Essential Research and JWS Research post-election survey (open thread)

Anthony Albanese’s ratings remain high, albeit slightly less high, while JWS Research offers results from a poll conducted in the days after the election.

Essential Research’s fortnightly report continues to not feature voting intention, and its monthly leadership ratings are continuing to not feature Peter Dutton. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 55% in this month’s result, while his disapproval is up four to 28%. Some steam has also gone out of a post-election surge on a monthly national direction question, on which 43% find Australia headed in the right direction, down four, with wrong direction up three to 31%.

In a series of “performance of the Albanese government” questions, there was a 56-44 majority in favour of it having its priorities right, 54-46 majorities for getting things done and being in touch and 52-48 for addressing long-term problems, although a 51-49 majority felt it too idealistic. A series on “support for federal government measures is less good: 60% want the fuel excise cut extended, with only 12% supporting the government’s intention to not do so, 44% support higher JobSeeker payments, with 27% opposed, and 42% want a delay in “stage three income tax cuts, which predominantly benefits higher income earners”, with 25% opposed.

“Awareness of proposed Voice to Parliament” would appear to be fairly low, with 33% saying they had heard nothing of it in the past month and 32% saying hardly anything, compared with 5% for a lot and 29% for a fair amount. With the notion explained, 65% said they were in favour and 35% opposed. Seventy-five per cent supported a parliamentary pledge to “Australia and the Australian people”, with only 15% opting for the Queen. The survey was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1075.

Also out this week is a post-election survey report from JWS Research, conducted from a sample of 1000 in the two days after the May 21 election. Asked what was most important in deciding their vote, more chose for “the party as a whole” than for “specific policies or issues”, and fewer still for the leaders and candidates, but Coalition voters were most inclined to rate the first of these and Greens voters uniquely favoured the second.

On issue salience, there was a 53-10 majority for economic over environmental issues among Coalition voters, but a 36-29 majority the other way among Labor voters, both sets of numbers being hardly changed from a similar survey after the 2019 election. An exercise in which respondents were asked whether or not the election campaign possessed various qualities also produced results very similar to 2019: 56-16 for important over not important, 39-30 for not interesting over interesting, 38-27 for negative over positive, 42-24 for deceitful over honest, 51-22 for same old stuff over new and different. For whatever reason, impressions were more negative across the board in 2016.

Thirty-six per cent rated the Labor campaign positive and 35% negative, compared with 28% and 44% for the Coalition. From 44% who said they favoured a Labor government, 25% favoured a majority and 19% a minority government; from 33% who favoured a Coalition government, 24% favoured a majority and 9% a majority.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,356 comments on “Essential Research and JWS Research post-election survey (open thread)”

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  1. The fact that using a particular term is offensive to someone should be enough to cease using the term if there’s no offence intended in using it.

  2. Boerwar @ #2149 Monday, August 15th, 2022 – 4:31 pm

    I do wish you would stop talking in tongues. Just why does ‘Chicommie’ get up your nose?

    Is the part you’re worried about the ideological part, or the nationality part? I think it’s probably the idea that the nationality part is relevant and/or somehow makes the ideological part worse.

    Chucking the nationality part in as a component of a term that’s almost exclusively used to denigrate produces obvious connotations. About the nationality.

  3. On the question of salary for the additional jobs, the answer is no. Morrison would be paid only for holding one position. It is common for ministers to have two different portfolios. For example, Katy Gallaher is Minster for Finance, Minister for the Public Service and Minister for Women but only gets paid for one job.

  4. ar
    The reason I chuck in the nationality part is because it is the Chinese Communist Party that I am referring to. Not some other commie crew.

  5. B.S. Fairmansays:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 4:14 pm

    Barney – I hadn’t considered that.

    Watching ABC24 atm, Pitt was not saying much but Bridget McKenzie is not holding much back and is “very concerned” about the situation.

    Why would they be concerned about secrecy when it was a foundation of their Government?

  6. I find it offensive that an individual is trying to censor my use of the term ‘Chicommie’. That individual should show some consideration.

    Apart from that, I find it sort of a little bit offensive that peeps are obsessing about a term when perhaps they should get a sense of proportion about the fact that the Chicommies are a murderous mob of jingoistic, genocidal, militaristic and imperialistic democracy haters.

    But, each to his, her or their own.

  7. There is a tweet doing the rounds that the journos knew about Morrison’s secret ministry behaviour two years ago and stayed schtumm.
    What price the fourth estate?

  8. Q :Apart from making decisions while applying regulations under an Act, ministers also approve project funding running into billions

    This is what I don’t get. I was a senior manager in Health- policies, procedures, delegation authority, appointments, expenditures…..all types of stuff had to be sent to the Minister as they are the named responsible person. Which ‘minister’ was approving things? Did they have authority, was it shared, was it either/or, was Morrison the ‘senior” minister with veto powers (appears to to the case in Resources)?

  9. Rex Douglassays:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 4:37 pm

    The fact that using a particular term is offensive to someone should be enough to cease using the term if there’s no offence intended in using it.

    A bit like describing Labor and the Coalition as being the same, or are you just trying to be offensive.

  10. BW@4:31
    The shortening of a name like Chi for Chinese feels disrespectful of a people and a nation. Similar to the offensive use of the abreviated Aboriginal.
    Commies has well established derogatory connotations.
    If one intends offence then the continued use of the term would make sense.
    If the intent is not to offend then why not use CCP (yes I am a peasant) or something else?
    In short, I, and possibly others, find the term culturally insensitive at best. The fact that is oft repeated and generally accepted somehow makes it even worse.
    When I read PB I am generally having a good time. But when I read that term I come up short, it makes me feel other? unwelcome?
    Yes it gets up my flat broad nose!

  11. Remember he appointed that general john frewin to be his mouth pease after the health department and his contractor could not handle same role he used the military to hide behind the introduction of soverign borders claiming it was a miletary operation so could not answer questions if morrison goes wont hawke and robbert follow porter is close to dutton so maybi he did no and just as a distraction nsw labor mp walt secord resigned wonder iff elliott is a buley the gg must go

  12. ‘frednk says:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 4:53 pm

    Boerwar
    Perhaps if you were a little older you would understand why some find it offensive.’
    ——————————————————
    Yeah? What has age got to do with it? I was alive when the Chicommies killed 600,000 Tibetans, invaded Vietnam, cocked things up so that millions of Chinese citizens died of famine, engaged in the enforced bastardy that resulted directly in aborting of tens of millions of female fetuses, harvested organs from thousands of prisoners, used judicial murder to eliminate political opponents, destroyed press freedom, destroyed the freedom of assembly, bastardized the Uighers big time, crushed democracy in Hong Kong and engaged in the biggest peace time naval build up in world history.
    The only thing that the Chicommies can do now which they haven’t managed in the past 70 years is to start World World Three.

  13. As for the GG and secrecy- its absurd. The GG Vice Regal Gazette each day looks like this..

    1000 Yass Red Cross Ladies Tea and Cake
    1100 Ambassador to Tuvalu
    1300 Launch Punjabi Spelling Bee
    1400 Appoint the PM to 3 Ministries (keep secret)
    1800 Last Post

  14. Wonder if minns will be forced to go as hopelis as perrotett minns is perhaps the worst opposition leader everwith out Secord and the unions would necver have got the job most mps and rank and file backed mckay it was only the old guard emma and co that were pushing foor minns wish secord would leave poltitics was part oof the bad old days elliott and ray williams and pattenos also need to goAaron newton

  15. I am not referring to China when I am referring to Chicommies.
    I am not referring to Chinese people when I refer to Chicommies.
    I have zero respect for Chicommies.
    I despise them completely.
    I have nothing but contempt for them.
    Why?
    Because of what they are doing to Chinese people, to Uighers, to the Taiwanese, and to humanity more generally.

  16. Albanese won’t sack the current Governor General, get back into the real world and stop the silly posts in here today!
    Albo’s got a big enough agenda already to implement!
    Laborites, just be happy the government is getting on with business and the Liberals are even more irrelevant than they were before May 21.

  17. they knew minns had no chance when richardson went on 2gb and demandid dayley withdraw so minnswould get it fearing the rank and file wernt behind him next obveous option is penney sharpe or mooohkey but there in upper house or prue carr but shes in treatement so probaly ryan parkif minns cant attadck the most cerupt government and could not even call to get rid of stuart airs how can he stand up to 2gb if his premier and they turn on him that is what happins when your loundist chear leadersdont back laborAaron newton

  18. The main reason to fuss about, in the pejorative sense, the term ‘Chicommie’ is that it deflects from the substantive, and indeed existential, issues raised by the Chicommies.

  19. One of the few areas in which the Governor General has some real power is in ensuring that the mechanical business of government is conducted honestly and openly. If he had insisted that the additional ministerial responsibilities be made public as normal, no one would have been able to stand in his way.

    He didn’t do it. As in the home renovation advertisement matter, he showed he does not appreciate that his office needs to be above suspicion.

    In Morrison’s form of words, he should go.

  20. Albanese won’t sack the current Governor General, get back into the real world and stop the silly posts in here today!

    I tend to agree Albanese probably won’t sack Hurley. But he certainly could and IMO should. And it could be a good move politically and in terms of setting precedents. If whatever investigation finds that Morrison’s actions were thoroughly unacceptable in this matter, and the GG was at the very least complicit in the secrecy aspect, then Hurley should go if for no other reason than in order to try to establish a precedent that the GG should be considered to have a responsibility to transparency and keeping the public informed of the workings of government, at least with respect to ministerial appointments.

    Acting authoritatively in response to an investigation that details a scandal, and appointing a well received replacement GG, could easily be a political positive for Albanese.

  21. ajm @ #2176 Monday, August 15th, 2022 – 5:13 pm

    One of the few areas in which the Governor General has some real power is in ensuring that the mechanical business of government is conducted honestly and openly. If he had insisted that the additional ministerial responsibilities be made public as normal, no one would have been able to stand in his way.

    He didn’t do it. As in the home renovation advertisement matter, he showed he does not appreciate that his office needs to be above suspicion.

    In Morrison’s form of words, he should go.

    He MUST go.

  22. I suspect Albo won’t find Hurley but he should resign.

    I imagine then we might get our first Indigenous GG and what a fitting time for that it would be

  23. This is what the Chicommies are selling:

    ‘…
    The whole-process people’s democracy in China not only has a complete set of institutions and procedures, but also full participation and practices, Xi said, noting that it is the broadest, most genuine, and most effective socialist democracy.
    …’
    Doubtless if you use the term ‘Chicommie’ in China you would get a bed in an Uigher concentration camp. Or maybe just a bullet in the back of the neck, with your relatives being forced to pay for the bullet.

  24. BW@
    I have made no attempt to censor you and nor would I.
    I merely, politely requested that PBrs might consider, probably following some discussion, using another term when discussing the current government of China.
    Your discordant gishgallop of a rant describes your deep hatred, I am not too sure what it is you hate but you have made it very clear you sure do hate it a lot. A whole lot of pure white rage.
    I was merely asking that you consider the potential impact, on people like me and mine, when you use that term.
    You could have chosen to ignore my post rather than seeking an argument where none was offered.

  25. From Patricia Karvelas.
    “Even senior minister Peter Dutton – member of the national security committee in charge of pandemic response didn’t didn’t know about finance and resources ministries Morrison had sworn himself in until it was revealed in media.”

  26. Labor has shown zero interest in following up on Hurley’s intervention on behalf of some mates who subsequently got a large grant. I am not sure but I believe that that grant did not go through a competitive process and does not seem to have been part of a grants system or grants process of any recognizable shape.
    If they were not going to target that, then they are hardly going to target the GG for following legal instructions from a prime minister which followed, as far as we know, due processes in terms of instruments and the like.

  27. Just now on ABC Melbourne radio.

    The Opposition Leader on Scott Morrison holding multiple portfolios without telling the public or some colleagues:
    @Raf_Epstein: Did you know?
    @PeterDutton_MP: No I didn’t… I wasn’t consulted, I wasn’t part of the decision making process.
    @Raf_Epstein: Was he sworn in as defence minister?
    @PeterDutton_MP: Not to my knowledge

  28. BK @ #2186 Monday, August 15th, 2022 – 5:20 pm

    From Patricia Karvelas.
    “Even senior minister Peter Dutton – member of the national security committee in charge of pandemic response didn’t didn’t know about finance and resources ministries Morrison had sworn himself in until it was revealed in media.”

    Do we believe Dutton …?

  29. Instead of the sack, perhaps the GG could be actively encouraged to resign as the whole issue had brought the office of the GG yet again into a scandal and raises serous questions of judgment and character.

  30. ‘Casino Car Park says:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 5:20 pm

    BW@4.58pm
    I have made no attempt to censor you and nor would I.
    I merely, politely requested that PBrs might consider, probably following some discussion, using another term when discussing the current government of China.
    Your discordant gishgallop of a rant describes your deep hatred, I am not too sure what it is you hate but you have made it very clear you sure do hate it a lot. A whole lot of pure white rage.
    I was merely asking that you consider the potential impact, on people like me and mine, when you use that term.
    You could have chosen to ignore my post rather than seeking an argument where none was offered.’
    ————————————
    Now we are getting to the substance of the matter!
    Which part of the ‘gish gallop rant’ do you wish to discuss as being untrue, from your perspective? The death of millions of Chinese because of Mao’s disastrous leadership? The death of 600,000 Tibetans? The abortion of tens of millions of female fetuses? The unprovoked and unjustified invasion of Vietnam? The genocidal treatment of the Uighers?
    Over to you, comrade!

  31. Il Dutto speaking to Raf Epstein seems very keen on making one point 🙂
    ————————-
    “I wasn’t there for the decision making, I don’t know…”

    “I wasn’t consulted, wasn’t part of the decision making process”

    “it was not a decision I was party to or was aware of.”

    “but I wasn’t part of that decision making process.”
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2022/aug/15/canberra-shooting-airport-taiwan-politics-turnbull-albanese-morrison-vic-nsw-qld#top-of-blog

  32. BW@5:03
    Classic “I’m not racist but” that one is for the scrapbook.
    I have offered no comment on the merits or otherwise of the current government of China. I am just trying to point out that the people of China are really rather nice and worthy of being treated with basic respect.
    BTW if you used that term in China you would most likely get a punch in the mouth rather than your fantasy outcomes.

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