Newspoll and Resolve Strategic post-budget polls (open thread)

Labor’s still healthy two-party lead cops a dent in the post-budget Newspoll, but Resolve Strategic finds no significant change on three weeks ago.

The post-budget Newspoll finds Labor’s two-party lead at 55-45, in from 57-43 at the previous poll eight weeks ago. Both major parties are up on the primary vote, Labor by one to 38% and the Coalition by four to 35%. All other players are down: the Greens by two to 11%, One Nation by one to 6%, the United Australia Party by one to 1% and all others by one to 9%. Anthony Albanese’s lead on preferred prime minister has slipped from 61-22 to 54-27, and he is down two on approval to 59% and up four on disapproval to 33%. Peter Dutton is up on both approval and disapproval, respectively by four points to 39% and three points to 46%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1500.

The poll also includes the same suite of questions on response to the budget that Newspoll has been posing since the late 1980s, which you can read about here – I’ll have more to say about those later. Note also the other new posts below this one – my own lengthy compendium of New South Wales state election news, and Adrian Beaumont’s coverage of Brazil’s presidential election and other international electoral events.

UPDATE (Resolve Strategic): Now there is a Resolve Strategic poll from the Age/Herald, with stronger results for Labor: their primary vote is unchanged on the poll three weeks ago at 39%, with the Coalition up two to 32%, the Greens up one to 13%, One Nation down one to 4%, the United Australia Party down two to 1%, independents down one to 8% and others up one to 3%. Anthony Albanese leads Peter Dutton by 53-19 as preferred prime minister, in from 55-17 three weeks ago. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1611.

The budget was rated good for “the country as a whole” by 44% and for “me and my household” by 28%, compared with 50% and 40% respectively for the March budget – it’s not clear how many of the remainder particularly rated it as bad. Four options for action on power prices all received strong support: 79% for price caps, 59% for taxpayer subsidies for those on low incomes, 64% for heavily subsidising home solar power and 67% for reserving gas for the local market, with 3%, 14%, 11% and 4% respectively opposed. Thirty-six per cent considered Labor had broken promises to “cut power bills and get wages moving”, with 12% disagreeing and 53% either undecided or considering it too early to say.

UPDATE (Newspoll budget response): For the questions Newspoll asks after every budget, an even 29% rated it both good and bad for the economy, but 47% rated it negative for personal impact compared with only 12% for positive. Thirty-four per cent felt the opposition would have done a better job, with 48% disagreeing. Another question gauged the extent to which respondents felt the budget properly balanced the cost of living and the budget deficit: 6% felt it put too much emphasis on the former, 25% too much emphasis on the latter, 23% felt it struck the right balance and 31% felt it didn’t do enough for either.

This marks the thirty-sixth budget of which Newspoll has asked essentially the same set of questions going back to 1988. The results are the sixth worst for personal impact and the ninth worst for economic impact, although it rates in the middle of the pack on the question of whether the opposition would have done better. The latter point is illustrated by the first of the charts below, which records Labor budgets in red and Coalition budgets in blue. The second chart illustrates the correlation between positive results on personal and economic impact. In landing right on the trendline, this shows no particular sense that the budget favoured either economic concerns or personal finances relative to its somewhat negative reception overall.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,531 comments on “Newspoll and Resolve Strategic post-budget polls (open thread)”

Comments Page 1 of 31
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  1. Not a bad set of numbers considering the trillion dollar debt, inflation and global situation. Anyone got the numbers first Newspoll post Hockey budget?

  2. “Newspoll shows support for the Coalition declining from a primary vote of 46 per cent at the last federal election to 38 per cent on the weekend.

    Labor’s primary vote has increased one point to 34 per cent, but the ALP leads the Coalition 53 per cent to 47 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.”

    This was the best bit:

    “Mr Pyne says voters will be “glad” they elected the Coalition to power once the Federal Government’s plan to repair the budget is made clear next Tuesday.”

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-05-06/christopher-pyne-dismisses-coalitions-newspoll-slump/5433630

    Post budget in the Guardian:

    “The latest Newspoll, published by the Australian late on Sunday evening, puts Labor ahead of the Coalition on the two-party preferred measure 55% to 45%”

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/19/abbott-government-suffers-significant-slump-in-polls

  3. J J Hall says:
    Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 10:09 pm
    “Newspoll shows support for the Coalition declining from a primary vote of 46 per cent at the last federal election to 38 per cent on the weekend.

    Labor’s primary vote has increased one point to 34 per cent, but the ALP leads the Coalition 53 per cent to 47 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.”

    This was the best bit:

    “Mr Pyne says voters will be “glad” they elected the Coalition to power once the Federal Government’s plan to repair the budget is made clear next Tuesday.”
    中华人民共和国
    Thanks Cobber!!

  4. “The post-budget Newspoll finds Labor’s two-party lead at 55-45, in from 57-43 at the previous poll eight weeks ago.”…

    That’s a dent the ALP can happily live with…

    In any event, I remind everybody that, unlike 2019, the opinion polls for the federal election in 2022 were quite spot on. So, this series of polls (including Newspoll) showing a continued support of the voters for the Albo ALP government, in spite of the many negative international conditions, is very encouraging and perhaps further evidence that the voters have become largely De-Moronised, and therefore resilient against the barrage of media propaganda coming their way.

    Overall good news for the health of Australian democracy!

  5. J J Hall says:

    “Mr Pyne says voters will be “glad” they elected the Coalition to power once the Federal Government’s plan to repair the budget is made clear next Tuesday.”
    _____________

    He was well known for his profane jests, cruel actions, wicked counsels and always given to scoffs and jeering.

  6. “Anthony Albanese’s lead on preferred prime minister has slipped from 61-22 to 54-27, and he is down two on approval to 59% and up four on disapproval to 33%. Peter Dutton is up on both approval and disapproval, respectively by four points to 39% and three points to 46%. ”

    All that doesn’t change the fact that the leader having sleepless, sweaty and nervous nights continue to be Dutton, not Albo.

    What’s next for Dutton?…. Well, the Vic state election is next, but I don’t think that he is looking forward to that.

  7. Thanks for the reminders on 57/43 last time.

    After having to deliver a comparatively bad news budget (which is much better done now than put off to later Morrison style) this is not a bad outcome.

  8. “nath says:
    Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 10:15 pm
    J J Hall says:

    “Mr Pyne says voters will be “glad” they elected the Coalition to power once the Federal Government’s plan to repair the budget is made clear next Tuesday.”
    _____________

    He was well known for his profane jests, cruel actions, wicked counsels and always given to scoffs and jeering.”

    In another country and/or another time he would have qualified as a “pathetic buffoon”… But in 2014 Australians were not ready yet to see the pathetic buffoon in a Liberal “funny guy”…. Now they are!

  9. Given that our Albanese Labor Government has been left a fiscal, monetary and inflationary shit sandwich by its Liberal-National Coalition predecessor, its first budget was always going to be slightly bitter medicine to swallow. The triple imperatives to reduce government debt, inflation and interest rates all imply the need for a contractionary budget, but this is difficult to balance against the delivery of cost-of-living relief to the household sector. Treasurer Chalmers’ first budget managed to provide a bit of progress on all these fronts, but of necessity only a bit. I think the mildly negative public reception of this budget, but with no comfort to the Opposition either, is both fair and expected in this context. Overall, this is a solid enough fiscal start for this Government. From an Australian voting public which normally trusts the Coalition and distrusts Labor on the economy, that bodes well for this Labor Government’s electoral fortunes.

  10. Upnorth – Lately Abused for Stating the Budget is about Money. Called a Cartel Member and a Junkie. says:
    Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 10:04 pm
    “Not a bad set of numbers considering the trillion dollar debt, inflation and global situation.”

    +1, that’s the way it seems to me as well (and don’t forget interest rates and energy prices). Pretty positive all considered.

  11. Yah…the reaction to the Budget not all positive for the ALP, but i think they have pretty much done the best they can with what they have got for now. Time to get on with policy and legislation matters and then next budget May 23. I have a suspicion that the early sitting days next year will see quite a bit of legislation put through, and will be interesting to see if they use regulatory (as in Minister making ones ) powers to do things on Gas / Energy prices in the meantime, and then leave it to the Senate to disallow??

  12. Nath:

    “Mr Pyne says voters will be “glad” they elected the Coalition to power once the Federal Government’s plan to repair the budget is made clear next Tuesday.”
    _____________

    He was well known for his profane jests, cruel actions, wicked counsels and always given to scoffs and jeering.

    So is this you outing yourself – as Chrissie Pyne?

  13. After the weeks of propaganda against Labor, the corrupt lib/Nat’s and their propaganda media units received net gain of very little

  14. Finally some polling!

    For the questions Newspoll asks after every budget, an even 29% rated it both good and bad for the economy, but 47% rated it negative for personal impact compared with only 12% for positive.

    This is a start. Australians need to be weaned off their expectation that every budget is going to deliver goodies for them. It never used to be this way, especially with new governments’ first budgets. And in any case, now we just can’t afford to be giving taxpayer funded handouts left right and centre to everyone.

  15. Dutton and the Liberals will be happy with this. Labor will not be unduly unhappy about it. The 5% drop should dampen the triumphalism of the Xbenchers. The Bandt/Thorpe effect is probably what has knocked 2% off the Greens.

  16. If these numbers were replicated at the federal election

    Labor number of seats in the house of reps would increase to over 80 seats

    Lib/nats would likely lose 3 or 4 seats to be around 54 seats

  17. On these figures the demented potato looks likely to get another
    six months in office (4% rise in primary, the kooks have come home)
    won’t ct, rexy and 1p be well pleased!

  18. I hope the sanctions keepers are keeping an eye on camera/lens sales. Mine will track a bird across the sky. If the bird flies behind a tree my camera will be ready to pick it up as it comes out the other side.

  19. Even if Labor’s primary vote is around 35/36% thats a 2-3% increase from 2022 , that would still gain labor enough seats to get into the 80’s

  20. For the lib/nats to have any chance of getting minority or majority government the lib/nats combined primary vote needs to be 41%+

  21. I suspect the Coalition is resting all its hopes on bad economic conditions for the next 2-3 years, its got nothing else. A solid performance therefore by Albo and Chalmers under extremely difficult conditions will be quite sufficient to ensure Labor’s success at the next election and continued progress in addressing climate change and renewables.

  22. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    Simon Benson’s take on Newspoll is headlined, “Budget judged useless in making ends meet”. He goes into all sorts of numbers critical of the budget, but his last sentence says that just 34 per cent of voters believed the opposition would have delivered a better budget. This was consistent with the long term average. No mention of the 55/45 voting intention result in this lead article.
    https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/nation/newspoll-budget-judged-useless-in-making-ends-meet/news-story/3798e8afdd185518c613fd6f08d87241
    Eighty per cent of Australians support calls to put a price cap on power to ease pressure on energy bills as federal ministers consider the contentious move. David Crowe writes that such price controls have gained much greater support than other measures to confront the higher bills forecast in last week’s federal budget, with 59 per cent in favour of paying taxpayer subsidies to households on low incomes.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/voters-back-price-caps-to-tackle-rising-energy-bills-20221028-p5btvc.html
    Officials from key government departments embroiled in the robodebt scandal and two private debt collection agencies are expected to be grilled when a royal commission kicks off this week. Luke Henriques-Gomes says the inquiry into the botched Centrelink debt recovery scheme will start its first block of hearings this morning, investigating the establishment, design and implementation of the unlawful program.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/oct/31/robodebt-key-public-officials-and-debt-collectors-to-appear-as-royal-commission-kicks-off
    Moves by the federal government to force down gas prices for Australian consumers could include a mandatory code of conduct for major producers and a domestic price cap, Treasurer Jim Chalmers has said. The AFR tells us that, Facing escalating political pain over rising prices and the fallout from Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, the government is set to move from a voluntary to a binding code to govern how supply contracts are negotiated.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/gas-price-cap-mandatory-code-on-the-table-as-labor-feels-energy-pain-20221030-p5bu3g
    Rather than an endlessly reheated nuclear debate, politicians should be powered by the evidence, urges Adam Morton.
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/oct/30/rather-than-an-endlessly-reheated-nuclear-debate-politicians-should-be-powered-by-the-evidence
    A federal budget without a cash handout was always going to be a tough sell for Jim Chalmers when all he could promise voters was a fight with an inflation dragon. So there should be no surprise that only 28 per cent of voters regard the treasurer’s first budget as good for themselves and their households in the latest Resolve Political Monitor, continues Crowe.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/it-s-no-barbecue-stopper-but-the-last-thing-we-need-is-a-shock-and-awe-budget-20221030-p5bu54.html
    Sean Kelly writes that there is no room for the poor in ‘small target’ politics.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/no-room-for-the-poor-in-small-target-politics-20221030-p5bu2b.html
    The Albanese government took a cautious approach in its budget last week, but the industrial relations changes it proposed two days later could be the most significant and ambitious in over a decade. The SMH editorial says that Employment Minister Tony Burke released a 249-page bill with scores of changes to the rules for employers, workers and unions in negotiating wages and conditions. he Herald believes that Burke has a chance to improve the fairness and efficiency of the system, but only if he strikes a balance between the interests of unions and employers.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/burke-drives-hard-bargain-to-get-wages-moving-20221030-p5bu47.html
    Ross Gittins says it’s time for the RBA to stop digging in deeper on interest rates.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/memo-rba-board-time-to-stop-digging-in-deeper-on-interest-rates-20221030-p5bu23.html
    Josh Gordon and Rachel Eddie report that Victoria’s budget position has deteriorated by a further $1.8 billion this financial year despite higher than expected payroll and land taxes, but the Andrews government is adamant its strategy to pay back the state’s debt is on track.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/state-deficit-forecast-blows-out-by-1-8b-as-spending-arms-race-ramps-up-20221030-p5bu59.html
    Academics, charities and social service groups have welcomed the Victorian opposition’s election pledge to offer free lunches to all public school students, but one academic says the program could cost double the Coalition’s $300 million commitment.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/victorian-opposition-promises-free-school-lunches-under-300-million-plan-20221030-p5bu1l.html
    Tom McIlroy reports that the search for Australia’s first National Anti-Corruption Commission boss is under way, even before the contentious legislation is considered by a parliamentary committee.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/search-begins-for-anti-corruption-commission-boss-20221030-p5bu3n
    Nicole Rose explains how work behind the scenes is producing financial intelligence and helping law enforcement and business to stop criminals from benefiting from serious and organised crime.
    https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/austrac-hardens-frontlines-against-dirty-money-20221027-p5btdt
    According to the AFR, Optus chief executive Kelly Bayer Rosmarin faces a major investor backlash against her election to the board of ASX-listed real estate business REA Group, as influential proxy voting firms warn that her focus should be on the 9.8 million Optus customers affected by the data breach.
    https://www.afr.com/technology/investors-target-optus-chief-executive-20221028-p5btvj
    Raising Warragamba Dam probably can’t stop floods. Tone Wheeler says that there’s a simpler solution closer to home.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/2022/oct/31/raising-warragamba-dam-probably-cant-stop-floods-theres-a-simpler-solution-closer-to-home
    In yet another investigative effort, Nick McKenzie and his team report that a global human trafficking syndicate has exploited flaws in Australian border security and the immigration system that allowed it to run a national illegal sex racket moving exploited foreign women around the country like “cattle”. This is the first of a three part series of articles.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/trafficked-women-shunted-like-cattle-around-australia-for-sex-work-20221018-p5bqnd.html
    Abul Rizvi, a former deputy secretary of the Department of Immigration, explains how labour trafficking is leading to a growing underclass of undocumented workers.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/labour-trafficking-is-leading-to-a-growing-underclass-of-undocumented-workers-20221030-p5bu2q.html
    The Australian Border Force is built on double talk and trickery. These speech acts underlie the political slurs used to dehumanise and criminalise boat people, resulting in tragic, needless deaths. In agony and brokenness. Labor must reject these policies, urges Beverly Holmes Brown who says Honesty, Decency, Transparency and Accountability were victims of the government we dismissed. They are the bastions of the future we want for our nation.
    https://johnmenadue.com/on-immigration-integrity-the-labor-government-must-not-fail/
    More from Rizvi who says that, after the Coalition stalled for almost a year, worsening our labour shortage, Dutton has the gall to complain about Labor’s Migration Program win.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/dutton-pouts-after-albo-delivers-on-migration-program-,16916
    Angus Thompson tells us that today, in a speech to the Australian Institute of Criminology, Andrew Leigh will make the financial case to reduce the country’s growing prison rates, a trend he says has more to do with stricter policing and sentencing than crime rates and is costing taxpayers billions of dollars each year.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/policing-not-crime-is-behind-swelling-prisons-and-it-s-costing-billions-mp-20221030-p5bu3i.html
    More from Thompson who writes that the Fair Work Commission will be able to force the federal government to take part in multi-employer wage deal negotiations for sectors it heavily funds, including aged care and childcare, under Labor’s new industrial relations bill. The lever has been welcomed by unions and providers in the low-paid, feminised industries, but raises questions about the effectiveness of pursuing sector-wide wage deals if the government doesn’t have enough cash to foot the pay rises needed to stem the haemorrhaging of critical staff.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/government-could-be-forced-to-the-bargaining-table-on-sector-wide-wage-deals-20221028-p5btve.html
    Like me, Jacqui Maley is fed up with the use of the word “woke”.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/does-the-word-woke-do-what-it-says-on-the-tin-20221028-p5bttb.html
    In US midterm election polling crime is only second to inflation when it comes to the big issues for voters. “I recently experienced up-close why voters rate it so high”, writes Matthew Cranston.
    https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/fear-and-loathing-in-crime-torn-usa-20221027-p5btav
    Lee Duffield lays bare seven critical leaders in the second part of his analysis of radical Right-wing movements and governments worldwide.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/spotlight-on-7-radical-right-wing-leaders-worldwide,16910
    Cavan Hogue argues that Russia’s illegal attack on Ukraine breaches the 1994 Budapest Memorandum.
    https://johnmenadue.com/russia-what-is-the-relevance-of-the-budapest-memorandum/

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe

    Megan Herbert

    Jim Pavlidis

    Mark Knight

    Peter Broelman

    Leak

  23. I see newspoll suggests white supremacist Australia doesn’t approve of an outspoken black senator pushing hard for truth and treaty .

  24. Okay, I just watched Chris Smith from 2GB (for my sins) and Jacqui Lambie on the Channel 9 Today show do their weekly politics gab fest. So, of course, bringing home the ‘ISIS Brides’ was ‘iffy’ according to Smith. They watched beheadings and didn’t do anything about it, don’t you know! How they could of was never discussed, of course. Lambie said they needed ankle bracelets for 5 years.

    Then onto Gas. Lambie said the government needed to tax it and do a Gas Reserve policy like WA. Smith said no to taxing it but yes to a Gas Reserve policy. So that’s probably where the government will land. And a similar theme to Simon Benson came from Smith when characterising the Budget. Apparently the Labor government were too timid and should have done all the things, like the Gas Reserve policy. Prepare yourself for that line to get legs.

  25. BK says:
    Monday, October 31, 2022 at 7:05 am
    Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    Simon Benson’s take on Newspoll is headlined, “Budget judged useless in making ends meet”. He goes into all sorts of numbers critical of the budget, but his last sentence says that just 34 per cent of voters believed the opposition would have delivered a better budget. This was consistent with the long term average. No mention of the 55/45 voting intention result in this lead article.
    —————————————–

    Thanks for posting BK , Its no surprise the newsltd hack ignoring the 2 pp and primaries

    Why isn’t Simon Benson stood down from being the political editor while the investigation into the leaking of cabinets documents by Morrison to Benson and chambers is ongoing

  26. Rex Douglas,
    You really are full of the most ridiculous assumptions these days. Didn’t your mother tell you what happens when you assume things, like your nonsense @ 7.06am? 😆

  27. Scott @ #29 Monday, October 31st, 2022 – 7:10 am

    BK says:
    Monday, October 31, 2022 at 7:05 am
    Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    Simon Benson’s take on Newspoll is headlined, “Budget judged useless in making ends meet”. He goes into all sorts of numbers critical of the budget, but his last sentence says that just 34 per cent of voters believed the opposition would have delivered a better budget. This was consistent with the long term average. No mention of the 55/45 voting intention result in this lead article.
    —————————————–

    Thanks for posting BK , Its no surprise the newsltd hack ignoring the 2 pp and primaries

    Why isn’t Simon Benson stood down from being the political editor while the investigation into the leaking of cabinets documents by Morrison to Benson and chambers is ongoing

    Plus the fact he’s probably in cahoots with his partner, Bridget Mackenzie to put the worst spin on the government he can muster.

  28. “ But Ian Davies, chief executive of domestic gas producer Senex Energy and president of oil and gas industry peak body APPEA, said price caps would not work and renewed calls for a focus on more gas supply.
    “We clearly don’t believe that prices should be regulated, because that is not a free market economy, that is a controlled economy, and it has never ended well, and it is unlikely to end well this time,” he said.”

    Dear Mr Davies
    You have continually broken your social compact with Australians and given next to nothing back. You and your types can no longer be trusted as you simply use the existing situation to hold Australians, the rightful owners of the gas, to ransom. As such, through your abuse of the system, you have forfeited your rights to the benefits of a fully free market system and now deserve to have those rights crimped in order to ensure fairness to this nation.

    Paywalled https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/gas-price-cap-mandatory-code-on-the-table-as-labor-feels-energy-pain-20221030-p5bu3g

  29. Scott: “Why isn’t Simon Benson stood down from being the political editor while the investigation into the leaking of cabinets documents”

    Is he still up close and personal with Bridget McKenzie?

    Edit: Snap, C@t!

  30. Thanks very much as always BK.

    “ Simon Benson’s take on Newspoll is headlined, “Budget judged useless in making ends meet”. He goes into all sorts of numbers critical of the budget, but his last sentence says that just 34 per cent of voters believed the opposition would have delivered a better budget. This was consistent with the long term average. No mention of the 55/45 voting intention result in this lead article.”

    It takes a special effort from a shill to highlight the small copse of unwell trees rather than see the beauty and health of the broader forest, despite the difficult growing conditions and overall environment.

  31. She’s a real go-getter, isn’t she?

    According to the AFR, Optus chief executive Kelly Bayer Rosmarin faces a major investor backlash against her election to the board of ASX-listed real estate business REA Group, as influential proxy voting firms warn that her focus should be on the 9.8 million Optus customers affected by the data breach.
    https://www.afr.com/technology/investors-target-optus-chief-executive-20221028-p5btvj

    Obviously couldn’t give a stuff about Optus customers, just wants to keep feathering her own nest.

    Anyway, as an obvious failure that should have had the intestinal fortitude to fall on her sword over the Optus data breach, Kelly Bayer Rosmarin is proving she doesn’t have what it takes to be on any board ever again.

  32. 55% of the 2PP if evenly distributed, hopefully a larger amount in Queensland, compared with the May Federal Election result would increase the Government majority by a minimum of eleven seats: Deakin (0.19), Sturt (0.45), Moore (0.62), Menzies (0.68), Bass (1.43), Casey (1.48), Dickson (1.7), Aston (2.3) & Monash (2.9) from the LNP.
    I would also expect Labor to regain Fowler (1.63) and Ryan (2.65).
    Although, with a margin below 2.9%, I can’t envisage the ALP successfully winning the Independent seats of: Curtin (1.7), McKellar (2.3), Goldstein (2. 87) or North Sydney (2.91).
    Cowper (2.3) falls into this category but would be a National vs Independent contest, where the ALP & Greens should tactically preference the Independent candidate – if suitable – second.
    Translated into HOR seats: ALP – 88 seats, up by 11, Independents – 12 seats, Greens -3 seats, down by 1, LNP – 47 seats, down by 10.

  33. Macca RB: “I would also expect Labor to regain Fowler (1.63) and Ryan (2.65).”

    ‘Regain’ Ryan?

    Apart from one brief flirtation with Labor after a by-election, Ryan has been blue-ribbon Liberal since its creation in the 1940s.

  34. “ Woolworths, Linfox and AGL are pushing the Albanese government to quickly legislate fuel efficiency standards to bring Australia into line with the US, New Zealand and Europe and accelerate electric vehicle take-up.
    More than 100 corporate giants including Transurban, Microsoft and IKEA are pushing Anthony Albanese and Energy Minister Chris Bowen for more action on transport, after Labor’s election victory drove a spike in EV sales.”

    The Coalition are looking increasingly isolated on this issue, the weekends are looking bleaker by the month.

    Paywalled https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/woolworths-linfox-lead-a-push-for-1-million-evs-in-five-years-20221030-p5bu1q

  35. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/ukrainians-search-for-missing-loved-ones-in-war-with-russia/101592948
    Ukrainians search for missing loved ones in war with Russia as bodies exhumed from graves near Bucha

    “Much of the violence was systemic, not random, conceived and implemented within the command structures of the Russian military, an investigation by The Associated Press and the PBS series Frontline found.

    Troops were instructed to block and destroy vestiges of “nationalist resistance”, according to Russian battle plans obtained by the Royal United Services Institute, a prominent defence and security think tank in London.

    They did so with consistent brutality, hunting potential enemies on Russian intelligence lists and torturing and killing volunteer fighters, veterans and civilians suspected of assisting Ukrainian troops.”
    —————————————————————-

    No peace with these genocidal war criminals from Putin’s Russia.

  36. Rex Douglassays:
    Monday, October 31, 2022 at 7:06 am

    I see newspoll suggests white supremacist Australia doesn’t approve of an outspoken black senator pushing hard for truth and treaty .

    Or maybe they didn’t appreciate the lack of integrity shown by a Greens’ Senator.

  37. Astronomers at MIT and elsewhere have discovered a new multiplanet system within our galactic neighborhood that lies just 10 parsecs, or about 33 light-years, from Earth, making it one of the closest known multiplanet systems to our own.

    At the heart of the system lies a small and cool M-dwarf star, named HD 260655, and astronomers have found that it hosts at least two terrestrial, Earth-sized planets. The rocky worlds are likely not habitable, as their orbits are relatively tight, exposing the planets to temperatures that are too high to sustain liquid surface water.

    Nevertheless, scientists are excited about this system because the proximity and brightness of its star will give them a closer look at the properties of the planets and signs of any atmosphere they might hold.

    “Both planets in this system are each considered among the best targets for atmospheric study because of the brightness of their star,” says Michelle Kunimoto, a postdoc in MIT’s Kavli Institute for Astrophysics and Space Research and one of the discovery’s lead scientists. “Is there a volatile-rich atmosphere around these planets? And are there signs of water or carbon-based species? These planets are fantastic test beds for those explorations.”

  38. “ The United States is preparing to deploy up to six nuclear-capable B-52 bombers to northern Australia, a provocative move experts say is aimed squarely at China. An investigation by Four Corners can reveal Washington is planning to build dedicated facilities for the giant aircraft at Tindal air base, south of Darwin. The US has drawn up detailed plans for what it calls a “squadron operations facility” for use during the Northern Territory dry season, an adjoining maintenance centre and a parking area for “six B-52s”.

    Hmmmm, if true, this has Morrison’s AUKUS fingerprints all over it.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/101585380

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