Essential Research leadership ratings

Essential’s latest leadership ratings find Scott Morrison continuing to struggle, despite being back to level pegging on preferred prime minister.

The Guardian reports on yet another fortnightly Essential Research poll with no voting intention numbers, but we does at least get the monthly leadership ratings. These show Scott Morrison down a point on approval to 39% and steady on disapproval at 52%, after the previous poll respectively had him down five and up nine. Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 41% and up one to 31%, and he has lost his 39-36 lead as preferred prime minister, with the two now tied on 36%. The BludgerTrack trends on the sidebar have now been updated with these results.

Further questions on bushfire recovery, sports rorts and coronavirus don’t seem to have turned up anything too mindblowing, but the publication of the full report may turn up something hopefully later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. The most interesting of the supplementary findings for mine relate to the budget surplus, the consistent theme of which is that respondents aren’t that fussed about it: 79% agree spending on bushfire recovery is more important than maintaining it, with 11% disagreeing; 65% say it would be understandable if the coronavirus impact meant it wasn’t achieved, with 18% disagreeing; and 57% agree it was wrong for the government to discuss the surplus in the present tense before the election, with 24% disagreeing.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,911 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

  1. And this is the sort of comments that really does get under mango Mussolini skin….

    Mike Bloomberg
    @MikeBloomberg
    · 7h
    .@realDonaldTrump – we know many of the same people in NY. Behind your back they laugh at you & call you a carnival barking clown. They know you inherited a fortune & squandered it with stupid deals and incompetence.

    I have the record & the resources to defeat you. And I will. https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1227946304057364481

  2. Thanks for the update to lizzie and C@tmomma

    Some that I saw in the print edition, but seem strangely invisible online- unless you search. These two are dated “Feb 13th” – which may be why they are not seen online.

    Barry Jones raising questions about the Government not addressing major questions on climate policy.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/we-should-be-asking-our-mps-these-14-questions-on-climate-change-20200210-p53za3.html

    Waleed Aly about the resistance of politicians to change their minds in the teeth of new evidence.
    Ooops I see Pegasus got there first!

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/it-feels-like-an-upheaval-but-precious-little-has-changed-20200213-p540e9.html

  3. Best wishes to BK and a hex on the Effing LNP and their useless in an emergency NBN.

    Thanks to Lizzie for your news contribution this morning. May we know what caused the bad night ❓

    Thanks to C@tmomma for the cartoons. 😻

    I mostly don’t watch TV news programs. – so a couple of days ago was un/delighted to find myself (the devil made me do it) watching an ABC TV news program wherein the bobblehead regaled me with the good news that the brave folk in burnt out areas would be alright because (more or less) somebody else would be doing lotsa rebuilding. I interpreted this to mean that one group -the homeless, the traumatised etc – was down the drain and sumbuddy else would be doing jes fine (thanks Pogo).

    Rithmetic -1 + 1 = Back to normal.

  4. Confessions says: Friday, February 14, 2020 at 8:29 am

    phoenixRed:

    What do you make of this?

    Attorney General William P. Barr pushed back hard Thursday against President Trump’s criticism of the Justice Department, saying, “I’m not going to be bullied or influenced by anybody.”

    ***************************************************

    Barr has a long history of interference and corruption – I would not believe a word he says

    I read this comment from Jennifer Rubin :

    At some point, the House may be obligated to open impeachment hearings against Barr (or even Trump, again, as George Conway points out in The Post). When an attorney general allows himself and his office to be turned into a weapon to enact retribution against a president’s enemies and protect his cronies, he has violated his oath of office, imperiled the reputation of every lawyer working there and done huge damage to the rule of law.

    The Senate would no doubt ride to Barr’s rescue as it did with Trump during his impeachment trial, but Barr might be shamed by the singular indignity of impeachment, the first attorney general in U.S. history to have that black mark on his record. It would seal his reputation as the worst attorney general ever, a legacy he has richly earned.

    ALSO :

    William Barr Has a Decision to Make

    He can tell Trump to stop interfering in DoJ business, he can stop acting on that interference, or he can quit.

    https://thedispatch.com/p/william-barr-has-a-decision-to-make?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=twitter

  5. C@t/fess

    Remember Barr’s children work in the govt as well. From where I sit, they are all doing their bit to protect Trump and the administration.
    They are complicit.
    Of course, Barr didnt count on Trump and his latest tweet thanking him. That put a dirty spanner in the works.

  6. E. G. Theodore says:
    Friday, February 14, 2020 at 12:36 am

    GG:

    …”As the Telstra ad says – Don’t be “that” dickhead!”…

    ………….. .

    Well he’s every other kind of dickhead, why would you not expect a bit of low level racism in the mix?

  7. phoenixRed:

    There’s also….

    Tom Nichols@RadioFreeTom
    ·
    29m
    He wasn’t concerned about the whole “rule of law” thing until Trump humiliated him and said out loud what they were already doing quietly.

  8. peg,

    This is a really great article on WTP.

    https://www.foreground.com.au/environment/industrial-ecology-werribee-western-treatment-plant/

    In Australia, a sewage facility is now one of the world’s greatest bird habitats

    Melbourne’s Western Treatment Plant treats 500 megalitres of wastewater a day. It also rivals Kakadu for diversity and abundance of bird life. What lessons might this constructed landscape offer for the management of the planet’s increasingly beleaguered ecosystems?

  9. Vic, phoenixRed, C@t:

    Right. So in essence Barr is firing a shot across Trump’s bow telling him to STFU and just let him go about corrupting democracy / doing Trump’s bidding in quiet without all the fanfare drawing attention to what they’re doing.

  10. Victoria says:

    Friday, February 14, 2020 at 8:56 am

    PhoenixRed

    I dont trust Barr at all. Just think back to his visit with Epstein before he ended up dead.

    ************************************************

    The Barr-Epstein link goes back a long way :

    Barr’s father was the headmaster of an elite New York City school that hired college dropout Epstein to teach math and physics.

    https://time.com/5650974/william-barr-jeffrey-epstein/

  11. Confessions @ #1575 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 9:06 am

    Vic, phoenixRed, C@t:

    Right. So in essence Barr is firing a shot across Trump’s bow telling him to STFU and just let him go about corrupting democracy / doing Trump’s bidding in quiet without all the fanfare drawing attention to what they’re doing.

    But Trump is unbound, off the leash and unconcerned about that sort of thing since he was Acquitted by the Senate. He thinks he can just grab America by the pussy because he’s President! Just like in Rowe’s cartoon yesterday.

  12. lizzie @ #1568 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 8:59 am

    KayJay

    A combination of the heat, my usual aches and pains, and an interview with a financial advisor who gave me much to think about.

    Thank you. Please advise if “hexes, jinxes, charms or spells” required. The ones I cast never seem to work for me although I live in hope.

    I now venture forth for some remedial mowing. Huzzah for me..Aches and pains stay away from my door (sung to the tune of (what else ❗ ) “Bad time stay away from my door”. ☮☕

  13. C@t:

    Others have drawn similar conclusions.

    Matthew Miller@matthewamiller
    ·
    1h
    Don’t be fooled by this one, people. Barr is telling the president that his impulsiveness is making it politically harder for him to deliver the results he wants. If Trump would just shut up, Barr could take care of him much more effectively.

  14. And I will just add that AG Christian Porter is shaping up to be Morrison’s own Bill Barr. The fact that he could come out and say, after the High Court Indigenous Aliens ruling, that he’s going to find a legal way out of that ruling is just despicable. And truly Racist!

  15. Rick Wilson expects Trump will pardon Roger Stone quickly because ‘he doesn’t want Stone blabbing’

    After writing a piece for Rolling Stone, Wilson appeared on MSNBC to explain that Trump wants to keep Stone in his favor.

    “Look, I think Roger is going to get a pardon probably sooner than later,” Wilson said. “As much as it hurts Trump to do it, [Stone] connects directly the lies he told Congress and the lies Trump told Mueller about WikiLeaks in particular and I think Roger’s been around the Trump cesspool so long he knows where the bodies are. Roger’s going to have an intake into the federal correction system. Donald Trump does not want him blabbing.”

    In his column, Wilson explained that the excuses for a lesser sentence for Stone are “horsesh*t.”

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/02/rick-wilson-expects-trump-will-pardon-roger-stone-quickly-because-he-doesnt-want-stone-blabbing/

    ALSO : https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/roger-stone-bill-barr-donald-trump-impeachment-justice-department-952253/

  16. lizzie @ #1537 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 4:31 am

    Morrison is a more blatant liar than we could have imagined. The coloured spreadsheets Probyn waved at him in the CPG, which he called “your editorial”, were part of his own engagement in the sportsrorts. Yet he says.

    @BrettMasonNews
    · 12h
    “I haven’t seen that evidence” – Prime Minister Scott Morrison when told of the Audit Office’s evidence that 43% of successful applicants to the coalition’s controversial $100 million Community Sport Infrastructure Grant scheme were ineligible #auspol @SBSNews

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-13/sports-grants-senate-auditor-general-bridget-mckenzie/11962104

    He’s probably not.
    He was probably involved in the planning as to what was to be done, but never actually looked at the spreadsheet itself.
    Plausible deniability! 🙁

  17. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #1586 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 9:18 am

    lizzie @ #1537 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 4:31 am

    Morrison is a more blatant liar than we could have imagined. The coloured spreadsheets Probyn waved at him in the CPG, which he called “your editorial”, were part of his own engagement in the sportsrorts. Yet he says.

    @BrettMasonNews
    · 12h
    “I haven’t seen that evidence” – Prime Minister Scott Morrison when told of the Audit Office’s evidence that 43% of successful applicants to the coalition’s controversial $100 million Community Sport Infrastructure Grant scheme were ineligible #auspol @SBSNews

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-13/sports-grants-senate-auditor-general-bridget-mckenzie/11962104

    He’s probably not.
    He was probably involved in the planning as to what was to be done, but never actually looked at the spreadsheet itself.
    Plausible deniability! 🙁

    Yes, he was too busy running around being the ‘Daggy Dad’ at the sports fields after making the grandiose funding announcements.

  18. An entirely new layer of government has grown without any check on its role. The number of ministerial advisers has swollen under both sides of politics from 155 in 1972 to 449 in 2019. It is easy to see why: it only takes a decision in the prime minister’s office to add more staff.

    The work is intense but the salaries are generous. A mid-tier adviser can earn $180,000 a year, which is more than twice Australia’s average full-time salary. The top advisers can collect a maximum of $269,631 under the enterprise agreement, which also offers a private car allowance as part of a $32,846 benefits package. These salaries also come with 15.4 per cent superannuation.

    The elite are looked after by a prime ministerial decision that added $1.4 million in extra payments to 52 personal staff last year, worth $30,000 each on average.

    Skilled advisers are more important than ever when politicians are struggling. Consider the state of the Nationals party room this fortnight, ruptured by bloated egos and burning grievances. With the lords of the manor treating the ballroooms like the stables, no wonder good help is hard to find.

    Eight years ago, Business Council of Australia chief Jennifer Westacott, a former department secretary, told senior public servants their ability to deliver “frank and fearless advice” was under threat. “Your authority has been undermined by political gatekeepers, often with little expertise and no accountability,” she said. Politicians (and their gatekeepers) responded with indignation, but Westacott was right.

    A stronger system is in Morrison’s own interest. The lessons of the past few months are obvious: prime ministers need protection from incompetence in the ministerial wing. So do voters.

    David Crowe
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/it-s-time-we-clipped-the-ministerial-wing-of-its-protected-species-the-advisers-20200213-p540j0.html

  19. lizzie @ #1589 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 6:21 am

    Barney

    He admitted there was ‘information received’. That covers a whole range of shiftiness.

    Personally I like the reason for refusing to release the report regarding McKenzie.

    Labor has pursued the Gaetjens report in the Senate but the government has blocked its release, claiming it reveals cabinet deliberations.

    Is this an admission the rorts were discussed in Cabinet?

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/feb/13/sports-rorts-almost-half-projects-funded-ineligible-audit-office-says

  20. phoenixRed:

    This piqued my interest. What chances are there that the sentencing judge will ignore the sentence recommended from prosecutors?

    Stone sure as hell deserves his time in the graybar hotel for reasons of both ordinary and moral justice, and Judge Berman-Jackson has also likely had enough of Stone’s weapons-grade bullshit and may treat the revised DOJ sentencing letter as the political trash it is.

  21. ‘I wish Trump wouldn’t admit what we’re doing’: Internet sums up Bill Barr’s latest interview

    After pledging under oath that he wouldn’t politicize the Office of the Attorney General, Bill Barr has done exactly that. As DOJ prosecutors are dropping like flies, Barr sat down with ABC News to tell President Donald Trump to keep quiet.

    “I cannot do my job here at the Department with a constant background commentary that undercuts me,” Barr said.

    MSNBC’s Ari Melber summed up Barr’s comments by saying that the attorney general is really just telling Trump to sit down and shut up so he can handle it.

    – Barr to @realDonaldTrump: Stop saying the quiet part out loud or these idiots will figure it out.

    – BARR: I will not be bullied out of doing my job, which is to bully others on behalf of my boss, a bully

    – It definitely makes it harder to crime for the President when the President keeps making it obvious that you are criming for him

  22. On the political advisors thing…

    When Turnbull looked like he might not have a majority government, he came down here to talk with Cathy McGowan.

    With a great show of virtuousness, she declared she wouldn’t be doing any deals for the electorate with him.

    She ended up with two extra staff, though.

  23. You know what really irked me about the footage of Roger Stone in that clip with Rick Wilson?

    That Roger Stone was giving the middle finger to the Democrats and the Democrat Women, including and especially Nancy Pelosi, who wore white suits to the SOTU address by Trump, by wearing a white suit to court.

    What a grub!

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