We’re now in week seven of the Newspoll drought, but that does not come as a surprise this week as the budget will be brought down tomorrow, and a poll will assuredly follow in its wake. We did have from The Australian on Friday results from an SEC Newgate Research on Friday which found the federal government’s overall performance rated as excellent by 3%, very good by 9%, good by 26%, fair by 35%, poor by 16% and very poor by 10%. This marked a nine-point drop in the combined excellent, very good and good result since the question was last asked in August. However, the party’s lead over the Coalition as best to manage cost-of-living was little changed over the same period, from 38-24 to 40-24. Ratings for state governments were down across the board, which likely reflects an unwinding of strong results for governments across the board during the pandemic. Some of the results from the poll, but not those above, can be found on the organisation’s website. It was conducted from October 5 to 10 from a sample of 1200.
Food for thought:
• Constitutional law expert George Williams calls for the voting age to be lowered to 16 in a column for The Australian.
• Joo-Cheong Tham of the University of Melbourne law school argues for the franchise to be extended to permanent residents and long-term visa holders.
• Digital Rights Watch calls for the removal of exemptions for political party voter databases from privacy laws in light of the recent Optus hack.
• The Centre for Public Integrity calls for campaign spending caps, after its submission to the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters inquiry into the federal election analysed the increase in spending over the past decade.
Beliefs go around in bunches. Hawkishness in international relations tends to go with neoliberal economics and social conservatism.
EDIT: Newspoll has landed…
Newspoll
Albanese net +26 (59-33) Approve 59 (-2) Disapprove 33 (+4)
Dutton net -7 (39-46) Dutton: Approve 39 (+4) Disapprove 46 (+3)
Better PM Albanese leads 54-27 Preferred PM: Albanese 54 (-7) Dutton 27 (+5)
Newspoll ALP 38 L-NP 35 Green 11 ON 6 UAP 1 others 9
55-45.
HH
“ #Newspoll 55-45 to ALP
#Newspoll ALP 38 L-NP 35 Green 11 ON 6 UAP 1 others 9”
Thanks. What was the previous result? (Belay that.)
Newspoll:
Impact of Budget on economy Good 29 Bad 29
Impact on own position Better off 12 Worse off 47
Would opposition have done better? Yes 34 No 48
“Newspoll
Albanese net +26 (59-33) Approve 59 (-2) Disapprove 33 (+4)
Dutton net -7 (39-46) Dutton: Approve 39 (+4) Disapprove 46 (+3)
Better PM Albanese leads 54-27 Preferred PM: Albanese 54 (-7) Dutton 27 (+5)
Newspoll ALP 38 L-NP 35 Green 11 ON 6 UAP 1 others 9
55-45.”
So who is Albo’s Gillard, must be time for the factions to start to cause havoc?
Albanese: Approve 59 (-2) Disapprove 33 (+4)
Dutton: Approve 39 (+4) Disapprove 46 (+3)
Preferred PM: Albanese 54 (-7) Dutton 27 (+5)
Socrates
57/43
WeWantPaul @ Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 9:40 pm
Not on these numbers.
It was 57-43 last time. Makes sense, the sugar high wearing off and the Government having to make the difficult decisions of government… not bad.
Last result was 57-43.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2022/09/04/newspoll-57-43-to-labor-open-thread/
”Would opposition have done better? Yes 34 No 48”
Interesting.
More than half of all Australian voters do not believe they will be worse off in the next 12 months following Labor’s first budget, everyone other than Newspoll can surmise.
The corollary, Newspoll, always the corollary to bite you on the bum.
It is “the narrowing”!
Holdenhillbilly @ #1729 Sunday, October 30th, 2022 – 9:33 pm
No shit, Sherlock! The Budget told them their electricity was going up by a lot!
The drop is in the UAP and the others. Amazing that the vote for Clive drops when he is not spending millions on self-promotion. And the shine is probably coming off the “teal” wave a bit – a lot of people where probably saying last time that they were going to vote independent but have now gone back to the majors.
B.S. Fairman @ #1746 Sunday, October 30th, 2022 – 9:49 pm
Not to mention the Lidia Effect on The Greens’ number.
jt1983 @ #1740 Sunday, October 30th, 2022 – 9:41 pm
Also, it was like a relief rally. No more Scott Morrison! Yay!
New thread.