Newspoll: 50-50

Back to level pegging in Newspoll, as Scott Morrison cops a dent in his still healthy personal approval and preferred prime minister ratings.

After blowing out to 53-47 in favour of the Coalition two Newspolls ago, the latest result, courtesy of The Australian, has two-party preferred back at 50-50. The Coalition is down two on the primary vote to 41% and Labor is up three to 36%, with the Greens steady on 11% and One Nation down one to 3%. Similarly, Scott Morrison’s still-healthy personal ratings are down on the last three weeks ago, with approval at 64% (down four) and disapproval on 32% (up three). Anthony Albanese is up on both approval, by two points to 43%, and disapproval, by three points to 41%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is now 58-29, in from 60-25. The poll also includes a finding that “80 per cent of Australians support border ­closures if the health situation demands it”, which I’ll go into in greater detail when I see the full results.

UPDATE: The wording to the latter question was, “do you think premiers should have the authority to close their borders or restrict entry of Australians who live in other states”, which drew responses of 80% yes and 18% no. State breakdowns: 76-22 in New South Wales, 74-23 in Victoria, 84-15 in Queensland, 92-5 in South Australia and 91-7 in Western Australia, from respective samples of 475, 371, 311, 119 and 146. The overall sample of the poll was 1507, and it was conducted from Wednesday to Saturday.

UPDATE 2 (Tuesday): Today The Australian brings further findings on attitudes to the leaders, specifically that Scott Morrison is rated as experienced by 79% and Anthony Albanese by 63%; Morrison is reckoned to have a vision for Australia by 72% compared with 52% for Albanese; and that Morrison is rated arrogant by 46% and Albanese by 37%. In all three cases, Morrison’s ratings have improved by either 11% or 12% since the questions were last posed in December, which is fairly typical of such polling in closely tracking the leader’s overall approval rating.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,221 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50”

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  1. William Bowesays:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 11:18 pm
    Yes, he was joking. The substance of which was that he spent his whole life thinking his father was Jewish, only to learn that his real father was someone else — a German
    Oh well that explains it. He was externalizing his inner confusion. What an artist!

  2. From the biggest turncoat in political history:

    Scott Morrison free to keep us relaxed and comfortable for years
    Graham Richardson .Follow @SkyNewsRicho

  3. cannes threw him out, cannes took him back.

    In 2011, [Cannes artistic director Thierry] Fremaux expressed frustration about von Trier’s comments in an interview with IndieWire from the festival. “More than anything, it’s sad, because in a way he killed his own movie,” Fremaux said at the time. “I would like the filmmakers to think about the fact that Cannes has a big ego, and reflects a lot of things, so they have to be careful.” However, he stopped short of arguing that von Trier’s remarks reflected any kind of worldview. “Lars von Trier has been very stupid, an idiot, but he’s not anti-Semitic,” Fremaux said. “However, on these matters, it’s hard to say something and go back.”

    “he was a victim, certainly of his bad jokes, but also of a punishment that was disproportionate and that had lasted long enough” Fremaux said

    Cannes Director: Lars Von Trier Was ‘A Victim of His Bad Jokes’ — Exclusive — Cannes director Thierry Fremaux explains why von Trier’s “The House That Jack Built” is playing out of competition.

  4. Nicholas says:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 6:18 pm
    A terrific piece by Benjamin Studebaker about the stakes of this presidential election:

    This recalls the various millenarian movements of the past couple of thousand years – movements populated by the gullible and the credulous, who conned themselves into believing the new kingdom would arrive soon, but not just yet; that redemption would be granted those who suffered for and kept their faith; and for those who eschewed the temptations of the present.

    The so-called “left” are nothing of the sort. They are moralistic political snobs who prefer to wait for their own personal messiahs than to embrace democracy.

  5. ucephalus says:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 2:35 pm

    lizzie says:
    Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 2:15 pm

    “The level of misinformation that guides our politics is a real problem and the media are as much to blame as anyone.”

    You mean like the fact that people in the UK think that 6% of the population has died from the virus and in Scotland they believe 10% of the population has died?

    This is data from the KEKST Corona Virus tracker survey.

    I looked it up. (Number-of-deaths/population) *100/1 gives percentage. What don’t they know, death, population or what a percentage is.

    Was the sample selected to be as dumb as house bricks?

    If interested here it is.
    The result mentioned is at the end.

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