Essential Research leadership ratings and end-of-year review

Scott Morrison’s personal ratings maintain a downward trend, as the government scores middling ratings for its overall performance for the year.

Essential Research has published its final fortnightly poll for the year, which includes its monthly leadership ratings. Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 46% and up two on disapproval to 44%, his weakest numbers since the onset of COVID-19 and a continuation of a downward trend since March. Anthony Albanese is steady on 40% approval and up one on disapproval to 36%. Essential’s numbers for both leaders are consistently more favourable than those for other pollsters. Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister is down from 44-28 to 42-31, the narrowest it has been all term.

The federal government’s ratings for COVID-19 response have deteriorated after a three-month improving trend, down six on good to 41% and up seven on poor to 32%. The equivalent results for the states record a one point drop in the New South Wales government’s good rating to 54%, an eight point drop in the Victorian government’s rating to 43% and a three point drop for Queensland to 57%. The Western Australian government is up four to 78% and the South Australian government is down three to 57%, with due caution to the tiny sample sizes in these cases.

Respondents were asked about the Coalition’s performance on various matters since it came to power in 2013, and were interestingly given the opportunity to indicate whether the issue was important or unimportant to them in addition to evaluating the government’s performance. Its worst results came for handling sexual assault and misconduct, with 35% from the 50% who rated it poorly considering it an important issue, and handling of corruption allegations, rated likewise by 35% from 49%. However, the government now records neutral ratings on the vaccine rollout and is rated very favourably for the legalisation of same-sex marriage.

As it does at the end of each year, the pollster asked if had been a good or a bad year for various actors, with the federal government deemed to have had a good year by 34% and a poor year by 38%. Thirty-eight per cent considered it had been a good year for them and their family compared with 23% for poor; 37% rated their personal financial situation favourably compared with 30% for unfavourably. As usual, large companies and corporations were deemed to have done best of all, at 52% for good and 21% for poor. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of around 1000.

Another poll worth noting is a Western Australian survey for Painted Dog Research, published today in The West Australian, which found more respondents considering the state’s recently announced opening up date of February 5 to be too soon (36%) than too late (18%), with 46% deeming it right. Mark McGowan was credited with a 77% approval rating, down from 88% in a previous survey in February. The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday from a sample of 811.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,431 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings and end-of-year review”

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  1. I just had to perform open bum surgery on my chook in order to fit the lemon up it’s cloaca! 😯 😆

    So, all good though. A bajillion vegetables roasting, potato, sweet potato, onion, carrot& pumpkin and ready in an hour and a half. 🙂

    Time for some Scottish shortbread and milk to tide me over.

  2. This fragmentation of society is getting beyond a joke.

    @RosieWaterland
    ·
    1h
    My niece was meant to be doing a full shift today at the testing site she works at, but everyone lined up was being so abusive to staff that they had to shut down by 10am. A Christmas Miracle!

  3. BW,

    There are few few alternatives up here. If Albo can’t make something of this stuff-up, he’s not trying.

    Once again Morrison has promised something he couldn’t deliver, and didn’t bother to calculate whether he could or couldn’t when he made the promise.

    The Libs must be tearing their hair out at his idiocy.

  4. Merry Xmas to all – especially WB and BK.

    Enjoying Christmas lunch at Little Canton restaurant in Torrensville. For those (like us) who do not enjoy cooking or the kitchen – thank goodness for a multi-ethnic society.

  5. Greetings, and Happy Christmas everyone, with the wish that we all find peace and harmony in the little things that matter. Here’s my annual Chrissy lullaby, something I reckon worth returning to at least once a year, not least for a glimpse of purity and innocence. Purity and innocence; those were the days!

    Balulalow – from Britten’s Ceremony of Carols

    The text of “Balulalow” is found written by brothers Wedderburn around 1548. “Balulalow” is meant to be a lullaby for the baby Jesus, and the soprano solo at the beginning of the movement paints an image of The Virgin Mary singing a lullaby to her newborn child.

    O my deare hert, young Jesu sweit,
    Prepare thy creddil in my spreit,
    And I sall rock thee to my hert,
    And never mair from thee depart.

    But I sall praise thee evermoir
    with sangës sweit unto thy gloir;
    The knees of my hert sall I bow,
    And sing that richt Balulalow!

    (wiki)

    https://youtu.be/o3s-Q1zyxYE

  6. While we’re in a festive mood, can I be forgiven for a non-Christmas musical interlude?

    As a Christmas gift I’d like to introduce, to those of you who have never heard of them, a couple of brilliant performers of popular music who, unfairly, never became household words: Jackie Cain and husband Roy Kral.

    Here they are in 1998, celebrating their 50th wedding anniversary by reprising one of their early covers. At this live event, Jackie Cain was 70 and Roy Kral 77. As a bonus you get Alec Wilder’s exquisite “While We’re Young.”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RsHCaJhvOUo

    This resonates for us because we have just returned from Covid-exile, for our “Season in the Sun.”

    This is how Jackie and Roy sounded when they introduced the song 43 years earlier in 1955 and I heard it for the first time and became a life-long fan..

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=DDZ7fJ_j_e8

    What’s amazing is how little their voices had changed in the four decades between the two performances.

    and this is how they looked in 1961 on the Dinah Shore Show.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UZxz4-7hHCs

    Roy Kral died in 2002 and Jackie Cain in 2014

    Now off for a Sydney Harbor ferry cruise to Watson’s Bay to replace a family event cancelled by Covid.

  7. U.S. COVID update: Limited reporting due to Christmas Eve

    – New cases: 199,281 ……………………. – New deaths: 1,057

    – States reporting: 20/50

    – In hospital: 70,229 (+358)
    – In ICU: 16,466 (-136)

    837,671 total deaths now

  8. Rikali says:
    Saturday, December 25, 2021 at 3:19 pm
    Beguildagain

    Now off for a Sydney Harbor ferry cruise to Watson’s Bay
    ———-
    Where the hell is Sydney Harbor?

    Doing it tough…

    Very…,

  9. Sceptic says:
    Saturday, December 25, 2021 at 4:09 pm

    Rikali says:
    Saturday, December 25, 2021 at 3:19 pm
    Beguildagain

    Now off for a Sydney Harbor ferry cruise to Watson’s Bay
    ———-
    Where the hell is Sydney Harbor?

    Doing it tough…

    —————————————————-

    Yeah. Neilsen Park I think, looking to Manly in the distance. We cruised by there about 90 minutes ago.

  10. beguiledagain says:
    Saturday, December 25, 2021 at 4:53 pm

    Yes… not even SfM can spoil this… Sydney is truly paradise & it’s free to those fortunate to live nearby

  11. To be a fly on the wall in the English team dressing rooms… the axe has fallen on Burns, Broad, Pope and Woakes.

    Hopefully the Boxing Day test will be a competitive match and go the full length.

    Looking forward to see how Scott Boland goes for Australia.


  12. C@tmommasays:
    Saturday, December 25, 2021 at 6:41 pm
    43 today in Perth!!!

    If you have followed ABC Weather forecast for WA area, you would have noticed it was always very hot since September with Catastrophic fire conditions in NW WA.
    Based on that I have a prediction it will be a very very hot summer for WA. It looks like La Nina has passed WA.

  13. La Nina tends to be an Eastern and Northern thing for Australia. Highs further South —> Stronger Easterly winds —> cool and wet in the East, hot and dry in the West.

    Although yesterday and today Sydney has had perfect Christmas weather.

  14. Then all the carry on about Boxing Day Sales, by the Retail Association and their subscribers

    At our family gathering today there was a reference to a media article where someone went out “partying” and meeting new friends – now in receipt of a text telling them to isolate

    But the whoa is me did not stop there

    Because they were forced outside they are also complaining about getting badly sunburnt!!!

    You couldn’t make it up

    And they contact media to complain – and are reported!!!!!

    Isolated and sunburnt!!!!!!!!

    Both at the same time – but they met some new friends (except one was infected)

    No doubt our Colossal Fossil and our excuse for a Health and Aged Care Minister, Lloyd from C Hunt, will be all over wearing sunscreen and staring

    It will be interesting to see how many go to the shops tomorrow and how many go to the cricket

    The children all reported no traffic when heading to ours today

  15. This is very sad..

    More than 100 aged care facilities across the country have been hit by COVID-19 outbreaks over Christmas, plunging dozens of residents into isolation and prompting restrictions to be placed on visitors.

    It is the nation’s highest number of active aged care outbreaks reported this year, and almost double the figure recorded last week.

    Across NSW, 65 aged care homes are managing coronavirus outbreaks, including twenty-seven facilities that have two or more active cases and four homes where at least a dozen residents and workers have been infected.

    Ian Yates, chief executive of Council on the Ageing, the national peak body for elderly Australians, said despite high vaccination uptake and fewer severe COVID-19 cases in residents and aged care workers compared to last year, some facilities are denying entry to visitors.

    “It is a very difficult situation for providers right now. We are seeing so many complaints about people being locked in rooms. Which is leading people to question if their lives are worth living,” Mr Yates said.

    “It is essential residents be permitted at least one visitor, but there is confusion about what is and isn’t allowed in the guidance from state and federal governments.”

    ..

    St Basil’s Lakemba and Uniting Lillian Wells North Parramatta aged care facilities have more than 20 cases in residents in each home.

    High-risk groups such as the elderly, aged care residents, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander adults and frontline workers were the first groups to have access to booster shots when the program launched in November.

    Federal Health Minister Greg Hunt told reporters on Thursday that “every aged care facility that has been able and willing to receive because they were eligible and they were ready has had their deliveries done so far.’

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/covid-19-outbreaks-sweep-across-more-than-100-aged-care-facilities-20211225-p59k4d.html

  16. Because they were forced outside they are also complain about getting badly sunburnt!!!

    I thought they would have taken Dear Leader’s advice, assumed ‘Personal Responsibility’ and put on sunscreen and worn a hat. 😐

  17. Another fuck up:
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-12-25/sydney-to-hobart-yachts-willow-maverick-49-pull-out-covid/100725758

    Two yachts have withdrawn from tomorrow’s Sydney to Hobart race due to COVID-19 concerns.

    Three positive COVID-19 cases have been detected among the crew of Willow. The yacht’s owner, Jim Cooney, says his crew are awaiting the results of two other tests.

    Another yacht, Maverick 49, has also been withdrawn by owner Quentin Stewart.

    Go outside they said…
    Get some fresh air they said..

  18. 3 hrs to the launch of the James Webb Space Telescope.

    The James Webb Space Telescope will be launched on an Ariane 5 rocket. The launch vehicle is part of the European contribution to the mission.

    Webb will be launched from Arianespace’s ELA-3 launch complex at European Spaceport located near Kourou, French Guiana.

    https://jwst.nasa.gov/content/about/launch.html

    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/dec/25/james-webb-worlds-most-powerful-telescope-makes-its-first-call-to-australia-on-christmas-day

    Live feed:

    https://youtu.be/zJpJ3nn_klc

  19. Xmas gatherings are always interesting when discussion turns to politics. And so it was today in the Southern Highlands of NSW.

    Some takeaways, all unprompted..

    – the young think Morrison is ‘out of touch with young people’, and this from a young entrepreneur with an expanding IT business
    – a 84 year old farmer’s wife from Orange said Morrison ‘had no class’
    – a SH matron consulting in Communications rattled off the Morrison failures; subs, international relations, treatment of women, vaccines – a hopeless leader
    – and a well connected Labor person said ‘talk is about not letting Albo be Albo, dressing him up in a suit and feeding him targeted talking points. This ain’t the real Albo. Let him get on with the fighting…’

    So what to make of this? From this micro focus group I’d say Morrison is toast. And Albo has plenty of ammo for the campaign proper..

  20. My mother told me today that COVID-19 was ‘just the flu’ because she read in a medical dictionary that it was a Coronavirus and the flu is a coronavirus, so, with the ‘brilliant’ deductive reasoning of someone who left school at 14, therefore COVID-19 is just another flu. Also because some ‘Virologist’ on facebook said so. 🙄

    Sometimes I despair of the direction human kind is heading in.

  21. I especially despair when I read things like this :

    In April, Elon Musk’s neurotech startup Neuralink demonstrated a controversial experiment where a macaque monkey with two “Link” devices implanted in his brain was seen playing a simple video game solely with his mind. The same type of brain implant could be experimented in humans as soon as next year, the CEO said.

    … Neuralink’s ultimate goal is to create a brain-machine interface where human consciousness and machine intelligence converge into one.

    https://observer.com/2021/12/neuralink-brain-chip-human-test-2022-elon-musk-interview/

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