Essential Research: leader ratings and protest laws

Discouragement for Newspoll’s notion of an Anthony Albanese approval surge, plus a mixed bag of findings on the right to protest.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll still offers nothing on voting intention, though it’s relative interesting in that it features the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings. Contrary to Newspoll, these record a weakening in Anthony Albanese’s ratings, with approval down three to 37% and disapproval up five to 34%. Scott Morrison also worsens slightly, down two on approval to 45% and up three on disapproval to 41%, and his preferred prime minister read is essentially steady at 44-28 (43-28 last month).

Further questions relate to the right to protest, including the finding that 33% would support laws flagged by Scott Morrison that “could make consumer or environment boycotts illegal”, while 39% were opposed. Fifty-eight per cent agreed the government had “the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts business”, with 31% for disagree; but that 53% agreed that “protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines”, with 33% disagreeing.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1075 respondents chosen from an online panel.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,832 comments on “Essential Research: leader ratings and protest laws”

  1. “As for punishing people for voting for ssm, I would imagine people in the bush would have voted predominately against it. ”

    So Folau is saying that God missed ?? 🙂

    I see Morriscum is out there tossing the pork today. Cant help but think that at the moment rather than allocating $ for roads, that will take weeks or months to come through…..They would have been better to shovel those $ out the door as a Xmas bonus to NewStart / Welfare recipients. Get it into the bottom level of the economy to people who will go out and spend, locally, right now, with the effect across the entire country, not just SA.

  2. To repeat, there was no SSM or legalised abortion in 1908 when Dorothea Mackellar wrote ‘My Country’ and of its ‘droughts and flooding rains’. So, there goes that idea of Israel’s. Reality bites him on the bum.

  3. “ A courageous Labor supporter should take climate change into account and say no to Adani.”

    Written and authorised by Scot Morrison on behalf of the Liberal Party, Sydney.

    Oh, BTW – how’s the Greens review into why it lost the 2019 election going? I’m especially interested in the part dealing with the failure of the Greens to achieve much more than 10% of the popular vote at any stage since its formation 30 years ago. Which is passing strange given how shit hot both their policies and personnel are. As you say blowfly, the good folk of this fair land are yearning, just yearning for strong bold environmental policies, and yet the Greens seem to have ossified into enclaves – inner city mostly, but as you point out – also the detritus of the 60s pot movement on the north coast of NSW. This is very very strange.

  4. First question for Morrison;

    How much of this is new and/or increased spending that hasn’t been announced before or shuffled from another part of the Budget?

  5. Is Pegasus going to regale us today with chapter and verse about all the fantastic things The Greens decided on over the weekend at their national conference?

    Or will *radio silence* be maintained? 🙂

  6. Alan Jones has attacked Folau for his comments on 2GB. I think the “Religious Freedom Bill” May be dead.

    I am certainly hoping so. 🙂

  7. imacca @ #1502 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 6:27 am

    “As for punishing people for voting for ssm, I would imagine people in the bush would have voted predominately against it. ”

    So Folau is saying that God missed ?? 🙂

    I see Morriscum is out there tossing the pork today. Cant help but think that at the moment rather than allocating $ for roads, that will take weeks or months to come through…..They would have been better to shovel those $ out the door as a Xmas bonus to NewStart / Welfare recipients. Get it into the bottom level of the economy to people who will go out and spend, locally, right now, with the effect across the entire country, not just SA.

    I’m sure Morrison believes that the Xmas bonus will be just spent on drugs.

    Even were that the case it would still boost the economy. Here’s how:-
    Dolebludger buys drugs off dealer;
    Dealer then launders money through casino;
    Casino reports record profits and pays increased dividend to shareholders;
    Shareholders spend record dividend at shops;
    Dealers spend “clean money” at shops.

    By spending on roads instead, the money –
    Goes into pockets of spiv maaates;
    Money stays in pockets of spiv maaates, or is shuffled off to Cayman Islands.

    😉

  8. My concern is for anyone who might be the recipient of blowback because of Folau’s bile. Pootfer bashing it used to be called. Bodies in rivers and thrown off cliffs. Decades of inured tolerance overturned by judgemental loons with their hands on the microphone.

  9. Shorten fixation is a tacit admission of buyer’s remorse, six years of Kill Bill remorse, and six years of lib/lab same old same old remorse.

    I can understand the remorse and the psychological victims of Shorten Fixation are to be pitied rather than reviled.

    If only they had voted for Shorten instead of Morrison, McCormack, Hanson, Katter and Di Natale we would now have a sane, competent and inclusive prime minister.

  10. Folau is like Hastie is like SJS is like McCormack is like Joyce.
    They are all noisy Australians who serve to cement their respective bases with irrational shoutings.

  11. Davidwh @ #1513 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 9:49 am

    I doubt many people would give Folau a second thought. Just think what a wanker and move on.

    But when the 9Fairfax papers make it their top story of the morning, which will reverberate throughout the day as the rest of the media run with it, most people will be confronted with it. They hopefully will think him a wanker. 🙂

  12. Dr Julia Baird
    @bairdjulia
    ·
    37m
    When I was writing my Queen Victoria biography, I had to seek legal advice on three continents after the Royal Archives tried to force me to excise new evidence I had about her love for John Brown. How quaint that seems now, to censor history when the present is such a mess.

  13. C@t I’m pretty sure most of us have moved past the SSM fight. It’s just part of who we are now. Pretty well every tv show now has a SSM participants.
    People like Folau should just be left alone to wallow in their self ignorance.

  14. Andrew_Earlwood @ #1505 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 9:33 am

    “ A courageous Labor supporter should take climate change into account and say no to Adani.”

    Written and authorised by Scot Morrison on behalf of the Liberal Party, Sydney.

    So, are you saying Labor should say “yes” to Adani for political reasons? Or are you saying that Labor should not take climate change into account in its decision making?

    Either way … 🙁

  15. Prof Peter Strachan
    @ProfStrachan
    ·
    20m
    Impact of #ClimateChange on #Africa’s Sahel region

    “The British Ministry of Defence published a report which places #ClimateCrisis and related risks among the highest impact and most likely threats to defence and security worldwide”

    https://www.rte.ie/news/environment/2019/1116/1091163-africa-climate-change/

    In an article published last summer in Nature magazine, scientists explored the question; can climate change cause conflict?

    In the scenario where global temperatures rise by two degrees Celsius beyond pre-industrial levels – which is the stated goal of the Paris Climate Agreement – the influence of climate on conflicts would more than double, rising to a 13% change.

    With a four degree rise, there’s a 26% chance of substantial increase in conflict.

    You’d think, with ScoMo and the Potato being so active against threats to our safety, they might take the disruption of climate change a little more seriously.

  16. “The Firm” hitherto had a policy of “Never Explain; Never Complain”. Thus it comes as a shock to find that the Queen signed off on Andrew submitting himself to an interview with the BBC. If Andrew thought that the press would be kind to him, he’s got another think coming. The interview was exculpatory and lacked empathy for the alleged victim, and was roundly denounced by Britain’s media. His next interview should be with the police, where lying in it could give rise to a charge of obstruction of justice, not to mention the substantive allegations made by Victoria Roberts.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7695233/Videos-Prince-Andrew-partying-nightclubs-beautiful-young-women-French-Riviera.html

  17. p
    Your point about money is a good one, IMO.
    One of the things that these days does not get much of a shout out is that Hitler borrowed heavily to generate the economic growth and jobs and rearmament that underpinned much of his support.
    His difficulty was that he knew the time for paying the piper was coming up.
    His way of addressing that particular blind alley was to rush into another one: military adventurism.
    Which brings me to some interesting parallels between Xi and Hitler. I use ‘were’ for Hitler and all these are an ‘are’ for Xi.

    Both used existing processes to gain supreme power.
    Both consolidated that power by going beyond and/or bastardizing existing processes.
    Both were into personality cultism.
    Both were murderous.
    Both used concentration camps.
    Both were into heavy armament growth.
    Both were populist.
    Both used ‘the other’ for political purposes. Think, Jews. Think Uighers and the nasty Western capitalist roaders.
    Both were heavily into nationalism and xenophobia.
    Both were helped by isolationist trends in their main opponents.
    Both were helped by war weariness in their opponents. France, interwar. Britain, interwar. US as a result of decades of ME wars.
    Both were helped considerably by war aversion in democracies.
    Both relied on economic growth to bolster their legitimacy.
    Both relied on one-party state structures.
    Both were helped by Leftist disarmament movements in their main opponents. (See for example the Greens’ Light Mobile Force and axiomatic criticism of ALL defence spending).
    Both were into military adventurism… the Rhineland, the 11 islands, the invasion of PLF troops in Hong Kong this week.
    Both were into Anschluss type thinking. Austria/Hong Kong/Taiwan.
    Both were heavily into control, manipulation of media and massive propaganda.
    Both were into extreme indebtedness.

    Historical parallels are rarely neat and tidy but, IMO, the trends should be extremely concerning.

  18. lizzie @ #1522 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 10:04 am

    Prof Peter Strachan
    @ProfStrachan
    ·
    20m
    Impact of #ClimateChange on #Africa’s Sahel region

    “The British Ministry of Defence published a report which places #ClimateCrisis and related risks among the highest impact and most likely threats to defence and security worldwide”

    https://www.rte.ie/news/environment/2019/1116/1091163-africa-climate-change/

    In an article published last summer in Nature magazine, scientists explored the question; can climate change cause conflict?

    In the scenario where global temperatures rise by two degrees Celsius beyond pre-industrial levels – which is the stated goal of the Paris Climate Agreement – the influence of climate on conflicts would more than double, rising to a 13% change.

    With a four degree rise, there’s a 26% chance of substantial increase in conflict.

    You’d think, with ScoMo and the Potato being so active against threats to our safety, they might take the disruption of climate change a little more seriously.

    They use threats against us as a tool for their reelection and a justification of increased surveillance. When there aren’t any threats, they make them up or exaggerate them, as any Victorian going out after dark well knows. And as Climate Change is apparently part of god’s will, any threats it brings are theirs to use.

    I can’t believe I just wrote that, and sort of mean it. What have we come to.

  19. Boerwar @ #1509 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 9:52 am

    Shorten fixation is a tacit admission of buyer’s remorse, six years of Kill Bill remorse, and six years of lib/lab same old same old remorse.

    I can understand the remorse and the psychological victims of Shorten Fixation are to be pitied rather than reviled.

    If only they had voted for Shorten instead of Morrison, McCormack, Hanson, Katter and Di Natale we would now have a sane, competent and inclusive prime minister.</blockq

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #1501 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 9:34 am

    First question for Morrison;

    How much of this is new and/or increased spending that hasn’t been announced before or shuffled from another part of the Budget?

    Labor’s all over it.

    Or not.

  20. Danama Papers

    “I’m sure Morrison believes that the Xmas bonus will be just spent on drugs.

    Even were that the case it would still boost the economy. Here’s how:-
    Dolebludger buys drugs off dealer;
    Dealer then launders money through casino;
    Casino reports record profits and pays increased dividend to shareholders;
    Shareholders spend record dividend at shops;
    Dealers spend “clean money” at shops.

    By spending on roads instead, the money –
    Goes into pockets of spiv maaates;
    Money stays in pockets of spiv maaates, or is shuffled off to Cayman Islands.”

    You missed the final piece:

    Money comes back to Liberal Party in large spiv maaate donations

    cheers

  21. Thanks BK for the Dawn Patrol.

    From the Daily Telegraph

    https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/andrew-bolt/andrew-bolt-antiwhite-abc-film-a-grim-sign-of-our-intellectual-decay/news-story/0be635a2a64dcde11c9bfb3035398d47

    Based on Pascoe’s prize-winning book Dark Emu, the film will make an extraordinary claim.

    No, Aborigines weren’t primitive hunter-gatherers, but sophisticated farmers with an “agricultural industry” — tilled fields, big villages and huge overhead granaries. That is, until it was destroyed by wicked men as white as, er, Pascoe’s face.

    This is the kind of anti-white story that the woke now love, and so Pascoe was given the NSW Premier’s Prize for Book of the Year and another for best indigenous writer. The Australia Council gave him a lifetime achievement award.

    He’s even been made a professor in the indigenous faculty of the University of Technology Sydney.

    Damn your eyes Cap’n Smollet young Jim lad in the apple barrel overhears Blind Pugh (reincarnated) planning to delivery the Black Spot to Ita by close of business 30th February next.

    I haven’t read the book but I have it on my short list.

    The comments on Mr. Bolt’s article are a wonder to behold and depending on one’s viewpoint are a guarantee of

    A. The arrival of the latest iteration of Homo Sapien which is as has been long projects – Homo Ratbaggus.

    or

    B. A verification of the good sense of the genuine Ozzie larikin with a keen sense of what’s what and with a well thought out plan to get rid of that hotbed of Leftie mischief – the ABC for those who have been kept in the Dark (Emu).

    or

    C. Part of a clever plot to boost sales of Dark Emu.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Indigenous_Australians

    Yairs mates – the ABC has a history of plotting against the right to write (or rewrite) history to suit individual commentators.

  22. I can hardly bear even to read the headlines on this.

    Aboriginal people were forced to collect wood for their own pyres in at least four cases of mass killing in Western Australia, a practice that was still happening as late as 1926, new research reveals.

    The Killing Times – a collaboration between Guardian Australia and the University of Newcastle’s colonial frontier massacre research team – has found that some of the most violent episodes in our colonial past took place well into the 1920s, in the Northern Territory and Western Australia.

    Government forces, including soldiers, police, magistrates and native police, were involved in more than half of all massacres recorded between the 1820s and the 1930s.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/18/forced-to-build-their-own-pyres-dozens-more-aboriginal-massacres-revealed-in-killing-times-research

  23. lizzie @ #1522 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 10:04 am

    You’d think, with ScoMo and the Potato being so active against threats to our safety, they might take the disruption of climate change a little more seriously.

    Climate change will disproportionately impact poor people, making their lives considerably worse, if it doesn’t kill them outright.

    Seems like the pentecostals may have it right after all – god really is on the side of the rich 🙁

  24. Confessions @ #37405 Monday, November 18th, 2019 – 8:34 am

    Vic:

    Trump’s annual physical examination is being completed in ‘phases’. Is that normal, as I’ve never heard of it before.

    I suspect that Trump had, or is headed towards, MRIs & a CTCA looking at his modifiable vascular risks prior to 2020 and impeachment season. That would occupy more than 4 hours at Walter Reed. I wouldn’t want to be the one to tell him to give up the Coke & saturated fat diet when rage tweeting.

  25. rhwombat

    What seems so unfair is that a man seemingly without morals, without shame, who eats the kind of food we are warned against, can live long enough to become President.

  26. Senator Murray Watt @MurrayWatt

    “Farmers face potential ruin as insurers spooked by climate change, drought and bushfires refuse to cover crops worth billions of dollars.”

    Plantation crops such as ­bananas and pineapples, some of which were destroyed in the latest Queensland bushfires, could be the next to be uninsurable, a ­report published on Monday by global insurance broker Gallagher warns.

    “Plantation insurance will be one of the first casualties of climate change,” the report says. Other crops including grapes, citrus and almonds could be not far behind, with insurers pulling cover altogether or raising premiums to the point where they become unaffordable for most growers.

    “While cotton is well supported, the appetite among insurers for horticulture and viticulture is curbed, and for vegetable cropping it is non-existent,” the Gallagher report says.

    The government is rejecting calls from the National Farmers Federation and the Insurance Council of Australia to subsidise crop insurance, as other countries such as the US do.

    Gallagher’s managing director for specialist insurance Paul Harvey said the uptick in adverse weather had “spooked” insurers.

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/spooked-insurers-walking-away-from-agriculture/news-story/856d59c9d8d95d2e45acb04158884a04

    Having quoted, rather reluctantly, this in The Aus, I was disgusted to find their recommended companion piece.
    “Fringe-dwelling Greens revel in nation’s agony”
    JENNIFER ORIEL

  27. “Oh, BTW – how’s the Greens review into why it lost the 2019 election going?”

    ***

    The Greens’ long stated main goals at the 2019 election were to get our six senators who were up for election re-elected, along with Adam Bandt in Melbourne. We achieved both those goals in no uncertain terms.

    Labor’s main goal was to win government. You failed. Stop trying to blame everyone else for that failure.

    Greens support in 1993: House = 196,702 (1.9%) | Senate = 263,106 (2.5%)

    Greens support in 2019: House = 1,482,923 (10.40%) | Senate = 1,488,427 (10.19%)

    The Greens have achieved a massive increase in their vote over the last few decades.

  28. I’m not a Nostradamus advocate, but the current situation world-wide is, in tota, quite noticeably uneasy. There are riots happening in quite a few countries. We have despots and r-w totalitarians in quite a few countries. Even so-called liberal-democracies are shaky and full of unrest.

    One could easily call Trump or Xi ‘anti-christ’ types.

    Then you have all the major, unprecedented climate events.

    Apocalyptic in many ways.

    I’m not alarmist … no no NO! Surely you jest.

  29. “Farmers face potential ruin as insurers spooked by climate change,

    What an odd way to describe them .”spooked” . They are merely responding rationally to reality.

  30. Morrison re-emerges from wherever he has been hiding:

    Prime Minister joins Alan Jones in criticising Folau’s bushfire comments

    The broadcaster has been a vocal supporter of Folau, but is now joining the criticism of the sacked Wallaby after Folau linked bushfires to same-sex marriage and abortion.
    (Nine/Fairfax headline

  31. If one wants to bring the deity into the bushfire situation, I think the view with the most scientific basis is that God is punishing country people for voting for the Nationals, the Liberals and One Nation, all of which are climate science deniers whose denial actually causes them to both do nothing about abating emissions and little or nothing about preparing for the consequences (as we are seeing now).

  32. There are only 2 women amongst the 12 Liberal Federal Victorians of the HoR, or 16%.

    If the Liberals don’t get rid of Kevin Andrews and find a female candidate to replace him they will further marginalise themselves in Victoria.

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