The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll includes one of the pollster’s quarterly dumps of its accumulated voting intention results, amounting to six new data points going back to early November. The latest of these, based on its most recent survey of 1092 respondents, is even more eye-catching than Newspoll in recording a Labor lead. The results bear the usual idiosyncrasies of Essential’s post-2019 election voting intention practices, in that the undecided are not excluded from the published figures on either primary vote and two-party preferred, and the latter is determined by using respondent-allocated preferences for minor party and independent voters who indicate a preference and previous election flows for those who don’t.
Had the undecided been excluded, the latest results would have been Coalition 40.2%, Labor 38.0%, Greens 10.9% and One Nation 3.3%, with Labor leading 51.6-48.4 on two-party preferred. However, the other five sets of results published for November through to mid-January show that the pollster has a quality (I believe it should be regarded as such) that Newspoll lacks, namely the normal variability that random samples of around 1000 respondents should naturally produce. So the mid-January result with the undecided excluded showed a quite different result, with the Coalition leading 51.6-48.4.
Over the longer term, the pollster finds the two parties to be evenly matched, which suggests the series is a little more favourable to Labor than Newspoll, but not greatly so. For the results in detail, observe the pollster’s full report or my BludgerTrack poll aggregate facility, which is updated with the new data on both the poll tracker and poll data table.
The poll also tackles the question of an early election, which respondents were dubious about, with 58% agreeing it would “just be opportunism for the Prime Minister to call an early election” compared with 42% who favour the alternative that an election would be “good for Australia, because a lot has changed since the last election”. I’m not completely sure myself what was gained here by not just asking respondents straight up if they wanted an early election or not.
Also featured are results on COVID-19, which find the federal government continuing to score high marks for its response, with 67% rating it good (steady since late November) and poor by 14% (down one). The small sample results for the state governments are likewise consistently high, with changes since November landing within their wide margins of error. New South Wales is down five to 71%, Victoria is up one to 61% (it was mostly in the high forties from the onset of the outbreak in July through to an upswing in November) and Queensland is up six to 78%, while the particularly small samples for Western Australia and South Australia produce results of 80% in each case, respectively down three (this was conducted before Perth’s lockdown began on Monday) and up ten.
The poll also finds 44% would favour their state governments being in charge of vaccine rollouts compared with 38% for the federal government, and most express confidence the rollout will be conducted efficiently and safely.
boerwar @ #1705 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 9:32 pm
Be on guard comrade, wombats work underground to destroy our infrastructure and way of life.
#freenath
nath @ #1143 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 9:24 pm
Absolute crap. However, THAT’S what you were good at.
I will note that my family approve of William Bowe’s imposition of a permanent sentence. 🙂
The place is so humourless without nath.
William I am prepared to post bail for nath.
Lars Von Trier @ #1711 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 9:48 pm
Nah, the loss of ESJ was far more impactful on the blog.
Late Riser & Other Gouties
Sorry for the late response, Saturday arvo you know.
I have only recently been on the Allipurinol.
Like you I’ve never been a fan of medication so in the past just the Indocid plan has worked.
All things considered I find that’s the best approach for me.
Please see your Doctor before undergoing what I do, some medications may clash.
Cheers
Tell me, you are against cultural Marxism. I dare you!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1358006233056243714
thank you Lars, but it appears I’m done for! good luck my friend.
“William, any chance of letting me out of Purgatory? or at least a sentencing hearing”
Nath, you were sent straight to hell not purgatory, don’t start playing the “I once was a Catholic card”, trying to get out of gaol free. You haven’t said enough Hail Marys.
You’re as popular as a fart in a lift, and you ask for a sentencing hearing!
Be careful you don’t get a heavier sentence you ingrate.
Shorten has more patience than you.
Frednk @ #1654 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 7:00 pm
Yes, I get that – those would not (typically) be powered via the inverter. But let’s look at a scenario of something that might be, and which that might become a commonplace scenario in the near future: I have an electric car, which is normally charged via my inverter so that if the sun is shining, then I’m charging it using power from the panels, but if not then I can instead draw power from the grid. I may or may not have a separate battery – but even if I do, it may or may not have any charge in it.
So, if my inverter is disconnected from the grid (via DRM0), my car stops charging overnight? And, presumably, to recover I have to realize this has happened and then manually intervene to reconnect my inverter to the grid? How would I know when to do so?
If this is the case, then implementing DRM0 alone seems a bit primitive, and possibly even punitive. For instance, is it likely that the network operator disconnects individuals? Or specific regions? If so, how would they decide who to disconnect?
Your such a graceless little fellow goll.
Last time I saw nath he was selling ‘The Big Issue’ outside my local Vinnies. Is he back on PB?
nath @ #1710 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 10:00 pm
The journey to redemption involves contrition, remorse and a promise not to do it again.
If you were religious you could go to Confession and receive forgiveness. But, basically , that’s kicking it up to a higher court.
At the end of the day WB makes the call on PB and making a begging arse of yourself on the blog doesn’t help your cause.
One thing I never did was insult the homeless!
Start a petition, Lars.
Or at least go on a sympathy strike for as long as it takes.
Fulvio Sammut @ #1716 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 10:10 pm
He’ll change his moniker to Bobby Sands.
Apologize? For what? Clearing the table? Having a sense of humor? They think they can starve an apology out of me? Ha!”
Blessed are the losers fulvio for their kingdom shall be pollbludger.
I offered myself in exchange for bushfire bill but William didn’t take up the offer.
I thought it was a fair trade.
I was thinking more of the possibility of Lars boycotting PB until he secures Nath’s release.
It may be a while.
Lars Von Trier @ #1719 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 10:19 pm
You thought wrong.
“Your such a graceless little fellow goll.”
You completely missed the dartboard with that attempt Lars.
Shall we investigate instead who’s who on PB and the variety of monikers they adopt.
You’d best keep your pistol in its pouch!
Air swing indeed!
P1,
You will be on a contract with a DR aggregator, who may also be your retailer. They’ll have contracts with the local distribution network company and positions in the wholesale market for ancillary services. You won’t know or need to know the details about that.
The DR aggregator will bring trying their best to keep you happy while extracting value from your electrical flexibility. Part of that will be providing you with a “trusted set and forget” service. If you don’t like the fealor service you are getting from your DR aggregator, you will be able to switch.
Also, each major device tends to have its own dedicated inverter, rather than one general use inverter.
“One thing I never did was insult the homeless!”
You insulted everyone and everything constantly and recklessly but the duplicity beyond redemption.
Behind all the hatred and death wishes, I thought I sensed a deep reservoir of love for me. Guess I was wrong.
Why don’t you boycott fulvio until someone takes you seriously ?
I’d be more than happy if you boycotted me, Lars.
Why do the doctrinaire and useful idiots want to keep this blog fot themselves?
Without free spirits like Nath this is a pretty dull spot
Bear with me… don’t groan…
Two sensational long-form, non-combative (ie. elicitous) interviews with Anthony Scaramucci, on Trump.
One – a blinder – from PBS (27 minutes)…
https://youtu.be/9mwoH1c-3Cg
… the other from a source I’m not familiar with (Steve Adubato), but well worth watching, nevertheless (14 minutes):
https://youtu.be/WeXqS_SG8ec
Scaramucci to me is an impressive guy. He’s highly intelligent and observant. He’s glib, but in an engaging way that doesn’t offend. . Possesses rat cunning straight from the street. Yet, a real “page turner” to listen to. There’s wisdom there as well.
I’m quite impressed. I believe youse should be too.
Oakeshott Country @ #1726 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 10:38 pm
Nath’s problem is that he has never really apologised for his attacks on the integrity of the blog and specifically the personal attacks on cat.
But, he now thinks he’s the victim.
What personal attacks on c@t gg ? i don’t recall anything of that nature ?
Lars Von Trier @ #1729 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 10:53 pm
Bobby,
You’ve tried to shift the paradigm, again.
Read what I posted and see what needs to be done.
Dandy Murray @ #1725 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 10:27 pm
Thanks. I’ve located some papers that talk about DR aggregators, but I still don’t see how it can be “set and forget” if they can disconnect your inverter remotely but not reconnect it – but this may become clearer after I have read a few of them. At the moment, it seems like just another level of complexity, and an excuse to install yet another snorkel into your bank account 🙁
while I’m happy to promise not to commit the crime again, apologizing because I was caught is just too pedestrian for me.
dave @ #1565 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 12:27 pm
I’m confused China is rightfully criticised for it’s actions in Hong Kong undermining the 2 systems philosophy, but a Hong Kong company is is somehow Chinese?
Player One says:
Saturday, February 6, 2021 at 10:07 pm
….
If this is the case, then implementing DRM0 alone seems a bit primitive, and possibly even punitive. For instance, is it likely that the network operator disconnects individuals? Or specific regions? If so, how would they decide who to disconnect
DM has covered it all. It’s not about disconnecting, it is about extracting value from the wholesale market right down to the end user.
If your dealing with reality you need to assume battery power cars are going to become the major load. With the systems being put in place it will become the load when power is cheap, that is when the wind is blowing and the sun is shining; and when the network resources are available.
Modelling has concluded if you charged all the cars that will arrive on the network at 7 oclock, the generation, transmission system and distribution system would not cope, it is that simple. We as a country would be spending billions on stuff that is not used for about 23 hours a day.
I know of a provider who is already planning to offer gold, silver and bronze plans. Gold you get charged when you plug in; silver you promised a full charge at a certain time; bronze, when the power is cheap and the resources are available.
frednk @ #1737 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 11:03 pm
So, Gold means I get to drive to work every day, Silver means I may be able to drive to work the next day as long as I’m home in bed by a certain time or else I have to get the bus, and Bronze means I get the bus every day and get to use my expensive electric car on alternate weekends, weather permitting?
What a Brave New World we are entering 🙂
KayJay
Georgie would love that tree – he is a great climber 🙂
The Age
Victorian Tourism Minister Martin Pakula refused to respond to questions about the quarantine claims, why the event had been moved, or whether an event would take place at Bells Beach this year.
________________
Bloody Pakula I should have known.
If it was a horse race, he would be all over it.
LVT
You are correct re female co-founder resigning.
https://www.mediaite.com/news/lincoln-project-co-founder-resigns-in-wake-of-grotesque-john-weaver-allegations-group-accuses-her-of-making-exorbitant-demands/
Player One @ #1731 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 8:11 pm
How often do you need to charge a car if you are a normal commuter?
From what I’ve seen a regular commuter would use only a fraction of the total charge each day.
Oakeshott Country @ #1174 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 10:38 pm
No one is making you stay.
However, I must ask, do you find it enjoyable to read nath’s attacks on other posters here and assuming an alternative persona with which to do it?
Wait, don’t answer, of course you do.
Player One says:
Saturday, February 6, 2021 at 11:11 pm
….
So, Gold means I get to drive to work every day, Silver means I may be able to drive to work the next day as long as I’m home in bed by a certain time or else I have to get the bus, and Bronze means I get the bus every day and get to use my expensive electric car on alternate weekends, weather permitting?
What a Brave New World we are entering
Actually gold means you can drive at 3 in the morning if you get the urge, silver in the morning and bronze, you use public transport and you don’t care if it takes a week to charge it.
Clearly you are a gold kind of girl, have the cash and don’t care about the resources humanity is using. Nice thing is, it is your choice, and the rest of us are not subsidizing that choice.
Taylormade @ #1184 Saturday, February 6th, 2021 – 11:26 pm
I presume you’d be fine with the Australian Open Golf tournament?
The crap that has been posted here in over a decade and nath using 2 pseudonyms is the worst crime ? Seriously ?
High Ground. ☆☆☆
Nice scenery, but have seen better Aboriginal movies.
Dead Heart starring Bryan Brown was brutal. The Tracker was also a good movie.
C@t
Yep, was a bit annoyed with no golf.
I know you love your tennis, but i have never been a fan.
Played it a lot as a kid, but struggle to see the ball watching it on TV due my colour blindness.
Another potential HQ disaster…
https://www.smh.com.au/national/newcastle-claims-easter-pro-surf-tour-bells-beach-in-doubt-over-quarantine-concerns-20210205-p5703i.html
Fuck.