Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention

Essential Research finds public support for governments’ handling of coronavirus not quite what it was, while Roy Morgan records the Coalition moving into a commanding lead.

As reported by The Guardian, the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll finds approval of Scott Morrison’s handling of COVID-19 at 61%, which is off from a high of 72% in June. Approval ratings for state governments in New South Wales as well as Victoria are also trending gently downwards, with both having lost two points in the past fortnight, leaving them at 59% and 47% respectively. The Western Australian government continues to lead the field on 84%, though this too is down two on last time, with due regard to the very small sample size.

The poll also suggests Australians are unsentimental about civil liberties in the face of COVID-19, with 65% favouring closing the border to all foreign travellers and 52% supporting dedicated quarantine facilities for convalescents. Concerning outbreaks at aged care clinics, 42% blamed the providers, 30% the federal goverment and 28% state governments, and 70% believed the situation had been aggravated by long-term under-funding. The poll also gauged support for taxpayers to underwrite new gas infrastructure at 27% for, 27% against and 32% for neither. The poll was conducted from 1068 respondents from Thursday to Sunday; the pollster will publish its full report will be published later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. It should be noted that the 61% approval rating for handling of COVID-19 related to “the government” rather than Scott Morrison.

We also had on Friday one of the occasional Roy Morgan polls on federal voting intention, which finds the Coalition lead out to 54-46 from 51.5-48.5 when the last such poll was published in mid-July. The Coalition is up 2.5% on the primary vote to 46%, with Labor down one to 32.5%, the Greens steady on 11% and One Nation up half a point to 3%. The poll was conducted over the previous two weekends by phone and online interviewing from a sample of 2841.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,705 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention”

Comments Page 5 of 35
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  6. Gene Miles @ #188 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 11:38 am

    mundosays:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 9:45 am

    ‘Opposition leader Tony Abbott said today the Prime minister’s announcement…..’

    This is how the PMs ‘announcement’ would be reported.

    I could mention confirmation bias but…

    So where are you examples of this happening right now with all the other Opposition leaders around the country? Am I unable to see all the articles in The Age that feature Michael O’Brien? Or are they not there?

    Likewise the Opposition leaders in ALP governed states like Qld, WA and the NT. Are they all getting the Abbott-treatment that you expect of Albo and the Fed ALP?

    If not then maybe confirmation bias comes into it a bit. Or, it’s just not as prevalent as you believe it is/was (not doubting it happens at Newscorp so let’s agree on that) and expecting it to happen now is expecting a bit much when no other Opposition leader of any party is receiving such exposure.

    Or is there are Alternative-World Poll Bludger where LNPMundo is making the same comments as you about all the Opposition LNP leaders?

    But I’ll wager that the Vic Lib social media feeds are full of their commentary opposing just about everything Andrews is doing. So, they are saying it, but the media is not giving them all 80 pages and 30 minutes of screen time to publicise it. The very criticism you make of the media with regards to Albo and the Fed ALP.

    I don’t disagree with your passion about wanting more out of Albo. I may even agree with you that, perhaps, he is not up to the job. I, however, understand his current predicament and hope he still has the fight left in him. If not, then hopefully he will move aside, or be moved aside, for someone who has. It’s a slow-moving beast and this is sometimes how it is.

    Mundo was simply successfully refuting your claim that it never has and never would…..Over and out.

  7. Spray @ #175 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 11:23 am

    Yep, have to agree sadly. When Abbott tasked Turnbull with “destroying the NBN’, he couldn’t have imagined how successful he would be.

    What a disaster for the country, and what a disgraceful bit of politics.

    And what a pity Labor hasn’t been up to making them wear it like ball and chain.

  11. DisplayName @ #174 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 11:19 am

    Sadly have to agree with mundo about the NBN.

    Most people don’t realise how much of a mess Turnbull made of it switching everything over. They don’t understand that switching design mid-build is an expensive proposition. They don’t understand that the network is now more complicated, less reliable, slower and more expensive than it needed to be. They don’t understand that the the Coalition is the one who gave retailers the go ahead to sell plans to customers that the physical connection couldn’t actually support.

    Because they don’t understand any of this, they will put any problems down to what they believe was Labor’s shambles and thank the Coalition that they got even the poor service they have.

    Display, agreeing with Mundo shouldn’t cause sadness. When Mundo is right it is a thing to celebrate. When Mundo is on a roll it is a thing to savour. With or without ham and or salad.

  12. Yep!

    1. Greens
    2-? Any left wing/progressive minor parties or independents that may be running. Animal Justice comes to mind.
    3. Labor
    4. Moderate right wing/conservative independents.
    5. Coalition
    6. Far-right/conservative extremist parties last, such as One Nation.

  13. The VAU (Vic Ambulance Union) supports this proposed logical step and will be contacting Victorian Members of Parliament and calling on them to support hardworking Paramedics and ambulance workers who are on the frontline of this pandemic.

    The stress and pressure that our members are experiencing during COVID-19 cannot be overstated. They face daily risk of exposure and are likely to be heading into a hot summer where everyday they will be wearing full PPE if the virus is not contained.

    Having strong protections in place is an absolute must and we fully support any legislative change that delivers those protections.

  14. It’s very interesting to watch how the stereotypes play out when people assume to know what a place is like.

    It’s a major problem whenever we comment on other places and try to take our cultural norms and presume that they are applicable in that place. 🙂

  16. The LNP pay millions to have people talk about Albanese and Labor negatively, paticularly when the LNP is failing the poorer citizens so blatantly.
    Yet every day we hear the bot drones go on and on about the disappointments that Labor, the opposition party, have provided from opposition, struck dumb as to miscellany of graft, corruption and mismanagement camouflaged so obviously at each and every Liberal/National press conference. A corrupt LNP government, abetted by the MSM , displaying the most basic of third world politics.
    The damaged caused by Morrison’s leadership will reverberate loudly when the voters start to feel the bites on their arses.
    Morrison will be on his way, resume ready, for the next ride in his not so brilliant career.

  17. Firefox @ #211 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 12:07 pm

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    Yep!

    1. Greens
    2-? Any left wing/progressive minor parties or independents that may be running. Animal Justice comes to mind.
    3. Labor
    4. Moderate right wing/conservative independents.
    5. Coalition
    6. Far-right/conservative extremist parties last, such as One Nation.

    I’m ok with that.

    As long as the Greens launch their strident political attacks against (in order) 6, 5, 4…..

  18. https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/08/25/essential-research-coronavirus-latest-roy-morgan-federal-voting-intention/comment-page-5/#comment-3469742

    So you have no examples of Opposition LNP leaders today getting all of their utterances splashed all over the media.

    I’m not sure what you think you were successfully refuting but it wasn’t that.

    If your real gripe is with the (‘biased’) media then take it out on them. And don’t forget to stand up for all those Opposition LNP leaders who are also being ignored these days by the ‘biased’ media.

  24. new finance minister in canadia.

    As the Liberal government looks to chart its path forward, [Chrystia] Freeland said she will ensure that growth agenda is implemented with the decarbonization of the economy in mind.

    “The restart of our economy needs to be green,” she said. “It also needs to be equitable, it needs to be inclusive and we need to focus very much on jobs and growth.”

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-cabinet-finance-minister-1.5690404

    Freeland is seen as more willing to back up Trudeau’s ambitions to use the crisis as an opportunity to push ambitious environmental spending to start weaning Canada’s oil-dependent economy off fossil fuels.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-canada-politics-finance-freeland-news/new-canadian-finance-minister-freeland-earned-spurs-in-trade-talks-idUSKCN25E2K5

    “The Canadian Chamber of Commerce congratulates Chrystia Freeland on her appointment as Canada’s Minister of Finance. The Prime Minister’s decision puts a strong hand on the tiller during an unprecedented economic storm.

    http://www.chamber.ca/media/news-releases/20200818-canadian-chamber-welcomes-freeland-as-finance-minister

  26. mundo
    “Display, agreeing with Mundo shouldn’t cause sadness.”

    The sadness is not in the agreeing or the person being agreed with, it’s the mess of the NBN.

  27. A look at Trump and his supporters and why we shouldn’t,as Dubya would say, ‘misunderestimate’ him and is chances.

    …………….In other words, this column is not an endorsement: I find aspects of this Administration morally repellent.

    But we’ll never understand America unless we consider fairly what Trump represents and listen to what his supporters say about him – a mistake that, curiously, the Democrats are making, too.
    In 2016, Trump was the candidate of the unfashionable Americans, particularly the working-class, and the growing social gulf between the two parties is stark.

    The Democrat convention was hosted by actors, rock stars and comedians. Who has Trump got? A couple famous for defending their property with guns; the widow of a cop murdered during the riots; a schoolboy who was slandered by the media; and a black grandmother who was given life for drug trafficking, and who Trump set free.

    The breadth of this coalition is extraordinary, yet the more the media laughs at Trump, the more coherent it feels.

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/opinion/news/article.cfm?c_id=466&objectid=12359420

  28. South Australia’s tough border restrictions with Victoria will be relaxed just days after the new coronavirus rules came into effect, the SA Premier has confirmed.

    A 40-kilometre buffer zone will be reinstated by midnight on Friday morning, allowing students to cross the border to go to school and primary producers to work on their cross-border properties.

    “The buffer zone that previously existed with Victoria will be reinstated as of Thursday night at midnight,” Premier Steven Marshall said.

    “As of Friday, school students will be able to return to school in South Australia. Businesses will be able to resume as they were.

    Home gathering limits will also be relaxed, with the number of people permitted to again increase to 50 from Friday.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-08-25/south-australia-relaxes-victorian-border-coronavirus-restriction/12593024

  29. poroti

    The Democrat convention was hosted by actors, rock stars and comedians

    Doesn’t look like they’ve learned anything.

  32. davidwh says:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 12:50 pm
    “So why didn’t the Greens support the resolution thanking the people in blue during the pandemic?”

    Because they want to destroy us – our culture, society and economy. They loathe us.

  33. Zerlo says:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 1:10 pm
    Bucephalus says:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 1:08 pm

    Will Service NSW pay for the transport ?

    Of course not – their stupidity and the stupidity of the border shut downs is on par with your normal level of stupidity.

    I’m surprised you weren’t telling the primary producers to suck it up.

  34. Bucephalus says:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 1:13 pm

    It’s NSW stupidity for not locking down sooner.

    After all, 2nd most population in Australia after Victoria.

  35. poroti:

    The Dem convention showcased a broad tent of support: Democrats, independents, Republicans and former Republicans. Most definitely an improvement on past conventions which have tended to be liberal love-ins.

  36. “So why didn’t the Greens support the resolution thanking the people in blue during the pandemic?”

    ***

    Because Black Lives Matter, that’s why.

    NSW Police had no real cause to disperse BLM rally

    Several people were arrested on July 28 for “gathering for a common purpose” after the NSW Police deemed that purpose to be illegal. This is what we were told by NSW Police, who threatened more of us with arrest as we were dispersing through Hyde Park.

    Of course, a gathering on a rainy Tuesday lunchtime was always going to attract a smaller number of people compared to the tens of thousands who turned up for Black Lives Matter rally on Sunday June 6.

    Nonetheless, NSW Police pulled out all stops arriving in the CBD en masse with dogs, horse floats and riot squad cars. They arrested six people, including Padraic Gibson, one of the organisers, who were given fines. No one was charged.

    Later in the day the Dungay family presented a petition, signed by more than 100,000 people, to Greens MPs, which called on SafeWork NSW and the Department of Public Prosecutions to investigate and hold accountable the Department of Corrective Services, Justice and Health and any individual responsible for David’s death.

    Leetona Dungay and her family have been bravely campaigning for justice for the 2015 death in custody of her son David. He died after six prison guards stormed his cell and dragged out the diabetic after he did not follow their order to stop eating biscuits.

    [Continues…..]

    https://www.greenleft.org.au/content/nsw-police-had-no-real-cause-disperse-blm-rally

  37. Colbeck us only in the ministry because he is Tasmanian.
    If he goes out another Tasmanian will replace him.
    Eric Abetz come on down.

  39. Another masterclass in pressers today from Andrews.

    He is phenomenal in these settings.

    Given the vastly increased audience for these he’s, at least got SOME hope of surviving, although I still think he’ll likely be gone before the next election.

  42. And the Word of the Day is…………”unacceptable” .A lovely euphemism for utter cock up and or disaster.
    ………………………………………………
    Scott Morrison acknowledged the situation in aged care in Victoria had been unacceptable.
    .
    Josh Frydenberg …..” He said 400,000 people losing their jobs in Victoria was unacceptable.”
    .

  43. Confessionssays: Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 1:23 pm

    Don Jnr’s current partner was apparently a bit of a hit at the convention.

    ********************************************************

    Next up was Kimberly Guilfoyle a former conservative TV commentator who now works as a senior adviser to the Trump campaign. She also happens to be Donald Trump Jr’s girlfriend.

    She conveyed her enthusiasm for President Trump through the medium of SHOUTING AT THE CAMERA.

    Jon Favreau @jonfavs – Why is Kim Guilfoyle screaming at us?

    Chuck Ross @ChuckRossDC· I heard Kim Guilfoyle’s speech and my TV’s not even on

    Brian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen – Oh I see Kimberly Guilfoyle is going full North Korean propaganda lady.

  44. The Age reporting Andrews won’t get his 1 year extension through Parliament.

    Start the protests! Get out there Andrews supporters. “The Emergency Together Will Never Be Defeated” and you can have a BLM protest at the same time.

  47. Bucephalus says:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 1:36 pm

    The Age reporting Andrews won’t get his 1 year extension through Parliament.

    If he doesn’t the next outbreak and failure to get it under control will belong to the Liberals.

  48. Bucephalus
    I bet he gets it through. If there was a chance he wouldn’t, the Liberals would fold. They would not want to actually take responsibility.

    The yappys are chasing cars, with a consequences such activity normally has if the car is caught.

  50. Goll

    Buce is not a bot.

    He (I think he) is a supporter of the Liberal Party.
    He has a right to post here. This is not a Labor party website

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