The Guardian reports the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll includes its monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison’s lead over Anthony Albanese as preferred prime minister is now at 49-26, in from 55-22 last time and the narrowest it has been since early February. However, movements on leaders’ ratings are apparently more modest: Morrison is down two on approval to 64%, with his disapproval rating yet to be disclosed (UPDATE: Up five to 28%, so perhaps not as modest as that), while Albanese is steady on approval at 44% and down one on disapproval to 29%.
Fifty-nine per cent now express approval for the federal government’s handling of the pandemic, down two on a fortnight ago. The poll was conducted before Sunday’s announcement of extended restrictions in Victoria, but the small-sample breakdown for that state finds approval of the state government’s performance up three to 50%, compared with falls of two points in New South Wales to 57% and six points in Queensland to 66%. The WA government is up three to a new high of 87%, although at this point sample sizes get very small indeed: as with much else in this poll, we will have to wait for the publication of the full report this afternoon for numbers from South Australia. The latter figure aside, the following chart shows how the various governments’ favourable ratings on this measure have progressed since March:
Concerning COVID-19 outbreaks in aged care facilities, 41% now blame the providers, down a point on a fortnight ago, with 31% blaming the federal government, up three, and 28% blaming state and territory governments, down two. The poll finds 36% support for increasing the Medicare levy from 2% to 2.65% to fund improvements to aged care, with 32% opposed and 32% uncommitted.
Forty-nine per cent favoured a proposition that Google and Facebook should have to pay for news content, compared with 38% for the alternative that “it is not up to the tech giants to support media companies” (as per the wording in The Guardian’s report). The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1076.
UPDATE: Full report here.
Nicholas…..The problem with the Greens is not merely their policies. The problem is they are schismatic. The result is that the only economic policies likely to be enacted are those of the LNP. The greens could best serve their values and goals by dissolving themselves.
Lars Von Trier
Which minor religion do you think will end up taking over the Victorian Liberals. Which do you belong to?
Mavis
Who could have predicted this?
Basically everyone – it’s the epidemic we have been expecting and preparing for 100 years
Prof. Peter Doherty
@ProfPCDoherty
·
6h
Not so bad! A view from a prominent businessman who must also be very aware of what has been happening in the USA. Business magnate Anthony Pratt gives thumbs-up to coronavirus measures
Business magnate Anthony Pratt gives thumbs-up to coronavirus measures
Businessman Anthony Pratt says the coronavirus and ongoing tensions in the Australia-China relationship will help spark a manufacturing renaissance.
theage.com.au
frednk says:
Tuesday, September 8, 2020 at 7:49 pm
It interesting that the Liberals are piling onto Andrew. They seem to have forgotten the next state to go to the poles is Queensland.
If the LNP can undo Labor’s dominance in Victoria they could look forward to very easy wins in Federal elections for many years to come. They will go hell for leather after Andrews, even if this means wrecking the economy.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/09/08/essential-research-leadership-covid-19-approval-ratings/comment-page-8/#comment-3477705
The security guards were, in many cases, under-informed and under-disciplined. That is a state government responsibility, given that they were running the quarantine hotels. The Commonwealth can`t escape blame either, given they provided a list of security companies and should have been running the quarantine hotels (quarantine in a Commonwealth power and the Commonwealth used to have quarantine stations).
Victoria`s contact tracing system does not seem to have coped as well as it could have, which appears to have been a result of Kennett Government mangling that no subsequent government (of either stripe) undid.
The existence of an apathetic section of the community is hardly a surprise to people who understand the diversity of human opinion and should have been accounted for in policy.
Oakeshott Country says:
Tuesday, September 8, 2020 at 7:51 pm
That’s very fast continental drift Frednk
Sorry polls.
As we are heading north ….. Liberals don’t seem to be able to plan 8 weeks ahead so granted it is not likely to be on their mind.
Oakeshott Country @ #403 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 7:53 pm
Maybe, it’s just this year’s flu virus.
That’s what the controlled media tells us and Donald Trump.
A statewide dance fetish.
Tom the first and best
Border control is a federal responsibility. How did the states end up carrying the can?
Steve Price was on mmm radio this morning.
He wasnt his usual poisonous self towards Victorian govt. And now with his comments on the Project, I am quite bemused. He is usually a liberal partisan hack.
What gives?
Victoria @ #402 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 7:53 pm
How long have I been advocating for this!?! But it gets to be done on the Coalition’s watch and they’ll get all the credit. Great. Just great.
Tom
‘The security guards were, in many cases, under-informed and under-disciplined. That is a state government responsibility, given that they were running the quarantine hotels.’
And you do realise that we now know the problem wasn’t the security guards?
Non says:
Tuesday, September 8, 2020 at 7:55 pm
frednk says:
Tuesday, September 8, 2020 at 7:49 pm
It interesting that the Liberals are piling onto Andrew. They seem to have forgotten the next state to go to the poles is Queensland.
If the LNP can undo Labor’s dominance in Victoria they could look forward to very easy wins in Federal elections for many years to come. They will go hell for leather after Andrews, even if this means wrecking the economy.
Their African gangs play worked out well for them also.
The only time the Libs do well in Victoria is when they pretend they’re Labor.
Unfortunately for them, when they get into power they forget what got them there.
Can anyone seriously see someone like Tim Smith convincing someone he’s going to invest in education and healthcare?
I don’t see any government benefiting from overtly politicizing the current situation. The LNP either don’t understand that or they feel they have to support their business support base.
FWIW, QLD is moving north faster than Victoria. Yet Australia’s coordinates were refixed at the start of this year. So while we are all moving north, our coordinates are not…. until they do it again or bring in a dynamic system.
Victoria @ #411 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 8:00 pm
He’s belled the cat that the Libs are directly briefing the journos to ask questions and that the Lib Government are geeing up Business Leaders to complain about the lockdown.
Maybe he is smart enough to see this as a day wonder for the Libs.
The strategy is driven from Scomo. Scomo has NFI how Victorians think.
Maybe Steve Price just doesn’t like Morrison? A bit like Republicans who don’t like Trump?
GG/cat
Steve Price is a liberal luvvie and never gives Labor any quarter.
I daresay he knows more than we do. He obviously sees dangers in this current strategy.
Interesting.
frednk says:
Tuesday, September 8, 2020 at 7:52 pm
Lars Von Trier
Which minor religion do you think will end up taking over the Victorian Liberals. Which do you belong to?______
I don’t think you need to be a religious organisation to take over either of the 2 party conservative duopoly of Labor and Liberal. Somyurek is proof of that with Labor – just a man with a healthy atm balance ; and the Liberals are the same.
Your not seriously going to argue a difference exists between Labor and Liberal ?
https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/09/08/essential-research-leadership-covid-19-approval-ratings/comment-page-9/#comment-3477728
The first person diagnosed in one of the quarantine hotels was not a security guard, that does not mean they did not catch it from a security guard. That also does not preclude other escapes only via security guards.
Zoomster – you probably know this. Why was Victoria the only jurisdiction to reject Local Health Districts?
C@tmomma @ #420 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 8:15 pm
He knows politcal bullshit when he sees it and chooses not to play Morriosn’s game.
OC was it something to do with HSU branch politics?
GG
It’s never stopped Steve Price picking on Labor at every opportunity
Tres weird
https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/09/08/essential-research-leadership-covid-19-approval-ratings/comment-page-9/#comment-3477725
In National “Cabinet” the states and territories agreed to run and fund hotel quarantine. I don`t believe any further information is public.
I dont get how opening up too early is good for business. Business needs certainty. They need confidence. They need a stable society and healthy staff and clients and customers. A steady ship of very low new cases is surely in everyone’s interest if, as we are expecting, a reasonably good vaccine is due next year sometime.
There is something else going on here. Business lobby groups have been too wedded to the LNP for too long and the relationship is… sub-optimal. You might say… incestuous. Or they feel this pandemic and backing the LNP to the hilt will bring about draconian work conditions, lower wages and lower taxes. Even then, I am astounded they can not see how this will shrink the pie.
Business leaders may be wealthy but that doesnt equate to being omniscient. They are human with human frailties like the rest of us and completely capable of being completely wrong.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-09-08/new-speaker-and-president-vote-for-sa-parliament/12639696
The SA Libs have kicked John Dawkins out of the party.
So, after the wrong Lib got the speaker nomination (something which doesn’t change the numbers in parliament), they’ve kicked him out and therefore made things harder for themselves. I don’t get it. Llew O’Brien did something similar federally last year and didn’t get that treatment (Wikipedia says he’s an unaligned member of the LNP not in either the Libs or Nats, whatever that means.)
Until today: Lib plus the various flavours of Xenophon = 12/22, a majority. That might make things very difficult if Dawkins ever decides to side with Labor and the Greens on something controversial. What are the rules about when the speaker gets to vote on things in the SA upper house?
Victoria @ #427 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 8:21 pm
It’s only weird if you beleive your assumptions.
Price is is a strong leader sort of guy.
Who is being a strong Leader at the moment?
Possibly HSU politics but hospital districts/boards have been very political for the last 150 years. The rumour at the time was that Brumby wasn’t willing to take on dismissing all the little local boards. This wasn’t a problem in NSW because Iemma had abolished all boards, amid much dissent years earlier
Greensborough Growler @ #422 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 8:19 pm
PvO, most of the time as well. I hope more of the usually reliable Coalition-supporting media commentators add to their number as time goes by and they realise that Morrison is all show, no go but a hell of a marketing operation and that’s all.
I mean, I am aghast at how little money he actually spends on our national problems. Nothing for Domestic Violence. Nothing for Bushfire Reconstruction. Nothing for the Arts community.
The guy is a political fraud.
GG
Fair point
Your only “aghast’ c@t? Not “outraged” or ” furious?”
C@tmomma @ #433 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 8:27 pm
Yes, and………
Seriously, this Government has been controlled by Matthias .
Matthias is an Insurance Salesman.
Insurance is about selling the potential benefit for an on going fee.
The Insurance Company is about refusing reasonable claims whenever they can.
Tell me this is not he Government model.
To which the retort is “You really are”.
(It’s from a joke I heard some time ago about the correct way to pronounce the settlement of Eurelia in SA – You’re a liar, you really are). Anyway, it seems to suit Morrison both ways.
OC
Good question, and I wish my memory was better.
I know it nearly came to a referendum, and that a friend of mine in Head Office (if it had) would have been in charge of running both the ‘yes’ and ‘no’ case (probably indicative of the confusion of the time).
The first step was taken, in that the state was divided into six health regions.
I hope it wasn’t as simple as Brumby distrusting Rudd….
States are the level of government which has all the resources for public health and as hotel quarantine is a Public Health issue I can’t see how the commonwealth could have taken prime responsibility.
In the NSW model returnees with negative results were in hotels under police governance but positive patients were transferred to hotels under NSW Health governance. In Victoria it appears the Minister for Gaming was in charge
Lars Von Trier @ #435 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 8:32 pm
You are always full of gust!
OC
‘The rumour at the time was that Brumby wasn’t willing to take on dismissing all the little local boards.’
Quite possibly, although (as a member on a little local board) that was never floated as a possibility – the proposed integration of services would have required local input. If anything, we were expecting our roles to be expanded, the proposal being along the lines of more efficient administration but more local delivery.
The federal ALP could best serve the nation by dissolving themselves and asking their supporters to vote for the Greens or for an even more progressive alternative that doesn’t exist yet. There is no hope to be had from the federal ALP’s policy agenda, rhetorical framing, or leadership ability. None whatsoever. But there are promising developments in some of the state, territory, and youth sections of the ALP.
Oakeshott Countrysays:
. In Victoria it appears the Minister for Gaming was in charge
______________
A manager from Parks Victoria was in charge of a number of hotels. Until he quit his job after a few days knowing what was about to happen. He says there was no training on infection control and that he didn’t want to get sick. Shame he lost his regular job looking after the Port Phillip penguins.
Just got robopolled by this lot:
http://measuretheory.ai/
All to do with WA state politics, apart from a preferred PM question: voting intention, firmness of voting decision, age, gender, best party to handle this that and the other, past vote, education, level of political interest, better Premier, financial wellbeing since last year, most trusted type of news source.
William Bowe @ #442 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 6:53 pm
Sounds very similar to a robopoll I got last week, but I didn’t catch who was doing it.
More on the SA shenanigans from InDaily:
https://indaily.com.au/news/2020/09/08/new-speaker-prompts-uproar-govt-divided-in-parliaments-day-of-drama/
WA must have a decent amount of polling going on (compared to the usual, anyway). Today’s West front page was Liza Harvey getting just 10% approval rating (didn’t stop to read it properly, so I don’t know which pollster, etc).
nath says:
Tuesday, September 8, 2020 at 8:53 pm
Oakeshott Countrysays:
. In Victoria it appears the Minister for Gaming was in charge
______________
A manager from Parks Victoria was in charge of a number of hotels. Until he quit his job after a few days knowing what was about to happen. He says there was no training on infection control and that he didn’t want to get sick. Shame he lost his regular job looking after the Port Phillip penguins.
_______________
Resuming the housing on Phillip Island was one of the best ever decisions taken by John Cain Jr.
In 2020 they probably would have become an “eco-lodge” development
Bird of paradox @ #445 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 7:05 pm
Caught that on one of the news bulletins during the day (7 I think), it said the poll was done by that Painted Dog mob.
I think 10% is being generous.
McGowan wins convincingly in 2021 – does a further 3 years and parachutes in 12 months before the 2025 federal election.
Labor could do worse.
Lars Von Trier @ #448 Tuesday, September 8th, 2020 – 9:11 pm
Do you think you’ve done enough contrition to avoid banning , yet?
John Hewson
@JohnRHewson
·
3h
Could I be forgiven for believing that the attack on Andrew’s pathway was orchestrated between the Govt, business and some media all singing off the same page of dot points? Or is it just an amazing coincidence?