Essential Research: leader ratings and protest laws

Discouragement for Newspoll’s notion of an Anthony Albanese approval surge, plus a mixed bag of findings on the right to protest.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll still offers nothing on voting intention, though it’s relative interesting in that it features the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings. Contrary to Newspoll, these record a weakening in Anthony Albanese’s ratings, with approval down three to 37% and disapproval up five to 34%. Scott Morrison also worsens slightly, down two on approval to 45% and up three on disapproval to 41%, and his preferred prime minister read is essentially steady at 44-28 (43-28 last month).

Further questions relate to the right to protest, including the finding that 33% would support laws flagged by Scott Morrison that “could make consumer or environment boycotts illegal”, while 39% were opposed. Fifty-eight per cent agreed the government had “the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts business”, with 31% for disagree; but that 53% agreed that “protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines”, with 33% disagreeing.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1075 respondents chosen from an online panel.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,832 comments on “Essential Research: leader ratings and protest laws”

  1. Victoria @ #1445 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:28 am

    Has Morrison popped up yet?

    He’ll be out and about later with a fist full of dollars for SA.
    Labor is set to express concern that the record level of National debt is out of control and Morrison and Joshie can’t be trusted to spend spend spend and that the debt and deficit disaster has left Australia vulnerable……..oh sorry, I forgot the coalition won in May I had my parties mixed up. This last bit won’t happen. My bad.

  2. C@t

    He should also be asked about insurance costs for infrastructure etcin light of increased fires, storms etc.
    Apparently the sunshine coast has just copped huge hailstones

  3. Michael @ #1450 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:33 am

    Bushfire Bill
    says:
    Monday, November 18, 2019 at 8:17 am
    Can’t figure out why Nath is so fixed on Bill Shorten. It’s unhealthy and obsessive. I’m concerned for Nath’s mental health.
    ——–
    There are journalists who also write about Bill Shorten all the time. I’m concerned about their mental health too. Can’t we just let Bill go quietly into the shadows to plot Albos downfall without all this exposure?

    You seem to be more than a little obsessed with a conspiracy theory about Bill Shorten yourself.

  4. fess

    From my understanding, there is a full medical set up at Whitehouse.
    So I am thinking this unscheduled trip was one of the above scenarios
    If he is genuinely feeling crook, the hospital would be place to get a proper MRI for example.

  5. Michael @ #1449 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:33 am

    Bushfire Bill
    says:
    Monday, November 18, 2019 at 8:17 am
    Can’t figure out why Nath is so fixed on Bill Shorten. It’s unhealthy and obsessive. I’m concerned for Nath’s mental health.
    ——–
    There are journalists who also write about Bill Shorten all the time. I’m concerned about their mental health too. Can’t we just let Bill go quietly into the shadows to plot Albos downfall without all this exposure?

    Albo will ride off into the sunset following the 2022 election. You can’t rush these things.
    The next leader of the ALP will be a charismatic woman. Morrison is toast in 2025.
    Toast I tells ya!

  6. Firefox

    If this god bloke caused the bushfires he should be immediately arrested and face the full force of the law. Personally I’m sick of these demented firebugs.

  7. There will not be a Bill 2.0.
    He will not do a Howard.

    I think the ALP has Chalmers as the next in the queue. I can’t see Bill jumping his new place in the pecking order…

  8. Confessions @ #1452 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:34 am

    Vic:

    Trump’s annual physical examination is being completed in ‘phases’. Is that normal, as I’ve never heard of it before.

    No. It’s usually all done on the one day to get the complete physical picture of a person. By repeating the, ‘it’s being done in phases’ line you are repeating the propaganda that Trump has put about.

  9. Victoria @ #1453 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:35 am

    C@t

    He should also be asked about insurance costs for infrastructure etcin light of increased fires, storms etc.
    Apparently the sunshine coast has just copped huge hailstones

    More extreme weather events = Climate Change

    And flash flooding is no good for roads either. Undermines them big time with laminar flow which caused big potholes.

  10. From my understanding, there is a full medical set up at Whitehouse.

    That’s my understanding. I wonder why the full examination can’t be done all at once.

  11. Folau needs to be challenged and called out every time he goes public with one of his hateful attacks.

    He is now a nobody. He is no longer a senior figurehead of a national sporting code. He no longer represents Australia, nor that sport nor the people who play and support that sport. His rantings in his church and posted on the church website are, as has been argued by others, to be ignored. While his words are offensive they do not carry the weight and responsibility and risks to people they did before.

  12. Alpha Zero
    says:
    Monday, November 18, 2019 at 8:39 am
    There will not be a Bill 2.0.
    He will not do a Howard.
    I think the ALP has Chalmers as the next in the queue. I can’t see Bill jumping his new place in the pecking order…
    ____________________________________
    lol. Chalmers was only a chance because Shorten was backing him. But he realised, like the other contenders, that standing between Shorten and the leadership is not a safe place.

  13. Look, the problem is the press are too deferential towards Scott Morrison because he is Prime Minister (though they never found the same sense of deference towards Labor PMs) and so Scott Morrison takes massive advantage of that fact.

  14. Boerwar @ #1437 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:01 am

    p
    Is Kissinger right when he says that we have never had a global situation like this before?
    He defines the situation as one in which two single world powers are each powerful enough to survive the other indefinitely and that, combined, they have the power to cause massive destruction and that they therefore should work out ways of sorting out their problems?

    Yet to read Kissinger, but I took note somewhere of the comment that there has never been a change in Superpowership (made that up) without a major conflict, and in the mind of the commentator the responsibility for seeing that the slow (relatively) smooth transition from old (USA) to new (China) rested on the shoulders of the declining power who alone has the capacity to negotiate a deal for the mutual benefit of the two in that each suffers the least damage, and the minimisation of the otherwise collateral damage to the global order.

    Unlikely would be my outtake.

  15. jenauthor

    I remember reading Time Magazine in the sixties and noticing how Americans were turning nouns into verbs. It seemed fresh and rather exciting at the time. But now we have people “summitting” Everest (probably only one t) and medalling in the Games. I think I’m over the excitement!

  16. Confessions @ #1462 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:42 am

    From my understanding, there is a full medical set up at Whitehouse.

    That’s my understanding. I wonder why the full examination can’t be done all at once.

    Because it was an emergency procedure that could only be done at Walter Reed Medical Centre? Or maybe he just went for a freshen up before 2020 begins? 😉

  17. Fr Rod Bower
    @FrBower
    ·
    4m
    FFS (for faiths sake)

    PEOPLE DIED LAST WEEK Mr #Folau! Your comments are devastatingly insensitive, psychologically damaging and theologically ill-informed.
    #Climatechange is the consequence of HUMAN not Divine activity.

  18. I’ll bet London to a brick the Morrisons agree with Folau’s view of climate change.

    He probably doesn’t agree with Folau that he’s going to Hell with all the heathens, socialists…

  19. frednk @6:44am

    As I use the XPT I would definitely be a happy customer.
    In my view it has to be built for the following reasons.
    1) planes are not environmentally friendly, nor for that matter is the XPT. High speed rail is if we have a electricity grid ran off renewables. Which despite the best efforts of the Greens and the Liberals will happen.
    2) cars and trucks really don’t mix well.
    3)It is a lot more pleasant than getting on a plane.
    4)To try and keep the economy going we have built a new hospital in pretty much every city. What next?

    Where do you use the XPT to and from?

    I get frustrated with the common perception that high speed rail is meant to replace planes and that in doing so it will help to reduce emissions. The reason being that the obsession with replacing intercapital aviation is what has killed high speed rail. Replacing intercapital aviation is not a good use for HSR. Especially not between Sydney and Melbourne. The other problem is that HSR would at most replace about a quarter of all flights – if you include both domestic and international. The only real solution to carbon emissions in aviation is to move as quickly as possible to lower carbon sources of aviation fuel.

    What HSR should be doing is getting cars off roads. Now the big deal there is not emissions (cars are moving to being electric anyhow). Its rather about not spending tens of billions on road construction and road use.

    The poster child for this I think is the Outer Sydney Orbital – the M9. They recently established a corridor for that road through Western Sydney. Its planned to have a corridor that will support 8 lanes. Why 8 lanes? Because its really a trojan horse. Its really being pushed as the first stage of a new motorway that will stretch from Newcastle to Wollongong. We are talking tens of billions and its all made obsolete by HSR.

  20. I think Folau’s ranting is dangerous and should be called out by all major commentators and party leaders. There is no place in the 21st C for this medieval garbage. He can deal with his guilt however he wants, except not by projecting it onto others, and inviting retaliation upon them by those as irrational and frightened as he.

  21. From my understanding, there is a full medical set up at Whitehouse.

    Considering his age and the tendency to over test in the US, it doesnt surprise.
    Obama went there for a sore throat (acid reflux) so they could run scans and rule out heart problems.

  22. Boerwar

    two single world powers are each powerful enough to survive the other indefinitely and that, combined, they have the power to cause massive destruction

    That would have looked the case many times in the Cold War . One thing which could upend the apple cart is money. I’ve read a number of times how dodgy the financial numbers published by China are and the US annual deficit wouldn’t be far off a lazy US$ 1 Trillion a year. So one or both could be in for a financial reckoning that changes everything. Of course to avoid such a reckoning one of them could do some pretty desperate shit, which will not be at all good for us chickens in the farmyard.

    A biggie is if China can manage the transition from exporting based on their advantage of the availability of vast amounts of cheap labor. As China becomes wealthier the ‘peasants’ will not be so willing to work the shit hours and under shit conditions their parents and g’parents were.

  23. SK,

    Sure, his name and his cause is plastered across every major media outlet and he has all the usual suspects in an absolute tizz denouncing him.

  24. @haddo1138
    ·
    21h
    #WheresScoMo From my first hand experience of pentecostals when i was a fire brigade captain, their church elder told me “we don’t fight fires or are to be contacted on Sundays , it’s gods word and fire is his punishment” and i assume this is why he’s #HaroldHolt and MIA .

    Where is the rumour coming from that ScoMo is going to make his appearance in SA? I seem to have missed it.

  25. I think Folau’s ranting is dangerous and should be called out by all major commentators and party leaders.

    Nah. I’m with SK, above. He’s a private citizen, he can say whatever nonsense he likes in the privacy of his church/social media account. Let’s give him that privacy by ignoring him.

    Having all sorts of heavy-weight leaders and media commentators making a big deal out of it is both (a) exactly what he wants, and (b) the way to legitimize what is a fringe view.

    There’s no point in having thought police coming down like a ton of bricks on Folau. Martyrdom clearly suits him.

  26. lizzie @ #1478 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:54 am

    @haddo1138
    ·
    21h
    #WheresScoMo From my first hand experience of pentecostals when i was a fire brigade captain, their church elder told me “we don’t fight fires or are to be contacted on Sundays , it’s gods word and fire is his punishment” and i assume this is why he’s #HaroldHolt and MIA .

    Where is the rumour coming from that ScoMo is going to make his appearance in SA? I seem to have missed it.

    It’s been reported on the ABC this morning…something about 415 million bucks for roads…

  27. lizzie @ #1416 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 6:54 am

    frednk

    Of course, but Folau isn’t very smart. He cherry-picks his bible. Someone has pointed out that it also forbids tattooing.

    The local Lebanese should look out for rampant ratbags if he decides to gee up his acolytes to act out this unequivocal command:
    Deuteronomy 20:16–17 “But in the cities of these peoples that the Lord your God is giving you, you shall save alive nothing that breathes, but you shall devote them to complete destruction, the Hittites and the Amorites, the Canaanites and the Perizzites, the Hivites and the Jebusites,
    as the Lord your God has commanded.” Nice!

    The thing that should disturb us all is that our Prime Minister believes the same sort of utter bullshit.

  28. Sure, his name and his cause is plastered across every major media outlet and he has all the usual suspects in an absolute tizz denouncing him.

    There are a lot of people that have suffered (still suffer) badly from that sort of belief. So I understand there is a lot of anger and a desire to firmly denounce what he said. I just dont see the need to give him and them oxygen when the offending sermon had a very small audience.

  29. Simon Katich @ #1475 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:51 am

    From my understanding, there is a full medical set up at Whitehouse.

    Considering his age and the tendency to over test in the US, it doesnt surprise.
    Obama went there for a sore throat (acid reflux) so they could run scans and rule out heart problems.

    I just read something about dangerous tumors? Sorry, my mistake, dangerous rumors.

  30. lizzie @ #1469 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:48 am

    Fr Rod Bower
    @FrBower
    ·
    4m
    FFS (for faiths sake)

    PEOPLE DIED LAST WEEK Mr #Folau! Your comments are devastatingly insensitive, psychologically damaging and theologically ill-informed.
    #Climatechange is the consequence of HUMAN not Divine activity.

    ‘theologically ill-informed.’
    What, not enough bat wing in the potion? Unicorn liver?

  31. mundo

    Thanks. I haven’t heard ABC news this morning.
    I like C@t’s comment about the effects of heat on road surfaces. That might throw the budget out!

  32. Morrison is trying to figure out how he can turn the fires against the ALP and the Greens and anyone and eveyone who voted against him. Something like clear felling large swathes of native bush or massive dams or the like. Or funnelling more money into pork.

    Then he will try to figure out if he can get away with it. If not, he will then work on some nice lacey window dressing and practice his statesmanlike ‘govern for all, middle ground’ facial expressions.

    These things take time.

  33. Clare O’Neil is probably Labor’s best chance following Anthony turn.

    The Dalai Lama is soon to announce which earthly body he will be reincarnated into.

    These two sentences may be completely unrelated.

  34. People should not take offence at Folau’s statements. They are just public declarations of “I’m a fuckwit” .

    f’wits may be offended.

  35. If Folau’s comment was on his Church’s website, it had zero prominence until someone highlighted it.

    Why was there any need to to raise it in a wider forum?

  36. Morrison passes Joseph Cook today to become the 23rd longest serving Aust PM in history. Would not believe that could happen at 6pm on May 18 earlier this year.

  37. You’re full of inspiration this morning.

    I am full of something.

    A triple shot macchiato goes a long way. Reminds my of my one of earliest memories – my Balkan grandmother forcefeeding me sludgy turkish/greek/bulgarian coffee.

  38. Firefox, some of the Christians I know see being gay as a choice. As is their hatred of the safe schools program where they lock onto the part that children can be called girls if they are boys and visa versa if they want to. It does make me wonder if they are struggling with their own sexuality where they are exercising a choice.

    As for punishing people for voting for ssm, I would imagine people in the bush would have voted predominately against it. Perhaps that is what Falau is meaning. They should have voted for ssm to avoid Dog’s vengeance.

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