Newspoll: 50-50

Back to level pegging in Newspoll, as Scott Morrison cops a dent in his still healthy personal approval and preferred prime minister ratings.

After blowing out to 53-47 in favour of the Coalition two Newspolls ago, the latest result, courtesy of The Australian, has two-party preferred back at 50-50. The Coalition is down two on the primary vote to 41% and Labor is up three to 36%, with the Greens steady on 11% and One Nation down one to 3%. Similarly, Scott Morrison’s still-healthy personal ratings are down on the last three weeks ago, with approval at 64% (down four) and disapproval on 32% (up three). Anthony Albanese is up on both approval, by two points to 43%, and disapproval, by three points to 41%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is now 58-29, in from 60-25. The poll also includes a finding that “80 per cent of Australians support border ­closures if the health situation demands it”, which I’ll go into in greater detail when I see the full results.

UPDATE: The wording to the latter question was, “do you think premiers should have the authority to close their borders or restrict entry of Australians who live in other states”, which drew responses of 80% yes and 18% no. State breakdowns: 76-22 in New South Wales, 74-23 in Victoria, 84-15 in Queensland, 92-5 in South Australia and 91-7 in Western Australia, from respective samples of 475, 371, 311, 119 and 146. The overall sample of the poll was 1507, and it was conducted from Wednesday to Saturday.

UPDATE 2 (Tuesday): Today The Australian brings further findings on attitudes to the leaders, specifically that Scott Morrison is rated as experienced by 79% and Anthony Albanese by 63%; Morrison is reckoned to have a vision for Australia by 72% compared with 52% for Albanese; and that Morrison is rated arrogant by 46% and Albanese by 37%. In all three cases, Morrison’s ratings have improved by either 11% or 12% since the questions were last posed in December, which is fairly typical of such polling in closely tracking the leader’s overall approval rating.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,221 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50”

  1. guytaur says:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 11:18 am
    south

    Nah Jordies is not radical left.

    Plus it’s not what I am describing.

    Imagine

    For once, just do it yourself instead of urging others to do the heavy lifting. Get your keyboard going. Speak to the people….become a bugle.

    Failing that, start a People’s Bank.

  2. Rafael Epstein Retweeted

    Ariel Bogle
    @arielbogle
    ·
    1h
    In case you didn’t know who the real audience is for Facebook’s lobbying against the news media bargaining code, the New York Times got the drop on its new threat to bar Australians from sharing local and international news. Not even the NYT’s local team.
    Facebook is threatening to stop allowing publishers and users in Australia to share news on its platform.
    Facebook Could Block Sharing of News Stories in Australia
    The move, a response to pressure to pay publishers when their stories are posted on the social network, could add to internet silos springing up around the world.
    nytimes.com

  3. In a nutshell

    Nick Evershed
    @NickEvershed
    Facebook: stopping qanon and far-right content is too hard
    Also Facebook: removing all Australian news content is entirely possible

  4. a r @ #838 Tuesday, September 1st, 2020 – 11:12 am

    Mavis @ #818 Tuesday, September 1st, 2020 – 10:42 am

    If the protesters want a Biden victory, they need to show restraint.

    To the extent that they need to make sure their protests are peaceful, yes. To the extent that they should just stay home, fuck no.

    They need to stand there, quietly daring Trump to deploy his goons. And when he does, they need to make sure Trump’s brutality is filmed live-streamed and goes viral.

    Exackerley.

  5. A Labor or Union backed cooperative independent political channel would also probably be cheaper to get onto YouTube than a Sydney Radio station and have a national reach.

  6. Bonza says:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 11:34 am
    Non
    “Failing that, start a People’s Bank.”
    On a related note, do you recommend any particular ethical super fund?

    I have no knowledge of super funds. They’re the most tedious subjects yet devised. I’ve never given them a moment’s thought. But g could no doubt start the best yet.

  7. C@tmomma says:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 11:38 am
    a r @ #838 Tuesday, September 1st, 2020 – 11:12 am

    Mavis @ #818 Tuesday, September 1st, 2020 – 10:42 am

    If the protesters want a Biden victory, they need to show restraint.
    To the extent that they need to make sure their protests are peaceful, yes. To the extent that they should just stay home, fuck no.

    They need to stand there, quietly daring Trump to deploy his goons. And when he does, they need to make sure Trump’s brutality is filmed live-streamed and goes viral.
    Exackerley.
    _________________-
    I’m kind of with mavis on this one – avoid the provocation win the election seems a better stratergery.

  8. Crossbencher
    @FionaPattenMLC
    says she’s been inundated with vile and aggressive abuse and have referred some people police over supporting government’s 6 month extension to state of emergency powers “I have never experienced this type of aggression”
    @abcmelbourne
    #springst

  9. One reason why I hate Facebook

    cmwlsn
    @cameronwilson
    ·
    38m
    what’s really funny is that Facebook will pull up stumps if it’s forced to pay for news … but conspiracy content that radicalises its users? go nuts baby

  10. Pakula

    But, you know, for example, over the last week there’s been discussions with the Victorian Chamber of Commerce, with the AIG, with the Master Builders and the Property Council and the Housing Industry Association and a range of other organisations so that we can get a deeper understanding of the issues confronting their members, so we can get a deeper understanding of what the imperatives for those industries are as we come out of restrictions. I think it’s fair to say that the overwhelming view of those groups so far is the need for certainty and the need to ensure that as we ease restrictions we head in one direction, rather than out and back again.

    Businesses are not agreeing with AFR and Australian.

  11. Emergency doctor who has been in the media a lot during this pandemic

    Stephen Parnis
    @SParnis
    ·
    1h
    It angers me when Govt MPs like George Christensen &
    @CraigKellyMP
    undermine expert appraisal of medical evidence in
    @evidenceCOVID19
    . All it does is damage public confidence in medical & scientific expertise, & increase risk of harm. Irresponsible & dangerous. #auspol

  12. Something for the ‘Herd’ fans.( no not the band The Herd)
    ………………………………………………………………………….
    COVID-19 Can Wreck Your Heart, Even if You Haven’t Had Any Symptoms

    A growing body of research is raising concerns about the cardiac consequences of the coronavirus

    …………………Here’s the background: Myocarditis appears to result from the direct infection of the virus attacking the heart, or possibly as a consequence of the inflammation triggered by the body’s overly aggressive immune response. And it is not age-specific: In The Lancet, doctors recently reported on an 11-year-old child with multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C)—a rare illness—who died of myocarditis and heart failure.
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/covid-19-can-wreck-your-heart-even-if-you-havent-had-any-symptoms/

  13. Yep

    Robert Reich
    @RBReich
    It’s becoming clearer by the day that the choice in November is not Democrat or Republican. It is democracy or fascism.
    1:41 AM · Sep 1, 2020·Twitter for iPhone

  14. Neil Mitchell and his band of merry followers will do anything to continue to undermine getting through this frickin pandemic.
    I am seriously over them all

  15. Meddick won’t be worried about the aggression. As long as his son gets a job he will vote with whatever emergency powers Andrews puts forward.

  16. Stephen Parnis
    @SParnis
    ·
    2h
    Victorians should be proud of overcoming the second wave of #COVID19Vic. From the frontline, we say THANKYOU. Soon we begin the long path to recovery. Physical, psychological, economic. This excellent article shows the path.
    @CrabbBrendan
    #auspol #springst
    How Victoria can leave lockdown, safely, and avoid a return
    After so much sacrifice, Victorians don’t want to find themselves back here in lockdown again. Here’s what they will need to do.
    theage.com.au

  17. poroti @ #871 Tuesday, September 1st, 2020 – 11:55 am

    Something for the ‘Herd’ fans.( no not the band The Herd)
    ………………………………………………………………………….
    COVID-19 Can Wreck Your Heart, Even if You Haven’t Had Any Symptoms

    A growing body of research is raising concerns about the cardiac consequences of the coronavirus

    …………………Here’s the background: Myocarditis appears to result from the direct infection of the virus attacking the heart, or possibly as a consequence of the inflammation triggered by the body’s overly aggressive immune response. And it is not age-specific: In The Lancet, doctors recently reported on an 11-year-old child with multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C)—a rare illness—who died of myocarditis and heart failure.
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/covid-19-can-wreck-your-heart-even-if-you-havent-had-any-symptoms/

    Viruses are the commonest causes of myocarditis. Inflammation of cardiac muscle impairs its function (rhythmic contractility) leading to cardiac failure, and can act as loci of electrical irritability leading to extraneous (ectopic) beats and rhythms, often fatal.

  18. Rachel(I think, in a mask) asks the Vic CHO.

    Are you aware of any deaths that have not been reported yet?

    The answer was:

    If they are not reported I can not be aware of them.

  19. Peter Baume, retired gastroenterologist and Liberal parliamentarian, weighs in on the Aged care debacle.

    It was a mistake to privatise aged care. Private providers who operate for profit too often have scarce regard for the welfare or needs of older people.

    https://johnmenadue.com/peter-baume-it-was-a-mistake-to-privatise-aged-care/?mc_cid=93258ecf9e&mc_eid=a7c18d3845

    We have a society where people no longer try to keep the elderly living with them. Smaller houses don’t have space for another generation. Children might not even live in the same district as their elderly parents. If they do remain with their children, they are in loving families, there is a healthy inter-generational mix, while the experience of life that the elderly bring is valuable. Many less-developed societies continue to do this.

    I touched on this aspect the other day.

  20. I have fond memories of my great-grandmother, who lived with and was cared for by her youngest, unmarried son all her life and the stories she would tell me when my parents took me to visit her. 🙂

  21. Senator Hume betrays her nasty personality in her language. Contempt for two men who have contributed far more to Australia.

    Sunrise
    @sunriseon7
    · 5h
    “I find it quite extraordinary that the Labor Party feel the need to open the crypt and bring out two former PMs” – @SenatorHume weighs in after Kevin Rudd and Paul Keating united to urge the Coalition not to dump next year’s increase to the compulsory superannuation guarantee.

  22. Look out, the Greens leader is coming back from maternity leave to save the day and give Andrews his 6 months extension.
    Nice to see the Greens helping out a labor leader in trouble.

  23. Her next story is writing itself.

    “In a startling admission, Victoria’s CMO stated that he was unaware of deaths due to COVID19.
    Surely this must place further questions as his suitability and ability to handle the task appointed to him.
    …”

  24. Taylormade

    Hey do you know what the status of emergency powers are in other states?
    Also it is too much to expect for the useless fiberals to do anything useful during this pandemic.

  25. NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian has announced an easing of border restrictions for residents along the Victorian border, which will come into place from Friday. .

    Speaking to media from Albury on Tuesday, Ms Berejiklian said the most significant restriction to be eased is the expansion of the border bubble zone, which is currently at a 2.5km radius.

    From Friday morning, the bubble will be increased to a 50km radius, meaning any resident living within the bubble will be able to obtain a border resident permit into NSW. This revised permit will allow them to travel across the border from Victoria for school, work, to obtain goods and access certain services.

  26. It is an interesting juxtaposition that many on this site claim it is the Federal Government that is responsible for quarantine yet it is the Statescthat are setting the limits on arrivals from overseas.

  27. Holdenhillbilly @ #892 Tuesday, September 1st, 2020 – 10:37 am

    NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian has announced an easing of border restrictions for residents along the Victorian border, which will come into place from Friday. .

    Speaking to media from Albury on Tuesday, Ms Berejiklian said the most significant restriction to be eased is the expansion of the border bubble zone, which is currently at a 2.5km radius.

    From Friday morning, the bubble will be increased to a 50km radius, meaning any resident living within the bubble will be able to obtain a border resident permit into NSW. This revised permit will allow them to travel across the border from Victoria for school, work, to obtain goods and access certain services.

    An obvious solution.

    How many weeks did it take them to come up with it?

  28. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 12:20 pm
    “pukka @ #879 Tuesday, September 1st, 2020 – 10:18 am

    Rachel(I think, in a mask) asks the Vic CHO.

    Are you aware of any deaths that have not been reported yet?

    The answer was:

    If they are not reported I can not be aware of them.

    Impeccable logic.“

    You do understand why the journalist felt the need to ask that?

    Yesterday Victoria reported over 40 deaths sending social media into a flat spin over the “massive spike” and accusations that the media was covering up and all sorts of carry on. But only 8 were deaths in the past 24 hours and over 30 were previously unreported cases.


  29. Bucephalus says:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 12:38 pm

    It is an interesting juxtaposition that many on this site claim it is the Federal Government that is responsible for quarantine yet it is the Statescthat are setting the limits on arrivals from overseas.

    A sure indication the federal government is not taking their responsibility seriously. If you don’t do the work you lose the right to set the number.

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