Essential Research state and federal leadership polling

High and improving personal ratings for all incumbent leaders, as concern about COVID-19 eases just slightly.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research survey includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison up three on approval to 66% and down two on approval to 25%, Anthony Albanese down four on approval to 40% and up four on disapproval to 39%, and Morrison holding a 53-24 lead as preferred prime minister, out from 50-25. There was also a six point increase in the government’s good rating on COVID-19 response to 67%, with the poor rating steady on 15%.

As it did a fortnight ago, the poll also asked about the mainland state premiers from the small sub-samples in the relevant states: Gladys Berejiklian was at 75% approval (up seven) and 17% disapproval (down four); Daniel Andrews at 65% approval (up four) and 28% disapproval (down five); Annastacia Palazczuk at 65% approval (steady) and 27% disapproval (up three); Mark McGowan at 87% (up nine) approval and 7% disapproval (down five); and Steven Marshall, who was not featured in last fortnight’s polling, at 60% approval and 21% disapproval. State government handling of COVID-19 was rated as good by 82% of respondents in Western Australia, 76% in South Australia, 75% in New South Wales, 71% in Queensland and 59% in Victoria.

Respondents were asked how much attention they had been paying to recent news stories, with 73% saying they had closely followed the easing of COVID-19 restrictions in Victoria, 68% the US presidential election, 36% the allegations of sexual misconduct raised by the ABC’s Four Corners, and 29% Joel Fitzgibbon’s resignation from the shadow cabinet. It also finds an easing in concern over COVID-19, with 27% rating themselves very concerned (down three), 44% quite concerned (down two), 23% not that concerned (up three) and 6% not at all concerned (up two). The peak of concern was in early August, when 50% were very concerned, 40% quite concerned, 7% not that concerned and 3% not at all concerned.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1010.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,211 comments on “Essential Research state and federal leadership polling”

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  2. GG

    Good point
    I was perfectly satisfied with my fixed line service. I don’t need any more bells and whistles. Nor do I need any more sympathetic phone calls.

  3. zoomster @ #2094 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 6:38 pm

    Greens votes – by and large – come back to Labor. Seeking votes from the Greens means no real gains for Labor.

    Labor has to win over people who voted Liberal at the last election, not people who voted Green.

    Sure. Which is why the determination of the Labor Right to put the Greens offside in the hope of winning a few Tory votes is … well, odd.

    Labor needs those Green votes. You simply won’t win without them.

    I’d be willing to bet the real Tories just laugh at the ridiculous efforts of Labor to be “Tory-lite” 🙁

  5. Greensborough Growler @ #2098 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 6:43 pm

    Kay Jay,

    I’m embracing my inner Greens. But, it’s totally unacceptable for you to have a different opinion on this fundamental matter that will affect all humanity and the planet. You really must recant.

    Cripes. Greens you say. I ain’t agunna have nothing to do with spinach, kale and the like and let that be the end of it.

    On the other hand. My youngest favourite daughter works in a chocolate shop and likes to, from time to time, give me various 90% sugar oddments.

    What does it all mean ❓ Dunno. For your visual enjoyment – the following – enjoy ❗

  7. Greensborough Growler @ #2100 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 6:45 pm

    P1,

    Buy yourself a mirror! See the image of irrelevancy.

    You spend a lot of time name calling and abusing.

    As Corporal Jones might say, “You don’t like it up you”,

    If you find the term “gibbon” so offensive, I suggest you try not being one.

    This is nothing to what I get called here.

  9. Vogon Poet @ #2104 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 6:51 pm

    Bert @ #2101 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 5:47 pm

    Vogon Poet @ #2067 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 6:00 pm

    Good fishing in Tassie, 50,000 salmon escaped after a pen caught fire above and below the waterline. Insurance assessors should have fun.

    WHERE!!????

    D’Entrecasteaux Channel

    Thanks for that info.
    Hopefully some make their way further North. I’ll get the fishing gear out, again, in a coupla days.

  11. clem attlee @ #2074 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 3:13 pm

    Of course the main thing is for Labor to gain office, if that means putting into place right wing neo liberal policies, well that is all well and good according to Sell Out Central. If I want a neo liberal regime, I would vote for the fucking Tories!

    No it means talking about the things that are going to attract voters to them, not things that are going to possibly repel them.

    Take the politics out of climate change, there is little need to talk about it specifically in an election campaign.

    The Libs have won the last 3 elections talking about Labor and their policies, make the next election about the Government and their record. The main policy I’d be stressing would be the need for a real Integrity Commission.

  12. P1,

    Now you want sympathy! Get off the grass.

    You spend your whole adventure on PB being a smart arse, abusive and totally obnoxious.

    Now, you try and rationalise that behaviour because others won’t cop your shit.

    Even the moderator gave you a serve.

    But, your ego and single issue focus is an obsession that does not serve you particularly well.

  15. Guytaur
    You keep missing the point that Daniel Andrews did that because he politically had no risk of losing the local seat because they were not ALP held. Hazlewood was a private business decision and the state offered a support package for the region but Andrews wasn’t risking a backlash by its closure.

  17. Beemer

    You keep missing the point. If Labor had not supported the workers of Hazlewood Labor would have lost seats in Labor areas.

    Labor had an awful lot to lose.

    This is the case FredNK and others in Labor are making.
    I agree with it. I just pointed out a Labor success with dealing with it

  18. P1

    I’m not sure how you get that take from my comment, but hey, go for it.

    My point is that Labor can keep Green voters but it must appeal to Liberal voters as well – and it can do that without moving to the right.

    I’m not seeing much evidence that Labor IS moving to the right – speculation, maybe, but on very flimsy grounds, and alas, ungrounded suspicions are always far more attractive to people than prosaic realities.

  19. Greensborough Growler @ #2112 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 7:08 pm

    P1,

    Now you want sympathy! Get off the grass.

    You spend your whole adventure on PB being a smart arse, abusive and totally obnoxious.

    Now, you try and rationalise that behaviour because others won’t cop your shit.

    Even the moderator gave you a serve.

    But, your ego and single issue focus is an obsession that does not serve you particularly well.

    I’d suggest you block me. It would be better for your mental health.

  20. The main risk with Hazelwood wasn’t losing votes but losing union support.

    Very real – I once had to delete multiple references to ‘brown coal’ from a policy document and replace it with ‘high emitting power sources’ (or wtte) in order to put it to the floor at Conference.

  22. Zoomster

    Good work. It’s why it’s important to point out Labor supporting union jobs worked.

    There are many that want that forgotten.

  23. Guytaur
    The La Trobe Valley is very localised with no ALP seats near it before 2018 and Bass would probably now be the closet ALP seat. Zoomster is right that the ALP needed to maintain union support but Andrews has built his government on having a healthy relationship with unions which has served him well.

  26. With all the shenanigans going on with trump and his lawyers I wonder what the chances are of any of them having their license or whatever they require to practice law cancelled? As a side note why as with doctors do they call it a practice? I’d of thought they’d passed beyond the practice phase…..my ramble through for my thoughts for the day….

  32. Mexican

    There are many Labor voters influenced by unions. Just look at the CFMEU being used by Howard in his campaign.

    This is what FredNK fears.

    Not understanding education is how you avoid that.

  33. Mexican

    Also we don’t have to guess. What the polling companies in the 2019 campaign got right was how educated voters would vote.

    Labor lost because of uninformed/undecided voters.

  36. Masterfull opening from Paul Keating on 7.30 .. takes charge & direction from the get go.
    Asked a question & promptly cuts to what’s important.. Will Sales cope now that she cant look at her clipboard questions

  39. I have been watching Australian political interviews for many decades
    PJK is reminding me of the nonagenarian Jack Lang, particularly in his style with a pile of documents from which he makes vague quotes, but also the ABC treat him as a monomaniac, wheeled out only when they want a talking point on superannuation.
    With 90 year old Lang it was government surpluses

  47. Can rhw enlighten me on this?

    https://www.astrazeneca.com/media-centre/press-releases/2020/azd1222hlr.html

    Positive high-level results from an interim analysis of clinical trials of AZD1222 in the UK and Brazil showed the vaccine was highly effective in preventing COVID-19, the primary endpoint, and no hospitalisations or severe cases of the disease were reported in participants receiving the vaccine. There were a total of 131 COVID-19 cases in the interim analysis.

    One dosing regimen (n=2,741) showed vaccine efficacy of 90% when AZD1222 was given as a half dose, followed by a full dose at least one month apart, and another dosing regimen (n=8,895) showed 62% efficacy when given as two full doses at least one month apart. The combined analysis from both dosing regimens (n=11,636) resulted in an average efficacy of 70%. All results were statistically significant (p<=0.0001). More data will continue to accumulate and additional analysis will be conducted, refining the efficacy reading and establishing the duration of protection.

    Less is more?

  50. frednk

    Creativity leads to us making stuff. We need more engineers. We need more manufacturing. We need more pretty flowers also, but that’s an aside.

    Regarding the truck driver with a philosophy degree. It reminds me of a random conversation I had one day with a philosophy student at Sydney Uni. He introduced me to the phenomenon of the drunken philosopher. As always there were two schools of thought about this. One holds that you study philosophy, get depressed and then get drunk. The other holds that you get drunk, get depressed and then take up philosophy.

    As for a green steel plant for Newcastle. Its such a no-brainer that it surprised me that Shorten didn’t talk up the idea. My point is though that Labor needs to go beyond advocacy, or providing a bit of salt for industry. What Labor should do is say “this will get built and we’ll co-invest if necessary”. That’s when people sit up and pay attention, and talk about Labor’s good ideas rather than tax policy.

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