Essential Research: Albanese approval and COVID management (open thread)

Albanese down a little off a post-election high, plus some detail from a further poll conducted immediately after the federal election.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll includes its monthly read on prime ministerial approval, but still nothing on voting intention or opinion of the Opposition Leader. Anthony Albanese maintains most but not all of his post-election bounce, his approval down three to 56% and disapproval up six to 24%.

The pollster’s now regular fortnighly question on national direction is effectively unchanged at 47% for right and 28% for wrong. Further questions relate to COVID-19, which find 55% believe we “need to get on with life and treat Covid like another form of flu”, but that 60% support the return of mask wearing in some settings 53% support the government rolling out of a fourth shot (which it began doing during the survey period).

About half the respondents felt Australia had handled the pandemic better than the United States, the United Kingdom and China, with between 16% and 22% opting for worse, while the result for New Zealand was broadly neutral. The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1097.

Also out earlier this week was a brief release from the Australia Institute which reported that a poll it conducted on the night of the May 21 federal election found the Coalition had 37% support among men and 30% support among women, which became 28% to 38% when a further survey was conducted the following month. Given a list of 20 options to choose from as Coalition weaknesses, 67% tagged “the state of aged care” and 66% “the treatment of women in politics”.

UPDATE: The Australia Institute has now posted more detail from its polls. As well as a lot more detail on what respondents regarded as Coalition strengths and weaknesses going into the election, it has a set of voting intention numbers dating from June 14: Labor 34%, Coalition 31%, Greens 12%, One Nation 4%, United Australia Party 4%, independents and others 9% and not sure 7%. The first phase of the poll was conducted from May 21 to 25 from a sample of 1424, and the second was conducted “in June” from a sample of 1001.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,030 comments on “Essential Research: Albanese approval and COVID management (open thread)”

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  1. Also, to all you rich bastards that have the luxury of sitting in your comfortable chairs and braying at Labor and Mutual Obligation, something you are probably wealthy enough to never have to go near in your lives, can I just point out that, as someone who has been spending the last month engaging with a job agency, with and on behalf of my son who had to leave his last job due to being attacked by a client multiple times, and also being poor, that we have had nothing more than 110% commitment from the job agency to finding him a new job. His employment consultant has gone above and beyond. To the extent that he is likely to start a new job by the end of the week.

    Also, as someone who had dealings with the CES I can also say that people should take off the rose-coloured glasses about it. They truly were beaurocratic to a fault. They’d stick cards on a pin board with jobs on them. You’d take down the number and ring up, only to find out the job had already gone but the CES hadn’t bothered to take the job card down. They were hopeless.

    Now, if the federal government want to go to all the trouble of bringing the job finding apparatus back into direct government control, then they should take a leaf out of the best run employment agencies.

    I can’t see the point, quite frankly. Just weed out the crap ones and leave the rest to get on with it. The best ones are efficient, enthusiastic and competent.

    Finally, this making someone spend hours on a bus to go to an appointment sounds well dodgy to me and probably a yarn spun out by nath’s mates in the Unemployed Persons Union, or whatever high-falutin name they give themselves. Because phones. You can do your interviews over the phone, and then you only have to do them every fortnight. Face to face interviews only occur if you want them, or once a month. Mainly for cases that need intensive help, such as mental health clients, or if you’ve just come out of jail. Or if you’ve been pegged as just not wanting to participate in searching for a job and you simply want to stay home and pull bongs. In which case you’ve got no one to blame but yourself if you are being forced to get up off your couch and come in so as to find a job to fill our extreme skills shortages.

  2. Mutual obligations for $40 per day….. in your 60s? And how many nonsensical job applications do you have to put in?

    The CES was fine. I worked for one for a while. The staff were helpful and dedicated (if you wanted help). If you didn’t, they weren’t on your back punishing you for being a ‘dole bludger’.

  3. yabba @ #1995 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 10:23 pm

    C@tmomma @ #1973 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 9:25 pm

    Like a dog with a bone, yabba. No one said any of those things were wrong but that improvement to the streetscape and construction of those houses could help people in Britain cope better into the future with the effects of Climate Change. Sheesh!

    As I pointed out, the houses you pictured are already excellent for coping with very hot weather because of their very low ratio of exposed external walls and roof to enclosed space, and because of their small, double glazed windows. This remains the case. Filling them with cool air by opening them up from 11 pm to 8 am, then closing them up tightly with blinds down, and curtains pulled would make them far better to be inside than the typical Australian house on very hot days, for the above-mentioned reasons. No ifs, no buts. Just true. Physics is physics. Sheesh.

    That’s rubbish, yabba. They were built for an earlier time when the effects of Climate Change weren’t as extreme as they are now. And to deny the physical effects of Climate Change and the fact that those houses weren’t ever built to endure the rigours of Climate Change and also that the streetscape could benefit from modifications in the future to help the people in those houses cope with it better is simply to ignore reality. For, if the houses are so great at coping with Climate Change-induced heatwaves in Britain, why do the people in them need to put up wet towels everywhere?

  4. Historyintime @ #2003 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 10:44 pm

    Mutual obligations for $40 per day….. in your 60s? And how many nonsensical job applications do you have to put in?

    The CES was fine. I worked for one for a while. The staff were helpful and dedicated (if you wanted help). If you didn’t, they weren’t on your back punishing you for being a ‘dole bludger’.

    It’s not ‘Mutual Obligation for $40 a day’, it’s $40 a day to live on while you’re unemployed and help to get training or find a job when it has never been easier to get a job. Even for people in their 60s.

    You know, so that you can get more than $40 a day to live on.

  5. ‘It’s not ‘Mutual Obligation for $40 a day’, it’s $40 a day to live on while you’re unemployed and help to get training or find a job when it has never been easier to get a job. Even for people in their 60s.’

    What’s so great about a crappy job? But ‘mutual obligations’ is definitely a moralist right wing concept. And harassing job seekers in their 60s (or younger) to do some kind of ‘service’ for their tiny stipend is just punishing the very poor.

  6. Late Riser:

    [‘The policy, longstanding but more vigorously enforced recently, has infuriated critics, including President Biden, who accuse Mr. Garland of being too slow and cautious.’]

    I agree with Biden. I think Garland is reticent to charge the alleged seditious conspirators based on the refusal of the Republicans to hold a hearing on his nomination to the SCOTUS as he will be accused of payback. They got Capone on tax evasion. Trump could be charged on the basis of his phone call to Georgia seeking some 11,ooo votes, where Garland would have no input. They need to get him on something, and soon. Five years in the slammer would do it.

  7. Historyintime @ #2007 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 10:56 pm

    ‘It’s not ‘Mutual Obligation for $40 a day’, it’s $40 a day to live on while you’re unemployed and help to get training or find a job when it has never been easier to get a job. Even for people in their 60s.’

    What’s so great about a crappy job? But ‘mutual obligations’ is definitely a moralist right wing concept. And harassing job seekers in their 60s (or younger) to do some kind of ‘service’ for their tiny stipend is just punishing the very poor.

    *How do you know it will be ‘a crappy job’? It might be a satisfying and fulfilling job. You just sound bitter and twisted to say things like that.
    * Mutual Obligation is not ‘a moralist right wing concept’. Again with the unsubstantiated, emotive buzzwords.
    * ‘Harassing job seekers in their 60s’ ?!? If someone in their 60s wants a job then they are found one. If not they are usually left alone, except for minor amounts of contact.
    * If they don’t like their ‘tiny stipend’, hey, they can get a job! They’re everywhere at the moment.

  8. AV
    “ whether one likes or doesn’t like larry johnson and/or his followers is beside the point imo, i doubt you’ll have seen these “rebellion videos” at the guardian or on the bbc. -a.v.”
    https://sonar21.com/ukrainian-military-units-betrayed-by-their-commanders/

    You won’t see them because they are at best unverifiable garbage, at worst Russian produced propaganda.

    This site gives a good rundown of pro-Putin propaganda on Ukraine. I also recommend the detailed Perun youtube video on myths of the war.
    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/us-politics/article-russia-disinformation-campaign-ukraine-counterattack/

  9. Dr Doolittlesays:
    Monday, July 18, 2022 at 10:12 pm
    The Hon Tony Burke MP once claimed about $12,000 in expenses for a family trip to Uluru in 2012. His four “family travellers” airfares cost $8,656.48. He said he had to talk to, inter alia, members of the Mutitjulu community.
    _____________________
    Disgusting from Burke.
    The new ICAC will need to keep a close eye on him during this term.

  10. Drongosays:
    Monday, July 18, 2022 at 10:32 pm

    Mr Ed,

    Word has it that Cameron Smith will be offered $200 mill+ to kiss MBS’ blood-soaked ring and play golf Saudi style. I simply ask: is their anyone here amongst us who would reject that offer if we were him? If so, you’re a better man/woman than me, Gungadin. Think about your problems, your kids’ problems….. Wouldn’t $200 mill go some way to alleviate them?

    I would say no and not even stop to think about it.

    He already has earnings of $40 million in prize money alone and you can add endorsements to that. Not bad, set for life at 28 years old.

    If I was in that position money would not be a consideration and all my thoughts would be about what I want to achieve in my career.

    At his level, earning a shit load of money each year is just a fact of life, why does he need to go to some new novelty tour just because they are offering a bigger shit load of money?

    What challenges are they offering?

  11. C@t,

    If you put air-conditioning in an English house, they would be fine.

    The problem is that you would probably use it only a handful of times each year.

  12. Yabba
    An utterly meaningless statement. Inflation reduces the real value of savings. What is ‘good’ about that? Don’t bother trying to answer. You are way out of your depth.
    ————————–
    In a healthy growing economy there will be some inflation but you don’t want too much.

  13. In UK atm and Hotel rooms are warm with no a/c, quite hard to cool down. Listened to BBC radio today and lots of talk about how to stay cool and the dangers of heat to certain health conditions and ages.
    Most houses are two story, no eaves, double glazed and have some sort of conservatory ; plus no trees in their yards unless in wealthy areas.
    Climate change will be a poor persons problem.

  14. Dog’s Brunch

    My 2nd trip to the UK back in Aug ’03 managed to score what was then the record heatwave. Was 37 degrees in London at 9:15pm. More unpleasant than a lot of 40 degree days here. I felt sorry for the locals who clearly weren’t doing so well.

  15. C@tmomma Re: 4th Booster.
    Unless you and your son have specific medical concerns – try and book your 4th Inoculation through a local pharmacy.
    In early May, my wife and I, were able to book our 4th booster within 3 days at the pharmacy, near Coles, at Erina Fair.

  16. “ That’s rubbish, yabba. They were built for an earlier time when the effects of Climate Change weren’t as extreme as they are now. And to deny the physical effects of Climate Change and the fact that those houses weren’t ever built to endure the rigours of Climate Change and also that the streetscape could benefit from modifications in the future to help the people in those houses cope with it better is simply to ignore reality. For, if the houses are so great at coping with Climate Change-induced heatwaves in Britain, why do the people in them need to put up wet towels everywhere?”

    Fuck. She’s done it. Peak Stupid has been achieved. Chapeau C@t.

  17. C@tmomma @ #2011 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 11:18 pm

    Historyintime @ #2007 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 10:56 pm

    ‘It’s not ‘Mutual Obligation for $40 a day’, it’s $40 a day to live on while you’re unemployed and help to get training or find a job when it has never been easier to get a job. Even for people in their 60s.’

    What’s so great about a crappy job? But ‘mutual obligations’ is definitely a moralist right wing concept. And harassing job seekers in their 60s (or younger) to do some kind of ‘service’ for their tiny stipend is just punishing the very poor.

    *How do you know it will be ‘a crappy job’? It might be a satisfying and fulfilling job. You just sound bitter and twisted to say things like that.
    * Mutual Obligation is not ‘a moralist right wing concept’. Again with the unsubstantiated, emotive buzzwords.
    * ‘Harassing job seekers in their 60s’ ?!? If someone in their 60s wants a job then they are found one. If not they are usually left alone, except for minor amounts of contact.
    * If they don’t like their ‘tiny stipend’, hey, they can get a job! They’re everywhere at the moment.

    This really annoyed me. My Tasmanian friend and her sister are in just this situation. They have to do mutual obligation in the form of volunteering until they are 67. One is now 65 the other 62 or 63.
    They have been harassed by the job agencies. There is NO point in them trying to find work – there just is not any for older ladies like them in that area of Tasmania
    Before her sister joined her my friend was having to use taxis to get the volunteer job. There is no public transport out of the village they live in. That house was chosen because it was affordable and large enough for the two sisters.
    I think it was $50 each way for the taxi so a large amount out of her allowance just on transport. She was also forced to the visit the job agency several times in the next town again. No transport allowance to cover that!

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