Roy Morgan has produced its second federal poll in a fortnight, and will hopefully make a regular habit of this going forward. The poll credits Labor with a bare lead of 50.5-49.5 (Morgan’s rounding being done to increments of half a percentage point), down from 51-49 last time. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up 1.5% to 41.5%, Labor is down half a point to 34.5%, the Greens are up half a point to 12% and One Nation is up half a point to 3.5%. State two-party breakdowns have the Coalition leading 51-49 in New South Wales, 56-44 in Queensland and 52-48 in Western Australia, but with Labor leading 55-45 in Victoria, 52-48 in South Australia and 57-43 in Tasmania.
The poll was conducted by telephone and online surveys over the previous two weekends from a sample of 2782. Since we will presumably be hearing more from Morgan in future, it’s worth pointing out that the company is not a member of the Australian Polling Council, and thus does not observe the standards of transparency demanded of its code of conduct.
Other news:
• Peter Law of The West Australian reports that Labor’s candidate for the key Perth seat of Swan will be Zaneta Mascarenhas, an engineer who runs an energy management consultancy. This comes after the state party’s Left-dominated administration committee blocked the nomination of the only other contender, former South Perth councillor Fiona Reid, on the grounds she had run as an independent candidate at the 2017 state election, to the displeasure of the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association. Mascarenhas is aligned with the Left faction Australian Manufacturing Workers’ Union. The West’s report also relates that Tania Lawrence, a manager at Woodside who ran unsuccessfully for Labor in Darling Range at a state by-election in 2018, is the party’s only nominee in the seat of Hasluck.
• Pollster John Utting has told The West Australian that his recent polling leads him to expect that Labor will win Swan and possibly Pearce. He also believes that Labor will “probably” win the election off the back of wins in Chisholm, Boothby, Longman and potentially Leichhardt, Braddon and Bass, although they could potentially lose Eden-Monaro and Macquarie. Utting has polled extensively for Labor and provided polling for The West Australian five months out from the March state election that had the measure of the eventual result.
• Roxanne Fitzgerald of the ABC reports a complaint has been lodged with the Human Rights Commission accusing the Australian Electoral Commission of discrimination against indigenous voters, having failed to provide sufficient polling facilities to remote communities and directly enrol people who do not receive mail at a residential address. The complainants are Matthew Ryan, mayor of West Arnhem Regional Council, and Ross Mandi, chairman of Yalu Aboriginal Corporation in Galiwinku, with the support of the Maritime Union of Australia and the United Workers Union.
guytaur says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 10:47 am
OC
Gates led the fight because government wouldn’t. The US philanthropy instead of government approach is toxic.
Rather…Gates led the fight because he could. Good for him.
Barilaro is one of those politicians whose pronouncements should always be regarded sceptically.
For the recorder-philes
https://musicaviva.com.au/genevieve-lacey/?utm_source=Limelight&utm_medium=eventful&utm_campaign=lacey
Player One says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 11:11 am
N @ #1837 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 10:58 am
That is to say, coal production is demand-led.
And demand is still increasing. Which is why we need both demand-side policies (such as a carbon taxes) and supply-side policies (such as eliminating fossil-fuel subsidies, and stopping new exploration and expansion) if we want to achieve significant emissions reductions.
Could well be, P1. But there is no majority constituency for these measures in this country. The reactionaries are winning. They have been winning for 30 years or more. The attempt to legislate a carbon tax led to the decimation of the Labor PV. We’re fucked. Get used to it. Until the dysfunction on the centre left is resolved, the reactionaries will continue to win.
N
No you miss the point.
Climate change trumps the man made constructs of economics.
A field failing the human race as it does not count the cost of environmental damage.
Instead we have to make regulations to restrain the damage pure capitalism including Keynesian economic thought makes.
Economics has to go back to the drawing board. It’s theories are a danger to the planet.
That’s why Stern and Garnaut doing their best have failed.
I cheer on the G7 but am under no illusions about how economical theory has led to the existential threat to the human race.
guytaur @ #1850 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 11:13 am
Mainly international audiences, judging from the comments. Good work from The New Yorker in sourcing the material, and not least, typically lovely camera work.
NSW covid
11 already in ISO. Meaning 19 were not.
That isnt good.
@ven
The 1st SARS was being controlled and then died out. Thus the attention quickly moved on.
https://twitter.com/rabbitandcoffee/status/1408938594719334400
Dean Rosario
@DeanRosario
·
20m
NSW Covid update
– 30 new covid cases past 24 hrs to 8 pm
– 11 were already in iso
– all linked but a number of these were moving in the community when infectious
Thanks OC
COVID19 NSW
@Covid19NSW
·
11m
Dr Chant: The Virgin flight attendant is linked to the Great Ocean Foods cluster (a ‘cluster’ within the while Bondi cluster). NSW Health have texted people on the manifests of the flights they attended.
Sewage detection at Port Kembla: no known cases there, so Beware locally
The QLD QR code will become mandatory as from 9 July
Hear bloody hear
Julie Brown
@BrownCow4ever
·
1h
Replying to
@bkjabour
Jon Faine (respected ex ABC radio host) is not wishing ill on Sydney. He is pointing out the shellacking Vic has copped the entire pandemic, a good slab of it out of Sydney. Sorry for ordinary Sydneysiders, but NSW commentariat kicked us when we were down and I’m still bitter
Thanks poroti
The reporting on the GladysCluster approaching cheerleading… unlike 6 months ago…
imacca @ #1713 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 9:23 am
A loud YES from me.
UK gives it to 40yo+. So should we.
Berejikilian throwing Morrison under the bus on vaccines.
Goodness me. When are people going to realise that the virus doesnt concern itself with rules.
I’m actually surprised by Casey Briggs.
From recollection, His tweets were very different during Melbourne wave.
casey briggs
@CaseyBriggs
·
51m
You haven’t described anyone breaking rules here. You’re not required to wear a mask while doing “strenuous physical exercise except in an indoor gym
class or dance class.”
Quote Tweet
Janet Baker
@JanBakerVoice
· 55m
Replying to @mjrowland68 and @CaseyBriggs
Coogee beach teeming with young and old- joggers, groups, and hardly any wearing masks. I thought masks really important but joggers puffing past with not a care in the world for the rules, the science, the rest of us. Wondering if messaging about masks outdoors is ambiguous?
Gladys is claiming she did not delay the lockdown decision and relied totally on the medical advice provided.
It seems strange that the only people not pointing out that NSW should go in to a city wide lockdown on Friday were senior medical advisors to the Government. The President of the Doctors Union, highly regarded epidemiologists and anyone that had lived through the Covid lockdown in Victoria were screaming from the rafters that lockdown was the required solution. On Friday Gladys wouldn’t even use the word.
It will be interesting to know if the Medical advice being provided was framed to advising people that had already made up their political minds and weren’t inclined to listen to contrary opinions.
She can’t help herself, can she? Still sneering at the other states.
And what a give away — one second she follows every bit of health advice to the letter – the next, it’s ‘balanced’ with the considerations of locking down six million people – and now it’s ‘the advice we accepted.’
Guytaur
This same Gladys who dismissed purpose built quarantine as not being at all necessary.
This in response to both Victoria and Queensland demanding same.
Berejikilian people are keen to get vaccinated
A bit of a contrast to all the vaccine hesitancy stories. Repeats at Ten million vaccination rate in NSW we can talk about ending lockdowns.
Victoria
Yes the political hypocrisy is shining through.
GladysB can say what she likes. She has proven to be an imposter like Morrison.
When a politician expresses confidence abt an outcome it’s time to start worrying.
It’s a bit like an “official denial”.
Dr Chant stopped herself mid-sentence with respect to mentioning the source of the Avalon cluster. I can only presume that she remembered mid-sentence that she does not know the source.
‘Ven says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 10:44 am
”
Oakeshott Countrysays:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 9:53 am
BW
The number of malaria deaths got close to 2 million in 2005 (up from 500k and falling in 1970). More than Covid 19, but the West really didn’t care. The deaths are now down to 400k. Criticise Bill Gates as much as you like but it is his foundation that led the fight.
”
In that 2 million malaria deaths , how many are outside Asia, Africa and South America? Probably less than 1000.
Now you can see why West didn’t care.
…’
__________________________________
I suggest there is a bit of confusion here in the rich stream of the self-loathing West variety.
he public health policy debate in the West does not normally focus on malaria because malaria is not a priority.
On the other hand, hundreds of millions has been spent in the West on malaria research. Some of the breakthroughs in Australia alone bode well for finally getting on top of this scourge.
Well done the West!
https://www.anu.edu.au/news/all-news/malaria-breakthrough-set-to-change-vaccine-design
Another inconsistency! Why are libraries and other venues required to close yet gyms can remain open?
guytaur
The problem when Gladys “throws Morrison under the bus” is that he won’t blinkin well stay there.
Less than 50 mins and theyre off.
Brad Hazzard slips so easily into Mr Arrogant – ‘I’ve answered the question, dumbarse! – you are journalists, we take advice from medical specialists’
The most ironic thing is that Victorian press conferences last longer than NSW even when we have no outbreaks.
Fess
Library patrons seem to me to be the least likely to rush about shouting and breathing heavily. I wonder who makes these rules.
sprocket_ @ #1884 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 11:47 am
Very snappy; a very defensive position.
Lizzie
Yeah. That propaganda arm is an existential threat to Australians today.
Like with Hancock in the UK though the virus may force accountability.
In our case we will have to wait for our votes at the ballot box
lizzie,
As a general rule, Libraries do not encourage rushing, shouting and breathing heavily.
Sprocket
Here is another one
which has come back and biten
Caroline Overington
@overingtonc
Why do residents of other states not look at NSW and think .. hang on. They’ve been open all along. They never locked down. They just live their lives and had a cautious Christmas, and go to sport outdoors, and deal with outbreaks as they occur and it seems to work.
lizzie:
The inconsistencies abound. Weddings are permitted (up to 20 guests), but no dancing.
Dancing permitted outdoors (up to 10 in a group) as part of exercising.
If they havent already done so.
I would recommend NSW govt have modelling done by experts to see how the measures they have in place will run the virus down.
‘Scott says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 11:52 am
Sprocket
Here is another one
which has come back and biten
Caroline Overington
@overingtonc
Why do residents of other states not look at NSW and think .. hang on. They’ve been open all along. They never locked down. They just live their lives and had a cautious Christmas, and go to sport outdoors, and deal with outbreaks as they occur and it seems to work.’
_________________________________________
Because the Fourth Estate failed.
UK gives it to 40yo+. So should we.
——————
Again….. nothing stopping Morrison etc going out and getting an AZ dose to assure the vaccine hesitant.
Griff,
Gunner doing his best to be “as clear as possible”. Well done.
But this “Centre for National Resistance” nonsense makes me choke on my coffee.
Darwin in lockdown!
boerwar says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 11:55 am
Because the Fourth Estate failed.
——————————————
And hoping and praying people will forget
Sharnelle Vella
@SharnelleVella
·
2m
Weimar: 128 people were on the Virgin flight from Brisbane to Melbourne. The passenger manifest was received by health authorities at 10am and those people will get messages and calls but if you were on the flight go and get tested. Don’t wait.
@7NewsMelbourne
GG
Goodness me.