Federal voting intention numbers from the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll have both parties down a point on the primary vote from a fortnight ago, with Labor at 33% and the Coalition at 30%, with the Greens enjoying a curiously timed three point surge to 17%, One Nation down two to 6% and undecided unchanged at 5%. Presumably reflecting the elevated result for the Greens, Labor is up two on the 2PP+ measure at 55% and the Coalition are down two to 40%, with undecided steady at 5%.
The poll also featured the pollster’s monthly “favourability ratings” for the two leaders, whom respondents rate on a scale of one to ten rather than provide straight approval and disapproval responses. Anthony Albanese’s results were little changed from late November, with 47% rating him seven or higher (up one), 27% from four to six (up one) and 22% from zero to three (down one), while Peter Dutton is respectively at 26% (down two), 31% (down one) and 35% (up two).
Support for an Indigenous voice increased two points to 65% with opposition down two to 35%, while 30% said they felt well informed about the proposal compared with 37% for poorly informed. Forty-three per cent rated that the country was headed in the right direction (down one), compared with 37% for the wrong direction (up one). The 300 respondents from New South Wales were again asked about approval of the state leaders, with Dominic Perrottet up four on approval to 51% and down three on disapproval to 33%, while Chris Minns at is steady at 38% and down two to 25%.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1000.
3,009 comments on “Essential Research 2PP+: Labor 55, Coalition 40, undecided 5 (open thread)”
Here we go again:
“Including the business of a relation to a former Liberal Party MP who was vocal on Franking Credits”
Ah yes, Tim Wilson’s dad’s cousin.
Or, as the media spun it, a “distant relative”.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
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From the US
Mavis @ #2998 Monday, February 13th, 2023 – 11:58 pm
Rank? Armchair Admiral
There’s a new thread, BK. 🙂
RossMcg @ 7.20pm
It was my belief and understanding that Tony Burke had, or was planning, to initiate a review of the AAT.
This review would be become the basis for disbanding the current AAT and creating a new body – minus the LNP parasites.
Or is he waiting for the interim or final determination of the Robodebt Commission, before he makes this determination.
I dont have an opinion of the current head of navy, but him being an ex submariner is encouraging. However, the AUKUS die has been cast without the involvement of senior officers from the submarine service: only retired US Navy submariners seem to have had any input. Yo are right – the navy (by which I mean mostly a cadre of ex Frigate commanders) have long lusted after RN Nuclear subs. Basically (and one can see this first hand if one gets the ‘pleasure’ of being invited to dine in the officers mess) the Navy is chokers with blokes who wish they were either in the RN (the senior service, what!) or at least an cadet branch of the USN with all their impressive tech. they were never happy with partnering with the spanish (AWDs and LHDs), let alone the French (‘remember Trafalgar old boy. What!’).
Of course, dear old Mavis will have conniptions about characterising the Navy brass this way, but FMD – as a tax payer – we are not getting value for money from most of their ‘decisions’. The only parts of the service i really respect are the actual submariners and clearance divers – because both are inherently hard jobs – regardless of whether we are at peace or not. This tends to bring good, sensible and practical folk to the top of the tree, IMO.
@Socrates. I think Turnbull tweeted an important point after Mead’s interview last night:
“ Turnbull said on Monday evening: “I think the question which has not been answered is: could the submarines be operated if US technical advice/support were withdrawn? The entire resources of the Australian news media have been unable to pin the government or the navy down on that.”
Personally, I dont care if for the first few years of operation our nuclear subs embark a mixed crew. It actually makes sense, because there will inevitably be several years of at sea service before our capability is fully mature. I think the focus on crewing is a distraction from the two key ‘sovereignty’ considerations. Turnbull has hit the first consideration on the head. The second is even more critical: “can the US or UK government simply ‘turn off’ our submarine capability if there is some sort of diplomatic disagreement as between allies? Would this fact then deter the Australian Government from putting Australia’s interests ahead of America or Britain’s if it was faced with another Gulf War moment: would it counsel against actions that were adverse to Australia? Would it have the courage to say ‘no’?”
It is this second consideration that worries me most. AUKUS subs are only truly ‘superior’ to other options if one is planning for direct Australian involvement in a war in North Asia. In other words against china and in the South China Sea and northwards. Probably over some Taiwanese pretext. As a matter of strategic fact such a conflict is not Australia’s strategic concern: the defence of Australia is. That is not to say we would not get involved (collective defence, ‘standing up to bullies’ etc etc) but that would be ‘an extra’ to our main game. therefore we should – IMO must – maintain the ability to at least think critically as to whether we chose to get involved, and if so HOW we get involved. Frankly, we do not have the foreign policy, or defence policy or treaty relationship structures in place for that task. In fact, we are running away at a million miles an hour from putting that framework in place. This has obvious – and terrifying – sovereignty implications for Australia.
Rank? Armchair Admiral”
And your rank is The Generalissimo Jingo, war@c@t.
This is excellent news. 🙂