An off week in the fortnightly cycles for both Newspoll and Essential Research, but we do have three fairly detailed sets of attitudinal polling doing the rounds:
• Ipsos has results from its monthly Issues Monitor series, which records a dramatic escalation in concern about the environment. Asked to pick the three most salient out of 19 listed issues, 41% chose the environment, more than any other. This was up ten on last month’s survey, and compares with single digit results that were not uncommonly recorded as recently as 2015. Cost of living and health care tied for second on 31%, respectively down three and up six on last month. The economy was up one to 25%, and crime down one to 21%. On “party most capable to manage environmental issues across the generations”, generations up to and including X gave the highest rating to the Greens, towards whom the “boomer” and “builder” generations showed their usual hostility. The poll was conducted online from a sample of 1000.
• A poll by YouGov for the Australian Institute finds 79% expressing concern about climate change, up five since a similar poll in July. This includes 47% who were very concerned, up ten. Among those aged 18 to 34, only around 10% expressed a lack of concern. Fifty-seven per cent said Australia was experiencing “a lot” of climate change impact, up 14%; 67% said climate change was making bushfires worse, with 26% disagreeing; and only 33% felt the Coalition had done a good job “managing the climate crisis” (a potentially problematic turn of phrase for those who did not allow that there was one), compared with 53% who took the contrary view. The poll was conducted January 8 to 12 from a sample of 1200; considerable further detail is available through the full report.
• The Institute of Public Affairs has a poll on Australia Day and political correctness from Dynata, which has also done polling on the other side of the ideological aisle for the aforesaid Australia Institute. This finds 71% agreeing that “Australia Day should be celebrated on January 26” (55% strongly, 16% somewhat), and 68% agreeing Australia had become too politically correct (42% strongly, 26% somewhat). Disagreement with both propositions was at just 11%. A very substantial age effect was evident here, but not for the two further questions relating to pride in Australia, which received enthusiastic responses across the board. I have my doubts about opening the batting on this particular set of questions by asking if respondents were “proud to be an Australian”, which brings Yes Minister to mind. Perhaps the most interesting thing about the poll is the demographic detail on the respondents, who were presumably drawn from an online panel. This shows women were greatly over-represented in the younger cohorts, while the opposite was true among the old; and that the sample included rather too many middle-aged people on low incomes. The results would have been weighted to correct for this, but some of these weightings were doing some fairly heavy lifting (so to speak).
Elsewhere, if you’re a Crikey subscriber you can enjoy my searing expose on the electoral impact of Bridget McKenzie’s sports sports. I particularly hope you appreciate the following line, as it was the fruit of about two days’ work:
When polling booth and sport grants data are aggregated into 2288 local regions designated by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, there turns out to be no correlation whatsoever between the amount of funding they received and how much they swung to or against the Coalition.
I worked this out by identifying the approximate target locations of 518 grants, building a dataset recording grant funding and booth-level election swings for each of the ABS’s Statistical Local Area 2 regions, and using linear regression to calculate how much impact the grants had on the Coalition vote. The verdict: absolutely none whatsoever.
E. G. Theodore @ #1948 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 6:25 pm
That may or may not be true. But, the Senators live in the real rather than speculative world. So, the system drives the outcome and the system is inherently conservative. So, the likelihood of a break out result other than down Party Partisan lines is almost non-existent.
Did Zemiro go ape shit about the Coalition’s dress code?
Did Zemiro go ape shit at the failure of Di Natale to lead his Greens into taking the Emissions Strike Pledge?
Or does she just slag Labor?
Danama Papers
Never mind the wee bairns, the oldies sitting in Parliament don’t seem to know what it means and those pricks get to make the laws we have to live under.
Did Donald Trump rip off Star Trek?
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jan/24/trump-unveils-logo-for-starfleet-er-space-force-and-trekkers-take-to-twitter
Boerwar
I think you’re being a bit OTT today.
Danama Papers says:
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 6:25 pm
…”How exactly does a 6/7/8/9 year old understand what these things actually mean?”…
…………………………..
Does a bogan in a flag draped Holden ute with a LOVE IT OR FUCK OFF bumper sticker know what it actually means?
Greensborough Growler
😀 I was going to ask about the ‘method’ used but decided on discretion .
Have some Ella Fitzgerald.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fSTkz1BvrXY
Try walking up to any ten random people on the street and asking each of them what their general opinion is of each major party. Nine of those people will give an answer along the lines of this:
“Aw yeah, y’know, they’re all as bad as each other, really… BUT… I mean, the pattern is, the Liberals always build up money in the bank, and then bloody Labor always gets in and blows the lot, mate!”
Call me crazy, but I consider this attitude – as opposed to tedious culture-war poppycock of the sort that Plibersek has happily perpetuated today – to be the chief driver of Labor’s woeful electoral record.
Can anybody here name one action that Labor have taken since the election to (at least attempt to) dispel this preconception of their economic record?
Just one will do!
Seriously, just one?!
poroti @ #1956 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 6:43 pm
Just because there is so much love around, here’s your patron Saint, Nat King Coal singing his signature tune.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFyuOEovTOE
itsthevibe
On the money.
itsthevibe @ #1957 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 6:48 pm
If you’re serious you will turn around and look outward rather than inward.
You might actually see the world as it is rather than how you perceive it to be.
Not Sure @ #1955 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 3:42 pm
Indeed.
Danama Papers @ #1961 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 6:54 pm
Love changes everything!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1220855183233568773
The Bubble is eerily quiet today.
I assume that tout Bubble is down at the Bay.
GG
But……
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mjRdi_BjJbM
ajm @ #1901 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 4:12 pm
Nothing; a compulsory loyalty pledge is objectionable no matter what it pledges loyalty to. It’s the compelling people (and especially children) to espouse loyalty to those things that’s objectionable. And also undermining of the principles being raised.
You don’t really support rights and liberties if you favor requiring people to swear fealty to rights and liberties they may not actually support (and/or excluding people who won’t/don’t do that). Whether or not I agree with them, a person should be free to advocate against those things (or even just not explicitly advocate for those things) without calling their citizenship into question.
The ALP struggles on economic management for a few reasons
1) The last recession was on the ALP’s watch and has much as ALP supporters don’t like admitting it but that recession damaged the ALP brand in the minds of many
2) Rightly or wrongly the ALP and its supporters are seen as being against any form of financial success
3) The ALP is seen as wanting to tax everything that moves
4) The ALP is seen as wanting more spending but are poor at managing government services
5) People hate paying taxes without seeing a direct benefit to them
6) The ALP does not talk the language of finance
Greensborough Growler says:
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 7:02 pm
Love changes everything!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1220855183233568773
……………………………..
Could you at least warn people if you are going to post stuff like that?
It is tea time at the home after all.
poroti @ #1964 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 7:06 pm
Rubbish!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1220852759940853760
This is better:
“From this time forward, I pledge my loyalty to Australias Property Developer and Coal Barron’s, whose nihilistic beliefs I share, whose rights and liberties I only support, and who I will bend laws for in order to obey.”
More apt for the current mod.
Plibersek should quit. She sounds like a tired gen x-er. It’s time for some angry millennials in parliament.
Is she out of her mind. Seriously…..that’s staggering. The government is falling into corruption filled traps it set for itself and this is what will start grabbing attention. What a f–king idiot.
And now it can’t be walked back.
like hello, Climate Change!!!! Apologies to your children for sleeping at the wheel.
Boerwar says:
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 7:06 pm
…”The Bubble is eerily quiet today.
I assume that tout Bubble is down at the Bay”…
…………………..
You should keep everyone amused with a 1500 word power point presentation on Greens climate and military policy.
[‘USA! USA! USA!’]
I can’t believe she’d say that.
Apparently the refugees stuck on Nauru and in PNG are refusing to come to Australia.
Fires, droughts, dry rivers, dead stock, houses burned, sheds burned, floods, dust storms, hail storms, feral horses eating wildlife out of house and home, a billion dead vertebrates, extinctions…
Wyatt to force Cashman to cash in her chips?
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jan/25/ken-wyatt-may-ask-for-resignations-from-indigenous-body-after-bruce-pascoe-controversy
A bit over 10 years ago 2009- 2010 the pandemic H1N1 (swine flu)
2020 the Coronavirus , causing similar panic around the world the swine flu once did
Saw the new David Williamson play this afternoon, Family Values at the Nimrod theatre. It is only at this 90-seater to tighten up the performance, before going on tour.
Can recommend it to anyone interested in the iconic issues of our time, Marriage Equality and Refugees. The 3 children of the retired Judge and his social worker wife are a born again Hillsonger, a north shore bleeding heart and an employee of Border Security – who brings along her gay domineering partner.
The Dramaturg credits go to Van Badham, and her perceptive understanding on the arguments on both sides – and it is quite balanced in how it is presented.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/01/22/poll-respondents-attitudes/comment-page-37/#comment-3329021
Just following orders?
An Australian Senator, as in advise and consent.
Thanks for that review Bob sprocket, r the voices in ur head still telling u there will be a cabinet reshuffle this weekend ? What time exactly have the voices said it will be announced ? Thanks.
sprocket_
You might like to listen to this. From a couple of days ago Philip Adams speaks with David Williamson .
https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/latenightlive/our-prolilfic-playwright—david-williamson/11893942
Fuck off Lars.
[‘Minister for Indigenous Australians says the attack on Pascoe has been ‘led by one of our own’]
Gawd, Ken, just coming to your senses?
Tip of the iceberg? Seems to be happening quickly – there are three cases of coronavirus in NSW and four other people possibly have the disease, health officials have announced.
https://apple.news/AAa1X8z8uQCSR5y9mzsOecA
A future Australian Government will apologise to the refugees incarcerated on remote islands out of reach and protection of Australian law without any sort of due process.
Lars:
You need to get off sprocket’s back, cobber; it’s tantamount to stalking.
Steve777
The sooner that day comes the better.
sooner the better….should be no need for it
Scout
True, it should not have started but it did and both sides indulged. After all. it was what the “people” wanted .
ScoMo on the telly news assured us “Everything is being done” to stop coronavirus from spreading in Australia…
… everything but stopping plane after plane direct from Wuhan flying here, it seems.
We mustn’t upset the Chinese, must we? Can’t cause them to lose face by us banning their A380s from coming here from epicentres of a new disease that we know virtually fuck-all about: how it’s transmitted, what it’s incubation period is, how to immunize against it, what host it originated from.
It’s becoming obvious that the Chinese government is “doing a Chernobyl” on this one. They appear to be chronically unable to admit there’s a problem, until it’s FAR too late. Video of their “War Of The Clones” uniformed goons standing in front of railway stations stopping access is strangely un-reassuring.
I don’t know whether that “100,000 cases” tweet is true, or not. But somewhere between “Not yet declared a medical emergency” and “Judgement Day” the truth is to be found. Let us hope the inalienable right of Chinese to flood the world with pushing, shoving revellers every Lunar New Year doesn’t lead to millions of avoidable mortalities.
Congrats to Ash Barty winning Young Australian of the Year.
Three cases of the deadly coronavirus have been confirmed in New South Wales, bringing the total nationwide to four.
NSW Health tonight confirmed three men – aged in theirs 30s, 40s and 50s – are being treated in Westmead Hospital in Sydney and are in isolation.
Victorian Health Minister Jenny Mikakos said this afternoon that a case of the respiratory condition had been confirmed in a man who last week returned from China, where the city of Wuhan is considered the epicentre of the virus. The man, aged in his 50s, was in Australia for six days before being diagnosed.
NSW Health Minister Brad Hazzard said 18 people across the state have now been assessed for the virus after samples were sent to a “world-leading” laboratory in Victoria, with 12 patients being “excluded” and three being confirmed on Saturday.
All three men arrived on flights from China – one on January 6, one on January 19 and the other date is being checked by authorities.
Mr Hazzard labelled it a “tricky” and “evolving” virus.
BB
36 million in travel lock down inside China now. 13 cities have halted all travel in and out of the city.
a r @ #1965 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 6:07 pm
Congratulations on your victory over a strawman. I’m pretty sure there was no intention to make the pledge compulsory.
Holden Hillbilly
Sounds like it is a ‘Morrison”. Also tricky and evolving. Although there may be some debate in his church about evolution.
https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/morrison-coy-on-evolving-climate-policy/video/b961c6b055da461fc0398f519ade6e51
The Australia Day Wars seem to be pretty muted this year. There’s way too much other stuff going on.
Steve777
I had a look at The Daily ShitSheet and even dropped by to 2GB and found 1/4 of SFA on the usual ‘Straya Day’ culture wars guff. They just aren’t bothering this year. FMD ! so not bothering this year 2GB had a pretty good interview with an Aboriginal journo who was cool with an Australia Day but not the date. Very “ABC” of them 😆
BW…
Too late. News of this new virus first emerged weeks ago. When it actually first made the interspecies jump is way before that.
The Chinese government spends far too much time regulating thought, rather than regulating health.
I’m more concerned about Albanese’s support for keeping Australia Day on 26 January than I ma about loyalty pledges. Typical NSW politician – bloody cockroaches wanting their foundation day to dominate everyone and everything else.
How about the winter solstice as representing the land annually awakening from the decline of winter – you could weave a story around that which represented both the ancient culture and the later waves of immigrants.
Nicholas:
Thank you for your article and congratulations on having it published.
Boerwar:
It should be about:
– the rights of the disabled (to receive benefit), and
– a fair and reasonable framework for social workers to deliver that benefit optimally over the long term (and hence incorporating those workers’ development etc)
Nicholas is right to point out that the architecture of the NDIS in replacing the State system removes the financial (and structural) constraint leaving “real resources” as the only constraint (and not an artificial/structural constraint).
What seems to have happened is that in the NDIS implementation (or later stage design, if one prefers) a structural constraint has re-emerged, constraining the ability of the “social workers” to deliver the otherwise unconstrained real resources. The such a constraint should emerge is not surprising; whether it is down to malice or incompetence is unknown.
Steve777 @ #1993 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 5:41 pm
I haven’t seen anywhere near the number of cars with flags hanging off them this year, compared to years previously. I’ve only seen the one ute with 2 flags on it and that’s it. Those little flags that hang off your windows seem to have gone out of fashion here. Thank god.
Now 56 million people in travel lock down.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/01/china-expands-coronavirus-outbreak-lockdown-fast-tracks-hospital-200124201635848.html