The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll does not include leader ratings or voting intention, but does have the following:
• The regular question on COVID-19 response finds the federal government’s good rating suffering a seven point dip to 62%, returning it to where it was for several months before an uptick in November, with the poor rating up two to 14%. The small sample results for mainland state governments also record a drop for the Victorian government, whose good rating is down ten to 49%, while the New South Wales government holds steady at 72% and the Queensland government’s drops three to 73%. As ever, particular caution must be taken with the Western Australian and South Australian results given the sample sizes, but they respectively retain the best (down three to 85%) and second best (down one to 78%) results out of the five.
• The poll finds 50% of respondents saying they will get vaccinated as soon as possible, 40% that they will do so but not straight away, and 10% that they will never get vaccinated. Variation by voting intention is within the margin of error. By way of contrast, a US poll conducted by Monmouth University last month produced the same 50% result for the “soon as possible option”, but had “likely will never get the vaccine” markedly higher at 24%. This increased to 42% among Republicans, and doesn’t that just say it all.
• The poll includes a pared back version of the pollster’s semi-regular suite of questions on leaders’ attributes in relation to Scott Morrison, but not Anthony Albanese. The consistent pattern here is that Morrison is a bit less highly rated than he was last May, but substantially stronger than he was during the bushfire crisis in January. However, he has done notably better on “good in a crisis” (from 32% last January to 66% in May to the current 59%) than “out of touch” (from 62% to 47% and now back up to 59%), whereas his gains since January on “more honest than most politicians” (now 50%), “trustworthy” (52%) and “visionary” (41%) are all either 11% or 12%. Two new questions have been thrown into the mix: “in control of their team” and “avoids responsibility”, respectively 56% at 49%.
• Respondents were asked to respond to a series of propositions concerning “the recent allegations of rape and sexual assault from women working in Parliament”, which found 65% agreeing the government has been “more interested in protecting itself than the interests of those who have been assaulted”. Forty-five per cent felt there was “no difference in the way the different political parties treat women”, though the view was notably more prevalent among men (54%) than women (37%), and among those at the conservative end of the voting spectrum (53% among Coalition voters, 41% among Labor voters and 30% among Greens voters).
• A number of questions on tech companies found an appetite for stronger regulation, including 76% support for forcing them to remove misinformation from their platforms.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1074; full results here.
mundo @ #NaN Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021 – 10:28 am
Says a male.
Remember, Scott Morrison’s numbers are tanking with females, not males.
mundo @ #94 Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021 – 9:55 am
Did not. It wasn’t even remotely close.
Also did not. 74.22 million fuckers voted for him. If you’re going by standard rounding conventions that means he got 74 million votes, not 75.
And aside from that, who cares? 7 million more fuckers voted for Biden. Trump badly lost the popular vote, more than doubling his 2016 deficit.
Mundo, I edited out that particular word a full 20 minutes before you pasted what you had cut.
Are you storing up comments to snark at them later?
Kindly delete it if there is still time.
Robodebt continues to be used to highlight the LNP’s double standards with respect to money flowing to shareholders and executives. It is an example of poor legal advice of the AG.
NSW have had about 50% of the hotel cases in the last month
https://www.covid19data.com.au/
Shellbell @ #105 Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021 – 11:08 am
I naively thought that it was a govt website, based on what was expected of Govt I suppose. But not so, so for others, it’s worth noting:
Data are verified with federal, state and territory health departments. Charts or pages are timestamped with latest updates.
This site brings together fragments of information and data that may be technically but not always practically available to the Australian public, and presents them without editorialising or projections.
It is not an authoritative or official source of epidemiological data. Rather, it captures the announcements and representations made to the Australian public with the goal of surfacing those that may elude attention, and distilling those that inundate us.
This website is independent and voluntarily maintained. Donations from the public are 100% responsible for the site’s ability to continue and expand.
I was also struck buy how very ‘multicultural’ are the names of the volunteers behind it.
Always remember – it isn’t Oppositions that win elections, it is Governments that lose them.
At this point, this seems that when the next election is called all the governments mis-steps and scandals might overwhelm it. They are a few that have happened since May 2019. The pandemic response was driven the State Premiers not the Feds.
John Sidoti resigns facing investigation:
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/icac-to-launch-public-hearing-into-sidelined-minister-john-sidoti-20210303-p577c9.html
Kirky,
Albo could be reminding everyone about the slow rollout and poor comms from the government.
Opposition leaders do help highlight the failings of the govt.
Though I understand whilst the Cabinet Rapist still lurks about, Albo and the ALP are deftly laying low.
This man obviously has a split personality. 2015 CP lecturing QandA on the acceptable treatment of women.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1366770364328472578
It IS just possible to be critical of both sides in this argument, debate or whatever you want to call it.
You don’t have to be “anti-women” to recognize that Minister X has legal rights and is, however much you may dislike him, entitled to Natural Justice. Natural Justice is something quite separate to criminal justice beyond reasonable doubt.
Neither is it misogynistic to accept the reality that the dead victim of an alleged rape that occurred 33 years ago has missed her chance for justice, pre or post mortem. While being wholly sympathetic for the choices she made, it needs to be accepted that ultimately it was her choice to wait so long to take the matter to the police.
It’s not sexist to point out that sometimes criminals get away with their crimes. They do this for all kinds of reasons, such as corrupt networks of protectors, bribery, cunning and sheer bastardry. But on other occasions they “get away with it” due to the proper operation of the law. It is to everyone’s benefit that the law is properly and universally applied, even it it means some crooks get off too. If you’ve ever seen someone unjustly accused of a crime finally win through due to the application of due process you’ll know what I mean.
On the surface of it, this case involves a sad set of circumstances. But as a leading case it’s not very useful, due to the virtual impossibility of taking it through to any kind of meaningful closure. Any price paid will be political not penal.
The courts lately (and with them DPPs) have become risk-averse to marginal prosecutions. Criminal courts are not committees of inquiry. They don’t make reports that gather dust. They don’t conduct fishing expeditions in the faint hope that one side of a story that can now never be tested will prevail (much less even be admitted as evidence) because #MeToo is trending.
Criminal law courts send people to jail, or they restore people’s liberty. It’s serious stuff they deal in, to which high standards of proof apply, and properly so, far higher than a Twitter thread and a few newspaper reports augmented with polarising op-eds. Justice is not mob rule, however much the mob’s anger may or may not be understandable.
Coming soon to a ‘burb near you ?
.
Does this Make Sense? Gasoline Delivered to Your Car
Gas trucks fill your vehicle where it is parked
Some California drivers no longer go to the gas station—and it’s not because they drive electric cars.
Gasoline increasingly is being delivered into the fuel tanks of cars while their owners work or as they spend time at home.
It’s a trend in Silicon Valley, where technology companies offer fuss-free fill-ups to employees as a perk. They include PayPal, UPS, Facebook, Cisco, IBM and FedEx.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/does-this-make-sense-gasoline-delivered-to-your-car/
Zerlo @ #108 Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021 – 11:19 am
“NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian is facing a scandal in her government after the corruption watchdog confirmed it would hold a public inquiry into Drummoyne MP John Sidoti.”
At the least Alexandra Smith could have steeled herself and at the least called it another scandal. “a” sounds just a little too much “one off” for this scandal ridden government.
Marie
@mariewalsh18
Don’t Ask me…
ItzaDream @ #NaN Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021 – 11:27 am
Tick tock, waiting for the release of the ICAC report. 😀
lizzie @ #110 Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021 – 11:21 am
Started but couldn’t watch it … can’t look at him without recalling what the allegations are, and can’t stomach it.
The next major hurdle to an early election is the slow vaccination rate.
Today it was re-announced that international travel is delayed until July. I expect it will be delayed further, especially for those who aren’t vaccinated because they are in lower priority cohort.
https://indaily.com.au/inreview/adelaide-festival/2021/03/03/politics-power-and-personal-tragedy-at-writers-week/?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=InReview%20March%203%202021&utm_content=InReview%20March%203%202021+CID_b3bb0b9edace5145d7da8f9b96dab6ab&utm_source=EDM&utm_term=READ%20MORE
Itza
I sympathise. Even the lispy voice repels me.
Texas the dumb state:
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/02/us/coronavirus-reopening-texas.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage
““It is now time to open Texas 100 percent,” Gov. Greg Abbott said, adding that “Covid has not suddenly disappeared,” but state mandates are no longer needed.”
BB
What this case demonstrates is that the man isn’t fit to hold office.
Honest people, innocent people, principled people, deal with allegations such as this by fronting up, being as transparent as they can be, whilst protesting their innocence.
They don’t hide for days and then come out basically threatening to sue the whole country for defamation.
Most of us in life get accused of doing things we didn’t do. For most of us, fortunately, these aren’t major crimes.
It is the way we deal with these accusations which demonstrate character, however.
And, again for most of us, our established reputations amongst friends and workmates help protect us from damage.
(I find this a curious approach from you, given that your wife fought unjust accusations to the hilt).
Do you think the planned QandA on sex misbehaviour of public figures will go ahead?
A panelist Danae ??? is a self appointed friend of the anal rape victim with ties to the Liberal party apparatus. (Well those well bred young gels all have ties to the Liberal party)
Even staunch Liberal ladies can’t ignore this
Minister X not an orphan…….
.
.
Rape Allegations Divide Mexico’s Governing Party
President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has backed a candidate accused of sexual assault, testing his promise to create a more egalitarian Mexico.
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/02/world/americas/felix-salgado-macedonio-basilia-castaeda.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage
FBI director says domestic terrorism ‘metastasizing’ throughout U.S.:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/christopher-wray-fbi-capitol-riot/2021/03/01/a49d177a-7ae7-11eb-85cd-9b7fa90c8873_story.html
What this case also demonstrates is that our courts aren’t fit for purpose when it comes to these kinds of issues.
We’ve recognised in the past that there are some situations traditional legal structures don’t deal with effectively – hence (cough) the Family Court, various Aboriginal courts and the shift from having to sue someone for damages to universal coverage (in some circumstances).
Maybe what we should be doing now is trying to come up with a way of prosecuting these issues differently.
zoomster
I have never been sexually assaulted, have probably led a pretty sheltered life in some ways, but today I feel sick and tense, thinking of the character of the people who govern us.
south @ #109 Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021 – 11:21 am
Albo could be doing a lot of things.
Albo only does some things.
And sometimes some other things.
Albo doesn’t do all things.
Albo can’t be all things to all stuff that needs doing when it see…..oh shit, you know what I mean?
Shorter ScoMo: Bro’s before Ho’s
lizzie @ #127 Wednesday, March 3rd, 2021 – 11:45 am
referencing this if not already posted:
“Former small business minister Bruce Billson has been appointed the news small business ombudsman.” (guardian)
John Barilaro thanked for $107,000 grant to agricultural group associated with Angus Taylor’s family:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/mar/03/john-barilaro-gave-107000-grant-to-group-associated-with-taylor-family
An agricultural group associated with Angus Taylor’s family thanked the New South Wales deputy premier, John Barilaro, for a $107,000 grant that was used to fund research to support lobbying efforts for the watering down of protections for endangered native grasslands.
At the time, in late 2016, a separate Taylor family-controlled company, Jam Land, was under investigation for illegal clearing of native grasslands, in breach of the same grassland protections. It was facing potential fines of up to $1m.
Last April Australia’s environment department ruled that Jam Land had acted illegally and ordered the company to restore 103 hectares of native grasslands, but did not order any fines. That order is the subject of an ongoing ministerial review.
Company part-owned by Angus Taylor illegally poisoned endangered grasslands, investigation finds
Read more
During 2017 and 2018 the energy minister, Angus Taylor, approached the then environment minister, Josh Frydenberg, to discuss the native grassland protections.
——
Self congratulating corrupted pricks.
I always find it interesting when a powerful Chair resigns from directing one the world’s largest miners to take the fall for the alleged mis-behaviour of a few lower level subordinates who were out of control. Really?
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-03/rio-tinto-chairman-simon-thompson-resign-juukan-gorge-disaster/13210416
Billson, censured by his parliamentry colleagues for dishonesty, gets government funded job.
They have no shame.
At least they didn’t appoint him to the Administrative Appeals Tribunal.
Bushfire Bill says:
Wednesday, March 3, 2021 at 11:22 am
Another excellent post.
Hopefully the Pell Case is the exception to the rule with regard to your statement:
“The courts lately (and with them DPPs) have become risk-averse to marginal prosecutions. Criminal courts are not committees of inquiry. They don’t make reports that gather dust. They don’t conduct fishing expeditions in the faint hope that one side of a story that can now never be tested will prevail (much less even be admitted as evidence)”.
Keep up the good work.
Socrates says:
Wednesday, March 3, 2021 at 11:50 am
On the topic of native land and such, Biden pauses land transfer of native land to BHP RIO TINTO:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/mar/02/arizona-oak-flat-biden-administration-pauses-transfer-native-american-site-mining-resolution-copper
The Biden administration has put the brakes on a controversial land exchange that would have given a sacred Native American site to a multinational mining company by 11 March.
Parts of the handover had been rushed to completion in the waning days of the Trump administration, in an effort to give Resolution Copper control over Arizona’s Oak Flat region before or soon after Trump left office. Oak Flat sits atop one of the largest untapped copper deposits in the world, estimated to be worth more than $1bn.
Anyone else see a link between sheltering creepy private school rapists and climate denialism?
It like their job is protecting rank privilege, corruption and profiteering from scrutiny and accountability. That is the role of government to our friends in the modern LNP: to protect mates, to appoint mates, to maintain the sanctity of private privilege over public service, the sanctity of bro’s before ho’s, to ensure qualified non-mates dont get any jobs that an unqualified mate could get – and to basically run low-level marketing interference against questions about this entire shitshow.
None of which would be even possible without 24/7 wind assistance from News Ltd.
Zerlo
Its a step in the right direction by Biden. It isn’t only a native title/heritage issue. From Ok Tedi to Jukkan Gorge, via many other disasters in between, large miners have consistently proven unable to be trusted with preserving environmental or heritage values on sites unless closely supervised.
Their standard approach is to move in, extract what is profitable, ignore the damage, promise to fix it later, but then exit their financial stake in the site before any remediation occurs. I know engineers who have done several major mine site remediation jobs in SA, and every single one was paid for by taxpayers, not the miner responsible.
So, will the Australian of the Year say something about now that forces Australia’s Attourney General to personally sue her for defamation?
1988 – I can’t even remember if I was rubbing nasties with anyone let alone who they were. I’m pretty sure I was but trying to recall anything specific now? Very sketchy.
I was involved as a witness to an incident that required a Witness Statement to the Police on the weekend. The person standing right next to me, who is an ex-Policeman, also wrote a witness statement. There was a surprising divergence in what we both recalled and wrote about the facts of what occurred.
People yesterday were hypothesising about PM Frydenburg taking the Libs to the next election.
I don’t think they really have a choice, other than maybe Dutton.
75 coalition, 75 other and the speaker.
The GG names someone PM based in a reasonable view that they could gain a majority confidence vote.
But frydenburg probably couldn’t.I would assume the speaker would, by convention, vote no to any vote of confidence if it weren’t about the current PM.
Craig Kelly would vote no, or the price for his support would destroy the liberals.
Would any of the xbench jump in to save frydenburg? Doubt it.
Could see a situation where frydenburg takes the liberal leadership, but Scomo retains PM title, then Dutton swoops in as the only candidate that could win a party room and a house vote.
Or the GG will decide that democracy is for suckers and just do what’s needed to help the conservatives. Again. Maybe this time we’d get a republic out of it
mundo
“Albo can’t be all things to all stuff that needs doing when it see…..oh shit, you know what I mean?”
No. But I’m okay with that.
Leyonhjelm’s appeal fails.
Must pay $100,000 plus to S H-Y who will pass it along to charity.
3.1% GDP Quarterly growth following last quarter of 3.4%.
If that’s not world class then I don’t know what is.
The deck is stacked against women as victims of assault.
In the end though you can’t avoid the court of public opinion.
After reading Amy Remeikis’s personal account of her ongoing trauma I personally believe the victim in the Minister X case and her ongoing trauma that haunted her until she couldn’t bare it anymore.
I’m a juror in the court of public opinion and I think Minister X is guilty and the PM disgustingly weak. They both make me sick to my stomach.
David Leyonhjelm loses appeal bid, must pay $120,000 for defaming Sarah Hanson-Young
Greens senator Sarah Hanson-Young says the outcome of her defamation case against former senator David Leyonhjelm “sends a timely and critical message that women deserve to be safe and respected in our workplaces”.
Mr Leyonhjelm lost his bid to overturn a ruling that he defamed Greens senator Sarah Hanson-Young, meaning he will have to pay $120,000 in compensation.
…
Senator Hanson-Young said she would hand over the funds to Plan International and the South Australian Working Women’s Centre, who both support women at work.
“Thank you to everyone who has reached out, supported me and given me strength throughout all of this,” she said.
“This victory is for all our daughters.”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-03/sarah-hanson-young-david-leyonhjelm-defamation-appeal/13210042
This is a national disgrace, IMO. We are talking about racist bastardy impacting hundreds of thousands of Aussies.
Apart from being busy running the most corrupt government since Federation, Morrison should show a lot more leadership on this issue.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-03/chinese-australians-physically-tension-pandemic-lowy-report/13207464
boerwar says:
Wednesday, March 3, 2021 at 12:07 pm
Leyonhjelm’s appeal fails.
Must pay $100,000 plus to S H-Y who will pass it along to charity.
______________________________________
2-1 ruling. Heading for the High Court?
But more importantly will Xi now intervene? What does Bluey the imaginary octopii think/say about it?
Voice endeavour says:
Wednesday, March 3, 2021 at 12:05 pm
Morrison will take the LNP to the next election – he has won that right last election.
I expect Frydenberg to be the next LNP Leader. He has done an excellent job as Treasurer and is by far the best performer at the Dispatch Box of the LNP Front Bench. Plus it would be good for the LNP to have a Victorian Leader