Essential Research state and federal leadership polling

High and improving personal ratings for all incumbent leaders, as concern about COVID-19 eases just slightly.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research survey includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison up three on approval to 66% and down two on approval to 25%, Anthony Albanese down four on approval to 40% and up four on disapproval to 39%, and Morrison holding a 53-24 lead as preferred prime minister, out from 50-25. There was also a six point increase in the government’s good rating on COVID-19 response to 67%, with the poor rating steady on 15%.

As it did a fortnight ago, the poll also asked about the mainland state premiers from the small sub-samples in the relevant states: Gladys Berejiklian was at 75% approval (up seven) and 17% disapproval (down four); Daniel Andrews at 65% approval (up four) and 28% disapproval (down five); Annastacia Palazczuk at 65% approval (steady) and 27% disapproval (up three); Mark McGowan at 87% (up nine) approval and 7% disapproval (down five); and Steven Marshall, who was not featured in last fortnight’s polling, at 60% approval and 21% disapproval. State government handling of COVID-19 was rated as good by 82% of respondents in Western Australia, 76% in South Australia, 75% in New South Wales, 71% in Queensland and 59% in Victoria.

Respondents were asked how much attention they had been paying to recent news stories, with 73% saying they had closely followed the easing of COVID-19 restrictions in Victoria, 68% the US presidential election, 36% the allegations of sexual misconduct raised by the ABC’s Four Corners, and 29% Joel Fitzgibbon’s resignation from the shadow cabinet. It also finds an easing in concern over COVID-19, with 27% rating themselves very concerned (down three), 44% quite concerned (down two), 23% not that concerned (up three) and 6% not at all concerned (up two). The peak of concern was in early August, when 50% were very concerned, 40% quite concerned, 7% not that concerned and 3% not at all concerned.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1010.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,211 comments on “Essential Research state and federal leadership polling”

Comments Page 44 of 45
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  1. Cud Chewer

    We need more engineers.

    Are you sure that is wise ? 😉

    Does engineering education breed terrorists?

    Dan Berrett, The Chronicle of Higher Education 01 April 2016

    …………….The relationship extended beyond Islamist movements to other extremist groups. Violent neo-Nazis and neo-Stalinists in Russia and neo-Nazi and white-supremacist groups in the United States also showed disproportionate numbers of engineers.

    https://www.universityworldnews.com/post.php?story=20160330145406494

  2. Cud Chewer:

    Monday, November 23, 2020 at 8:29 pm

    [‘Keating for PM!

    As an aside. I’ve dealt with Keating’s PA. She’s an arrogant turd.’]

    You have a propensity to name drop. One wonders what she thought of
    you(?).

  3. poroti @ #2152 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 8:37 pm

    Cud Chewer

    We need more engineers.

    Are you sure that is wise ? 😉

    Does engineering education breed terrorists?

    Dan Berrett, The Chronicle of Higher Education 01 April 2016

    …………….The relationship extended beyond Islamist movements to other extremist groups. Violent neo-Nazis and neo-Stalinists in Russia and neo-Nazi and white-supremacist groups in the United States also showed disproportionate numbers of engineers.

    https://www.universityworldnews.com/post.php?story=20160330145406494

    This is news? 😀

  4. There is apparently a page 44 but I can’t get to it.

    The number flashes up when I refresh but vanishes before I can click on it.


  5. poroti says:
    Monday, November 23, 2020 at 8:37 pm

    Are you sure that is wise ?

    Does engineering education breed terrorists?

    Dan Berrett, The Chronicle of Higher Education 01 April 2016

    …………….The relationship extended beyond Islamist movements to other extremist groups. Violent neo-Nazis and neo-Stalinists in Russia and neo-Nazi and white-supremacist groups in the United States also showed disproportionate numbers of engineers.

    https://www.universityworldnews.com/post.php?story=20160330145406494

    If you look at this blog there are a few engineers. I wouldn’t place any of them on the right.

    What makes engineers so confident? That is easy, it takes a special sort of arrogance to sign off a bridge, a dam or a 80 floor sky scraper. You have to believe in science and a belief you can apply it.

    The arrogance is likely to extend to areas where they lack the training, sad but true. There are a lot of engineers in climate denial, but that is easy to understand. All those historic records used to set 100 year floods, wind loads, and temperature. If you believe you accept they are useless.

    But why the interest in politics?

  6. …oh, there we go.

    All I have to do to move to the new page is make a post.

    GG, maybe if you delete posts you could move backwards….

  7. William

    I was on page 43, when I refreshed numbers up to 44 appeared vanishingly briefly at the bottom on the page. Posting moved me on to p. 44.

  8. No going back. No page numbers. If there are post numbers, I’ve never been able to see them. I never use add-ins or additional code.

  9. Cud Chewer @ #2146 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 8:16 pm

    Can rhw enlighten me on this?

    https://www.astrazeneca.com/media-centre/press-releases/2020/azd1222hlr.html

    Positive high-level results from an interim analysis of clinical trials of AZD1222 in the UK and Brazil showed the vaccine was highly effective in preventing COVID-19, the primary endpoint, and no hospitalisations or severe cases of the disease were reported in participants receiving the vaccine. There were a total of 131 COVID-19 cases in the interim analysis.

    One dosing regimen (n=2,741) showed vaccine efficacy of 90% when AZD1222 was given as a half dose, followed by a full dose at least one month apart, and another dosing regimen (n=8,895) showed 62% efficacy when given as two full doses at least one month apart. The combined analysis from both dosing regimens (n=11,636) resulted in an average efficacy of 70%. All results were statistically significant (p<=0.0001). More data will continue to accumulate and additional analysis will be conducted, refining the efficacy reading and establishing the duration of protection.

    Less is more?

    To my eyes it looks like the the first trial with a half dose first allowed the body to begin building a titre (the concentration of an antibody, as determined by finding the highest dilution at which it is still able to cause agglutination of the antigen), which then produces a more effective response on the second dose as the body has begun the process of developing antibodies already.

    I think.

    However, two full doses a month apart doesn’t seem to produce the same effect.

  10. 1. Still no Edit function.
    2. The only way I can access the Dashboard, is not via clicking on ‘Dashboard’ on the right but by clicking on ‘Logged in as C@tmomma’.

  11. PhoenixRed

    World Odometers is a day (sometimes two) ahead of Johns Hopkins (which does some checking, hence a delay). So the “current” number from World Odometers is more recent than the “current” Johns Hopkins number (which is most widely used). As far as I can see World Odometers is not systematically larger than Johns Hopkins – I think it’s just that US numbers have been rising so much recently that it gives that impression.

  12. Editing (with ten minutes) and “older comments” / “newer comments” inks now work, which wasn’t the case a few minutes ago

  13. Tom the first and best
    Nothing new. Remember how absolutely feral Howie and the Coalition went when Hawke/Keating said Australia was “an Asian nation” that we were part of Asia .?

  14. Cud Chewer @ #2147 Monday, November 23rd, 2020 – 8:16 pm

    Can rhw enlighten me on this?

    https://www.astrazeneca.com/media-centre/press-releases/2020/azd1222hlr.html

    Positive high-level results from an interim analysis of clinical trials of AZD1222 in the UK and Brazil showed the vaccine was highly effective in preventing COVID-19, the primary endpoint, and no hospitalisations or severe cases of the disease were reported in participants receiving the vaccine. There were a total of 131 COVID-19 cases in the interim analysis.

    One dosing regimen (n=2,741) showed vaccine efficacy of 90% when AZD1222 was given as a half dose, followed by a full dose at least one month apart, and another dosing regimen (n=8,895) showed 62% efficacy when given as two full doses at least one month apart. The combined analysis from both dosing regimens (n=11,636) resulted in an average efficacy of 70%. All results were statistically significant (p<=0.0001). More data will continue to accumulate and additional analysis will be conducted, refining the efficacy reading and establishing the duration of protection.

    Less is more?

    Dunno. This is PR speak for finance, not integrated reporting for clinical use. I suspect that the predefined primary & secondary endpoint measurements for “efficacy” differed in different study populations. Apples & Oranges. In immunology, less is often more – most complex biological systems have sigmoid responses. Bottom line – the old protein tech works too, but mRNA is newer, faster and less well defined. It is also a lot more fragile – mRNA degrades easily and is a bugger to stabilise. Hence the -80 C supply chain problems. The major problem with all the COVID vaccines is not efficacy, it is distribution & equity.

    (Sorry for delay in response – tried to post this some time back, but things went wonky with my connection & C+.)

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