Return of the track (open thread)

The return of the Poll Bludger’s BludgerTrack federal polling aggregate, which confirms what you already knew about Labor’s commanding position since coming to power in May.

Since we’re unlikely to see any polling of any significance for at least another month or so, this would seem an opportune moment to relaunch BludgerTrack, which just has enough data to work off to produce trend measures of voting intention and leaders’ ratings since the May federal election. Naturally it currently shows Labor well on top, with a two-party preferred lead of fully 57.0-43.0, with Anthony Albanese in a similarly commanding position on net approval and preferred prime minister. As before, it also comes with tabular displays of all published voting intention data both nationally and for such breakdowns as have been provided, which at this stage isn’t much. The latter issue means we’re a long way off from being able to produce state-level breakdowns, which to this stage have really only been produced by Resolve Strategic, and then only for the three biggest states. The Australian usually provides aggregated breakdowns of Newspoll in the days following Christmas, but Newspoll results have been thin enough on the ground lately that there seems no guarantee of that.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

320 comments on “Return of the track (open thread)”

Comments Page 1 of 7
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  1. Thanks, William.
    You have had an extraordinary year of election analysis.
    Hopefully, you can have a few weeks break until we, from NSW, have to face our state election in March.

  2. A round of applause for the return of Bludgertrack.

    And thank god the soccer cup is over. It feels like it’s been going for years not months.

  3. Morning all. Thanks for bludger track William. It is a thing of beauty. I understand why you paused it with few polls published.

    Congratulations Argentine and Leo Messi. A great final.

    Off to the gym.

  4. The raw figures, if realised at an election, are fabulous for the government and would suggest a gain of up to 32 seats and consolidating their most marginal seat: Gilmore on a 5% margin.
    However, I would consider that 22 seats are winnable for the ALP.
    The 6 Teal seats that fall in this margin I think will be consolidated by ALP / Green preferences, but the ALP should regain Fowler and the seats of Ryan & Brisbane from the Greens.
    Although falling into this category the following seats, based on the 2022 results, are most likely to be an Independent versus LNP contest: Cowper, Wannon, Nichols & Bradfield.
    Of course, my analysis depends on an even distribution of votes and could be altered by local and state factors.
    A 4.9% swing only realises a possible 2 seats in NSW, if the above factors are considered, but potentially 9 seats in Queensland, 1 in SA & Tasmania, 5 in Victoria and 4 in WA.

  5. Glad to see the Federal BludgerTrack back, confirming what our impressions are with regard to the standing of the Albo ALP federal government.

    So far so good for the ALP and note how they have become teflon-coated against the relentless attacks from NewsCorp+Nine Network (on behalf of the Coalition) and The Guardian (on behalf of Greens+Teals).

  6. Soccer is like chess, a game of subtlety and beauty and moves which bewitch your opponent so that you can ultimately check mate them and goal. 🙂

    Congratulations Argentina and Messi. They needed the win. 🙂

  7. “the ALP should regain Fowler and the seats of Ryan & Brisbane from the Greens”…

    .. and I would also add the Qld seat of Griffith where the Greens won only because a quarter of the Liberals decided to first-preference the Greens in order to beat the ALP Terri Butler. But at the next federal election, chances are that the Liberals will desperately try to win the seat and will first-preference their party, which may send the Greens to third place. The 2PP will finally decide the outcome on the ground of Greens second preferences.

  8. The AFR has a poll…..probably not of any significance?

    With po-faced commentary from the Liberal mouthpiece…

    Phillip Coorey
    Phillip Coorey
    Political editor
    Dec 19, 2022 – 5.00am

    The Freshwater Strategy Poll, conducted exclusively for The Australian Financial Review, also finds the Albanese government starting to consolidate power in its own right after falling across the line at the May 21 election.

    It is finishing the year leading the Coalition by 54 per cent to 46 per cent on a two-party preferred basis, two percentage points higher than its election result, and is preferred by voters to manage all 14 major policy areas of concern, except defence and national security.

    Labor’s primary vote has increased to 37 per cent, more than 4 points higher than the 32.6 per cent it recorded on election day, which was an 88-year low for the party. The Coalition’s primary vote is also 37 per cent, one point up from election day.

    The online poll of 1209 voters was taken from Friday to Sunday and seeks to encapsulate the mood of voters about federal politics and the issues of concern following a year which resulted in the first change of government since 2013. It has a margin of error of 3 per cent.

    Primary vote, Dec 2022 (%)

    Labor 37
    Liberal & National 37
    Greens 12
    One Nation 4
    United Australia Party 1
    Other 9
    Source: Freshwater Strategy/Financial Review

    Preferred PM, Dec 2022 (%)

    Anthony Albanese 55
    Peter Dutton 29
    Neither 12
    Unsure 4

    And pushing the APPEA barrow, the sample agreed with both ‘there should be price caps on gas’ and ‘there should be more gas extraction’…

    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/voters-want-price-caps-and-more-gas-extracted-new-poll-20221218-p5c796

  9. “C@tmomma says:
    Monday, December 19, 2022 at 6:50 am

    …Congratulations Argentina and Messi. They needed the win. ”

    In the end they also deserved to win. Over the whole match they were the best of the two teams. Throughout the match, however, my secret hope was for a surprise France win, which was mainly grounded on the fact that they ended up playing with a team that was overwhelmingly of African ancestry. That would have been a kick in the a..e to all those French racists in the Rassemblement National party.

    But well done, Argentina (my late father-in-law was born in that country)!

  10. Lol Macca.

    The greens have never lost a single member seat, having won it at a general election, in any federal, state or territory election.

    And you’re claiming they’ll start with 2, on the basis of polling this early?

  11. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    The Albanese government is consolidating power and is preferred by voters to manage all 14 major policy areas of concern, except defence and national security, writes Phil Coorey after a new poll.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/voters-want-price-caps-and-more-gas-extracted-new-poll-20221218-p5c796
    Sean Kelly examines Albanese’s style of prime ministership.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/say-less-do-more-is-this-albanese-s-most-radical-change-to-australian-politics-20221216-p5c6xv.html
    ‘He played his ukulele as the ship went down’: Frank Bongiorno on the political year that was.
    https://theconversation.com/he-played-his-ukulele-as-the-ship-went-down-frank-bongiorno-on-the-political-year-that-was-194063
    The nation’s leading bosses have heaped praise on Labor’s first year in office, but want more action on migration, skills, energy and housing. Here quite a few CEOs have their say about the last seven months os a new government.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/australia-s-top-ceos-rate-the-albanese-government-20221216-p5c6zw
    David Crowe writes about the government’s indications that subs will be preferred over armoured land equipment.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/we-need-to-be-prepared-to-invest-albanese-highlights-need-for-subs-not-tanks-20221214-p5c6ah.html
    The AFR’s editorial says, “The hopes that business may have held in May are now receding as Labor’s true spots emerge in the critical areas of workplace regulation and Australia’s net zero carbon transition.”
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/labor-in-office-proves-not-so-business-friendly-20221216-p5c70r
    Many business leaders are becoming worried the Albanese government is more interventionist than expected. But Canberra is confident it has the public onside, says Jennifer Hewett.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/trust-frays-as-ceos-become-wary-of-canberra-20221217-p5c74u
    The Australian’s Chris Mitchell goes off on what he describes as reporting bias over the government’s action on energy. The very gall of the man!
    https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/business/media/reporting-flaws-and-bias-exposed-by-the-politics-of-power/news-story/f9f0e2e06f8fb67a551fd9efbaedcc16
    “Sorry, but Reserve Bank governor Dr Philip Lowe’s call for ordinary Australians to make further sacrifice next year in his unfinished fight against “the scourge of inflation” doesn’t hold water. His crusade to save us all from a wage-price spiral is like Don Quixote tilting at windmills only he can see”, says Ross Gittins who alludes to the RBA being stuck in the 70s.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/hey-rba-boomer-things-have-changed-a-lot-since-the-1970s-20221218-p5c78m.html
    And Ronald Mizen muses over the cascading shocks that could come from ‘one rate rise too many’.
    https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/the-cascading-shocks-that-could-come-from-one-rate-rise-too-many-20221212-p5c5je
    With international borders re-opening at the end of 2021, the biggest labour shortage since World War II and a new government accelerating visa processing, 2022 will prove a unique year for immigration, predicts Abul Rizvi.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/population-and-immigration-in-2022-what-we-know-so-far,17083
    The SMH editorial says that the royally unhappy family could pave the way for our nation’s progress.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/royally-unhappy-family-could-pave-way-for-our-nation-s-progress-20221218-p5c79r.html
    Dominic Perrottet has brushed off the Liberals’ unresolved preselection of election candidates as an “inside baseball” distraction, while the party’s state director said the fall-out from a branch-stacking operation may have damaged the party’s prospects at the March poll, writes Lucy Cormack.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/inside-baseball-perrottet-brushes-off-liberal-party-preselection-woes-20221218-p5c798.html
    In the wake of the Coalition’s humiliating Victorian state election defeat, newly elected Opposition Leader John Pesutto has opted for youth over experience as he tries to rebuild the shattered Liberal Party over the next four years, writes Annika Smethurst.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/victorian-opposition-unveils-new-frontbench-after-election-loss-20221218-p5c782.html
    Looking at News Corp, Terrence Mills goes to the classics and says the Augean stables are in need of a flush.
    https://theaimn.com/the-augean-stables-in-need-of-a-flush/
    RSLs in Victoria made more than $163m from gambling in the last financial year, but provided just $8.4m in donations, gifts and sponsorship, according to their own statements to the Victorian Gambling and Casino Control Commission, reports Josh Nicholas. What a sham!
    https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2022/dec/19/victorias-rsls-made-163m-from-gambling-but-gave-only-84m-in-direct-community-funding
    Retailers’ treatment of food and grocery suppliers has improved since a code of conduct was introduced in 2015, but bad behaviour persists, writes Sue Mitchell.
    https://www.afr.com/companies/retail/much-food-for-thought-in-grocery-code-of-conduct-report-card-20221215-p5c6pt
    Former deputy Labor leader Jenny Macklin has been picked to head the Albanese government’s new independent advisory body into the welfare system, created after the industrial relations deal with independent ACT senator David Pocock.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8020783/former-deputy-labor-leader-to-chair-independent-jobseeker-committee/?cs=27845
    Australia’s coal industry is primed to deliver a bigger-than-expected windfall this year, overtaking iron ore as the nation’s most valuable export, writes Nick Toscano.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/coal-exports-overtake-iron-ore-as-energy-crisis-ignites-prices-20221218-p5c77m.html
    No, it’s catastrophic climate change, write John Blackburn and Ian Dunlop who say that avoiding that threat needs co-operation with countries like China, not conflict. Australia’s challenge is to get our priorities right and be a constructive player in addressing the existential climate threat that all nations face.
    https://johnmenadue.com/is-china-our-red-hot-security-threat-no-its-climate-chaos-avoiding-it-needs-co-operation-not-conflict/
    The question that should be dominating debate is how quickly Australia can replace gas with renewables, argues Adam Morton.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/2022/dec/19/the-question-that-should-be-dominating-debate-is-how-quickly-australia-can-replace-gas-with-renewables
    “The AUKUS nuclear submarine project will bleed the Australian Defence Force white”, topping the billions in Defence spending waste each year. And there’s no one watching anymore, reports former serviceman and senator Rex Patrick.
    https://michaelwest.com.au/dumb-ways-to-buy-defence-spending-shambles-former-submariner-and-senator-rex-patrick/
    The rules that govern Australia’s $170bn franchise industry may be established next year via court rulings as franchisees try to protect the enterprises they developed. Robert Gottliebsen writes that the Federal Court will hand down its decision in the landmark Mercedes Benz case early next year. But even before that case is decided the franchise agreement that governs the giant G.J. Gardner Homes empire – the third-largest home builder in NSW – will come before the courts.
    https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/business/this-court-case-could-change-franchising-forever/news-story/89f1f16e1b63da144dee962389934314
    Anthony Bergin describes last week’s bipartisan Pacific tour as a master stroke that has dealt China quite a setback.
    https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/bipartisan-pacific-tour-a-master-stroke/news-story/665d7a351eb0771d33028fe144d192a3
    Nearly three years on from one of the most significant advertising market downturns, executives are nervous again. And they have every reason to be, explains Zoe Samios.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/media-sector-battens-down-the-hatches-as-ad-dollars-dry-up-20221218-p5c78c.html
    Former Foxtel boss Richard Freudenstein has not been asked to recuse himself from his leading role in Cricket Australia broadcast rights talks despite still being a paid director of a News Corp company.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/cricket-australia-board-director-s-ties-to-news-corp-raise-eyebrows-20221218-p5c78f.html
    A 15-storey timber tower in Collingwood is one of a handful of recent major timber developments that signals Australia could be catching onto the trend already established in the US and Europe.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/goodbye-concrete-and-steel-why-timber-towers-could-be-the-future-20221214-p5c6eh.html
    Sir Keir Starmer, likely to be the next British prime minister, might be dreary but his proposal to abolish the House of Lords is radical, writes George Brandis.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/abolish-the-lords-britain-s-pm-in-waiting-should-be-careful-what-he-wishes-for-20221216-p5c6xw.html
    The mask is being lifted from the face of Israel’s apartheid state, exposing a grinning death’s head that portends the obliteration of the few restraints against killing Palestinians, writes Chris Hedges about Israel and the rise of Jewish fascism.
    https://johnmenadue.com/israel-and-the-rise-of-jewish-fascism/
    Anthony Galloway and Hate Geraghty tell us how Putin will weaponise winter.
    https://www.theage.com.au/interactive/2022/ukraine-winter/index.html
    California congressman and member of the January 6 Committee, Adam Schiff, said yesterday that he believes there is “sufficient evidence” to criminally charge Donald Trump in relation to his efforts to overturn the 2020 election.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/18/january-6-panel-schiff-evidence-criminally-charge-trump-efforts-overturn-2020-election
    Is Trump finally politically dead? Sort of, says Robert Reich.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/dec/18/trump-politically-dead-sort-of

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe

    Peter Broelman

    Cathy Wilcox

    Jim Pavlidis

    Leak

    From the US








  12. Alpo @ #13 Monday, December 19th, 2022 – 6:56 am

    “the ALP should regain Fowler and the seats of Ryan & Brisbane from the Greens”…

    .. and I would also add the Qld seat of Griffith where the Greens won only because a quarter of the Liberals decided to first-preference the Greens in order to beat the ALP Terri Butler. But at the next federal election, chances are that the Liberals will desperately try to win the seat and will first-preference their party, which may send the Greens to third place. The 2PP will finally decide the outcome on the ground of Greens second preferences.

    And aircraft noise will still be a problem which the new Greens MPs haven’t solved. 😐

  13. ‘The Freshwater Strategy Poll, conducted exclusively for The Australian Financial Review, also finds the Albanese government starting to consolidate power in its own right after falling across the line at the May 21 election.’

    I beg your pardon what?

  14. The tanks and the APCs are probably going to be consigned to the dustbin of history, once The Defence Strategic Review is released next year.

  15. Corey has to put a negative spin on it where is tim costelows outrage at victorian rsls profits from gambling or is it only that a nsw government islikely to be defeated buy labor if labor fell a cros the lynn whiy did the liberal loose 16 safe seats

  16. Thanks so much BK

    “The AUKUS nuclear submarine project will bleed the Australian Defence Force white”, topping the billions in Defence spending waste each year. And there’s no one watching anymore, reports former serviceman and senator Rex Patrick.
    https://michaelwest.com.au/dumb-ways-to-buy-defence-spending-shambles-former-submariner-and-senator-rex-patrick/
    —————————————————————————————-

    This article really is an extraordinary indictment of Defence and Government planning and spending over the past decade. Years and tens of billions of dollars wasted with so little to show for it. As a veteran it’s terribly disheartening and worrying for the nation’s security, as a father with a child serving in the ADF I deeply question the Coalition’s competency to provide Defence Personnel with the equipment to properly undertake its tasks. Restoring capability and competence in Defence Procurement will be a massive challenge for the new government.

  17. “ Scott Morrison failed because his actions spoke louder than his many, many words. In politics, they always do. Albanese’s understanding of that fact gives him a head start.”

    Sean Kelly examines Albanese’s style of prime ministership.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/say-less-do-more-is-this-albanese-s-most-radical-change-to-australian-politics-20221216-p5c6xv.html
    ——————————————————————————————-

    Given that Morrison was all words and no action, I might be tempted to suggest that Morrison’s words spoke louder than his actions. Indeed, his words were all noise and no content.

  18. A total obscenity… Labor shouldn’t buy into this rubbish..

    Congress is on track in the coming week to give final approval to a national military budget for the current fiscal year that is expected to reach approximately $858 billion — or $45 billion above what President Biden had requested. + another $21 billion for Ukraine .

    Shares in military suppliers have gone up 40% this year… while the market overall is down.

    Meanwhile the US rusts away

  19. Notice how the corrupt lib/nats media units are ignoring , despite the propaganda against Albanese/Labor during the 2022 federal election campaign , the lib/nats combined primary vote had decreased by close to 6%, 2019 federal election Lib/nats combined primary vote 41.5% – 2022 federal election lib/nats combined primary vote 35.7%.

  20. Chris Mitchell – The Oz

    Headline – politics shines light on reporting bias
    “Depending on your news source, last week’s gas legislation by the Albanese government was either de facto nationalisation of the industry or perfectly reasonable politics.”

    Somebody’s lacking self awareness.

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fbusiness%2Fmedia%2Freporting-flaws-and-bias-exposed-by-the-politics-of-power%2Fnews-story%2Ff9f0e2e06f8fb67a551fd9efbaedcc16&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&v21=dynamic-groupb-control-noscore&V21spcbehaviour=append

  21. It just shows how narcissistic those in the corrupt media are , if they still not getting it into their heads, the voters are seeing through them as the lib/nats political propaganda units.

  22. Total US DOD spending is even more obscene .. approaching 20% of GDP..

    $1.64 Trillion
    in budgetary resources
    14.3% of the FY 2022 U.S. federal budget

  23. Cronus, indeed!

    ““…last week’s gas legislation by the Albanese government was de facto nationalisation of the industry AND perfectly reasonable politics.”

    I’ve fixed Chris Mitchell’s sentence for him.

  24. Sceptic,
    There was also this shot across Elon’s bows the other day:

    KoGuan Leo, an Indonesian billionaire and the third-largest individual shareholder of Tesla, is calling for the electric carmaker’s CEO, Elon Musk, to step down as much of his attention is focused on Twitter lately.

    “Elon abandoned Tesla and Tesla has no working CEO,” Leo tweeted on Dec. 14. “Tesla needs and deserves to have working full-time CEO.”

    Leo proposed Tesla’s board of directors appoint a professional manager, someone similar to Apple CEO Tim Cook, as Musk’s replacement.

    “Tesla is 19 years old, ranked 4th with 2.4 percent allocation in S&P,” he said in another tweet. “Elon was the proud father, Tesla has grown up. An executioner, Tim Cook-like is needed, not Elon.”

    https://observer.com/2022/12/koguan-leo-tesla-shareholder-oust-elon-musk/

  25. Macca RB: “the ALP should regain Fowler and the seats of Ryan & Brisbane from the Greens”

    The ALP has never won Ryan at any general election since the seat’s creation in the 1940s.

    Do you have any basis for this fanciful forecast, other than wishful thinking?

  26. ‘zoomster says:
    Monday, December 19, 2022 at 7:18 am

    ‘The Freshwater Strategy Poll, conducted exclusively for The Australian Financial Review, also finds the Albanese government starting to consolidate power in its own right after falling across the line at the May 21 election.’

    I beg your pardon what?’
    ———————–
    Quite accurate, IMO.
    The difference between a Labor majority government and a Labor minority government was about 1,000 votes. Imagine the damage the Xbenchers would have inflicted on stable government had they held the BOP in the House? For example, based on what the Greens actually say, Bandt would have banned military exports to Ukraine. Bandt would have banned expenditure on the Voice. And that is just Bandt. The Teals are a shower of uncertainty. Katter is a known quantity.

  27. Frank Bongiorno makes a good point in his year end round-up:

    It was the year’s third election, held on November 26, that caused the most surprise. It was not so much the result, for most polling indicated that Labor, under Daniel Andrews, would win the Victorian election. It was the scale of Labor’s victory that shocked. Victoria had endured prolonged and frequent lockdowns, fierce protests against them, and much else that supposedly indicated a faltering government and premier falling out of favour.

    Yet Labor, while losing votes in some places, increased its tally of lower-house seats by one. It was another epic media fail, with wishful thinking, especially in the Murdoch press, generating hopelessly inaccurate punditry.

    https://theconversation.com/he-played-his-ukulele-as-the-ship-went-down-frank-bongiorno-on-the-political-year-that-was-194063

  28. Oliver Sutton,
    Didn’t Labor win Ryan once in a by-election in the Howard years, which became a harbinger of his government’s demise? Or am I misremembering it?

  29. ‘Oliver Sutton says:
    Monday, December 19, 2022 at 8:24 am

    Macca RB: “the ALP should regain Fowler and the seats of Ryan & Brisbane from the Greens”

    The ALP has never won Ryan at any general election since the seat’s creation in the 1940s.

    Do you have any basis for this fanciful forecast, other than wishful thinking?’
    —————————————

    With a bit of luck Greens voters will have woken up to Bandt and Thorpe by then.

    Apart from that, a lot of Greens voters will have realized after three years of Labor Government that Milne, Di Natale and Bandt were lying through their teeth with their Big Lie: Same Old Same Old.

    That leaves a three cornered contests with the Greens coming third. Labor is a realistic prospect in the three Greens seats.

    The real risk to Labor is that after 2022, voters are reverting to their hip pocket nerve priority.

    Lest we forget the Same Old Same Old Big Lie. Things Labor has done in 7 months that the Coalition avoided doing in 9 years:

    1. A woman (Susan Kenny) is appointed as acting president to clean out the AAT.
    2. After eons of granting a large majority of grants to male researchers, the NHMRC is to award grants on a roughly fifty/fifty basis.
    3. 14 women and 9 men in the Victorian Labor Government Cabinet.
    4. Respect in the Workplace legislation.
    5. Gender equity is a core objective of the new IR legislation.
    6. Katy Gallagher: $5m over five years to boost the number of women in public office. The women in public office grant is designed to encourage – and prepare – more women to run for elections at all levels.
    7. Making good on rescuing Australian women and children from hell hole camps.
    8. Vic Labor supports the Diamonds, filling the ethical and financial hole left by a certain commercial interest.
    9. The Government today announced the appointment of Adjunct Professor Debora Picone AO as Chair of the Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Review Reference Committee.

    10. National Plan to End Violence against Women and Children 2022–2032
    11. Extension of paid parental leave in the 2022 Budget.
    12. Moves afoot to rescue 20 Australian women and around 40 children from a Turkish internment camp.
    Jayne Jagot appointed to Australia’s High Court, creating first majority-female bench.
    13. Ms Falkingham will be the first permanent female Chief Executive of the NDIA.
    14. Federal Labor has appointed three eminently well qualified women to the Climate Council. This offsets the undue representation of businessmen on the Council.
    15. Federal Indigenous Affairs Minister Burney supports the development of a separate National Strategy to Address Violence Against Indigenous Women. The latter will be heavily involved in the design of the Strategy.
    16. The Victorian government on Sunday announced it would spend $270 million to recruit and train thousands of new nurses and midwives under the scheme.
    17. Labor has more female MPs than male MPs. (The Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison governments were not within a bull’s roar of this achievement.)
    18. Labor is fully committed to implementing all the Jenkins Report recommendations. (The Morrison Government implemented a view recommendations but basically sat on the vast majority of the Report’s recommendations.)
    19. High levels of women in the ministry. (Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison governments had far, far fewer women in the ministry).
    20. Labor gave a direction to the Fair Work Commission to specifically take into account the gender pay gap along with power to make gender specific determinations to close the gap. (The Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison governments had one universal ambitions: to damp down any real wage growth and showed zero interest in closing the gender pay gap.)
    21. Labor intervened directly in the minimum wage decision which disproportionately benefits the lowest paid workers: women. (Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison did not do this.)
    22. In recent departmental secretary appointments: Labor appointed three out of the four women. (Morrison’s last five secretarial appointments in 2019 involved a net loss of three women.)
    23. Labor is setting the tone by promising to make boards, such as the Reserve Bank Board more representative.
    24. Three Labor women ministers to lead aspects of the skills and jobs summit that relate to women’s participation, women upskilling and closing the wages gap.
    25. Labor has avoided school holidays for sitting days.
    26. Labor has instituted humane sitting hours on sitting days.
    27. Morrison Government sat on the Report on the National Stakeholder Consultation for a Ten Year Domestic Violence Plan. Labor has released the Report with expedition.
    28. Labor introduces paid domestic violence leave legislation
    29. Ten days domestic violence leave for casual workers.
    30. Submission to the Fair Work Commission on pay in the Aged Care industry. Four out of five workers in that industry are women.
    31. Moves to legislate on coercive control.Not one of those eleven were in place in the past nine years.
    32. Removes the ban on military and public service staff from engaging in certain “woke” charity, cultural and diversity events, imposed by former minister Peter Dutton last year.

  30. I notice that people have so far refrained from adjudging various of the cartoons involving Sunak to be racist because of the way he is depicted.

  31. C@tmomma says:
    Monday, December 19, 2022 at 8:17 am
    An executioner, Tim Cook-like is needed, not Elon.”

    May not be the best choice of words

  32. Macarthur says:
    Monday, December 19, 2022 at 8:02 am
    Cronus, indeed!

    ““…last week’s gas legislation by the Albanese government was de facto nationalisation of the industry AND perfectly reasonable politics.”

    I’ve fixed Chris Mitchell’s sentence for him.
    ——————————————————————————————-

    Agreed.

    Re last night and US assistance to Ukraine, I think the additional quandary for the US is that to essentially join the war, it would logistically be time consuming in the lead up and then the fighting if done properly. It could take at least 12 months to get going. Once fully engaged in Ukraine, this would open the way for China to attack Taiwan with somewhat less concern about the US intervening to its fullest extent.

    In other words, the issue isn’t just that the US might be fighting on two fronts simultaneously but that China would wait until the time that best suits it and that least suits the US. China, the bigger geopolitical concern would have a significant advantage or at least the US would be somewhat hobbled. Committing forces to Ukraine would provide the signal to China, a risky strategy by the US unless of course China fails to take that opportunity. America’s current philosophy of providing full weapons support is a less risky strategy.

  33. Half right, C@t.

    Yes, Leonie Short, the ‘Lady in Red’, won Ryan for Labor at the March 2001 by-election consequential to the resignation of dumped defence minister John Moore. Alas, only briefly: Ryan went back to the Liberals at the general election later that year.

    But no, it wasn’t a harbinger of Howard’s end. The Lying Rodent won two more general elections before Kevin 07.

  34. Voice endeavour @ Monday, December 19, 2022 at 7:05 am
    “Lol Macca.

    The greens have never lost a single member seat, having won it at a general election, in any federal, state or territory election.

    And you’re claiming they’ll start with 2, on the basis of polling this early?”

    What a line 🙂

  35. Thanks for the roundup BK

    “The Albanese government is consolidating power and is preferred by voters to manage all 14 major policy areas of concern, except defence and national security, writes Phil Coorey after a new poll.”
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/voters-want-price-caps-and-more-gas-extracted-new-poll-20221218-p5c796

    Who in their right mind thinks the Liberals are better at managing Defense? Rex Patricks article is a very well written refutation of all that was wrong with Defense purchasing under the Liberals.

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