Resolve Strategic: Labor 35, Coalition 34, Greens 12 (open thread)

The Coalition primary vote lifts off the canvas in what remains the strongest federal polling series for Labor.

The monthly Resolve Strategic poll in the Age/Herald has the Coalition up four points on the primary vote to 34% without taking a bite out of Labor’s 35%, the balance coming from drops of one point for the Greens to 12%, two for One Nation to 5% and one for the United Australia Party to 1%. The pollster does not provide two-party preferred numbers but I get it to 54.6-45.4 to Labor – a seemingly solid result for Labor, but just shading the June poll as its weakest since the election, in line with the broader trend when Resolve’s skew to Labor relative to other pollsters is accounted for.

Anthony Albanese is down three on approval to 36% and up two on disapproval to 48%, while Peter Dutton is respectively down one to 34% and up two to 42%. Preferred prime minister is little changed at 42-28 in Albanese’s favour, compared with 40-27 last month. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1605, and will presumably be followed over the next few days by a bi-monthly read of Victorian voting intention combining results from this poll and last month’s.

Also out yesterday was the weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor’s lead back to 51-49 after moving three points in their favour to 52.5-45 last week. The primary votes are Labor 32.5% (up half a point), Coalition 37.5% (up two-and-a-half), Greens 12.5% (down one) and One Nation 5% (steady). The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1730.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,103 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Labor 35, Coalition 34, Greens 12 (open thread)”

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  1. Been Theresays:
    Thursday, December 7, 2023 at 11:16 pm
    Any of the LNP crew on duty have any thoughts on this?,18153

    As good a delivery of reality as is available which will be dismissed by the LNP publically as they set about issuing another plethora of ” bullshit” using their “closeness” to the MSM to avoid scrutiny.

    The LNP and their symbiotic media shrills, not to mention the shrills on PB, will “carry on” without ” missing a step”.
    It’s the LNP way.

    You need look to further than the “defamation” melee to see the level of disingenuous bluff and bluster that the LNP are capable of.

    It’s unimaginable that with the avalanche of deceit and tomfoolery that was associated with the Morrison government, and the reality so blatantly cast aside by the Dutton opposition and the MSM , together with disinterested voter public that the LNP have seemingly regained a slither of trust in such a short time.
    The Voice surprised many in the end.

    What other surprises are ready to puncture the political quagmire of Australia politics?
    ” For whom the polls toll”
    (as has been expressed before)

  2. michael says:
    “There is a national poll which says 62% of people say the transition to renewables is making their power bills more expensive.”

    “There is a national poll”, is there, michael?

    Where is this fabled poll? Who conducted it? Who did they ask? What did they ask?

    Post a link for our edification. So that we can judge how authoritative your touted poll might be.

    You do realise that this a psephology site, don’t you?

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