An off week in the fortnightly cycles for both Newspoll and Essential Research, but we do have three fairly detailed sets of attitudinal polling doing the rounds:
• Ipsos has results from its monthly Issues Monitor series, which records a dramatic escalation in concern about the environment. Asked to pick the three most salient out of 19 listed issues, 41% chose the environment, more than any other. This was up ten on last month’s survey, and compares with single digit results that were not uncommonly recorded as recently as 2015. Cost of living and health care tied for second on 31%, respectively down three and up six on last month. The economy was up one to 25%, and crime down one to 21%. On “party most capable to manage environmental issues across the generations”, generations up to and including X gave the highest rating to the Greens, towards whom the “boomer” and “builder” generations showed their usual hostility. The poll was conducted online from a sample of 1000.
• A poll by YouGov for the Australian Institute finds 79% expressing concern about climate change, up five since a similar poll in July. This includes 47% who were very concerned, up ten. Among those aged 18 to 34, only around 10% expressed a lack of concern. Fifty-seven per cent said Australia was experiencing “a lot” of climate change impact, up 14%; 67% said climate change was making bushfires worse, with 26% disagreeing; and only 33% felt the Coalition had done a good job “managing the climate crisis” (a potentially problematic turn of phrase for those who did not allow that there was one), compared with 53% who took the contrary view. The poll was conducted January 8 to 12 from a sample of 1200; considerable further detail is available through the full report.
• The Institute of Public Affairs has a poll on Australia Day and political correctness from Dynata, which has also done polling on the other side of the ideological aisle for the aforesaid Australia Institute. This finds 71% agreeing that “Australia Day should be celebrated on January 26” (55% strongly, 16% somewhat), and 68% agreeing Australia had become too politically correct (42% strongly, 26% somewhat). Disagreement with both propositions was at just 11%. A very substantial age effect was evident here, but not for the two further questions relating to pride in Australia, which received enthusiastic responses across the board. I have my doubts about opening the batting on this particular set of questions by asking if respondents were “proud to be an Australian”, which brings Yes Minister to mind. Perhaps the most interesting thing about the poll is the demographic detail on the respondents, who were presumably drawn from an online panel. This shows women were greatly over-represented in the younger cohorts, while the opposite was true among the old; and that the sample included rather too many middle-aged people on low incomes. The results would have been weighted to correct for this, but some of these weightings were doing some fairly heavy lifting (so to speak).
Elsewhere, if you’re a Crikey subscriber you can enjoy my searing expose on the electoral impact of Bridget McKenzie’s sports sports. I particularly hope you appreciate the following line, as it was the fruit of about two days’ work:
When polling booth and sport grants data are aggregated into 2288 local regions designated by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, there turns out to be no correlation whatsoever between the amount of funding they received and how much they swung to or against the Coalition.
I worked this out by identifying the approximate target locations of 518 grants, building a dataset recording grant funding and booth-level election swings for each of the ABS’s Statistical Local Area 2 regions, and using linear regression to calculate how much impact the grants had on the Coalition vote. The verdict: absolutely none whatsoever.
From BK’s links..
Wendy Squires ponders over Australians seem to be having quite a lot less sex than previous generations.
https://www.smh.com.au/lifestyle/life-and-relationships/it-s-actually-little-wonder-young-people-are-saying-no-to-sex-20200124-p53ucv.html
Well, what that article says is that porn has ruined sex. Might be some truth in that, but what the article didn’t say (and I half expected to read) is that younger people are having less sex these days because they are fucking stressed to the eyeballs – mostly thanks to the extreme cost of housing.
Segue to high speed rail…
Cud
Build more high speed trains and get more sex may be a bit far for advocates 🙂
Re Cud Chewer @12:45.
I think that you’re right, stress. Housing prices, the employment market, student debt. Maybe also living at home longer and studying longer has an effect.
guytaur
Its quite literally true though. High speed rail means people travel more, they interact more, they enjoy the benefits of greater social connectivity. And yes it may well mean they get laid more.
Not that I can exactly advertise that 🙂
Steve777:
Yup. I have a lot of reservations about the current frontrunners, but whoever it is, I desperately want to see them sitting in the oval office come Jan 20, 2021.
Pretty desperate
Israel Folau now in discussions to join the New York Knights when (if) they join the English Rugby League system in 2021
Bernie is onto it !
There was a wider point. Housing stress is making younger people a lot more stressed. That’s not good. The underlying cause of housing stress is physics – the size of cities and the speed of transport.
Put it this way, if we all had Star Trek like teleporters, we wouldn’t be paying million dollar mortgages in a desperate attempt to have a sensible commute.
And yeah, lack of sex (and particularly intimacy) is not good for people in terms of long term health.
Israel Folau now in discussions to join the New York Knights when (if) they join the English Rugby League system in 2021
________
As the team chaplain?
A s the team chaplain?
It might work in the deep south but New York?
[‘China and the World Health Organisation are doing their best to prevent the spread of panic — as well as the deadly coronavirus — but first-hand accounts from ground zero suggest the crisis is much worse than previously thought.
In Wuhan, where 41 people have died already and 1287 are infected, efforts are being made to quarantine the 11-million-strong population. But hospitals are so overwhelmed that patients coughing up blood are left outside, unable to be treated.’]
https://www.news.com.au/world/asia/deadly-coronavirus-spreads-to-europe-as-first-cases-confirmed/news-story/772a92d238a629edd2d239626f76fca4
The perfect storm for me would be the Republicans succeeding in pushing the Democrat primaries towards Sanders, with the gay guy as his running mate. Then, due to a gross act of misjudgement, people actually vote for “extreme left” policies. Wouldn’t that fucking make the Republicans’ heads explode?
I accept the consensus that Biden is most electable against Trump. I also accept that the Republicans would go extremely dirty against Sanders etc. I’m not sure if that makes a difference given that the Republicans will go extremely dirty against anyone.
In any case I have absolutely no say in it, so I’m just going to have to watch from a relatively safe distance.. There’s a very good chance that Trump will get back so in reflection on that earlier comment, it would be nice if there was a backlash in the Senate.
A year 2000 article about the Tourism NZ and the Scrott mess.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=5945
first-hand accounts from ground zero suggest the crisis is much worse than previously thought.
Is DTT going to make an appearance shortly?
a r says:
The old “just following orders” excuse. Doesn’t wash. Every employment contract I’ve seen says an employee has to comply only with lawful directions. If you’re directed to do something illegal, you don’t do it.
The person who gave the order and the person who followed it can both get in trouble for it.
——————————
The problem is most people do not read laws so assume what they are doing is legit and the people in Morrison’s office would share a similar worldview.
Closing arguments and Schiff has been outstanding. Definitely a future presidential candidate for the Democrats.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/impeachment-trial-live-updates/2020/01/24/bd12c85e-3e98-11ea-baca-eb7ace0a3455_story.html#link-HVBBDBTVSAZFDEX42CJINA4ENA
”… I am hearing the PMO is emphatically denying the story”
Would that constitute an “official denial”?
lizzie @ #1816 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 10:39 am
Seems to be their natural reflex response to everything and anything.
Nicholas
You could write a sort of Devil’s Dictionary with a paragraph on each of these various miscreants. Or perhaps add some sort of data (e.g. estimated shilling revenue in last five years) and perhaps call it the “Monster Manual” if that’s the term.
Would definitely help to keep track!
OMERTA
Real Time live:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xD_jGJytI3s
I find David Brooks to be one of the better American conservative journalist and is streets ahead of what passes as conservative here.
So Bernie Sanders made a Panglossian statement about the Fossil Fuel Industry today. With no details pertaining to how he would achieve his aim.
It sucked Rex Douglas in though.
Feel good sentiments minus essential details. No wonder people who are looking for a Democrat who is not strictly a Centrist prefer Elizabeth Warren.
C@tmomma @ #1823 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 11:04 am
You know how easily Rex gets taken in by the superficial!
I think that the integrity of Hamish McDonald has had a positive effect on PvO since they have been working together on The Project.
Barney,
The mind of the one-liner specialist is ALL about the superficial. 🙂
C@tmomma @ #1822 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 2:04 pm
If you want detail about Bernies Green New Deal proposition get off your arse and look it up !
http://www.google.com
I presume though the snark in your post really is about defending corrupted politicians who are in the pocket of the fossil fuel lobby …?
“No wonder people who are looking for a Democrat who is not strictly a Centrist prefer Elizabeth Warren.”
The current polling suggests otherwise
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/24/politics/bernie-sanders-campaign-surging/index.html
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-01-24/warren-shows-off-broad-organization-despite-flagging-polls
Megyn Kelly was very impressive. Apparently she didn’t know anything about Bombshell being made nor did she have input to it.
People coughing up blood while waiting in queues for admission into hospitals.
The dead lying next to the living on crowded hospital corridor floors.
Only 1300 ‘reported’ cases?
Not credible.
20 million now in cities that are in total quarantine?
Credible.
Independent Australia published a piece that I wrote about the impact of the NDIS on professionalism and workers’ rights in the disability sector:
https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/the-ndis-leaves-workers-behind,13526
This would be a good time for Australia to announce that flights in and out of Australia will be limited to genuine emergencies.
Tourist flights will be banned.
That would be around 20 million flights a year that will no longer generate CO2 emissions during the climate emergency.
While carbon offsets are supposed to assuage flygskam, nobody knows how much of the offsets became emissions during the past three months of bushfires.
A long standing friend of ours was talking about her total frustration with the NDIS yesterday.
Because of her condition, her spending has to be approved on a case by case basis by some worthy inside the NDIS.
But neither she nor her immediate carer can contact the person who is supposed to be approving the expenditure.
The Liberals treat the NDIS as just another welfare scheme and we all know they hate welfare schemes unless its for their rich mates. RIP to the NDIS under these wankers.
Nicholas
The NDIS is about the rights of the disabled, not the social workers.
Fess – I said weeks ago Schiff should be running for president.
My fantasy is that a large group of republicans have banded together to convict and remove but must do so under cover so Trump doesn’t learn beforehand. Then the republicans will be rid of his arse (sic ass) and their party can go back to their ‘old ways’.
The thing about the question “Party most capable to manage environmental issues across the generations[?]” is that it doesn’t say if it means projected forward or backward.
jenauthor says: Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 2:43 pm
My fantasy is that a large group of republicans have banded together to convict and remove but must do so under cover so Trump doesn’t learn beforehand.
*********************************************************
Loved to have seen a secret ballot – Impeach Yes or No ….
If you want detail about Bernies Green New Deal proposition get off your arse and look it up !
http://www.google.com
___________________________________
Linking to the search engine, rather than the results, is an incredibly dumb way to back what you are claiming.
An older Rick Wilson article :
Rick Wilson nails down the number of GOP Senators who will turn on Trump because they ‘can’t stand’ him
Appearing on MSNBC’s “Am Joy,” conservative political strategist Rick Wilson lambasted Republicans who are ducking allegations found in a whistleblower’s complaint against Donald Trump, before he admitted that Trump could indeed be impeached by the GOP-controlled Senate because he is almost universally hated there.
Asked about a report that as many as 30 GOP Senators would vote to oust Trump if it was done by secret ballot, Wilson said that number was close according to his conversations with Republican lawmakers.
‘We all have a different number,” he conceded. “My actual hard count for myself of knowing these guys for a long time, my actual hard count is about 26 or 27 that I could tell you right now have told me or have — or have expressed that they cannot stand this man.”
“They live in terror of him and they are all moral cowards,” he continued. “They are fearful of Donald Trump’s mob and his horde. At one point somebody is going to break the seal and that person is going to have a really bad day but leave a really good memory in history.”
https://www.rawstory.com/2019/09/rick-wilson-nails-down-the-number-of-gop-senators-who-will-turn-on-trump-because-they-cant-stand-him/
jenauthor:
Victoria is also a Schiff for President fan.
I’ll be happy if the Senate vote comes down in favour of hearing witnesses. It looks like Murkowski is leaning no on witnesses, in which case Trump will most likely be acquitted next week.
‘Mexicanbeemer says:
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 2:41 pm
Nicholas
The NDIS is about the rights of the disabled, not the social workers.’
IMO, it should be about both.
Briefly:
As far as I know this was the result of a deliberate policy of “austerity”, rather than being inevitable.
The policy of austerity in that instance came at the insistence of people such as Lord Rothermere (who turned out to be a Nazi and was rather lucky not be executed) and his ’Anti-waste League’.
An interesting parallel amongst others is the involvement of people of Rothermore’s ilk (and who might even be his descendants) in the Leave campaign, and subsequently.
Does this shed any light?
Boerwar
The first productivity commission report issued by our Nath’s favorite clearly set out how the NDIS needed to focus on the disabled because the current system is too focused on itself and as a result the disabled are in effect held captive for the benefit of social workers and other rent seekers.
Nicholas @ #1830 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 2:29 pm
You make some very good points.
TPOF @ #1838 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 3:02 pm
‘Incredibly dumb’ is voting for a party corrupted by the fossil fuel lobby while watching on as the country is destroyed by the effects of climate change.
Interesting trivia
Rothmere established the Daily Mail with his much more disreputable brother, Alfred Harmsworth, 1st Viscount Northcliffe.
Northcliffe was the mentor and collaborator of Sir Keith Murdoch, Rupert’s father. Their relationship was so close that when Keith returned to the Antipodes he had the nickname “Lord Southcliffe”
Hmm… the tentacles go deeper and deeper. We are now into the Liberal Party organisational wing. And just who were the ‘party strategists’?
Not forgetting that, once the sports rorts finally reach dry well status politically, there are other grants programs that the Senate might find an interest in pursuing.