The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll includes its monthly read on prime ministerial approval, but still nothing on voting intention or opinion of the Opposition Leader. Anthony Albanese maintains most but not all of his post-election bounce, his approval down three to 56% and disapproval up six to 24%.
The pollster’s now regular fortnighly question on national direction is effectively unchanged at 47% for right and 28% for wrong. Further questions relate to COVID-19, which find 55% believe we “need to get on with life and treat Covid like another form of flu”, but that 60% support the return of mask wearing in some settings 53% support the government rolling out of a fourth shot (which it began doing during the survey period).
About half the respondents felt Australia had handled the pandemic better than the United States, the United Kingdom and China, with between 16% and 22% opting for worse, while the result for New Zealand was broadly neutral. The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1097.
Also out earlier this week was a brief release from the Australia Institute which reported that a poll it conducted on the night of the May 21 federal election found the Coalition had 37% support among men and 30% support among women, which became 28% to 38% when a further survey was conducted the following month. Given a list of 20 options to choose from as Coalition weaknesses, 67% tagged “the state of aged care” and 66% “the treatment of women in politics”.
UPDATE: The Australia Institute has now posted more detail from its polls. As well as a lot more detail on what respondents regarded as Coalition strengths and weaknesses going into the election, it has a set of voting intention numbers dating from June 14: Labor 34%, Coalition 31%, Greens 12%, One Nation 4%, United Australia Party 4%, independents and others 9% and not sure 7%. The first phase of the poll was conducted from May 21 to 25 from a sample of 1424, and the second was conducted “in June” from a sample of 1001.
C@t
Had my fourth dose a few weeks ago. Thanks to ATAGI I had to wait needlessly long for that one too.
Cronus
The question you need to answer is, given the needless restrictions and delays caused by ATAGI, when exactly will you be able to get the new version of the vaccine.
I had to face this choice myself. Do I get my fourth booster now – and face having to wait far too long to get the updated vaccine later? Or do I wait?
Don Key + C@t at 6:52 pm
TY , I reckon you nailed it.
Here we go again
Saw an article earlier pointing out that inflation became an issue before the war and in fact much of the problem is in fact excessive profit share. (Yes, there are supply chain issues and labour issues, but this was in place before the war).
Temperature forecasted 2 years ago (July, 2020) for July, 2050, could become true this week
https://amp-9news-com-au.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/amp.9news.com.au/article/d62ef748-4c97-4f75-bc6b-02469631f80a?amp_gsa=1&_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQIKAGwASCAAgM%3D#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=16581271984305&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.9news.com.au%2Fworld%2Fclimate-change-hypothetical-weather-forecast-2050-coming-true-next-week-europe-heatwave%2Fd62ef748-4c97-4f75-bc6b-02469631f80a
– SMH
https://www.smh.com.au/national/eddie-obeid-joe-tripodi-and-tony-kelly-charged-with-misconduct-in-public-office-after-icac-probe-20220718-p5b2kf.html
_______________________________________
Cronus:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 5:18 pm
Mavis
“ The allegations made against his client were “based on rumour, hearsay and contradictory accounts” from former Special Air Service colleagues who were either “jealous” or “obsessed”, he said.’]”
Having followed the trial fairly closely, based solely on media reporting of it, I think the trial judge will have already formed a view as to the veracity of the evidence of the applicant’s and respondents’ witnesses. Had I been in BRS position I would’ve opted for a jury trial, without of course predicting the result(?).
Cud Chewer says:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 7:10 pm
Cronus
Medical Bludgers, I’m getting my 2nd booster tomorrow. Given the info above, does this make the 2nd booster redundant?
The question you need to answer is, given the needless restrictions and delays caused by ATAGI, when exactly will you be able to get the new version of the vaccine.
“I had to face this choice myself. Do I get my fourth booster now – and face having to wait far too long to get the updated vaccine later? Or do I wait?”
Good point thanks. I’m going o/s in 7 weeks and would prefer to know I’ve got some coverage rather than run the risk of waiting and missing out.
Oakeshott Country says:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 6:56 pm
Obeid, Tripodi and Kelly finally charged 5 years after ICAC found them to be corrupt.
_____________
Fantastic. Finally.
This will I think be seen as a pivotal moment in the war.
https://mobile.twitter.com/WarMonitor3/status/1548741045114097665
Why? Its about precisely targeting and destroying fortified targets efficiently and doing so from a safe range. Up until today, Ukraine had higher value targets – ammunition dumps, command and control, barracks. Now its clear they have the spare capability to start dealing with ordinary battlefield targets. There are probably hundreds of those in the Kherson region, west of the river.
Its a battlefield with open horizons. You try to advance and they can spot you for miles (goes both ways of course). Now Ukraine can destroy Russian targets with the push of a button and from a safe range. Previously it meant using ordinary artillery and that’s far less accurate, takes more time and exposes its operators to counter-fire.
Its going to be carnage.. for the Russians.
And for your enjoyment, here’s a Russian ammunition site exploding in Nova Kakhovka, just across the river and upstream from Kherson (and out of range to ordinary artillery).
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1548913257972260864
The Oils….
https://www.theguardian.com/music/2022/jul/18/midnight-oil-their-20-greatest-songs-sorted?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
Rishi Sunak Nails his colours to the Brexit mast with a kitsch Movietone video sprooking his deep support for Brexit.. meanwhile British voters have extreme case of buyers remorse..
Cronus
If it were me, I’d get my shot with a few weeks to go before travelling. Also, just for reference, there are plenty of places in the rest of the world that don’t have ATAGI and where you can get a vaccination pretty much on the spot and without having to wait months. Just saying…
Sceptic
One can certainly argue that the Brits were duped into voting for Brexit, but there is no doubt that they gave a mandate to the guy who promised to “get it done”. Will they learn?
Mexicanbeemer @ #1894 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 6:55 pm
You said it caused inflation. If wage growth is less than inflation, that fact reduces inflation below what it would otherwise been. See if your brain can accommodate that fact. There have been massive increases in productivity, which have greatly decreased the effect of increases in ‘per unit input prices’ on the overall cost per unit of outputs, resulting in profit increases of well over 10% and CEO bonus increases of around 50%. More output is being produced from the asset base, and period fixed costs for overheads (rent, insurance, rates, lease payments, interest etc). Overall price increases could have been much less than they have been, but ‘greed is good’, and stuff the little man.
It would appear that you may be another classic sufferer of D-K syndrome.
Careful the screen door doesn’t whack you on the arse on the way out…
NDIA chair hands in resignation
Chair of the National Disability Insurance Agency Denis Napthine has resigned six months into a three year term and just a month after the agency’s CEO stepped down.
sprocket
Wedding Cake Island is amazing.. shame so few instrumentals get into the top 40.
My inner pedant got triggered a couple of times by people here using ‘reign in’ :
https://www.merriam-webster.com/words-at-play/do-you-rein-in-or-reign-in-something
It’s about horses, not monarchs.
Yabba
Wage growth feeds inflation but its not the only thing that does.
And if your house is being rained in, you need a better roof…
One of my kids has got a gig in the DCCEEW – the new combined Climate Change, Energy, Environment and Water. Look forward to reports from the front line of the main game.
Pronounced – Deek Yeeeeyaw !
Yabba and Pi need to listen to my Podcast: ‘How to win an argument with grace’.
I have a different take on Mr Morrison’s appearance at the church in Perth.
What is a church if not a hierarchical organisation built around a core set of unquestioned foundational beliefs? The guy at the top has power and the people at the bottom have to be compliant. Mr Morrison likes power, but more than that he needs to be seen as having the power. So churches of any stripe are the perfect vehicle for him and none more so than the “broad church” of the Liberal Party or a Pentecostal church in Perth (or Sydney). Belief or faith are secondary considerations for him.
So, my take on Mr Morrison’s effort in Perth is that this is all he knows how to do. He has found his solace. And how that will play out as a member of parliament who openly distrust governments of all kinds will be theatre, no doubt “earnestly rearranged”.
Mexicanbeemer @ #1919 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 7:42 pm
Wage growth of less than inflation reduces inflationary pressure, you utter dweeb, since a major component of the cost base reduces in proportion to all of the others. I encourage you to try to understand that you do not possess the mental capacity to think about these matters in a coherent fashion. There are too many variables and cause/effect levels involved, and you just can’t cope. The result is repetitive drivel. Just stop.
nath needs to learn when to shut up.
Mexb said low wage growth was caused by high unemployment in a time of record low wage growth and record low unemployment. I called him out on it.
What a goose Morrison made of himself at Maggie’s church! And the question that must be asked is what has she done since retiring from tennis in ’77 to deserve to be elevated to the AC? I mean, she couldn’t even beat the 55-year-old Bobby Riggs, in ’73. And what role did Morrison play in awarding Maggie our preeminent honour?
“Saw AN article”
The inflation rate kicked up to 3.8% for the September quarter in 2021 for the reasons it did, so basically supply chain issues courtesy of the Pandemic and spread mitigation protocols (particularly China which has a population of 1.4 billion, 20% of the world’s population so a different dimension from other Nations)
And has remained above 3% at each quarterly reading until the March quarter when it recorded at 5.1% – noting it is projected to further increase across the out period
The “war” has introduced a further factor being principally the fuel price we see when putting petrol in our cars, the pump price now over $2- a litre noting the temporary relief from the excise levy – hence the “kick” from just over 3 to just over 5 and projected to further rise
There is an argument that, given accommodative interest rate settings have been in place from 2008, the Cash Rate at low levels never before seen or ever contemplated, and still there, and the quarterly inflation graph showing what it has shown post September 2021 (the calculation a delayed factor), the government of the day appointed Board of the RBA should have replicated what NZ and some other Central Banks did and commenced the normalisation of interest rates from the end of 2021 and not delaying (noting the RBA Board was finally obliged to move during the election campaign, ironically, and the March quarterly read of 5.1% released in May)
The foregoing is my criteria for comment, not reading an article (by who and representing who exactly?)
The graphs talk
Golf Digest
@GolfDigest
·
15h
Cam Smith Jack Nicklaus
The only golfers in history to win THE PLAYERS and Open Championship in the same season.
Pi says:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 7:57 pm
nath needs to learn when to shut up.
Mexb said low wage growth was caused by high unemployment in a time of record low wage growth and record low unemployment. I called him out on it.
————————-
The unemployment rate was higher before covid struck.
Scream In Blue, Kosciusko and Shipyards of NZ are 1, 2 and 3 for Midnight Oil
yabba
Wage growth of less than inflation reduces inflationary pressure.
–
You are the plank because that is why some wage growth and inflation is good.
The question obviously is, why do I care about such an argument?
Because it’s punching down. It’s well off conservatives using cookie-cutter arguments that are trivially debunked, but actually take time TO debunk. Those cookie-cutter arguments are what goes for neoliberal justifications for punching down. Don’t let the uppity proles start thinking that they’re entitled to the fruits of productivity gains. Those unwashed masses would just spend the money on beer and drugs anyway.
You break the argument down at the source of the deception, or you spend all your time explaining why punshing people who are poor for being poor is bad.
”
nathsays:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 7:46 pm
Yabba and Pi need to listen to my Podcast: ‘How to win an argument with grace’.
”
Grace is under extreme fire when you argue. 🙂
Mexb: “The unemployment rate was higher before covid struck.”
Still scratching around looking for a narrative that will stick. Wages growth has been going behind profits and productivity for decades.
Your cookie-cutter arguments have been debunked, but all you know how to do is jumble them up and restate them as if saying the same thing in a different way makes the deception more believable.
Unemployment has dropping BEFORE the pandemic. FACT. Inflation was increasing BEFORE the pandemic. FACT. Wage growth has been going backwards for decades. FACT. Stop trying to decieve people because you feel a burning desire to punch down on the proles.
”
good.
Pisays:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 8:10 pm
The question obviously is, why do I care about such an argument?
Because it’s punching down. It’s well off conservatives using cookie-cutter arguments that are trivially debunked, but actually take time TO debunk. Those cookie-cutter arguments are what goes for neoliberal justifications for punching down. Don’t let the uppity proles start thinking that they’re entitled to the fruits of productivity gains. Those unwashed masses would just spend the money on beer and drugs anyway.
You break the argument down at the source of the deception, or you spend all your time explaining why punshing people who are poor for being poor is bad.
”
According to Pru Goward it is not ‘uppity proles’ but ‘harnessed proles’. 🙂
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/don-t-underestimate-the-underclass-20211018-p5910c
No wonder economics is called the “dismal science” 🙁
Pi at 8:10 pm
An adjusted JK Galbraith quote sums it up
“The modern
conservativeeconomist is engaged in one of man’s oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.”.
A couple more of his, ‘unadjusted’
“The sense of responsibility in the financial community for the community as a whole is not small. It is nearly nil.”
.
“Trickle-down theory – the less than elegant metaphor that if one feeds the horse enough oats, some will pass through to the road for the sparrows.”
Shit no. But I’ll leave Beemer to explain why this chart shows something wonderful…..
Pi says:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 8:18 pm
Mexb: “The unemployment rate was higher before covid struck.”
Still scratching around looking for a narrative that will stick. Wages growth has been going behind profits and productivity for decades.
———————–
That’s a different argument and unemployment might have been falling but was 2% higher than it is now and wage growth was lower and inflation was lower but so was commodities and there was less government debt and less money printing.
Rex Douglas:
Monday, July 18, 2022 at 8:06 pm
I’ve got a gut feeling Cam Smith will join the “Sharks” LIV tour in ’24, financed by bags of Saudi money – $2bn (£1.6bn). I hope I’m proved to be wrong. Where’s Nostradamus when you need him?
“No wonder economics is called the “dismal science” ”
And it is a bit of a stretch between what they do and ‘science’.
Mavis @ #1939 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 8:24 pm
The PGA tour sponsors profit from Saudi business as well. They’re hypocrites.
Poroti
I’m not going to do that because the lack of wage growth reflects the economic failings of the last coalition government.
Ven
The ideal is ‘traumatised proles’ . True story. You can bet your bottom dollar it caught on over here too.
https://www.nytimes.com/1997/02/27/business/job-insecurity-of-workers-is-a-big-factor-in-fed-policy.html
Dr Kirstin Ferguson
@kirstinferguson
· Mar 13
The clever people at @NASA have created this deceptively simple yet highly effective data visualisation showing monthly global temperatures between 1880-2021. Watch until the end…
Learn more here – https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/4975
https://twitter.com/gmangeegee/status/1548952156534874118?s=20
Poroti
Yep because wages feed into inflation and that comment from Greenspan exposes a lack of ideas for how to better balance the economy.
Speaking of evil corporate stuff. This has long stuck with me:
Walmart got the money when 132 Florida employees enrolled in a corporate-owned life insurance program died. When a company names itself a beneficiary on a policy bought in the name of a rank and file employee, it is known as Dead Peasants Insurance. Walmart stopped the practice in 2000, saying it was losing money.
https://news.wfsu.org/wfsu-local-news/2010-05-07/walmart-sued-for-collecting-life-insurance-on-employees
Cronus @ #1889 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 6:44 pm
No. Have any booster you can get as soon as you can get it. There is no advantage in waiting for the next bus – particularly given the yawning gap between Pharma-promised perfection & reality for clinical grunts like me, ATAGI members and others of CC’s designated fuckwits.
I assume the Walmart scheme relied upon the fact that many of their employees were poor and perhaps disproportionately unhealthy. Dead Peasants Insurance. How quaint.
Rakali @ #1944 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 8:32 pm
Wow. So simple. Thanks for linking.
“Poroti
I’m not going to do that because the lack of wage growth reflects the economic failings of the last coalition government.”
It really doesn’t come down to the last 3 god awful Pm’s, it has been a deliberate and ongoing project since the 80’s, if anything the the last three morons were distracted by all sorts of stupid things and didn’t do nearly as much ‘worker destruction’ as they could have, they were more focused on moving billions of dollars from the Govt to the accounts of their corrupt mates.
Mexicanbeemer @ #1931 Monday, July 18th, 2022 – 8:09 pm
An utterly meaningless statement. Inflation reduces the real value of savings. What is ‘good’ about that? Don’t bother trying to answer. You are way out of your depth.