Essential Research: PM favourability and China relationship (open thread)

Another poll finding little change in perceptions of the Prime Minister, despite a deteriorating view of the national direction.

The latest Essential Research survey has its monthly favourability trend ratings for Anthony Albanese which, as distinct from its straightforward approval/disapproval question, asks respondents to rate his performance on a scale of one to ten. This finds 46% giving him from seven to ten, up one on a month ago; 26% from four to six, down two; and 23% from zero to three, up three. On the question of national direction, 44% rate that Australia is on the right track, down two on a month ago and four on two months ago, compared with 36% for the wrong track, up two on a month ago and seven on two months ago.

Other questions relate to Australia’s relationship with China, which 46% expect to be better under the Labor government compared with only 9% for worse. Asked whether they wanted the government to look for opportunities to rebuild relations with China, take a more confrontational approach or maintain the current course, 54% opted for the first (up two from May), 13% the second (down six) and 12% the third (steady). Forty-four per cent think the AUKUS submarine partnership will make Australia more secure compared with 16% for less secure and 39% for about the same.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1042. Note that progressively updated coverage of the Victorian election count continues on the post below.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,725 comments on “Essential Research: PM favourability and China relationship (open thread)”

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  4. Hey, one percent can’t be so bad … right?

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-misses-burning-issue-on-unesco-s-in-danger-rating-for-great-barrier-reef-20221129-p5c245.html

    Climate scientists say Labor’s target to cut emissions by 43 per cent by 2030 is consistent with global action that would cause 2 degrees or more of global warming, and a report by the Australian Academy of Sciences said if the world warmed by 2 degrees only 1 per cent of corals would survive in their current form.

    I just asked all the one-percenters I know, and they assure me that one percent is perfectly fine.

  11. Scummo is trying to convince us that he’s a holy sacrifice, but that we the (non-chosen) unbelievers don’t get it. He’s still dead meat.

  12. Not a hint of shame or regret showed by Morrison but I guess when you’ve got a Higher Power on your side, you can do no wrong. The longer he stays in Parliament, the more the electorate will be reminded of how close this country came to a covert takeover by god-botherers. It’s a shame that stocks, pillories, and prangers are no longer in use.

  15. Listened to Andrew Gee on radio this morning saying that 8% of his electorate are indigenous, that he can’t ignore them.
    Restating my claim that the Nats were simply throwing a dead cat into the mix to distract from a number (growing) of issues that reflect badly on the conservatives, not the least, SfM being censured.
    The potential implosion due to this could be compelling.

  16. Morrison on a hiding to nuthin. Seems like the only defense he can come up with is that things were sooooooooo bad and scary he had to it. “Look how good i was!!!” Nahhhhh…….he is deliberately missing the point which is not what he actually did or didn’t do….but that he did it in secret and set up a situation where he could have done far more. Lol! He would have told people if they had asked questions about something they didn’t know about?? He’s fwarked.

    Actually, powers were exercised in the PEP11 matter for purely political purposes so as to improve the Libs election prospects in NSW. Which says a bit about Morrison’s integrity.

    Once everyone has finished “speaking for the record” censure will pass, recommendations from the inquiry will get put in line for implementation…and parliament move on to more of the policy and governance stuff that we have seen to date from the Albanese Govt.

    Really, I know i bang on about it a bit, but its the policy and governance “stuff” that is why they are all there, and that’s what the Libs either did badly or not at all while they were in Govt. Morrison and his ilk just dont get it.

  18. Fwark……….Morriscum finishing on a very low note…………..

    But seems to not know when to just shut the fuck up.???

    Actually, he is still sounding off. Maybe he wants to get a final “this is my record….” in Hansard for posterity before he resigns over Xmas???

  19. This is also a really good time to watch the front bench of the LNP to loose the next election.

    No one likes scomo, putting the boot in is a popular orthodox thing to do.

  20. Dog’s Brunch @ #NaN Wednesday, November 30th, 2022 – 9:39 am

    Listened to Andrew Gee on radio this morning saying that 8% of his electorate are indigenous, that he can’t ignore them.
    Restating my claim that the Nats were simply throwing a dead cat into the mix to distract from a number (growing) of issues that reflect badly on the conservatives, not the least, SfM being censured.
    The potential implosion due to this could be compelling.

    If The Nationals had any sense they’d leave the Joyce era behind and enter a Gee era.

  22. Morrison is unflushable, he’ll always be there in the corner stinking like sh*# and I believe he is totally irredeemable. Best we can do is legislate to prevent what he did being a future problem and let the Tories (who have him in their tent) deal with the smell.
    He’s electoral gold for Labor.

  23. Mavis at 9:19 am

    The member for Cook is currently creating history, but not the sort of history he’d prefer though that’s moot.

    He also scores a bonus prize with it, becoming an answer to a question that’ll be asked at political Trivia Quiz Nights.

  25. SfM as seen in Parly today.


    Come on Scotty sing along………….

    Pick out a pleasant outlook,
    Stick out that noble chin;
    Wipe off that “full of doubt” look,
    Slap on a happy grin!
    And spread sunshine all over the place,
    Just put on a happy face!

  28. I think it was Andrew Gee that developed the concept of hat wearing into a work of art…his corflutes had him wearing a hat in the rural areas of Calare, and no hat in the larger towns.

  29. poroti says,
    He also scores a bonus prize with it, becoming an answer to a question that’ll be asked at political Trivia Quiz Nights.

    Yes, for five points name all five of Morrison’s Ministries!

    Will SfM’s Censure impact his value on the speaking circuit?

  30. Fallout from Jan 6 ………

    Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes and one other found guilty of seditious conspiracy

    Elmer Stewart Rhodes, the founder of the far-right militia group the Oath Keepers, has been found guilty of seditious conspiracy. He is also facing other charges along with four of his allies

    On charges of obstruction of an official proceeding and aiding and abetting charge, all five were declared guilty.

    Rhodes and the Oath Keepers members have been at trial for the past several months facing their involvement in the attempt to overthrow the U.S. Capitol and stop the 2020 election certification.

    Rhodes and Meggs face at least 20 years in prision for the sedition charges, but all of the people charged will see prison time.

    https://www.rawstory.com/oath-keepers-trial-verdict/

  32. Could someone tell Scott Morrison that Volodomyr Zelenskyy is a national leader with a lot on his plate!?! The stuff Morrison had to deal with was dealt with by every other national leader on the planet. None of them felt the need to usurp the roles of others in their government in order to deal with the pandemic.

  33. Rob Reiner@robreiner·

    Oath Keepers’ Stuart Rhodes was found guilty of Seditious Conspiracy. He committed this Federal Crime at the behest of one man, Donald Trump. Time to Indict the Ringleader.

  35. C@tmomma says:
    Wednesday, November 30, 2022 at 9:51 am
    Could someone tell Scott Morrison that Volodomyr Zelenskyy is a national leader with a lot on his plate!?! The stuff Morrison had to deal with was dealt with by every other national leader on the planet. None of them felt the need to usurp the roles of others in their government in order to deal with the pandemic.
    ——————————————————————————————-

    +1 C@T and as I’ve said before, this question alone begs a thousand others.

  36. I hate this article. Hurst should give ‘journalism’ away and retire. It tells us nothing. Zero. Zip. Zilch. perhaps the actual report – which mercifully is linked in the article (a small saving grace) will shed more light.

    _________

    From the dawn patrol (thanks BK):

    Daniel Hurst writes that the former Coalition government knew the now-dumped submarine project would likely cost about $80bn when it told the public the price tag would be “greater than $50bn”, an audit report has found. In a new report tabled in parliament on Tuesday, the Australian National Audit Office found the 2016 defence investment plan “fell short of providing accurate, reliable and transparent information” to the public.
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/nov/29/turnbull-government-knew-submarines-would-cost-80bn-but-told-public-at-least-50bn-audit-finds

    _________

    What ARE we talking about? Are we simply talking about the difference between “constant dollars” (ie. the total value of the program when expressed in the value of money as at a particular date – in this case 2016 dollar values) or “turned out costs” (ie. the amount of money the government is actually expected to fork out over the life of the contract, which obviously has a huge loading for inflation when we are talking about a 37 year contract.

    OR. Are we talking about the difference between the specific program cost (the largest comment in this case is the money that would ultimately flow to Naval Group as the prime contractor) and various ancillary costs that were not included, but to which the ANO says should have been included?

    OR. Are we talking about real cost blowouts to various components of the overall program, as ‘the narrative’ seems to imply?

    THIS is a detailed letter written by Kym Gillis who was an independent director of the Naval Group Attack class program when it was terminated by the Morrison Government in 2021. He was a former Asst.Def.Sec. Who was brought back by the governmnet to manage the program. He was previously involved in the CEP process in 2015-16 that selected the barracuda sub. He identifies that the submarine program was $50 billion in 2016 dollars, of which naval group was expected to receive $32 billion – in 2016 dollar value – over the life of the program and when the contract was terminated Naval Group was still only expected to receive $32 billion – in 2016 dollars – over the life of the program (I note from other documents I;’ve read that and ‘blow out’ on the Naval side of the contract were limited to several hundreds of million and entirely due to the government (ie. the RAN) changing various design specifications ATFER the contract was signed (ie. increasing the number of torpedo tubes from 4 to either 6 or 8).

    https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/22415569-submarines-note-kim-gillis

    I will read the actual ANO report later, perhaps tomorrow or Friday, when I have time to properly digest it.

  37. The state premieres formed national cabinet and made the decisions then told scumo what was going to be done , Dan Andrews was the leader of this country thats why the lnp hate him so much.

  38. Ken Wyatt on ABC radio this morning, explaining that the structure of the Voice has been spelt out in some detail and that he’s happy to sit down one on one with journalists to go through the document with them.

    Seriously getting tired of the media going “But no one knows what X is..” when if they did minimal research they’d be able to explain to everyone what X is.

  39. Morrison assumes that ‘we’ simply wont understand that in a cabinet system of government, the necessity for a PM to become a second minister in key portfolios – let alone secretly – was never needed as a pandemic related response. If anything, if there was a risk of cabinet members being incapacitated and/or isolated because of a pandemic there was a ‘need’ to do the opposite of what morrison did secretly and do so publicly: ie. get multiple ministers sworn in to each others portfolio and maybe in Morrison’s case – have both MicMac and Frythenation sworn in as co-MPs.

  40. C@t

    It was a beautiful thing, SK:

    Ohhhhhhhhh. No no. I love a good story (which is why I tell my stories over and over). Dont be shy.

    I will just tell it to myself again then from what I can remember of you last telling it – and embellish it as I see fit.

  41. Scottie should do the right thing for Jen and the girls, pull is head in, resign, find a less conspicuous occupation, and let the girls get on with their life without his mug all over the front pages of every newspaper and on every news channel for an eternity.

  43. zoomster,
    That’s aunty. Write letters, it’s alegedly the only way to get a response.

    There’s many editors that shouldn’t be editors at the ABC, and that goes double for ‘journalists’

  44. The censure motion debate has taken a strange turn with Katter going off on a rant about black fellas, Rugby league, something else….. Another classic ramble.

  45. zoomster @ #88 Wednesday, November 30th, 2022 – 9:49 am

    Ken Wyatt on ABC radio this morning, explaining that the structure of the Voice has been spelt out in some detail and that he’s happy to sit down one on one with journalists to go through the document with them.

    Seriously getting tired of the media going “But no one knows what X is..” when if they did minimal research they’d be able to explain to everyone what X is.

    Wyatt used the perfect word. Journalism has become a lazy vocation.

  49. Sounds like the comment in The Grauniad was on the mark.
    Bob Katter ends his speech but no one in the chamber appears any clearer on what he thinks about it all.

  50. Simon Henny Penny Katich @ #NaN Wednesday, November 30th, 2022 – 10:22 am

    C@t

    It was a beautiful thing, SK:

    Ohhhhhhhhh. No no. I love a good story (which is why I tell my stories over and over). Dont be shy.

    I will just tell it to myself again then from what I can remember of you last telling it – and embellish it as I see fit.

    I could tell you the story about the time I had a conversation with Robert Smith after a Cure gig at Macquarie Uni if you like? 🙂

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