The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor leading 53-47, in from 54-46 three weeks ago. The primary votes are Coalition 37% (up two), Labor 38% (steady), Greens 11% (steady) and One Nation 2% (down one). Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 44% and up two on disapproval to 52%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady on 37% and up two to 48%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister has been cut from 48-34 to 46-38. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1524.
Ven says:
Monday, November 15, 2021 at 8:17 am
”
By standing with China, Brazil and Russia at COP26, Australia failed to support the global progress critical to its future as a low carbon superpower, writes Ross Garnaut.
https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/australia-s-missed-energy-opportunity-in-glasgow-20211114-p598qm
”
1. Is India (the punching bag of PB bloggers) not mentioned in the article? I thought India took one for Australia by changing the final communiqué from “Phase out ” to “Phase down”.
=====================================
FMD. India basically threatened to destroy the entire COP.
Having failed to get the language it wanted out of square brackets going into the plenary, India threatened to destroy the COP completely if it did not get what it wanted. So ‘coal phase out’ was changed to ‘coal phase down’.
India did not do that for Australia. I doubt whether Modi has anything other than a vague contempt for Australia. Not that I know what is in Modi’s brain. Just look at what he did in COP. Not what he says.
India, the second largest coal-burning nation after China, got the coal cop out in COP26 because India has been zooming its coal-fired energy emissions, is building new coal plants, and intends to continue to increase its CO2 emissions.
Deflecting this to Australia is bullshit.
It is ironic that millions of Indians will be flooded out of their homes by rising sea levels, that hundreds of Indian fishing communities will be smashed by the fisheries impacts of acidification, that low lying urban coastal conglomerations will increasingly be flooded, and that Indian farmers are already struggling with an increasingly erratic monsoon.
Do wake up!
”
Andrew Bragg, who announced an inquiry into the ABC’s complaints handling procedures is understood to have been rapped over the knuckles by the Prime Minister’s office at the weekend, says The Australian.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/media/coalition-senator-andrew-bragg-goes-rogue-on-abc/news-story/6d1ecbd3581dd595a846c4757f921946
”
I don’t believe the story. But that is the story Morrison wants people to know because election is only 6 months away. Why am saying this. Look at the actions of LNP government(s) over last 8 1/2 years. The proof is in the LNP pudding.
Shellbell says:
Monday, November 15, 2021 at 8:24 am
The ABC’s complaint handling process and Senate inquiries are two relatively unimportant parts of life – dead ends, really.
However, if the Senate can review and independent body like the Press Council and its complaint record (and like bodies) why can’t the Senate inquire into the ABC’s complaint handling process?
============================
It can and it is.
But when it is part of a pattern of trying to suppress the independence of the ABC it can reasonably be interpreted in that light. When it comes to trusting the principals in this matter, Ms Buttrose wins hands down.
William, do you have any plans to start including UAP and / or Others in BludgerTrack?
lizzie @ #104 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 8:39 am
Memo to Labor; this is how it’s done.
Name and shame. Correct the record.
Never a let a lie go unchallenged.
Sometimes it may be necessary to buy media space/time to get your message out.
That’s fine.
Any 1 point shift in polling does not mean much in isolation, so there is nothing to infer from the latest Newspoll beyond its confirmation that Labor continues to lead. With 6 months until the likely election, it means Labor is well placed but it remains no certainty.
Bludgertrack tells an interesting story, with Labor’s primary vote on a remarkably straight line upwards ascent. I doubt the last week’s polling will affect Bludgertrack much, when it’s next updated.
At this stage in the cycle, Labor is playing a good game and keeping the focus on Morrison. It has clearly resolved to avoid the release of policies until much closer to the election, and possibly not until the campaign starts, which is a legitimate political tactic. Labor’s critics from both Left and Right can continue to snipe about a supposed lack of policies, but I don’t think too many of the disengaged voters who will decide the next election are too fussed. What Labor is dodging this time is the damage caused in 2019 by the franking credits scare campaign, and Albo is disciplined enough to avoid any more death tax slip ups!
The last time the lib/nats were retain in government with a primary vote less than 40% was the first term of the Howard government , thanks to a big majority from 1996
A big majority helped the Howard government. But the real reason Labor won almost 51% of the two party preferred vote and lost the election in 1998. Is because Labor’s vote increased dramatically in seats they already held.
When it happens to Labor you don’t see Labor cry about it and claim conspiracy theories unlike the Liberals.
Thanks for the roundup BK. I was interested in this story, which relates to a point I made on the weekend, about Morrison’s fake “plan”.
“ Government assumes 90% of Australia’s new car sales will be electric by 2050. But its a destination without a route, argues John Quiggin.”
https://theconversation.com/government-assumes-90-of-australias-new-car-sales-will-be-electric-by-2050-but-its-a-destination-without-a-route-171741
Surely Labor can make political hay out of challenging Morrison on EVs. His policies have done nothing but block them from Australain markets. Cheaper EV models in particular are missing from the Australian EV market, because Morrison’s policy makes it uneconomic to bring them here. So saying EVs are only bought by rich people is a circular argument, because of LNP policy.
The LNP are very vulnerable on this. None of the barriers to Aussie EV imports – import regulations, ADRs, fuel standards, fuel consumption standards – have been changed, never mind the lack of EV subsidies. There are no winners from this, unless you have shares in a (mostly foreign) oil company.
Cheaper EVs would be a great benefit to lower income families in outer suburbs, because it would lower the cost of motoring for people who drive longer mileage than average.
There are at least a dozen cheaper EV models on sale in the UK (so LHD) for under $45,000 that are not sold here. Why not here? Plus businesses fitting new batteries into second hand Nissan Leafs for under $10K. If they meet UK safety laws and are LHD they should be saleable here. So the “Choice” mantra from Scomo is the greatest lie of all. See
https://www.carmagazine.co.uk/electric/cheapest-electric-car/
That article is out of date; the most popular EV in Europe now is the Dacia Spring (really a cheap Renault EV) which sells for $20K AUS with government incentives.
https://www.drive.com.au/news/2021-dacia-spring-ev-europe-s-cheapest-electric-car/
Bill Shorten is/was right – the lack of EV choice in Australia under the LNP is a scandal.
That Mrs Shellbell.
Months of work and the Coroner says yes to an inquiry into the death of a foreign worker (Phillipines) who “jumped” out of a vehicle while being returned to the airport by a disgruntled employer.
More to follow.
Shellbell @ #91 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 7:46 am
What drives people to get vaccinated is an interesting discussion. There is no doubt that the runaway breakouts in NSW and Vic got people into getting the jab. But the government messaging, methods and threats also ramped up during this time. There is also no doubt that there was not enough vaccines before the breakouts and in the early stages of the breakouts to meet demand.
So one ponders what might have been if, in March, Australia started getting swamped with both vaccine doses and messaging to get the jab, and methods like clinics with sausage sizzles, and threats/rewards that the borders will be open by X date, and promises of reduced restrictions carrots. Add vaccine passports and targeted mandates and clear legislative leadership on company mandates…. well….. say no more…. “leadership”. We have a self-marketer, not a leader.
Outsider:
I’d agree with all of that.
I will note too that it was around this time in 2018 when I started to hear some worryingly negative stuff from otherwise politically-disengaged acquaintances about the franking credits policy.
Guardian blog
The protesters would be far more use if they marched against Matt Canavan instead of Dan Andrews.
I would not mind betting that one or both of the major parties announces an EV purchase subsidy during the election campaign.
One thing that will be very interesting is how the historical “gotcha” on funding of policies will play out when the current Government has overseen an unprecedented debt blow-out. It’s going to be very hard to get the voters worked up about a billion or two, one way or the other. Every discussion around economic management or waste gives Labor the opportunity to focus on the Lib/Nat debt and pork barrelling.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/nov/15/australian-taxpayers-funding-59m-in-government-ads-in-run-up-to-2022-election
Most of these are hard to argue against.
Useful material on India’s monsoon here:
https://www.dw.com/en/indian-monsoon-climate-change-rainfall/a-57187793
Australian league and union would be diminished without them.
Reading this blog less frequently now. Whenever I do dip in I get the sense that we, at least those of us who hope for an outbreak of kindness across our wide brown land, are experiencing that optimism as a receding mirage. It is a long time since I felt this low – since the election of the H (I spit on his name!) government back in the day.
In the face of McTrump Scrotto’s totally absent relationship with any kind of factuality and more than half the electorate’s proven mendacity at the last election we are not in a place of light and any sense of having a future as a civilised country. We are no longer a nation with any sense of community. And God died long ago. Is this what the Karma Yuga looks like?
A high primary vote is important, obviously, but how high is high enough is something thats constantly in flux, constantly shifting depending on the state of both major parties, how well minor parties are polling, and where the preference flows are going.
Additionally, in single-member electorate systems, state and nation-wide primaries and TPPs only tell part of the story. It’s how those votes are distributed from seat to seat that really matters. A high primary is useless if it’s wasted in safe seats while you flatline in the marginals, likewise a mediocre primary can get you over the line if those votes come in the right seats or if you do really well from preferences.
And I kept saying it – wrt AstraZenica… Morrison could have publicly gone and got a dose. That would have been leadership.
Victoria records 860 new COVID-19 cases and five deaths
There are now 17,518 active cases of the virus in Victoria, and 416 people have died in the state during the current Delta outbreak.
There are 378 people in hospital with the virus, of whom 78 are in intensive care and 48 are on a ventilator.
The health department said a further 71 people are in intensive care, but their COVID-19 infections are no longer considered active.
The new cases were detected from 48,104 test results received yesterday.
There were 5,030 doses of vaccine administered at state-run sites yesterday, as well as more vaccinations at GP clinics and other venues.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-11-15/victoria-records-new-covid-cases-and-deaths/100620306
860?
Weird that I like it. Context is everything. Victoria may finally be bringing Berejiklian’s Bondi Cluster under some sort of control.
pritu
The pandemic looms large over us all.
As a society and world, this upheaval has been exhausting.
Europe going into winter again and a surge of cases is occurring. They obviously need more percentage of population to be vaccinated.
Here in Australia we will achieve a high rate of vaccination. This will enable us to manage the next phase better than most.
Do we want Morrison in charge of this? Frankly, no.
Lets hope enough Australians feel the same way.
I would agree with some bludgers who have suggested that we need to know how many people have drunk the UAP kool aid.
Seeing so many covidiots going to a Melbourne protest on Saturday, with Craig Kelly giving a speech, was enough to make me viscerally sick.
We are living in interesting times. That is for sure.
Vic
Did any of your rellie end up with long covid?
We shouldnt be disheartened at the election of a Liberal government. Even one led by H.
But yes. These days it is hard to find roses to smell. I look out at my dying bushland…. and across large swathes of dying ecosystems, I see peoples better selves get hijacked by popularist politicians and their calls to peoples self-centredness. We have forgotten that society thrives through both cooperation/sacrifice and individuality/freedoms.
But there are roses to smell. Look at McGowan. And even Andrews, standing tall despite all the crap being flung at him by the cranks and crooks. And… I believe the genuine effort by leaders in Europe and even some of China and the US to get us back to a policy baseline of <1.5deg warming.
The US is what concerns me most. They are both a beacon and a cesspit.
Just got a text from serial pest Kelly and the UAP.
Has a link in it to their site.
Immediately deleted.
How the grubs are able to send unsolicited spam needs to be investigated.
There’s no option to unsubcribe.
No political party should be allowed to send unsolicited texts.
It needs to stop.
‘Simon Katich says:
Monday, November 15, 2021 at 9:05 am
I wonder if they are Evangelicals like Israel Folau, who believe that the blood of Jesus will protect them?
Australian league and union would be diminished without them.’
============================
They will discover that they can perfectly well survive and thrive without the dross of ratbag nutter anti vaxxers. The players who won’t be forced to inhale their steaming virus-laden exhalations or hug their sweat-pouring fomites during scrums and tackles would be grateful.
Simon Katich
Are you referring to the burning methane rising from the shit? 🙂
Simon Katich says:
Monday, November 15, 2021 at 9:18 am
…
The US is what concerns me most.
…’
—————–
Plus one.
860 is the lowest level of daily cases in Vic since late September. Reff is only a little below 1, so they are unlikely to fall steeply. And with the 90/90 opening up at the end of November cases are likely to go up again, as the road map predicted. Hospitalisations still trending down though. Since the weekend was so chilly in Melbourne we might not see as big a Thursday spike this week.
Victoria, we seem to be generating new breeds of idiot by the week.
For a person to be motivated enough to walk the streets of Melbourne(!!!) bearing signs demonstrating, indeed flashing, their stupidity before the public gaze, must require a special grade of idiocy, way beyond your basic or intermediate grade of cretinism.
Simon Katich @ #118 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 9:05 am
So, will they have a ‘Come to Jesus’ moment and get vaccinated for the good of the game?
The protests in Melbourne is the latest product of the prolonged and intense R/W corporate media/political attack on the dominant state Labor Govt.
These tactics go way back to the ‘African gang’ campaign. The intent is to propagate a narrative to create chaos that undermines government stability.
It’s basically social terrorism here in Vic.
lizzie @ #128 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 8:51 am
No, I wasnt specifically talking about Morrison.
max @ #131 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 9:25 am
Except for the result of that little protest Melbourne had over the weekend. 😐
Whatever the road map has been, it has been nothing like this so far
https://ozsage.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Appendix-A-hospital-ICU-modelling-13-9-1.pdf
Is the richest woman in the world confronting her mortality?
pritu
It is very disconcerting to observe how so many people believe in the bullshit they read on social media.
Some have become radicalised and that is a real concern
These covidiots are in every state, but in Victoria it is being politicised to hurt a popular vic state gov.
Like elsewhere the only tools they have in their kit is division and hate.
It’s a frickin disgrace and someone is going to get seriously hurt if they don’t stop.
Or even killed.
Victoria @ #141 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 9:40 am
As I always say, just as well Australia has Howard’s Gun Laws.
The fiberals and media re politicising the pandemic bill.
It has been compared to the NSW one. Guess what. The vic one has much more oversight.
Yet if you listen to these f wits, you would think otherwise.
It’s all political and it’s disgraceful
Victoria @ #138 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 9:05 am
My last for the morning… and probably way out there…. but….
Social media disengages people from reality. We used to see what is happening in life to those around us (and even ourselves) through our own eyes, from the words and actions of real people we listen to and see in front of us – not via third parties through a controlled medium. Yes, we always had propganda to deal with. Newspapers and radio have been around for yonks and rarely totally objective. But with TV and now mobile devices…. well…. especially if they herd…. it is easier to fool more people more of the time.
”
Boerwarsays:
Monday, November 15, 2021 at 8:30 am
Ven says:
Monday, November 15, 2021 at 8:17 am
”
By standing with China, Brazil and Russia at COP26, Australia failed to support the global progress critical to its future as a low carbon superpower, writes Ross Garnaut.
https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/australia-s-missed-energy-opportunity-in-glasgow-20211114-p598qm
”
1. Is India (the punching bag of PB bloggers) not mentioned in the article? I thought India took one for Australia by changing the final communiqué from “Phase out ” to “Phase down”.
=====================================
FMD. India basically threatened to destroy the entire COP.
Having failed to get the language it wanted out of square brackets going into the plenary, India threatened to destroy the COP completely if it did not get what it wanted. So ‘coal phase out’ was changed to ‘coal phase down’.
India did not do that for Australia. I doubt whether Modi has anything other than a vague contempt for Australia. Not that I know what is in Modi’s brain. Just look at what he did in COP. Not what he says.
India, the second largest coal-burning nation after China, got the coal cop out in COP26 because India has been zooming its coal-fired energy emissions, is building new coal plants, and intends to continue to increase its CO2 emissions.
Deflecting this to Australia is bullshit.
It is ironic that millions of Indians will be flooded out of their homes by rising sea levels, that hundreds of Indian fishing communities will be smashed by the fisheries impacts of acidification, that low lying urban coastal conglomerations will increasingly be flooded, and that Indian farmers are already struggling with an increasingly erratic monsoon.
Do wake up!
”
I don’t care if you bag India and Modi because you are “equal bagging opportunity” bagger of world leaders. So bag away. My only whinge about your bagging is that you don’t bag Biden, who is bagged remorselessly by his voters. 🙂
What I was pointing earlier is that India was not mentioned atleast in the summary of Ross Garnsut article, who as we know is a pre-eminent Australian economist. If you think you know more than Garnaut, who I am to dispute you. Bag away as much as you want. 🙂
C@t
There are still plenty of guns about. And not surprisingly usually in the hands of those who shouldn’t have them.
Just another roadmap, plan, pathway, pamphlet.
Dropped, discarded and forgotten. Draw a line under them. Time to move along. It is there with the submarine litter, the international pariah status at COP26, the fire failures, the un-national NBN, the vaccine acquisition failure, the egregious destruction of 40,000 academic jobs… the demolition of public service independence, the various active and passive truth suppression projects, the daggy dad persona and misspent Jobkeeper billions. Time to move along.
The here and the now is curry man, EV charging stations, stealing weekends, hundred dollar roasts, all power to the manufacturing industry and freedom!
The lies and the make believe, the vacuous policies, the corruption and the newly minted new Morrison du jour are the only consistent features of the worst federal government since Federation.
Oh, and please don’t notice any of the quiet despair being generated as federal Covid transfers to desperate individuals evaporates.
Simon Katich
I don’t know what has caused middle aged people who have life experience and you would think critical thinking, believe the nonsense.
I cannot fathom how they have inhabited a space of believing that this global pandemic is all a fake ruse.
Victoria @ #146 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 9:43 am
Yeah, I know but a lot less than there would have been otherwise. And the Police have the ability to raid these people if they find out about them.
C@t
Yes the police have this sort of information at their fingertips these days
In the wake of Carlton player Liam Jones retiring because he would nit get vaccinated against Covid, The West Australian reports today that at least three West Coast players are “in talks” with the club about vaccination.
My son who follows these things on social media tells me one has been named but he doesn’t need to worry because he can’t catch anything.