The first Newspoll for the year, and the third under the new YouGov online polling regime, finds Labor opening up a 51-49 lead, after they trailed 52-48 in the poll in early December. On the primary vote, the Coalition is down two to 40%, Labor up three to 36%, the Greens up one to 12% and One Nation down one to 4%. Perhaps more remarkably, Scott Morrison now trails Anthony Albanese as preferred prime minister by 43-39, after leading him 48-34 in the previous poll. The damage on Morrison’s personal ratings amounts to an eight point drop on approval to 37% and an eleven point rise on disapproval to 59%. Conversely, Albanese is up six on approval to 46% and down four on disapproval to 37%. The Australian’s report is here; the poll was conducted from Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1505.
UPDATE (Essential Research): The Guardian has numbers from the first Essential Research poll of the year, but they disappointingly offer nothing on voting intention. What they do provide is corroboration for Newspoll’s finding that Anthony Albanese has taken the lead over Scott Morrison as preferred prime minister, in this case at 39-36, which compares with a 44-28 lead to Morrison when Essential last asked the question in early November. We are told that Scott Morrison is up nine on disapproval to 52% and that Anthony Albanese is up four on approval to 43% – their respective approval and disapproval ratings will have to wait for the full Essential report, which will presumably be with us later today or tomorrow. UPDATE: Morrison is down five on approval to 40%, Albanese is up two on disapproval to 30%. Full report here.
Despite everything, the poll finds 32% approving of Morrison’s handling of the bushfire crisis, which may be related to the fact that his approval rating was down only three among Coalition voters. The Guardian tells us only that 36% strongly disapproved of Morrison’s performance, to which the less strong measure of disapproval will need to be added to produce an equivalent figure for the 32% approval. Fifty-two per cent disagreed that Australia had always had bushfires like those just experienced, and 78% believe the government had been unprepared for them. Efforts to shift blame to the states do not appear to have borne fruit: Gladys Berejiklian’s handling of the bushfires scored 55% approval among New South Wales respondents, while Daniel Andrews was on 58% (these numbers would have come from small sub-samples of around 300 to 400 respondents).
The poll also offers a timely addition to the pollster’s leaders attributes series. The findings for the various attributes in this serious invariably move en bloc with the leaders’ general standing, and Morrison is accordingly down across the board. However, a clear standout is his collapse from 51% to 32% for “good in a crisis”, on which he was up 10% the last time the question was posed in October. Other unfavourable movements related in The Guardian range from a six-point increase in “out of touch with ordinary Australians“ to 62% to a 12 point drop on “visionary” to 30%.
More on all this when the full report is published. The poll was conducted online from Tuesday to Sunday from a sample of 1081.
Victoria
Yes, it looked promising!
I’m inclined to agree. I guess need to see how Ravhel Maddow handles the interview.
Eric Garland
@ericgarland
·
1h
Can someone explain to me why MSNBC welcomes the PR campaign of a Russian Mobster who was just trying to attack our democracy and threaten our ambassador?
Eric Garland
@ericgarland
·
1h
Can MSNBC explain why they gave airtime to this traitorous sack of shit who tried to sell our Republic so he could make some cash and stroke his own ego?
Eric Garland
@ericgarland
·
1h
Can MSNBC explain why they give a national platform to a convicted Russian Mobster and paint him with some air of legitimacy?
Eric Garland
@ericgarland
·
1h
These people are not “newsworthy” – they are potential witnesses or defendants in the biggest criminal case in history AND THE MSM IS HELPING TAINT JURY POOLS AND POTENTIALLY SPOLIATE EVIDENCE AT TRIALS.
Why?
Eric Garland
@ericgarland
Greetings to all the trolls. Guess Parnas doing something other than simply cooperate with Congress and the FBI is *really* important to someone.
Sorry your info Op sucks.
9:15 AM · Jan 16, 2020·Twitter Web App
What is good for Trump is not good for everyone.
This is entertainment. Road crash style. It plays into Trumps hands. We will see how the interview goes but this sort of evidence should be coming from the courts from court reporters first and then disseminated by infotainment talking heads.
Bucephalus:
Thanks Boss – under your continued leadership we shall continue to prosper.
Onwards and upwards, to Victory!
Hasn’t the congress released a whole tranche of the documents associated with Parnas?
I am watching CNN right now and they have documents they are showing – which add to/support the verbal evidence that was given during the congressional hearings.
Jenauthor
Yes they have released another 400 odd pages of evidence
C@tmomma @ #1937 Thursday, January 16th, 2020 – 6:58 am
Badger them about why they didn’t raise the most severe of those points frequently, loudly, and without apology during the election campaign (and in their almost nonexistent televised ads, ffs!).
Palmer whacked everyone over the head with some made-up BS about Labor selling airstrips to the Chinese military (or something), over and over again. Meanwhile Labor sat on a treasure-trove of legitimate scandals and did mostly nothing with it. 🙁
a r
Yep. No pushback on Palmers lies,
Those ads were on high rotation for months.
I was very frustrated with Labors strategy
It was piss poor
Itza last night
“Very briefly about health – it works in Canada because they’re used to it at a consumer and delivery level.
Here, we are used to a two tiered system, and a lot of vested interests, including consumers*, including health professionals**, like it that way.
* I want Dr X in Hosp Y on date Z
** I know what I’m worth, and that’s what I’m charging.”
———————————————
Hope you are keeping the fires at bay.
I get the impression from your comments last night that you are quite satisfied with what I call “Mediscam” in Australia.
You seem to feel that we shouldn’t get too excited about improving Medicare or moving towards the full universal, single-payer “no bills” Canadian system.
You also seem resigned to the fact that “vested” interests have taken over the health care system. You strangely include “consumers” along with the usual suspects, the private insurance and hospital industries and unethical physicians and specialists.
You assert that “we are used to” the system and therefore there is nothing to see here.
I’d like to know on what basis do you claim that “consumers” are quite happy with it.
As someone who knows something about this sector, what recent polling have you seen that suggests that Australians are so used to the system that they don’t think any radical changes are required.
As I indicated last night, recent polling in the U.S. shows that an overwhelming majority of Americans would support universal, single payer health care.
I guess we should all tug our forelocks and be grateful for the pathetic excuse of a hospital and health insurance system that we have. The Coalition have been working assiduously over the years to move it closer to the U.S. free-for-all model. Mediscare was real and very successful for Labor politically.
As to cost and the old Tory chestnut of “sustainability. ” Just one or two of those 12 new submarines at about $40 billion a copy would cover any shortfall.
I hope health “consumers” will still feel quite satisfied when the inevitable wave of respiratory patients start showing up at emergency departments and specialists’ rooms over the next few years along with the aging demographic bulge.
But don’t get me started.
Stay safe.
The ppp WEForum on the Risk Outlook [2020]: It’s not about the money, money, money …,
, as in exposure equals likelihood times impact
Snippet of Maddow interview
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1116731?__twitter_impression=true
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/jan/15/momentum-back-rebecca-long-bailey-poll-labour-leadership
lizzie @ #2017 Thursday, January 16th, 2020 – 8:31 am
Why is this even News???
‘Trump knew exactly what was going on’: Lev Parnas tells MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow ‘he lied’
Former Rudy Giuliani associate Lev Parnas turned over a trove of documents to the House Intelligence Committee, which was released to the public Tuesday evening. In the words of former acting Solicitor General Neal Katyal, the documents are what President Donald Trump has been afraid of.
Maddow delivered on expectations, taking a deep dive into the specifics about the scandal that is now promoting the impeachment of the president. Among the comments leaked by Maddow Wednesday, was the accusation that Trump knew exactly what was happening at all times.
“President Trump knew exactly what was going on. He was aware of all of my movements. I wouldn’t do anything without the consent of Rudy Giuliani or the president,” said Parnas.
Parnas also said that it doesn’t make sense that any of the Ukrainian leaders would meet with him unless he had the authorization by the president of the United States.
“Who am I? I’m nobody,” he told Maddow.
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/trump-knew-exactly-what-was-going-on-lev-parnas-tells-msnbcs-rachel-maddow/
‘We’ve got a request to talk to the big one’: House Dems release voicemails between Parnas and key Trump lawyer
On Wednesday, Politico reported that House Democrats released yet another batch of material turned over by indicted Rudy Giuliani associate Lev Parnas — including voicemails between Parnas and Victoria Toensing, a right-wing attorney in President Donald Trump’s orbit.
“Hey Lev. VT here,” said one message Toensing sent on April 23, 2019. “We’ve got a request to talk to the big one. So I just wanted to get the latest from you, if I could. I know it’s late there. I’m sorry.”
Toensing and Parnas have both been implicated in Giuliani’s scheme to pressure Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky into announcing an “investigation,” of former Vice President Joe Biden’s family.
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/weve-got-a-request-to-talk-to-the-big-one-house-dems-release-voicemails-between-parnas-and-key-trump-lawyer/
Barney
It makes me angry. All this money suddenly available because it’s a “national crisis”, when we’ve had a crisis in homelessness and poverty for a long time and the media won’t criticise the gov.
New Trump revelations are a ‘fecal iceberg’ that will only lead to more damning info: Rick Wilson
On Wednesday’s edition of MSNBC’s “Deadline: White House,” former GOP strategist Rick Wilson laid out how the new revelations from the Lev Parnas documents affect President Donald Trump’s legal and political situation.
“All of it was this corrupt, second-tier channel, as the letter proves, by Rudy [Giuliani] and by Parnas and by all these people in this pyramid of skells and weirdos and mooks,” said Wilson. “And all of these people that were involved in this, they’re out of the State Department chain. All the claims that the State Department had anything to do with this are just flatly wrong. They were the ones trying to figure out where this outside influence is coming from.”
“I think this is not the last thing we’re going to see,” continued Wilson. “I always describe the Trump situation as a fecal iceberg. There’s always more badness under the water. You’re always going to find more and more and more of these kind of things. And I think that this evidence that’s come out today, it points a lot of things directly. One of the people listed in the Parnas notes is a guy named Brian Ballard. He’s Trump’s favorite lobbyist … Brian Ballard’s employee Pam Bondi, who works for Ballard, who is a Ballard Partners employee, is now in the White House running the impeachment defense. The Parnas things are like a Rosetta Stone to the entire affair.”
“If I were these people, I would not have any fear though,” added Wilson grimly. “What’s going to happen? The only people who should be afraid are American diplomats that cross Donald Trump. Bill Barr will never lift a finger to pursue justice if it gets in the way of Donald Trump’s political situation. It’s a sick situation.”
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/new-trump-revelations-are-a-fecal-iceberg-that-will-only-lead-to-more-damning-info-rick-wilson/
PhoenixRed
I know ratings and all. Chris Hayes has his say
Tweets & replies
Media
Likes
Chris Hayes’s Tweets
Chris Hayes
@chrislhayes
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This
@maddow
Parnas interview is really explosive. My God. Watch tonight at 9pm.
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Chris Hayes
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Another thing that’s increasingly clear: the president has been using attorneys and joint defense agreements to shield a bunch of co-conspirators in various schemes behind attorney client privilege.
Rick Wilson is correct.
They are beyond shameless and unaccountable. There needs to be a huge shift in accepting how crooked these people are.
pR
Did he manage to say that with a straight face ? Going by his wiki page for a “nobody” he sure does get around 🙂
BK:
Which contains the comment:
Mavis Davis RAN will hopefully correct me, but my understanding is that the US:
– has never provided (sold) a nuclear submarine (or carrier, or cruiser) to anyone
– has in only one case provided a submarine nuclear reactor. This was for the first Royal Navy nuclear submarine – the British were then required to build the rest of the submarine themselves, and also to use their own reactor design in the remaining boats of that class
So it seems to be quite unlikely that any US administration would actually provide submarines under lease. The Trump administration might well take the money, but due to the time any such deal would take to implement it is likely that there would still be no submarines at the end of the day
Good Morning
Its interesting the same people on this blog that say the Greens are evil are calling the front runner of the Democratic Party evil.
Bernie Sanders is in front in Iowa New Hampshire and Nevada.
You have Joe Scarborough on MSNBC talking about how Sanders appeals across the board and how Buttigieg still has not fixed his problem attracting black voters.
Thats just to name one.
Take off the blinkers. Sanders may not win but be real. The Wall Street Journal has been.
Its simple you can have your own opinion but not your own facts.
The polls are clear. As are the election results in Kentucky with the GOP screaming Socialist about Bernie Sanders and his backing by the Squad.
Your whole the GOP is going to demonise the Democrats for being socialists is correct. No matter who wins the nomination. At least the self identifying socialist is prepared for it
‘We’re determined to find out’ the origins of the ‘deeply disturbing’ threats against the Ukraine ambassador: Adam Schiff
On CNN Wednesday, House Intelligence Committee chairman Adam Schiff (D-CA) told anchor Wolf Blitzer that he and his fellow lawmakers intend to look into the “implicit or potential threats” to U.S. Ambassador to the Ukraine Marie Yovanovitch.
“I have to say it’s deeply disturbing to see that it looks like someone had the ambassador under surveillance,” said Schiff. “There were implicit or potential threats to the ambassador. We don’t know where those originated or the explanation for them, but we’re determined to find out.”
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/were-determined-to-find-out-the-origins-of-the-deeply-disturbing-threats-against-the-ukraine-ambassador-adam-schiff/
PhoenixRed
I knew it would be bad. The bottom line the stalking and tracking of the Ambassador to Ukraine was sanctioned by Trump and his merry followers.
And it should be noted The Ukraine Ambassador was whisked back to the US in the dead of night. She was very confused at the time. Tells me that she was under mortal threat.
Victoria says: Thursday, January 16, 2020 at 11:56 am
PhoenixRed
I knew it would be bad. The bottom line the stalking and tracking of the Ambassador to Ukraine was sanctioned by Trump and his merry followers.
********************************************************
As many online suggested yesterday the language and the tracking that these Trump affiliates were using sounded like a movie soundtrack script of the mobsters/mafia putting out a *hit* on someone ……
PhoenixRed
As I said yesterday, mobsters are always gonna mob.
@PofPCDoherty tweets
A message from someone who works at that notorious leftie organization NASA that keeps sending stuff into space for the US Govt? Why would anyone listen while we have access to the musings of people from great Australian “think tanks??” like the IPA? https://twitter.com/BBCRosAtkins/status/1217572829845250048
@BBCRosAtkins tweets
This stopped me in my tracks. Clarity rooted in climate change science. Take 2 mins for @ClimateOfGavin from @NASA spelling it out:
– no ambiguity about global warming
– no ambiguity the last 5 years are warmest on record
– no possibility temps will come down on their own. https://twitter.com/BBCRosAtkins/status/1217572829845250048/video/1
Trump, Pompeo, Barr, Nunes, etc are occupying the seat of power.
And are doing so without following the rule of law but the rule of mobbed up mobsters.
Crypto fascists.
Which ultimately has always been my concern. Just look at our own politicS and how corrupted it now is.
The rule of law is being undermined each and every day.
Pegasus:
Mrs Kelly had to resign after a Parliamentary Committee with a Labor majority found against her “not illegal” but “deficient”.
In order for the situation to be repeated in relation to Ms McKenzie, both of the following would need to be the case:
– a Parliamentary Committee with a Liberal/National majority would have to reach an adverse finding against her – not going to happen
– the Morrison Government would have to take the view taken by the Keating Government, namely that “deficient” administration is undesirable – based on the available evidence it’s very unlikely that they regard “deficient” administration as problematic
Due to various “conservative” government in the interim, fuddy duddy ideas of “ministerial responsibility” and “proper public administration” have not been conserved.
Victoria says: Thursday, January 16, 2020 at 12:03 pm
PhoenixRed
As I said yesterday, mobsters are always gonna mob.
**************************************************
Rick Wilsons apt description of a *fecal iceberg* indicates there is still plenty more to come out of all this collaboration of lawyers – federal or personal – and sleazy characters like Parnas and his Ukraine contacts …… and it defies logic that Trump – with his long history of mob connections and interactions – was totally unaware of what was going on
And John Hewson also had this to say:
PhoenixRed
For that I have been certain of for a very long time.
What has been happening is a coup of democracy, which was already being diminished. This mob are doing the takeover.
Another Age explainer – What is ‘real’ action on climate change?
What form would greater climate change action take – and what would it cost?
https://www.theage.com.au/national/what-is-real-action-on-climate-change-20200115-p53rok.html
@GaryGrumbach tweets
In a campaign live stream, Sen. @BernieSanders announces in the last two days, the campaign received more than 200,000 contributions totaling nearly four million dollars.
25,000 of the donors of the last 48 hours had never contributed to the campaign before, per Sanders.
Former Minerals Council spinner poised for National Party top job
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/former-minerals-council-spinner-poised-for-national-party-top-job-20200116-p53rwq.html
NSW Greens MP David Shoebridge
https://www.theage.com.au/national/nsw/gross-overreach-greens-mp-to-plead-not-guilty-to-protest-charge-20200116-p53ryx.html
E. G. Theodore @ #2035 Thursday, January 16th, 2020 – 9:08 am
There was nothing deficient in McKenzie’s actions.
They were exactly what the Government intended them to be.
@kylegriffin1 tweets
Lev Parnas to @maddow, just played on @MSNBC: “Yeah, it was all about Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, and also Rudy had a personal thing with the Manafort stuff … but it was never about corruption, it was strictly about Burisma, which included Hunter Biden and Joe Biden.”
Pegasus
Well, that should fill everyone with confidence!!!
Yep. Where are the honest brokers of this administration.
Deadline White House
@DeadlineWH
· 2h
“There aren’t any honest brokers… There doesn’t appear to be any movement at Justice. Secretary Pompeo should have been beating the top of his desk demanding to find out why one of his people, why their security was compromised” – @JoyceWhiteVance w/ @NicolleDWallace
Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
·
3m
When you’ve sworn an oath to uphold the Constitution there’s no bigger buzzkill than evidence the president may have been involved in a plot to kill an ambassador
Who among us could complain if senators just ignored such evidence and played wiffle ball in the parking lot instead
Quote Tweet
CNN
@CNN
· 28m
House Democrats say new evidence could still come to light about Trump’s dealings in Ukraine during his Senate impeachment trial, but several Senate Republicans appear to be throwing cold water on allowing additional material to be presented in the Senate. https://cnn.it/30tBvjx
Victoria says: Thursday, January 16, 2020 at 12:11 pm
PhoenixRed
For that I have been certain of for a very long time.
What has been happening is a coup of democracy, which was already being diminished. This mob are doing the takeover.
***********************************************************
Just at the moment – in the US, the UK and Australia there seems a dearth of good, honest, inspirational and competent people in charge of running things … to me anyways, but obviously I am in the minority ….. 🙁
PhoenixRed
Those in charge are running things but not for the benefit of the many,but of the few including themselves.
Damn. I’m going to be out and about during. The Maddow interview.
Going to have to catch up on it later in the day.
@Adam_SH69 tweets
Bad news folks.
The good people of Poole, Dorset who voted Tory by a margin of 19000 votes & supported Leave by 72% are having their one and only A&E closed down.
It seems the government in whom they had so much faith has let them down.
C’est la vie.
Yes that did cross my mind.
Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
The man Parnas discussed stalking Amb. Yovanovitch with later showed up at Mar-a-Lago afraid for his life; without being in any sense sensational, I’d say a reasonable inference is that Parnas is talking to Maddow to get the truth out and thereby forestall harm being done to him.
Shoebridge is a lawmaker.
If he also wants to be a law breaker, he must face the consequences.