    The perpetrator’s problems started with an early diagnosis of schizophrenia. Remarkably, although ‘known to police’ he had no arrests, let alone a criminal record: which would in my considerable experience be rather unique for someone who was merely a meth-head or mushroom user. If indeed he was using illicit substances, it is more likely than not that he was attempting self-medication.

    No one that I can tell has on bludger pretended that illicit drug use is a ‘victimless crime’ (although nath used to brag about cannabis and coke use): the issue is, and has long been, over the best ways for society to deal with the effects of drug use: the melancholy truth is that the combination of prohibition and serious mental health often actually contributes to the worst possible outcomes imaginable.

  6. I imagine we’ll be hearing more stories like this from Bondi Rescue star who was apparently shopping for a new bed at the time of the attacks.

    “There was so much blood around, and I was like ‘I’ve got to get down there and help’,” Reid said.

    He convinced a security guard to let him slip underneath the door, where he emerged to find what “looked like a war zone”.

    “You looked down the shopping centre, and you could just see victims sort of spread out over every 50 metres.”

    Without the equipment or support he’s used to while on patrol at Bondi Beach, Reid improvised, grabbing clothes off a Cotton On rack for a makeshift tourniquet for a victim who had been stabbed in the shoulder.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/like-a-warzone-bondi-rescue-star-ignored-the-danger-and-raced-to-help-20240414-p5fjq6.html

    He was also friends with one of the victims who died.

  7. i dont think gerard hayesis the future of nsw labor his brother chris hayes could not install his hand picked candadate in fowler hayes appears to have been a prity invisible mp highest position is chief wip reminds me a bit of former awu leader paul howes gerard a big mouth who seems more interested in selfpromotion then getting out comes for his members is unlikely to enter parliament

  8. The opening of Donald Trump’s first criminal trial on Monday will put to the test a defense strategy his lawyers have been honing for a year — a confrontational gambit that has angered the judge and could cost the presidential candidate dearly when it comes to a verdict.

    Fight for every scrap of evidence. Push for every possible delay. The approach has succeeded so far in Trump’s three other pending criminal cases, potentially pushing all of them into or past November’s presidential election. Surprisingly it is in Manhattan, at a courthouse notorious for lengthy delays before many criminal trials, that the former president and presumptive Republican nominee will face his first judgment day.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/13/trump-hush-money-trial-defense-strategy/

    As someone on social media said, the forecast for New York today is stormy with a chance of incarceration.

  9. Justice finally gets a turn… after 20 years.

    The first trial to contend with the post-9/11 abuse of detainees in US custody begins on Monday, in a case brought by three men who were held in the US-run Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq.

    The jury trial, in a federal court in Virginia, comes nearly 20 years to the day that the photographs depicting torture and abuse in the prison were first revealed to the public, prompting an international scandal that came to symbolize the treatment of detainees in the US “war on terror”.

    Meanwhile in Florida a totally corrupt judge keeps Trump from having to face justice

  11. Scottsays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 6:41 am
    No newspoll , probably not much has change
    Bad news for lib/nats and their propaganda media units.
    _____________________
    Am sure they would be happy with the 50/50 at this stage of the game. 1st term in opposition after being in power the previous 3.

  12. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    I am not linking anything on the Bondi shopping centre stabbings.

    Mark Kenny has written another very good article for us. In it he explores the risks in Peter Dutton’s right-wing lurch.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8590572/the-risks-in-peter-duttons-right-wing-lurch-are-clear-to-see/
    Public funds will be poured into projects to make medicine and medical devices for the global market under a $1.5 billion federal plan that deepens a political row over industry subsidies. David Crowe tells us that the federal government will release the blueprint for its looming investments in healthcare manufacturing after Anthony Albanese ignited a debate on industry aid with a “made in Australia” policy pledge last week.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/budget-s-1-5b-prescription-for-making-medicines-in-australia-20240412-p5fjgk.html
    Scott Riches takes us inside the Prime Minister’s vision of the future – made in Australia.
    https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/work/2024/04/11/made-in-australia-manufacturing
    Jim Chalmers has backed the case for tax concessions in a new signal about the scale of the budget plan to help clean energy industries and local manufacturing.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-hits-back-at-critics-by-adding-tax-breaks-to-industry-aid-20240414-p5fjo8.html
    Jim Chalmers regards a second surplus in the May budget as “still our goal”, but has revealed Treasury analysis showing a recent fall in iron ore prices will punch a $9 billion hole in the nation’s books over the next four years, writes Karen Barlow.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8590955/jim-chalmerss-budget-surplus-goal-amid-iron-ore-price-drop/?cs=14329
    The sponsored pass system for lobbyists to access Parliament House opens the door to undue influence and potentially corrupt behaviour. Facilitating such opportunities is both unwise and inappropriate, argues Anne Twomey.
    https://johnmenadue.com/access-undue-influence-and-the-constitution/
    Justice Michael Lee will deliver his decision in Sydney at 10.15am on Monday after a four-week trial last year and a surprise re-opening of the case this year. It will be broadcast live and Lee is expected to read extracts of his reasons in court before publishing the full written judgment, writes Michaela Whitbourn.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/books-will-be-written-judgment-day-in-lehrmann-defamation-case-20240321-p5fe6k.html
    The future of a state government research funding program which has assisted teams developing artificial hearts and turning spider venom into drug therapies is in doubt, with researchers unsure if they will continue to receive funds beyond July. Mary Ward reports that the NSW Medical Research Support Program has provided about $45 million a year to the state’s medical research institutions.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/future-of-medical-research-in-doubt-as-question-mark-lingers-over-45-million-funding-20240411-p5fj6o.html
    Our track record in medical innovation can only be maintained with funding support, urges the SMH editorial.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/our-track-record-in-medical-innovation-can-only-be-maintained-with-funding-support-20240413-p5fjji.html
    “The demise of daily letters, 3G and cash – are governments leaving us old (and young) fogeys behind?”, wonders Paul Karp.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/apr/15/the-demise-of-daily-letters-3g-and-cash-are-governments-leaving-us-old-and-young-fogeys-behind
    Sam Buckingham-Jones tells us about the big shake-up that is said to be imminent at News Corp Australia.
    https://www.afr.com/companies/media-and-marketing/news-corp-plots-major-shake-up-as-meta-money-ends-google-deal-nears-20240412-p5fjds
    Iran has failed to land a punch. What happens next is in Netanyahu’s hands, writes Peter Hartcher,
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/iran-has-failed-to-land-a-punch-what-happens-next-is-in-netanyahu-s-hands-20240414-p5fjow.html
    David Livingstone argues why Iran’s latest attack should give Australia pause for thought on AUKUS.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/why-iran-s-latest-attack-should-give-australia-pause-for-thought-on-aukus-20240412-p5fjhf.html
    Netanyahu wanted a wider conflict, and Tehran has walked into his trap. The major powers must immediately head this off, urges Simon Tisdall.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/apr/14/iran-drone-attack-israel-crisis-benjamin-netanyahu-tehran
    Alan Kohler writes that climate change is cost, not benefit, and saying we can win is a lie.
    https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2024/04/15/alan-kohler-climate-change-lie
    Victoria Devine says that the Coalition’s super-for-housing plan is a terrible idea and lists several reasons for saying it.
    https://www.smh.com.au/money/investing/why-the-coalition-s-super-for-housing-plan-is-a-terrible-idea-20240412-p5fjet.html
    “Digital care platforms like Mable are seeking to bring higher levels of efficiency, choice and control to the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS). But are they striking the right balance between those principles and client safety?”, asks Zacharias Szumer.
    https://michaelwest.com.au/mable-the-uber-of-ndis-digitisation-and-client-care/
    Global multinational food giants such as Nestle, Coca-Cola, Mars and PepsiCo are facing a push to front the Senate inquiry into supermarket prices, after being accused of playing hardball with Australian retailers and driving up prices at the checkout. Jessica Yun writes about what the Australian Retailers Association is saying. She reports that Australian Food and Grocery Council chief executive Tanya Barden, who represents food manufacturers that supply to supermarkets, objected to Woolworths’ characterisation of multinationals withholding supply.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/multinational-giants-urged-to-front-supermarket-inquiry-for-playing-hardball-20240411-p5fj6q.html
    Trump thinks embracing January 6 rioters will win the election – experts say it encourages them, says this article sourced from the New York Times. What a mess!
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/trump-thinks-embracing-january-6-rioters-will-win-the-election-experts-say-it-encourages-them-20240414-p5fjq4.html
    A defiant Donald Trump continued to attack the prosecutor, judge and a key witness in the New York hush-money criminal trial against him, a signal that the former president will continue to embrace bombast as jury selection in the case begins today. Trump described what will be the first criminal trial against a former US president as a “communist show trial”, during a rally in Schnecksville, Pennsylvania, on Saturday. He also described his indictment as a “badge of honor” and cast himself as a martyr for his supporters. “I’m proud to do it for you,” he said.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/14/donald-trump-reaction-hush-money-trial

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe

    David Pope

    Matt Golding

    Alan Moir

    Mark Knight


    Leak

    From the US












  14. Shouldn’t this:

    The future of a state government research funding program which has assisted teams developing artificial hearts and turning spider venom into drug therapies is in doubt, with researchers unsure if they will continue to receive funds beyond July. Mary Ward reports that the NSW Medical Research Support Program has provided about $45 million a year to the state’s medical research institutions.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/future-of-medical-research-in-doubt-as-question-mark-lingers-over-45-million-funding-20240411-p5fj6o.html
    Our track record in medical innovation can only be maintained with funding support, urges the SMH editorial.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/our-track-record-in-medical-innovation-can-only-be-maintained-with-funding-support-20240413-p5fjji.html

    Go hand-in-hand with this?

    Public funds will be poured into projects to make medicine and medical devices for the global market under a $1.5 billion federal plan that deepens a political row over industry subsidies. David Crowe tells us that the federal government will release the blueprint for its looming investments in healthcare manufacturing after Anthony Albanese ignited a debate on industry aid with a “made in Australia” policy pledge last week.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/budget-s-1-5b-prescription-for-making-medicines-in-australia-20240412-p5fjgk.html

  15. Republicans should be careful what they wish for.

    The United States is not alone in confronting a right-wing authoritarian movement that, in addition to undermining democratic institutions and lashing out at the news media (“enemy of the people”), makes curtailing women’s reproductive freedom central to its agenda. The experience of Poland, in which a right-wing government virtually eliminated access to abortion and later paid for it at the ballot box, is instructive as Republicans try to flee from the harsh implications of their antiabortion ideology.

    Polish voters last year threw out the right-wing government after eight years of authoritarian rule. Women disproportionately carried pro-democracy forces to victory. “Almost 75% of eligible women voted — a 12% increase over 2019,” wrote political scientist Patrice McMahon for the Conversation. “The election also saw a record number of female candidates (44%) and the largest percentage of women (30%) voted into Poland’s Sejm.”

    Their activism largely centered on abortion. When the right-wing Law and Justice party (PiS) took office in 2015, McMahon wrote, “Poland had one of the strictest abortion laws in Europe. After the ruling government tightened abortion restrictions further, Polish women took to the streets.” Lo and behold, “A breakdown of the women’s vote finds that many women voted for leftist and centrist parties that made women’s rights and liberalized abortion laws a priority.” The democratic coalition leader Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s party is now proposing loosening (albeit not eliminating) abortion restrictions. (Victories for the PiS in local and regional elections, announced Monday, show that the threat from the right has not been completely quelled.)

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/04/14/abortion-poland-maga/

  16. ”
    C@tmommasays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 6:26 am
    Deborah Snow picks up one of the threads and makes a point of noting it:

    As is well-known, the Bondi area is home to a significant population of residents of Jewish heritage. Tensions have been running high between the Jewish and Muslim communities in Australia’s two largest cities – and in the square of public opinion – ever since the Hamas attacks on Israel on October 7 and the bloodbath in Gaza that has followed. Emotions and rhetoric have been running white-hot. The merest hint that Saturday’s attack could have been related to what is unfolding in Israel and Gaza would have been akin to dropping a lit match into dry kindling.

    Not that that stopped armchair theorists from leaping into premature speculation on social media, with some responsible voices sheepishly retracting in the hours that followed.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/not-since-the-lindt-siege-has-sydney-known-grief-like-this-20240414-p5fjnl.html

    Blot? Credlin? Chris Kenny?
    ”

    Human headline?

  18. Regardless of Trump, how anyone could rate the COVID years as ‘good years’ is beyond me.
    People have short memories.

  19. ”
    Andrew_Earlwoodsays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 6:43 am
    “ Meth & mushrooms re: Bondi. And yet there’s still people out there who think drug use is a victimless crime. What a joke.”

    ____

    What a vile, ignorant troll you are Jasmine.

    The perpetrator’s problems started with an early diagnosis of schizophrenia. Remarkably, although ‘known to police’ he had no arrests, let alone a criminal record: which would in my considerable experience be rather unique for someone who was merely a meth-head or mushroom user. If indeed he was using illicit substances, it is more likely than not that he was attempting self-medication.
    ”

    Yesterday I saw on Channel 9 that the murderer advertised himself as ‘male escort ‘. Could it be possible that he is ‘known to police’ like that?

  20. torchbearer says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:42 am
    Regardless of Trump, how anyone could rate the COVID years as ‘good years’ is beyond me.
    People have short memories.

    _________

    The alternate explanation is 70% of Americans think “hell is other people” 😉

  24. Griff @ #1722 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 7:45 am

    torchbearer says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:42 am
    Regardless of Trump, how anyone could rate the COVID years as ‘good years’ is beyond me.
    People have short memories.

    _________

    The alternate explanation is 70% of Americans think “hell is other people” 😉

    The other alternate explanation is that Trump, Fox, Newsmax, OAN, Steve Bannon, Joe Rogan, Charlie Kirk etc etc in the RW media and political ecosystem keep telling them how great it used to be and the goldfish in the American fishbowl therefore believe them.

  25. Yesterday I saw on Channel 9 that the murderer advertised himself as ‘male escort ‘. Could it be possible that he is ‘known to police’ like that?

    Possibly. Also via covert surveillance of his dealers and their customers.

  26. The final victim of the Bondi Westfield stabbing massacre was on the phone to her fiance just minutes before she was stabbed while shopping. Chinese national Yixuan Cheng, 27, was killed along with five others by crazed Queensland man Joel Cauchi during a horrific stabbing rampage on Saturday afternoon.

  28. C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 8:05 am
    Griff @ #1719 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 7:41 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:34 am

    Different stages of the pipeline. Research v manufacture.
    If it’s a pipeline it should all be flowing in the same direction, from beginning to end down the pipe.

    _______________

    That level of integration is sometimes available commercially in-house ie. big Pharma. Otherwise it is a game of Donkey Kong.

  30. The company Gold Hydrogen Ltd have announced that they were granted permission to explore on the Yorke Peninsula and Kangaroo Island.

    Gold hydrogen is naturally occurring that may be regenerated but little is known.

    A good fit for the states green steel enterprise. When used in a fuel cell to generate electricity it produces the purest of new water which would be welcome in SA.

    https://arr.news/2023/08/01/positive-hydrogen-results-revealed/

  31. Ven @ #1716 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 7:41 am

    ”
    C@tmommasays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 6:26 am
    Deborah Snow picks up one of the threads and makes a point of noting it:

    As is well-known, the Bondi area is home to a significant population of residents of Jewish heritage. Tensions have been running high between the Jewish and Muslim communities in Australia’s two largest cities – and in the square of public opinion – ever since the Hamas attacks on Israel on October 7 and the bloodbath in Gaza that has followed. Emotions and rhetoric have been running white-hot. The merest hint that Saturday’s attack could have been related to what is unfolding in Israel and Gaza would have been akin to dropping a lit match into dry kindling.

    Not that that stopped armchair theorists from leaping into premature speculation on social media, with some responsible voices sheepishly retracting in the hours that followed.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/not-since-the-lindt-siege-has-sydney-known-grief-like-this-20240414-p5fjnl.html

    Blot? Credlin? Chris Kenny?
    ”

    Human headline?

    Both Blot and Credlin have had half hearted attempts at this.

  32. Taylormadesays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:22 am
    Scottsays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 6:41 am
    No newspoll , probably not much has change
    Bad news for lib/nats and their propaganda media units.
    _____________________
    [Am sure they would be happy with the 50/50 at this stage of the game. 1st term in opposition after being in power the previous 3.]

    That is a very reasonable question to ask!

  33. ”
    sprocket_says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 6:55 am
    Freshwater poll in AFR today….
    ”

    Scott
    LNP hits 40% PV, whether we like it or not. In minority LNP government territory.

  34. Griff @ #1730 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 8:34 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 8:05 am
    Griff @ #1719 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 7:41 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:34 am

    Different stages of the pipeline. Research v manufacture.
    If it’s a pipeline it should all be flowing in the same direction, from beginning to end down the pipe.

    _______________

    That level of integration is sometimes available commercially in-house ie. big Pharma. Otherwise it is a game of Donkey Kong.

    Or if an effective and efficient government has oversight.

  35. C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 8:57 am
    Griff @ #1730 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 8:34 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 8:05 am
    Griff @ #1719 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 7:41 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:34 am

    Different stages of the pipeline. Research v manufacture.
    If it’s a pipeline it should all be flowing in the same direction, from beginning to end down the pipe.

    _______________

    “That level of integration is sometimes available commercially in-house ie. big Pharma. Otherwise it is a game of Donkey Kong.”

    Or if an effective and efficient government has oversight.

    _______________

    Could you point to other governments that have achieved vertical integration of their pharma pipelines? I applaud the desire, but have yet to see it manifest elsewhere.

  36. I truly despise Leak, it seems that pretty much every cartoon he draws is done so with an intention to create a false narrative.

    Having said that the Bondi tragedy is yet another example of the decline of Mental Health support in Australia. It’s easy to simply write off the perpetrator as being a coward and an aberration and leave it at that however that would be wrong and a mistake.

    My sister and I have had to manage our mothers schizophrenia since we reached adulthood. It’s been damn near impossible to get the support we needed, when in a psychotic episode the reality someone with schizophrenia is going through is totally detached from actual events around them.

    With the gradual withdrawal of Mental Health support and the nature of the legal system it’s nearly impossible to get intervention until it is too late.

    Until a person undergoing a psychotic episode does something openly the police can’t get involved, luckily for us my sister was an experienced ER nurse so we could usually get the MH crash team involved earlier enough in her episodes but once or twice we couldn’t get the support because she wasn’t openly psychotic enough, the resolution in those cases usually involved an openly public situation days or weeks later with law enforcement involved (who have no clue how to handle these things).

    To be clear, the police officer in Bondi had no choice but to shoot the guy. It was too late to do anything different given the immediacy of the situation.

  37. The opinion polling is not showing what has been happening when actual voting has occurred

    In the 2 non safe Labor seats by-election
    1 was Swing against the Liberal party
    2 were Swings to Labor

  40. ABC News reports that five Iranian ballistic missiles hit Israel’s Nevatim Air Base, causing damage to a ‘C-130 transport aircraft, an unused runway and empty storage facilities’.

  41. goll says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 8:50 am
    Taylormadesays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:22 am
    Scottsays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 6:41 am
    No newspoll , probably not much has change
    Bad news for lib/nats and their propaganda media units.
    _____________________
    [Am sure they would be happy with the 50/50 at this stage of the game. 1st term in opposition after being in power the previous 3.]

    That is a very reasonable question to ask!
    ———————————————-
    Would they be happy though

    With all the propaganda against Labor , they still cannot get into the lead

  42. The federal lib/nats have not been pressured to release the details of where the nuclear reactors are to be
    Despite Dutton and the lib/nats proapganda media units claim it would be released close to a month ago

    Labor would be attacked daily

    And Dutton and cronies have not been called out for their incompetence during their time in government

  43. Holdenhillbillysays:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 8:18 am
    The final victim of the Bondi Westfield stabbing massacre was on the phone to her fiance just minutes before she was stabbed while shopping. Chinese national Yixuan Cheng, 27, was killed along with five others by crazed Queensland man Joel Cauchi during a horrific stabbing rampage on Saturday afternoon.
    ———
    The man was homeless, had a mental health problem since a late teenager.
    And what ever services to help him were not enough or non existent.
    The Federal or State governments over the years as well as now ignored his needs.
    So he was free to do what he wanted.
    Safety to Australians was never considered. He isn’t the only one with mental health issues who has killed Australians.
    Some people are suggesting the Callan Park Mental Health institution, in Sydney, and others should be reopened.

    These poor people are of no interest to governments. $billions are spent on other policies that do not make Australians safer.

  44. BK @ #1712 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 7:22 am

    Alan Kohler writes that climate change is cost, not benefit, and saying we can win is a lie.
    https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2024/04/15/alan-kohler-climate-change-lie

    Alan Kohler with a truth bomb …

    All the cheerleading about the benefits of the energy transition shouldn’t disguise the fact that what we’re all trying to do here is prevent a global catastrophe and the way things are going, we might not succeed, or only half succeed.

    It is not a bright new industrial revolution but an attempt to prevent a hellscape caused by the last industrial revolution, the one that gave us oil, coal and gas.

    In short, getting to net zero will be a cost not a benefit, and the less it costs us now, the more likely it will be to fail, so the higher the cost later.

    I understand the political and business impulse to talk it up and tell us that everything’s going to be terrific, with a future made in Australia etc, because if they told us the truth we’d all line up at a bridge or tall building and jump off.

    But in the quiet of our homes, with the TV turned off, we might remember that we’re trying to prevent a catastrophe while getting ready to deal with the risk of failure, or at least we should be.

    Not a bonanza.

    Labor’s “Make Australia Great Again” campaign is an election strategy, not an energy transition policy. It is not likely to help us address climate change. Quite the contrary – it may actually hinder our efforts to do so by diverting money away from where it is needed into futile flag-waving and chest-beating.

    Which will not impress our trading partners – those who are doing the hard yards – one little bit.

  45. Oakeshott Country says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 9:25 am
    Well there was CSL …oh

    ___________

    Admittedly manifest was a poor choice of word.

    Would you accept currently exist? 🙂

  46. Griff @ #1737 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 9:04 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 8:57 am
    Griff @ #1730 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 8:34 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 8:05 am
    Griff @ #1719 Monday, April 15th, 2024 – 7:41 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:34 am

    Different stages of the pipeline. Research v manufacture.
    If it’s a pipeline it should all be flowing in the same direction, from beginning to end down the pipe.

    _______________

    “That level of integration is sometimes available commercially in-house ie. big Pharma. Otherwise it is a game of Donkey Kong.”

    Or if an effective and efficient government has oversight.

    _______________

    Could you point to other governments that have achieved vertical integration of their pharma pipelines? I applaud the desire, but have yet to see it manifest elsewhere.

    Why do they have to be Pharma pipelines? Nevertheless, ‘Operation Warp Speed’ was successful, much as I hate to give Donald Trump’s Administration credit for anything.

    Also, Anthony Albanese is more of an Infrastructure guy, and Ed Husic and Chris Bowen are seriously smart guys who would be implementing the plan.

    Maybe you just haven’t seen the right government in the right place at the right time in order to get the examples you are looking for?

    To which I will just add that John Kehoe mentioned on Insiders yesterday that the Gillard government’s Carbon Price, worked on by Greg Combet iirc, would have enabled everything the Albanese government want to do now by other means. They just had a vicious Opposition tear it pieces.

  48. Scott 9.28am
    “Would they be happy though

    With all the propaganda against Labor , they still cannot get into the lead”

    The Liberal/National reality is that despite the extent of their treachery over ten years, the number of disgraced LNP members having to exit Parliament, the paucity of genuine LNP talent, a failed loser LNP PM, the failed LNP attempts to manage the economy, the complete disregard and vandalism of the environment, the discrimination of women, the LNP proposal to go nuclear, the racist hatred of indigenous peoples, the incongruous Nationals identity, the housing dilemma and the persecution of the least well off, the LNP should feel quite pleased with their polling numbers

    In many other countries, a failed right wing government with the corruption displayed by the LNP would need to flee, finding exile in other like minded dictatorships.

    The MSM bias and the complete political disinterest of the voting public are substantial factors enabling both the Liberal and Nationals to exist.

    The Federal LNP shouldn’t be within cooee of regaining government, probably should be confined to extremist classification for an eon and classified with the other nutters like Hanson, Palmer, Abetz, Abbott or Antic.

    Yet they are allowed by the MSM and the cuckolded ABC to maintained a presence beyond their capabilities and relevance.

    Labor are fighting on two fronts, the need to provide a forward looking government and at the same time “not to spook the horses”.

    The real disappointment is the reluctance of the voters to acknowledge the dangers presented by a return to the LNP.

    The existence and growth of the Teals as a political movement has had an important roll to play in keeping the nakedly exposed corruption and anti environment banana LNP government from government.

    The possibility of a minority Labor government after the next election just rewards the lack of leadership, past treachery and corruption by the Federal LNP and the dangerous projections that the LNP promote.

    The LNP nutters that have gravitated to PB is enough to ” frighten the horses”!

    Nath is an exiled “voice of reason”!

    The prospect of a hybrid Qld. LNP state government is a threat beyond belief but a rather daunting reality and a reminder that Australia is more than capable of its own Maga tragedy.

  49. Essential seems to have direction of country as positive by about a third -?
    Doubt that is the same third of PV with the non-major parties.
    Or the opposition’s third+.
    Surely, red Liebor/ centrist, blue Libs lite should be able to progress Australia, fair, more than the opposition can advance it?
    Hmmm.
    2022, https://www.abc.net.au/news/factcheck/promisetracker
    2023, VTP&E, (J)AUKUS and floating nukes, Ukraine
    2024, FMIA
    2025, … how will ‘Tel Aviv … Albo’ do what on governance (non-Ersatz fICAC/ CIC, campaign finance reform, useful FoI through X/ TikTok …, mandatory and binding referendums on war powers, republic/ monarchy/ flag …), powershift, climate, inequality, health …

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