Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Scott Morrison records another personal best approval rating, as Newspoll maintains its stable-to-a-fault record on voting intention.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s lead at 51-49, unchanged on three weeks ago. On the primary vote, the Coalition is steady at 42%, Labor up a point to 35%, the Greens down one to 11% and One Nation down one to 3%. Scott Morrison records another personal best on leader ratings, his approval up two to 68% and disapproval down two to 27%, while Anthony Albanese is now at 42% on both approval and disapproval, which are respectively up by one and two. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 58-26, out from 56-26. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1521.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

810 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

Comments Page 3 of 17
1 2 3 4 … 17

  1. @ProfTerryHughes tweets

    “It would be a “game-changer” if the #WorldHeritage Committee required the Australian government to introduce policies aligned with limiting heating to below 1.5C.” https://twitter.com/markeakin/status/1277264147001073664

    @MarkEakin tweets

    Unesco urged to declare Great Barrier Reef ‘in danger’ https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jun/11/unesco-urged-to-declare-great-barrier-reef-in-danger?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

  2. The political duopoly in lock step to reduce democracy.
    ———–

    Grassroots revolt against Somyurek’s council ‘power grab’

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/grassroots-revolt-against-somyurek-s-council-power-grab-20200627-p556sb.html

    But councils, their peak body and others in the sector say they will be pushing hard for a review of Mr Somyurek’s decisions while the Greens pursue answers through Parliament on whether the former minister improperly “meddled” with new local electoral boundaries.

    Victoria’s local government sector was dumbfounded last year when Mr Somyurek unveiled his plan to move nearly all of the state’s 79 councils to a single-member ward system, against the advice of the Victorian Electoral Commission and in the face of evidence that multi-member wards worked best for ratepayers.

    Single-member electorates have been found to hand a clear advantage to big parties like Labor and the Liberals while discouraging independents, women and minority candidates from running in fiercely fought, winner-takes-all contests.
    :::
    The Municipal Association of Victoria, local government women’s advocates, rural and metropolitan councils and even members of the minister’s own mayoral advisory panel were against the enforced changes, arguing councils should be free to choose the system that worked best for their residents.

    Labor pushed Mr Somyurek’s reforms through State Parliament this year with the support of the Liberal-National Coalition, despite the objections.

    When the coronavirus crisis struck, many of the same voices then pleaded for the council elections to be postponed, warning the disruption of the pandemic would hinder candidates without access to big-party resources, but Mr Somyurek refused, announcing in May that voting would go ahead on October 24.

    The former minister made his policy decisions as Victorian Labor worked behind the scenes on a statewide power play aimed at winning control of councils and re-establishing the party as a force at grassroots level.

  3. some guy @ #98 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 8:55 am

    Greensborough Growler

    Fair point, but presumably people in Canada and NZ are also worried about more important things. Didn’t stop the polls shifting there.

    Don’t know about the local politics of either of those jurisdictions. But, they both have castly different voting systems and many commentators here seem to over invest in the significance of personal popularity polls for politicians.

  4. lizzie @ #100 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 6:57 am

    I see that Eden-Monaro voters are being ‘advised’ that they must vote LNP if they want to receive post-bushfire assistance. Can’t see what difference that would make!

    Sounds like the govt is saying it would neglect the electorate if Labor retains the seat.

  5. We rightly criticise politicians for ignoring experts, but when it’s a PB favourite, then that’s too much.

  6. Norman Swan
    @normanswan
    ·
    4h
    My interview this morning on
    @rnbreakfast at 06.35 with @VictorianCHO Brett Sutton gives insight into the huge task of getting the Victorian outbreak under control. Longer version tonight on The Health Report
    @RadioNational

  7. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #97 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 8:55 am

    Greensborough Growler @ #93 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 6:53 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #89 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 8:48 am

    lizzie @ #84 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 6:43 am

    Barney

    TBH, I enjoy BB’s use of language and pass over much of the arguments. I’m just a dilettante!

    That’s a good observation,

    too often he’s style over substance.

    Whereas for you, it’s snark over substance.

    Says the king!

    Methinks you should concentrate on the substance of BB’s arguments and not on his personality. Otherwise, people might see you as just another whiner that can’t deal with alternative points of view.

  9. The UK Tories are planning a prison lead recovery.

    If you are moving on from Austerity, Prisons are the most needed piece of infrastructure.

    “The prisons and probation minister, Lucy Frazer, said: “As well as a boost to our justice system, these prisons will create thousands of new jobs and send a clear signal that the government can and will continue to invest in the vital infrastructure this country needs.”

    Johnson last year pledged to build 10,000 new prison places.

    In addition to the new prisons announced on Sunday, construction of a jail at Wellingborough in Northamptonshire continues and early works have started at Glen Parva in Leicestershire.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/jun/28/boris-johnson-to-launch-spending-drive-to-build-uk-back-to-health

  10. Rakali

    We are not far behind. We have had Australia’s largest prison opened. Plus I think its privately run.
    Puts us squarely on the US path of mass incarceration.

  12. The UK Tories are planning a prison lead recovery.

    Trump and his wall. BoJo and his prisons.

    I’m sensing a theme….

  14. On the opinion poll, I think the result is unsurprising given the context of an inevitably damaging expose of Labor factionalism. In context, it is not a bad result.

    As for Federal politics, I really think Albo and Labor must distance themselves more from the government. We are now headed for a serious recession and the government si not acting in a meaningful way to stop it. I have been reviewing the “national energy roadmap” recently for work. It is nuts. Propping up coal, subsidising gas and hoping for a hydrogen economy that could be 20 years away won’t create any new jobs in the here and now. Qantas is already destroying more jobs than these schemes might create.

    If Albo was well advised or knew anything about economics he would not touch it. He needs to point out that there is a looming cliff (end of jobkeeper) and there is nothing in place to stop a fall after it. And then there is all the corruption. So while it is terrible for Australia, this is an opportunity for the opposition to define itself here. But they must take up the fight.

    Have a good day all.

  16. Rakali @ #109 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 7:05 am

    The UK Tories are planning a prison lead recovery.

    If you are moving on from Austerity, Prisons are the most needed piece of infrastructure.

    “The prisons and probation minister, Lucy Frazer, said: “As well as a boost to our justice system, these prisons will create thousands of new jobs and send a clear signal that the government can and will continue to invest in the vital infrastructure this country needs.”

    Johnson last year pledged to build 10,000 new prison places.

    In addition to the new prisons announced on Sunday, construction of a jail at Wellingborough in Northamptonshire continues and early works have started at Glen Parva in Leicestershire.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/jun/28/boris-johnson-to-launch-spending-drive-to-build-uk-back-to-health

    I didn’t realise that being sent to gaol was considered gainful employment!

  17. “Good morning Telstra Health, how may I help you?”
    “I would to talk to someone about…”
    “Have you tried turning it off and on again?”
    “What?”
    “We are currently experiencing technical difficulties.”
    “Huh?”
    “Please call again later and don’t forget to try turning it off and on again.”
    “What the…”
    Click.

    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/telstra-health-ready-to-deliver-as-it-steps-out-of-the-shadows-20200628-p556yh.html

  19. Socrates @ #114 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 9:10 am

    On the opinion poll, I think the result is unsurprising given the context of an inevitably damaging expose of Labor factionalism. In context, it is not a bad result.

    As for Federal politics, I really think Albo and Labor must distance themselves more from the government. We are now headed for a serious recession and the government si not acting in a meaningful way to stop it. I have been reviewing the “national energy roadmap” recently for work. It is nuts. Propping up coal, subsidising gas and hoping for a hydrogen economy that could be 20 years away won’t create any new jobs in the here and now. Qantas is already destroying more jobs than these schemes might create.

    If Albo was well advised or knew anything about economics he would not touch it. He needs to point out that there is a looming cliff (end of jobkeeper) and there is nothing in place to stop a fall after it. And then there is all the corruption. So while it is terrible for Australia, this is an opportunity for the opposition to define itself here. But they must take up the fight.

    Have a good day all.

    We’re starting early this week.
    ‘I really think Albo and Labor must….’

    Toot toot!!

  20. I have never thought of Barney in TB as particularly snarky.

    The word is used so much on PB I looked up definitions. I’m still a little uncertain.
    Urban dictionary

    “Snarky” is used to describe speech with a specific emotional tone, typically a form of sarcasm informed by cheekiness and a mild, playful irreverence or impudence. When the dominant intent of the communication is to express or convey direct or judgmental rudeness, the sense of mild cheekiness is lost and the overall communication crosses the line to become “snide.”

    Cambridge dictionary

    criticizing someone in an annoyed way and trying to hurt their feelings:

  21. Crime rate comparison Norway vs United States

    Level of crime Low 33.71 Moderate 53.46
    Crime increasing in the past 3 years High 60.27 High 64.57
    Worries home broken and things stolen Low 30.66 Moderate 45.83
    Worries being mugged or robbed Low 31.12 Moderate 42.22
    Worries car stolen Low 24.14 Moderate 40.52
    Worries things from car stolen Low 31.53 Moderate 54.29
    Worries attacked Low 33.11 Moderate 40.80
    Worries being insulted Low 32.48 Moderate 42.36
    Worries being subject to a physical attack because of your skin color, ethnic origin, gender or religion Low 29.34 Low 30.41
    Problem people using or dealing drugs Moderate 51.09 High 60.23
    Problem property crimes such as vandalism and theft Low 39.49 Moderate 56.32
    Problem violent crimes such as assault and armed robbery Low 29.99 Moderate 48.35
    Problem corruption and bribery Low 26.59 Moderate 42.19
    Contributors: 948 12014
    Last Update: June 2020 June 2020

    https://www.numbeo.com/crime/compare_countries_result.jsp?country1=Norway&country2=United+States

    Lets not follow the United States

  25. lizzie @ #100 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 8:57 am

    I see that Eden-Monaro voters are being ‘advised’ that they must vote LNP if they want to receive post-bushfire assistance. Can’t see what difference that would make!

    Don’t you think that they would react adversely to such ‘advice’ and send a message they won’t be financially bullied like that?

  31. C@t

    I can no longer pretend to judge any voter reaction to anything that the Morrison government says or does. 🙁

  32. Barney in TB

    So most of the World is trapped in a never ending cycle!
    ————-
    That’s not a cycle! All roads lead to the same happy place! 🙂

  33. @MikeDelMoro tweets

    NBC News: Both chambers of the Mississippi state legislature have voted to remove the Confederate battle emblem from the state flag. The Governor has said he will sign the bill.

    Those Black Lives Matter protests are having an impact for those of you that discount protesting including rioting.

  36. I think I have the solution to the “”Newstart Problem” – with the “forty dollars per diem is not enough to live on” comlaint.

    Solution – reduce the vast majority of citizens income to the Newstart level.

    Of course this would not apply to citizens of merit.

  42. Morrison?

    It took a while after the iceberg prang for the passengers on the Titannic to realize that their faith in the captain had been somewhat misplaced.

  44. ‘lizzie says:
    Monday, June 29, 2020 at 9:31 am

    Julian Cribb
    @JulianCribb
    ·
    12m
    ‘The failure of both natural and agro-ecosystems and food chains is leading to the risk of fresh pandemics. Viruses alien to humanity are emerging from landscapes newly cleared for agriculture and being distributed… by the food chain.’ Report: https://humanfuture.net/sites/default/files/Final%20Report%20on%20Food%20Security_0.pdf‘

    What is increasing the extent and frequency of the human/non human interface is the growing numbers of humans.

    This should be clarion call to Bandt to trigger the Greens’ promise to hold a community debate on population and immigration.

  46. @aimonahac tweets

    no gas-fired recovery in the US either?

    “roughly 20 American oil & gas producers have already filed for bankruptcy this year… a total of 227 producers have filed for bankruptcy in the five years that ended may 31, involving more than $134 billion in aggregate debt.” https://twitter.com/ckrausss/status/1277331359292424192

    @ckrausss tweets

    Chesapeake Energy files for bankruptcy protection: It was an announcement a decade in the making. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/28/business/economy/chesapeake-energy-bankruptcy.html

  47. OC – betting agencies odds leaning towards 3-4 seats for the Territory Alliance , 13-14 for the ALP and 5-6 for the CLP.

    One future scenario:

    1) CLP is clearly majority opposition party
    2) CLP absorbs TA – offers people like the Fireman – Shadow A-G to split the TA and have him join the CLP
    3) Terry Mills is left on his own again.

  48. KayJay @ #136 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 7:29 am

    I think I have the solution to the “”Newstart Problem” – with the “forty dollars per diem is not enough to live on” comlaint.

    Solution – reduce the vast majority of citizens income to the Newstart level.

    Of course this would not apply to citizens of merit.

    I think your getting close to a solution.

    As a first step I would cap travel and living expenses for politicians in Canberra at $40 a day.

  49. Cheryl Kernot
    @cheryl_kernot
    ·
    2m
    “The Minister needs an announceable.” Need new series of Utopia

    Utopia proves how much we need the ABC, to mirror the government for us!

Comments Page 3 of 17
1 2 3 4 … 17

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *