The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll includes its monthly read on prime ministerial approval, but still nothing on voting intention or opinion of the Opposition Leader. Anthony Albanese maintains most but not all of his post-election bounce, his approval down three to 56% and disapproval up six to 24%.
The pollster’s now regular fortnighly question on national direction is effectively unchanged at 47% for right and 28% for wrong. Further questions relate to COVID-19, which find 55% believe we “need to get on with life and treat Covid like another form of flu”, but that 60% support the return of mask wearing in some settings 53% support the government rolling out of a fourth shot (which it began doing during the survey period).
About half the respondents felt Australia had handled the pandemic better than the United States, the United Kingdom and China, with between 16% and 22% opting for worse, while the result for New Zealand was broadly neutral. The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1097.
Also out earlier this week was a brief release from the Australia Institute which reported that a poll it conducted on the night of the May 21 federal election found the Coalition had 37% support among men and 30% support among women, which became 28% to 38% when a further survey was conducted the following month. Given a list of 20 options to choose from as Coalition weaknesses, 67% tagged “the state of aged care” and 66% “the treatment of women in politics”.
UPDATE: The Australia Institute has now posted more detail from its polls. As well as a lot more detail on what respondents regarded as Coalition strengths and weaknesses going into the election, it has a set of voting intention numbers dating from June 14: Labor 34%, Coalition 31%, Greens 12%, One Nation 4%, United Australia Party 4%, independents and others 9% and not sure 7%. The first phase of the poll was conducted from May 21 to 25 from a sample of 1424, and the second was conducted “in June” from a sample of 1001.
Luckily it has a Fahrenheit scale so Poll Bludgers will understand 🙂
Re Nath on Sat at 8.36 pm and seeing the current punishment of jobseekers in historical perspective
This is a pertinent article on that topic by one of the ABC’s intelligent journalists, Gareth Hutchens:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-17/one-unemployed-person-per-vacant-job-full-employment/101243530
The rationale for the CES is at paras 56 to 58 of the 1945 White Paper on Full Employment, available at:
http://www.billmitchell.org/White_Paper_1945/index.html
Consumer spending is the driver of the American economy (80%)
The relative data read saw the DJIA improve in its last session, with Futures currently pointing to further gains in the upcoming session
So who spends, and what do they spend, generated from what source/s?
And around and around the circle we go – the same circle that is
Rex Douglas:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 8:30 pm
Mavis @ #1939 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 8:24 pm
Rex Douglas:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 8:06 pm
I’ve got a gut feeling Cam Smith will join the “Sharks” LIV tour in ’24, financed by bags of Saudi money – $2bn (£1.6bn). I hope I’m proved to be wrong. Where’s Nostradamus when you need him?
I hazard a guess, nothing like what’s on offer now.
Mavis @ #1955 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 8:49 pm
For the people in the office who run LIV and the PGA, it’s all about control and money.
For me, I just love the game and the competition.
We may have dodged a bullet…
https://twitter.com/fixatedunits/status/1548780833095307264?s=21&t=4h2wWdP4Gd220ersFAMAfg
It seems to me that ATAGI members & ex-officio members are well credentialled and drawn from a variety of disciplines:
https://www.health.gov.au/committees-and-groups/australian-technical-advisory-group-on-immunisation-atagi
For anyone that actually cares, it is wages matching inflation + productivity gains that ensures inflation is controlled. But to the cookie-cutter neoliberal conservative, who’s only interest is in perpetuating the deception that to reward proles is to punish them, that fact opens them up to the criticism that productivity gains should be shared in order to control poverty. So they adopt the “muh prole wage increase = bad” deception under the premise that it’s best to keep forcing them into poverty for their own good.
It was never about what’s good for the economy. It is always about justifying their selfishness and calling it “responsible economic management.”
Consumer spending for goods that are in short supply due to COVID-19 lockdowns in China, combined with low unemployment leading to the desire to buy stuff. Equals inflation.
For his own good Morrison requires scheduling asap.
British experts on what do do in a heatwave: From The Observer
Just a little bit like what I proposed on Saturday.
_________________________
If you’re wondering how to stay cool today, here are some expert tips:
Close the curtains and windows
It might seem counterintuitive, but if you get cool air into your house at night then close the windows when the temperature outside exceeds the temperature inside, you’ll trap the cooler air inside. Right now, for example, in London it’s 25C so keep them open, but you might want to shut them around noon when the temperature will exceed 30C. Open the windows again when the weather gets cool at night – note that the temperature won’t drop below 30C in many places until after 11pm. Likewise, draw the curtains in front of any window facing the sun.
Use water
The WHO suggests hanging wet towels inside rooms – , it cools the air as the water evaporates. A cool shower or bath, cold packs, footbaths or just a sprinkling of water, can also help.
___________________
Cud,
Your comments are ad hominem, and from my point of view extremely offensive to Itza Dream and RH Wombat who have provided extraordinarily insightful and helpful information about COVID 19, which is an ever moving feast when trying to understand how the “Pangolins’ Wrath” affects us and individuals and societies.
I have been extraordinarily grateful for their advice. I can do research, but in the physical sciences. So, I can understand numbers and statistics, but I need the input of medical practitioners and researchers to make sense of the data from their field.
Can you at least expand on your thesis that ATAGI are “Fuckwits”?
A good start would be to explain why you think ATAGI got specific decisions wrong, given what the scientific evidence was telling us at the time.
The Oils’s music is more relevant today than back in the day. Brilliant stuff.
Mavis @ #1961 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 9:00 pm
😆
He’s always been an extreme kook and a fake.
rhwombat
Be careful how you use commas 🙂
I reckon he’s auditioning for a position at one of the big RW evangelical outfits in the US. Heaps of money, huge mansion, private jet and other goodies await if he hooks up with the right outfit.
D&M
Okay, so what do I call ATAGI (collectively)?
I’d settle for idiotic, corrupted, politically captured and destructive, if you like?
Cud,
Lazy answer. What specific advice do you think was wrong, in light of what we knew at the time.
Also, ATAGI provided advice, which is not yet in the public domain. Is it possible that our esteemed Federal government at the tome did not take ATAGI’s advice?
A 63-year-old woman from regional South Australia needs to make a 250km round trip to meet her mutual obligations and keep her benefits under the new $1.5bn-a-year Workforce Australia program.
Michelle*, who lives in Yorketown, on the Yorke Peninsula, has been referred to a job agency in Kadina, about one-and-a-half-hours’ drive or 125km from her home.
nath @ #1970 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 9:18 pm
Labor said they weren’t going to leave anyone behind.
They’ve abandoned the starving and destitute remaining on Jobseeker and living in poverty.
It comes after another jobseeker told Guardian Australia this week he would need to travel 60km by bus to his appointment after the job agency in his town closed. According to public transport timetables, Joel Ribergaard would leave home at 10.40am and arrive back home again at 7.40pm to attend the meeting due to the infrequency of bus services in the Victorian region of Gippsland.
Like a dog with a bone, yabba. No one said any of those things were wrong but that improvement to the streetscape and construction of those houses could help people in Britain cope better into the future with the effects of Climate Change. Sheesh!
Rex Douglas says:
Labor said they weren’t going to leave anyone behind.
They’ve abandoned the starving and destitute remaining on Jobseeker and living in poverty.
________
They have inherited a cruel and arbitrary system. That’s no excuse for letting it endure.
nath says:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 9:18 pm
A 63-year-old woman from regional South Australia needs to make a 250km round trip to meet her mutual obligations and keep her benefits under the new $1.5bn-a-year Workforce Australia program.
———-
That would be The Hon Tony Burke ….. Minister for Employment and Workplace Relations Minister for the Arts ……… But Labor Right, i believe….
How desperate is Matthew Guy trying to pass himself off as a teal at 5 minutes to midnight.
He’ll always be the hollow, cheap opportunist who attacked our Sudanese community and entertained mobsters all for self-advancement and political purposes.
D&M
And I’m glad (that unlike others) you actually asked. For example, ATAGI has been the body making recommendations on how long it is before you can receive your next dose. So for example, last year we had people who had had a 2nd dose in June, waiting until December before they could get their booster.
Reason for this enforced delay? (As opposed 3 months, or 4 months, or 5 months) None given. ATAGI is not transparent.
One expects scientists to use the evidence and to give recommendations to people such as GPs. And one also expects that if there is to be an enforced delay then the reason has to do only with potential outcomes for the people who are being vaccinated – not broader political concerns. This is a point made to me by my own GP who also took issue with ATAGI stepping beyond evidence-based and patient-based reasoning.
What makes this even more ludicrous is that come early December, political pressure was brought to bear on ATAGI and guess what? They relaxed their restriction – first to 5 months and then (iirc) 4. What this does is show how ATAGI was not independent or impartial. In fact, it was politically captured and it had lost a lot of credibility. In other words, its reasoning regarding 6 months (which again was non-transparent) was shown to be mere ad hoc bullshit. Rather than ATAGI reccommending purely based on the science and what is good for the individual, they were clearly making decisions based on fuzzier concepts. I heard it once said that they wanted to “save” the 3rd dose for the winter (of 2022). That would have been a bad decision, no?
And yes, our esteemed government at the time was influencing ATAGI and probably still is. So much of its decision making looks to have been done by bean counters, not scientists.
I would have more respect for ATAGI if they stuck to their knitting and simply provided recommendations like “a booster shot in less than 3 months is unsafe”. Or “a booster shot in less than 3 months has no benefit”. But instead, they decided to play god and work from assumptions about what is best for the sheeple.
In other countries, you can rock up to a chemist and get a booster shot. Or ask a doctor and not have the doctor say sorry you would benefit, but I can’t do that. That’s exactly what I got from my doctor when I asked early last November.
ATAGI needs to be careful about where science ends and social engineering begins.
Nath @9:18 PM – perhaps you would care to provide a link.
I cannot comment on that particular case but much of what passes for “mutual obligation” under our privatised system is absurd and oppressive. As far as I’m concerned reestablish the CES and get rid of the private rent-seekers.
Rex Douglas says:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 9:29 pm
How desperate is Matthew Guy trying to pass himself off as a teal at 5 minutes to midnight.
He’ll always be the hollow, cheap opportunist who attacked our Sudanese community and entertained mobsters all for self-advancement and political purposes.
_____
The scary thing is that he’s far from the worst in the Victorian Liberals. How far have they fallen.
Steve777 says:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 9:31 pm
Nath @9:18 PM – perhaps you would care to provide a link.
_______
I tried to but it wouldn’t let me post with the link. It’s in the online Guardian, 17 July 2022.
Labor is very weak on helping the truly economically underprivileged. That requires both money and political courage.
Case in point, aside from jobseeker and welfare support will be whether they pump up immigration again, which would cut wages and hurt renters even more.
do not know how good atagi is they kept on chaging there minds re az and mosto f the exberts are in victoria who had most covid casis its only an advizary group hopefuly parliament will come back soon
WHAT DOJ WAS DOING WHILE YOU WERE WASTING TIME WHINGING ON TWITTER
https://www.emptywheel.net/2022/07/16/what-doj-was-doing-while-everyone-was-whinging-doj-wasnt-doing-anything/
Followers of emptywheel likely already know this, but for anyone else who is interested in what the DOJ have been up to regarding ‘Trumpworld’ her article provides a bullet point summary of the following investigations. The investigation timelines overlap . The dates reference when each investigation was known to have had started and the last known action so far.
* JEFFREY CLARK......2021-01-25 to 2022-06-22
* ALI ALEXANDER......2021-01-25 to 2022-06-28
* ALEX JONES.........2021-03-13 to 2022-06-23
* ROGER STONE........2021-03-17 to 2022-06-23
* RUDY GIULIANI......2021-04-13 to 2022-05-26
* SIDNEY POWELL......2021-June- to 2022-06-22
* STEVE BANNON.......2021-09-23 to 2022-06-29
* JOHN EASTMAN.......2022-03-28 to 2022-06-28
* PETER NAVARRO......2022-06-02
* OTHER KEY DATES....2021-01-04 to 2022-07-15
* FAKE ELECTORS......2021- fall to 2022-07-13
* STOLEN DOCUMENTS...2022-02-18 to 2022-05-12
* MARK MEADOWS GAP...unknown (hence "gap")
There’s lots of material to review, if you’ve the inclination. And also worth noting is this quote taken from a NYT article linked to by emptywheel.
Trouble at mill:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/17/zelenskiy-fires-ukraines-spy-chief-and-top-state-prosecutor
Oh and btw D&M
I’d love to go somewhere like Singapore come October. What if the next-gen vaccine is available and its in my interest to have a dose before I go? This would make a very large difference to my risk level. But, how much do you want to bet that ATAGI will say no? As I said, they deserve some rude words.
AE
That had been coming for a while. Its also part of the EUs insistence on better governance.
Historyintime, training people how to build renewables infrastructure and then building all that renewables infrastructure will increase wages, decrease energy costs and therefore increase productivity without increasing inflation. For what it’s worth, that’s the ALP plan.
But Rexy, I thought Bandt was dictating to the ALP how to run the government. Shouldn’t you be directing your criticism at him?
Nath’s link: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/jul/17/sixty-three-year-old-jobseeker-forced-to-make-250km-round-trip-to-keep-welfare-benefits
Absurd and oppressive, designed to punish the unemployed while enriching Liberal mates.
Steve777 @ #1978 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 9:31 pm
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/jul/17/sixty-three-year-old-jobseeker-forced-to-make-250km-round-trip-to-keep-welfare-benefits
Well I’m all for local training rather than lazy immigration policies. But why the Government is being so weak on jobseeker issues is beyond me. ‘Mutual Obligations’ for $40 per day is just right wing punitive ideology. What mutual obligations apply to people getting home ownership grants? Or other wealth building support like business grants?
Saudi Golf.
We saw cricket super league, rugby union went professional, tennis players earning millions. Underpaid players, big benefits for administration. Television pays a fortune for broadcasting rights
Many sports accept sponsorship from oil nations from soccer to formula 1.
The LIV golf will survive and good luck to the players who get contracts. Hopefully the PGA will give a few more dollars to players ranked 50 to 150. Lower rated players spend the first two days of the tournament being televised, don’t make the cut, get paid nothing and can go back to living in crappy motels or their cars till the next tournament.
Only the top handful make the big money and time at the top is often short.
Cameron Smith is helping our balance of payments, let’s hope all our athletes who go overseas chasing dollars make a good income.
so what’s going down with the sbu, huh? simple widespread greed ? or simple widespread unrest/ dissent ? -a.v.
https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/volodymyr-zelensky-fires-security-chief-and-prosecutor-general-as-he-claims-more-than-60-officials-are-working-against-ukraine/news-story/69d0c11f2106d9b8f1c987b2b86498cc
Nath at 9.18 and 9.24 pm, Rakali at 9.27 pm and Steve777 at 9.31 pm
The Guardian story referred to by Nath which details both those egregious examples is at:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/jul/17/sixty-three-year-old-jobseeker-forced-to-make-250km-round-trip-to-keep-welfare-benefits
The Hon Tony Burke MP once claimed about $12,000 in expenses for a family trip to Uluru in 2012. His four “family travellers” airfares cost $8,656.48. He said he had to talk to, inter alia, members of the Mutitjulu community. It would be good if he had read Bob Randall’s Songman: The Story of an Aboriginal Elder of Uluru on the plane, or, better still, before that trip. See:
https://michaelwest.com.au/tony-burke-claims-12000-from-taxpayers-for-family-trip-to-uluru/
Labor haven’t spent one day in parliament yet to be able to legislatively change anything but the hyenas on this blog are baying for their blood tonight.
C@tmomma @ #1973 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 9:25 pm
As I pointed out, the houses you pictured are already excellent for coping with very hot weather because of their very low ratio of exposed external walls and roof to enclosed space, and because of their small, double glazed windows. This remains the case. Filling them with cool air by opening them up from 11 pm to 8 am, then closing them up tightly with blinds down, and curtains pulled would make them far better to be inside than the typical Australian house on very hot days, for the above-mentioned reasons. No ifs, no buts. Just true. Physics is physics. Sheesh.
”
nathsays:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 8:38 pm
I assume the Walmart scheme relied upon the fact that many of their employees were poor and perhaps disproportionately unhealthy. Dead Peasants Insurance. How quaint.
”
Indeed! So it is true. Walmart do evil corporate stuff at the expense of their employees.
i think labor should have brought back parliament earlier then next week so they can legislate to get rid of some of the liberals policies dissapoited they will not increase new start people forget the so called climate 200 do not support the greens and desbite the claims foor climate action the group is fundid buy ritch business leaders who only started suporting tackling climate change when itit made them money the greens were not replaced buy the teels
Andrew_Earlwood at 9.41 pm
According to the BBC those officials (security boss and prosecutor) have been suspended not fired. See:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62202078
There is some background in the Kyiv Independent story (below) but more details in the BBC story. One failure concerned Russian infiltration of Ukrainian intelligence around Kherson, which is said to explain why Kherson fell so quickly. Until the barbaric capture of Mariupol, Kherson was the only big Ukrainian city that Russia had occupied. A Ukrainian counter-offensive in Kherson oblast started a week ago.
https://kyivindependent.com/national/zelensky-fires-prosecutor-general-security-service-chief
lets not forget the greens in 2016 votid with the liberals to back the so called gonsgey 2.0 which after turnbull was rolled gonsgey hims self admitted was no good and just an excuse to cut money given to publick schools in faver of private ones only the nsw greens stuck suporting the publick schools
Mr Ed,
Word has it that Cameron Smith will be offered $200 mill+ to kiss MBS’ blood-soaked ring and play golf Saudi style. I simply ask: is their anyone here amongst us who would reject that offer if we were him? If so, you’re a better man/woman than me, Gungadin. Think about your problems, your kids’ problems….. Wouldn’t $200 mill go some way to alleviate them?