Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

Newspoll has both major parties up on the primary vote, Scott Morrison’s standing recovering somewhat, and generally positive results for federal and state governments on handling of coronavirus.

For all that our world may have changed over the past three weeks, Newspoll has not: The Australian reports the latest result has Labor’s lead steady at 51-49. There has, however, been primary vote movement in favour of the major parties, with both up by two points: the Coalition to 40%, Labor to 36%. The Greens are down one to 12%, One Nation unchanged on 4% and others down three to 8%.

As with Essential Research, Scott Morrison has recovered somewhat from his post-bushfire slump, with his approval rating up three to 41% and disapproval down five to 53%. He now holds a 42-38 lead over Anthony Albanese as preferred prime minister, who led 41-40 last time. Albanese’s net rating has also improved, his approval rating up one to 40% (The Australian report says down three, but I believe it has its wires crossed from the preferred prime minister movement) and disapproval down four to 40%.

In other findings, 75% support the government’s decision to abandon a budget surplus in favour of economic stimulus; 51% believe the federal government has managed preparedness for the crisis well; 66% are satisfied with federal and state government efforts to inform the public about the virus; but only 47% feel the same way about managing its economic impact.

UPDATE: The Australian’s reportage rather downplays the fact, but the poll found only 33% were satisfied with the economic response of governments (the question emphasised “both federal and state”) to the coronavirus outbreak, with 47% dissatisfied. The 75% rating in favour of stimulus did not relate specifically to the government’s policy, but to the general notion that “the Morrison government should provide a stimulus package to safeguard the economy”, with only 14% favouring the alternative option that it “should prioritise its promise to deliver a budget surplus”.

For the other questions, 76% of respondents were worried about the economic impact of the outbreak, versus only 20% for confident; 51% were worried, and 47% confident, about the preparedness of the public health system, for which 51% were satisified with the federal and state government response and 33% dissatisfied; and 63% were confident, and 35% worried, about “the amount of information available to Australians about how to protect themselves”, for which 65% were satisfied and 28% dissatisfied with the federal and state government response.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1501.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,631 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

  1. I spoke too soon. The Prof then goes on, unprompted, to praise “the Liberal government” for its actions so far.

    Why the emphasis on “Liberal”?

  2. Bushfire Bill says:
    Tuesday, March 17, 2020 at 6:56 pm
    I spoke too soon. The Prof then goes on, unprompted, to praise “the Liberal government” for its actions so far.
    ————-

    will follow orders from those in charge of newsltd, when it comes to the liberal party propaganda

  3. Hunt once again touting the selling point that we are ahead of other countries and what a wonderful job the Government is doing.

    Mini Me Trump babble.

  4. It’s wonderful our Government is not rushing on anything.

    Today it’s going to address the shortage of gowns, masks etc. ……only 2 months late.

    By god they are stupid and lazy. Or is that they aren’t very bright?

  5. “We are up to 19th on the leaderboard.”

    30th if you do it cases per million. And if you think our numbers are unreliable, I wonder what you think of Russia only having 93.

  6. A “Depression” is far more likely. Although I suspect it won’t be as long as the great depression – more like the 1919-22 depression.

  7. Rakali @ #1409 Tuesday, March 17th, 2020 – 7:12 pm

    It’s wonderful our Government is not rushing on anything.

    Today it’s going to address the shortage of gowns, masks etc. ……only 2 months late.

    By god they are stupid and lazy. Or is that they aren’t very bright?

    Jeez mon ami. Is this a test ❓

    I’m going for all three. Send prize c/- Mr. W. Bowe. Thenkew. 😵

  8. ‘Blobbit says:
    Tuesday, March 17, 2020 at 7:16 pm

    “We are up to 19th on the leaderboard.”

    30th if you do it cases per million. And if you think our numbers are unreliable, I wonder what you think of Russia only having 93.’

    Yeah. I know, I know. What have the Romans ever done for us?

  9. ‘B.S. Fairman says:
    Tuesday, March 17, 2020 at 7:19 pm

    A “Depression” is far more likely. Although I suspect it won’t be as long as the great depression – more like the 1919-22 depression.’

    All in all, Western Civilization is not looking all that flash.

    I wonder how that marvellous Culture Wars Western Civilization course is travelling down the South Coast somewhere.

  10. Lots of talk about Scotty missing in actionn today.

    My take is the Government is about to launch a stimulus package of somewhere near $100bill and Scotty is a little bit busy atm.

  11. “Yeah. I know, I know. What have the Romans ever done for us?”

    Indeed. The news is shit enough as it is.

    I was actually surprised how well we’ve done with testing. Not perfect, but not as quite as bad as it was being made out.

  12. “launch a stimulus package of somewhere near $100bill ”

    They’ll need to. That’ll possibly be getting somewhere around what’s needed for the short term – the next few months.

  13. Email from Coles giving me the news that my online order has been cancelled.

    Hi Ken,

    Firstly, we would like to extend a sincere thank you to all Coles customers for your continued understanding and patience as we work through the current COVID-19 situation.

    As a follow-up to our email yesterday on temporary changes to our online business, please note that your Coles Online order 102091088 has now been cancelled. The following orders have been affected:

    •   Home Delivery orders being delivered from Thursday 19 March onwards

    •   Click&Collect orders due for collection on Wednesday 18 March and onwards

    We sincerely apologise for any inconvenience caused, but the steps we are taking will help us continue to provide groceries for all Australians, ensuring everyone’s safety and wellbeing.

    Please only contact our Customer Care team for urgent enquiries

    To enable us to assist the most vulnerable and those in need as a priority, please contact us for urgent enquiries only. The best place for the most up-to-date information on our services is our website.

    We ask customers to visit their closest Coles store in the meantime. To improve availability for everyone in our stores, we are temporarily changing our opening hours and will now close no later than 8pm each night to give our team members time to extensively clean the stores and replenish the shelves before we reopen to customers.

    More information will be available in the coming days on changes to our online service and enabling vulnerable customers to shop online again. Our team members are doing their best to ensure all customers have access to their share of grocery items.

    We ask for customers to continue to respect, show compassion and support our team members in stores and our Customer Care and Coles Online call centres and on social media during this unprecedented period. Once again, thanks for your ongoing support and patience.

    Coles

    So that’s alright then.

    “Now then, what’s interesting on Free To Air TV tonight Muriel ❓ ”

    Muriel – “Bugger all.”

    “Excellent. Goodnight all. 💤”

  14. Last year monthly GDP was roughly USD130B a month. So AUD100B will cover some activity, assuming that some things still continue.

    Extra toilet paper sales should help support GDP.

  15. KayJay @ #1421 Tuesday, March 17th, 2020 – 7:27 pm

    Email from Coles giving me the news that my online order has been cancelled.

    Hi Ken,

    Firstly, we would like to extend a sincere thank you to all Coles customers for your continued understanding and patience as we work through the current COVID-19 situation.

    As a follow-up to our email yesterday on temporary changes to our online business, please note that your Coles Online order 102091088 has now been cancelled. The following orders have been affected:

    •   Home Delivery orders being delivered from Thursday 19 March onwards

    •   Click&Collect orders due for collection on Wednesday 18 March and onwards

    We sincerely apologise for any inconvenience caused, but the steps we are taking will help us continue to provide groceries for all Australians, ensuring everyone’s safety and wellbeing.

    Please only contact our Customer Care team for urgent enquiries

    To enable us to assist the most vulnerable and those in need as a priority, please contact us for urgent enquiries only. The best place for the most up-to-date information on our services is our website.

    We ask customers to visit their closest Coles store in the meantime. To improve availability for everyone in our stores, we are temporarily changing our opening hours and will now close no later than 8pm each night to give our team members time to extensively clean the stores and replenish the shelves before we reopen to customers.

    More information will be available in the coming days on changes to our online service and enabling vulnerable customers to shop online again. Our team members are doing their best to ensure all customers have access to their share of grocery items.

    We ask for customers to continue to respect, show compassion and support our team members in stores and our Customer Care and Coles Online call centres and on social media during this unprecedented period. Once again, thanks for your ongoing support and patience.

    Coles

    So that’s alright then.

    “Now then, what interesting on Free To Air TV tonight Muriel ❓

    Muriel – “Bugger all.”

    “Excellent. Goodnight all. 💤”

    I always saw you as a Steve sort of character.

  16. “Now then, what interesting on Free To Air TV tonight Muriel”

    IDK, I’m watching Survivor. Might pick up some tips for the future.

  17. If i go for my normal solitary walks along the beach without ever coming close to anybody, I can’t give or receive any viral gifts, can i. That is just an extension of being house bound.

  18. In a blow to Australian culture..

    “Bunnings sausage sizzles have also been cancelled, according to 7News.

    The hardware outlet will donate $500 gift cards to community groups that have their sizzles cancelled over the next month.

  19. KayJay @ #1427 Tuesday, March 17th, 2020 – 4:33 pm

    Blobbit @ #1425 Tuesday, March 17th, 2020 – 7:30 pm

    “Now then, what interesting on Free To Air TV tonight Muriel”

    IDK, I’m watching Survivor. Might pick up some tips for the future.

    I though I might have a look at “Mr. Pip” on SBS
    otherwise
    the fare is
    Crap, Crapper and Crapperest. 😵

    Revelation Pt 1 is on the ABC at 8.30.

    The Children Have Been Used By The Devil
    Award-winning reporter Sarah Ferguson presents Revelation, a ground-breaking documentary series on the criminal priests and brothers of the Catholic Church, their crimes laid bare for the first time in their own words.

  20. The Kiwis are out in front…closure of inbound passages….4% x GDP stimulus….they might avert both the pandemic and the depression…

  21. Ventured out to buy perishables today. Seen super markets as empty in countries running a political cue, but never ever ever in Australia.

    No paper towels or toilet paper, long life milk limited to 2 liters, no matter none there, unless your into skim milk ( bit of a waste of a container really). Frozen section empty. Favorite band of margarine is back. One meat roll ( I brought is so there is none of that left).

    Signs up every where limit of one or two.

    It does raise the question, how do I know my fresh vegetables are safe? I suppose that is why there is no issues with supply. Oh and no potatoes.

  22. Danama Papers
    Tuesday, March 17th, 2020 – 7:40 pm
    Comment #1429

    My wife had been a nun and her hearsay stories have proved on the kind side of horrible. I think I will wait for the PB comments tomorrow. I’ve always been a coward.

    Mr. Pip has no subtitles. Dammit. Reading Jack Reacher book.


  23. Rakali says:
    Tuesday, March 17, 2020 at 7:30 pm

    If i go for my normal solitary walks along the beach without ever coming close to anybody, I can’t give or receive any viral gifts, can i. That is just an extension of being house bound.

    It sounds delightful

  24. Frednk

    After leaving me in charge of stocking up 14 days of supplies, my wife has told me she no longer fears the coronavirus. Scurvy, on the other hand…..

  25. With inflation Rudd’s second stimulus package would be close to $100 Billion. Doing the same thing is not going to work this time; people won’t go to the shops (except the supermarkets) and do they really want people in large numbers in shopping centres at the moment? The first package on last Thursday was clearly designed for when it was an issue of a downturn due to a lack of tourists and students.

  26. Davidwh says:
    Tuesday, March 17, 2020 at 7:43 pm
    Solitary walks on the beach is fine and smart.

    ———

    Thank you.. ….the sea and fresh air are very important psychologically …

  27. “With inflation Rudd’s second stimulus package would be close to $100 Billion.”

    Frankly, given the numbers were talking about, might as well make it 300B. Whatever number is going to push the budget well into deficit, so might as well go big.

  28. One obvious problem with working from home is that it is not available for people who must actually be on the job. It’s a bit hard to drive a bus or a garbage truck, serve at a cafe or sell something in a shop. It disproportionally affects lower income workers who may also be casuals.

    Today I was in Woden Plaza, a large shopping mall on Canberra’s south side, at just before noon. While it was pre lunch hour, the cafes that are normally full at this time were distinctly lacking customers. No problem with maintaining the 1.5m distance but also bad for revenue and the jobs of casual staff.

    Apart from Colesworths there seemed to be few customers in shops and those leaving Colesworths seemed to have few purchases. Flight Centre had three bored looking staff and no customers.

    I wonder if Morrison & co have recently been to the shops to see how dire the situation is?

  29. Rakali

    I love solitary walks on the beach.

    The problem is that I have to spend over an hour on public transport (each way) to get to a beach.


  30. NathanA says:
    Tuesday, March 17, 2020 at 7:55 pm

    Frednk

    After leaving me in charge of stocking up 14 days of supplies, my wife has told me she no longer fears the coronavirus. Scurvy, on the other hand…..

    It is pretty obvious Victorians took the advise of the Victorian chief medical officer and ignored the nonsense coming out of Canberra. The question is will the distribution system catch up before the big isolation. They can’t say the general populations has not given then a big hint.

  31. Cud Chewer

    The problem is that I have to spend over an hour on public transport (each way) to get to a beach.
    ———————

    That is not good in the time of cholera ……..

    I can walk to it in 15 mins but i drive 5 mins to a different part i prefer and can nod my greetings to the friendly custodian water dragons.

  32. sprocket_ says:
    Tuesday, March 17, 2020 at 7:42 pm
    Why don’t I want to watch a paedophile priest justifying their abomination?
    _____________________________________________
    Apparently Hitler and Goebbels were very keen to prosecute Catholic priests for paedophiliac crimes in the mid 30’s.

  33. Solitary walks are all the go on the Glorious NSW Mid-North Coast.

    Her Indoors, newly appointed as local RFS Secretary, tells me all RFS training is suspended, as are General Meetings.

  34. People with blood type A may be more vulnerable to infection by the new coronavirus, while those with type O seem more resistant, according to a preliminary study of patients in China who contracted the disease known as Covid-19.
    Medical researchers in China took blood group patterns of more than 2,000 patients infected with the virus in Wuhan and Shenzhen and compared them to local healthy populations. They found that blood type A patients showed a higher rate of infection and they tended to develop more severe symptoms.

    https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3075567/people-blood-type-may-be-more-vulnerable-coronavirus-china-study

  35. Rakali says:

    Tuesday, March 17, 2020 at 8:04 pm

    Frednk

    It sounds delightful
    ————-

    Indeed, best when the sea is stirred and dark clouds and otherwise deserted

    100% agree.

    I have had one other experience you should try if you get a chance; not quite as good as walking the beach with a storm approaching, the wind blowing, the waves crashing, with your thoughts alone, but pretty good.

    Central Australia, a September midday, walk 50 meter from the car so you can no longer see the road. The absolutely blue sky’s, the silence, the simmering distance view. It is just amazing.

  36. R

    We used to stay in an onsite caravan in Apollo Bay in winter, a popular summer vacation destination in Victoria. Wild and stormy, huge waves, grey skies, dark clouds, and completely deserted. Bliss!

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