The latest Newspoll courtesy of The Australian maintains the general pattern of late in finding Labor maintaining strong leads on voting intention while Indigeous Voice support continues to collapse. The two-party result is 54-46 in favour of Labor, out from 53-47 last time, from primary votes of Labor 36% (up one), Coalition 36% (down one), Greens 11% (down two) and One Nation 6% (down one).
The leadership ratings are highlighted by a slump for Peter Dutton, who is down six on approval to 32% and up three on disapproval to 52%, while Anthony Albanese is up one to 47% and down three to 44%. Preferred prime minister is nonetheless little changed, with Albanese’s lead out from 50-31 to 50-30.
The good news for the government ends on the question of the Indigenous Voice, on which yes is down two to 36% and no is up three to 56%. Pyxis Polling’s promptly published methodology statement tells us the poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1239.
UPDATE (Freshwater Strategy): Less happy news for Labor on the voting intention front a Freshwater Strategy poll in the Financial Review, the third federal poll from this outfit this term. The previous poll in May gave Labor a lead of 52-48 when the general trend was around 55-45, and this one has it at 51-49, from primary votes of Labor 33% (down one), Coalition 37% (steady) and Greens 13% (up one). Anthony Albanese has net negative personal ratings with 38% favourable (down four) and 41% unfavourable (up four), while Peter Dutton is at 30% (steady) and 40% (down two). Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is in from 51-33 to 46-37. A question on the Indigenous Voice finds yes on 33% and no on 50%. The poll was conducted Friday to Sunday from a sample of 1003.
Prime Minister Albanese was prepared to risk political capital to do the Voice referendum. And he is being rewarded for that by the electorate continuing to give him their support.
Poor Lars is a little legless with this result. Looking very silly.
PM Albanese must wake up every morning and say an affirmation to an unnamed entity “ how good is it that Dutton is still oppo leader”
C@tmommasays:
Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 9:53 pm
Prime Minister Albanese was prepared to risk political capital to do the Voice referendum. And he is being rewarded for that by the electorate continuing to give him their support.
________________
Is that a statement from the PM’s office?
Sad to see the Voice still struggling in the polls.
But I’m glad to see Albo and Labor’s support is strong.
As it should be. Albo was faithful to his word in holding the Voice referendum. Win or lose he has nothing to apologise for.
Whereas Dutton has doubled down on lying attack dog.
As I was saying, even if Dutton is disapproved of by the masses, amongst his own kind* defeating the referendum will be a bid deal and make him a hero. And the party room is the where they elect the leader.
* knuckle dragging, mouth breathing, troglodytes.
Seems Dutton is wearing all the blowback. Cant say I’m surprised: his unedifying spoiler act on Indigenous rights was never going to impress voters that he was fit to govern.
Personally I think some No voters understand that Albanese heart is in the right place even though they have an issue with the Voice being in the Constitution. Also can see that Dutton is all about politics.
Having said that there will be a wide range of views affecting No voters. Certainly not all are due to racist sentiment. Really too complex to generalise.
That is a huge drop on Spuds approval ratings. He is less popular than Abbott IMO.
nath @ #NaN Sunday, September 24th, 2023 – 9:55 pm
Fuck off, nath, you insignificant worm.
It’s not my fault that I have more eloquence in my little finger than you will ever have in your entire life.
I know you must be bitterly disappointed with the Newspoll result. Go cry me a river.
Slur me a river c@t
B.S. Fairman @ #NaN Sunday, September 24th, 2023 – 9:56 pm
However, Rule #1 in Liberal Party power politics is, they don’t tolerate losers for very long. It’s all about the arithmetic, as John Howard was fond of saying. And the arithmetic for Dutton is in the negative.
Albo after Oct 14 can make Linda Burney carry the can for the defeat of the Voice, get Catherine King out of the way too – a good excuse for a minor reshuffle.
The fact that Dutton is taking collateral damage is no great surprise, he has too many negatives and too much baggage.
Andrew Hastie is their only option.
Lars Von Trier @ #NaN Sunday, September 24th, 2023 – 10:00 pm
You’ll think of something slimy, soon enough, Lars Von Trier. Btw, it wasn’t me who opened the slur batting. It was your little toy boy, nath. I don’t see you having a go at him, though. Of course not. Heaven forbid you were honest.
Punters are rightly making the disconnect between Albos govt performance and the Voice treating them seperately. Spud is about as popular as herpes.
Rex is Chalmers going to have to delay his challenge now or nah?
You know, it’s a shocking result for the LNP, really.
It would appear their success in muddying the waters on the Voice is leaving a bad taste in the public mouth, and risks crushing them electorally.
There’s goes the narrative at The Oz, too.
There is a cure for herpes.
Albo is as safe as houses. Its Spud who is more likely to be challenged.
Andrew Hastie is their only option.
If you want an Evangelical Ken doll LOTO with all the personality of a packet of Corn Flakes.
Homophobic remarks now c@t? That’s a new low.
Davidwh
Its called Newscorpse (who are always trying to cure him)
Knock it off.
Davidwh
Its called Newscorpse (who are always trying to cure him)
I’ve only met one no voter, and he is a royalist racist climate change denier. Just saying.
I can not understand why anyone would vote no.
Good to see Newscorp is back on track in terms of regularity.
Dutton is keeping some ugly company on the No side, and saying and doing some nasty things – people seem to be noticing.
Man this poll is cruel, giving Albanese false hope that his premiership will actually survive. Even I’m feeling a little sorry for him.
Lars Von Trier says:
Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 9:55 pm
PM Albanese must wake up every morning and say an affirmation to an unnamed entity “ how good is it that Dutton is still oppo leader”
The affirmation should be “How good is it the best the Liberals have to offer as opposition leader is Dutton”, Lar you support the Liberal shit show, do you really want to be there.
MABWM @ #NaN Sunday, September 24th, 2023 – 10:08 pm
I’ve met a couple. My next door neighbours. But he’s paid to be a Voice for No on the radio. I don’t know whether he truly believes the propaganda he’s paid to spread, though.
, momma,
I don’t think any of them actually believe the garbage they are spouting.
They know in their hearts they are just trolls.
Keith Woolahan, the Liberal MP for Menzies, seems a very decent young bloke, one to watch on their side of politics. Dutton is a grub and a wrecker, always was and always will be.
Mind you, the probable defeat of the Voice comes down to Albanese refusing to compromise on that referendum question when he had the chance to do so, and the likes of Noel Pearson, Marcia Langton and Thomas Mayo have been dead weights for the Yes campaign. That is a shame for them because Dean Parkin is a genuinely good fella.
If there’s a divergence between voice yes and labor support – no doubt many on here will automatically distance too.
Could have blown me down with a feather when Arky said today he would have preferred a legislated voice over ref. No doubt more to come.
For something completely different, and very interesting:
davidwh @ #18 Sunday, September 24th, 2023 – 10:05 pm
Treatment, not cure. HSV 1 & 2, HZV & CMV are persistent viruse (ie they weave into our DNA) but can be suppressed by aciclovir & ganciclovir respectively. The moldy Spud not so much.
I agree dem. Sausage – I thought after Aston Dutton would be gone by Xmas.
Not a lot of love for either of the majors in these numbers. Duttons unpopularity works relatively for Albo.
The probable defeat of no, should it come to that, will have nothing to do with Albo. It’s all on Dutton.
Dutton was never going to compromise. He only knows one way. nope. Nope. Nope. It’s all he’s got. Continually deals himself out of the game. Look at housing.
The greens are now the opposition! Leaves me torn as I have a foot in both camps.
Heh Cat, you need to withdraw the toy boy comment. It wasn’t meant as a homophobic slur but it is open to interpretation that way. You know I love you.
night all.
Lars, I love it when LNP groupies run with that argument.
You cannot call 54:46 against you as a good result. There is no second prize in Australian democracy.
Ladies and Gentlemen! I wish to submit my prediction for the next election. Coalition will secure 74 seats, enough to form a minority government with crossbench support. This of course will make Peter Dutton Prime Minister, defeating the Chalmers lead Labor party (Chalmers will oust Albanese with the assistance of Bill Shorten in June/July of next year). Of course, you will no doubt read this and laugh. But I invite you to watch the live coverage of the next election with this page comment open. I will be seeing all after the referendum/NZ election. Nostradamus out!
A No vote of 56-58 would include about 30% of Labor voters, but those people are overall not flocking to Dutton, they are staying loyal to the government.
So the PM and the very capable Jim Chalmers can easily switch the focus back to more cost of living relief for example.
NDNW:
Whatever helps you sleep at night, Sean.
MABWM @ #37 Sunday, September 24th, 2023 – 10:22 pm
Okay, I withdraw it. However, it strictly refers to a heterosexual relationship. Look it up.
Albanese could say, I gave the Uluru working group everything they wanted, they got their dream Referendum, it is really the combined fault of the Yes23 lot and Dutton that this thing lost.
Agree Democracy Sausage. The long term losers from a no vote will be First Australians and reconciliation.
Labor 54-46 is a pleasing result. The margin of error is about 3%, so usual caveats but it’s in comfortable territory.
Sadly, the forces of ignorance, hate and stupidity look set to win the day on October 14.
‘Nixon Did Nothing Wrong’ = Sean Tisme, Asha?
Nixon if you really think that you might want to put a few bucks on the betting. You could get $3 for Chalmers to be the next Labor leader and more than $3 for the LNP to win the election. You’d get 10 times your cash if you parlayed the Labor leader change into the LNP win!
MABWM @ #30 Sunday, September 24th, 2023 – 10:17 pm
The best ones are handsomely rewarded for their talent at the microphone, day in, day out. We keep commenting how nice he seems, and how could he be the same person you hear on the radio every day spreading manure?
In case you are sceptical about the talents of our resident soothsayer, here are some of the other excellent predictions that have previously been made by Nixon Did Nothing Wrong / Nostradamus / Sean Tisme / True Blue Aussie:
Tony Abbott will be PM for over ten years.
Annastacia “Whats-her-name” will never beat Campbell Newman.
Okay, so Annastacia “Whats-her-name” did beat Newman, but her shambolic minority government will collapse within months.
Trump will win the 2020 election.
Morrison will win the 2022 election.
Can’t knock his consistently Asha