Newspoll: 50-50

The Coalition’s lead disappears altogether in the latest Newspoll, which also records a resounding bounce in Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings.

Newspoll has turned in a result for its three-weekly federal poll which, if nothing else, shows it’s not letting the May election result prevent it from publishing optimistic-looking numbers for Labor. As related in The Australian ($), the latest poll has the major parties tied on two-party preferred, after four successive results of 51-49 in favour of the Coalition.

The Coalition is down two on the primary vote to 40%, with Labor up two to 35%, the Greens down one to 12% and One Nation up one to 7%. Anthony Albanese enjoys some encouraging movement on personal ratings, with approval up five to 42% and disapproval down seven to 37%. However, Scott Morrison’s ratings are little changed, with approval down one to 46% and disapproval down two to 43%, and his lead as preferred prime minister narrows only marginally, from 47-32 to 46-32.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1682.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,370 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50”

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  4. ——————-
    The common denominator is the Laborite rat pack
    ———————-
    Can I be in the PB brat pack?
    Just tell me first who Molly, Demi and Ally are.

  5. “Another refugee from Manus Island, Abdul Aziz Muhamat, travelled to Switzerland to receive a human rights award. Mr Muhamat later applied for and was granted asylum in the country.”

  6. Labor should, Labor must and Labor will repudiate the Green-scam and authorise Adani.

    This will be the best thing Labor can do to disassociate themselves from the Greens.

  7. Pegasus @ #2293 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 9:34 pm

    Mavis,

    Cheers

    “You may be right but she has the right to strut her stuff in the absence of vitriol.”

    Never going to happen.

    The entrenched Laborite cabal always have the need to have a lightning rod for their angst and spite.

    If it’s not me, they will cast around for another. It has been forever thus.

    Bemused being banned changed nothing. Other posters have come and gone.

    The common denominator is the Laborite rat pack.

    Every one hates you, no one loves you.

    Eat some worms.

  8. Pegasus:

    [“You may be right but she has the right to strut her stuff in the absence of vitriol.”

    Never going to happen.”]

    Arguably not, though I admire your resilience, not going with the pack. It seems to me that the counter-argument you provide is requisite to the ends of political discourse. I’m sure you’ll not be discourged.

  9. E. G. Theodore @ #2298 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 9:40 pm

    Rh – since you’re around again – could a well targeted bactiorphage cokctail clear a colonised chemo port?

    Depends on what it’s colonised with (and on which phage libraries you have access to – and what you mean by “cleared”). Biofilms are usually fairly recalcitrant. If it’s Staph or a Gram negative my impression is that the results have been underwhelming, but it has been used if the port can’t be replaced. Removal is the only sure fire way I’m aware of.

  10. “ Thankyou Peg. Like all the great comics I will be lauded in death. Oh, wait, that’s the great painters.”
    Actually it’s pretty uncommon for a painter to become famous only after their death. Van Gogh was one of the few.

  12. Confessions

    This from News Ltd. in 2008 shows ‘our’ version is slightly different

    THEY are known as pre-boomers. Some call them the silent generation…………The pre-boomer generation was born over the 15 years to 1946; they fit between the frugals (boomer parents) and the baby boomers.

    …………John Howard is also a pre-boomer (although I suspect that as a teenager the Prime Minister was more in the mould of Richie Cunningham than of James Dean).
    https://www.news.com.au/news/the-silent-generation/news-story/83226afa56f9892a2f42b84eb2de5358?sv=54148a2dca6b435a4f3db4e40aec505

  14. C@tmomma @ #2299 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 9:41 pm

    rhwombat,
    You probably know about this, but maybe not 🙂

    New York Identifies Hospitals and Nursing Homes With Deadly Fungus
    The policy change, for the virulent drug-resistant germ Candida auris, came as the C.D.C. reported that more people are dying of drug-resistant infections than it previously estimated.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/13/health/candida-auris-resistant-hospitals.html

    Golden candida!?!

    Yep. Like Staph. aureus it is a golden colour on culture plates. It is an absolute bugger to treat when invasive – which it often becomes. Antimicrobial resistance is like global warming – by the time we respond with purpose, we are probably too late.

  20. Interestingly, Musk’s 4th gigafactory (Shanghai is operational 10 months after soil broken) will be in …. Berlin. Take that German car makers.

  21. Player One:

    A personal question, if you will: why do attempt to elicit a response from RI when he’s been unresponsive to your solicitations? I can only deduce thereof that you respect his opinion.

  23. As another poster said, the business of insurance will trump RW ideology.

    Thank you Citizen. That was me.

    And no Road-To-Damascus conversions of Libs and Nats required. They may resort to calling for distasteful secondary boycotts of Teh Evil Insurance Companies, even call for a Royal Commisssion into the Insurance industry. But ultimately we’ll all have to pay up.

    I don’t know why I’m sounding so happy about it. But increased premiums were going to happen anyway. We’ll need 200 years to fix Global Warming. A few years delay in starting won’t make much difference now.

    The real danger is that the Coalition troglodytes will pretend to have been converted (just prior to the next election would be perfect timing), then do as they usually do and try to steal the credit, with bonus points for claiming that only the Coalition can deliver action on Global Warming (like they have already done with the NDIS, gay marriage and gun control). Journos on Insiders might even stroke their beards and reluctantly agree, on the basis that only the Coalition can gain the co-operation required from Business. So sad. Too bad.

    Believe it or not there are people up here who, even after a very anxious Tuesday, STILL believe the fires only occurred because crazies lit them. Some say it was “bloody Muslims”. Others just shrug and mutter: “Ferals”. Anything but the landscape being bone dry in what is probably going to be our worst and hottest drought in history, the first of many.

  24. ItzaDream @ #2302 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 9:46 pm

    C@tmomma @ #2285 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 9:26 pm

    ItzaDream @ #2279 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 9:17 pm

    Loved the photo of your place C@t.

    Like that? Here’s 10 more. 🙂

    https://www.realestateview.com.au/property-360/property/89-wards-hill-road-killcare-heights-nsw-2257/

    Very noice; and looks like a stunning angophora in pic 6.

    Yes, I often wonder if that is the Indigenous Birthing Tree I was told about. 🙂

  25. Greensborough Growler @ #2311 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 6:51 pm

    Pegasus @ #2293 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 9:34 pm

    Mavis,

    Cheers

    “You may be right but she has the right to strut her stuff in the absence of vitriol.”

    Never going to happen.

    The entrenched Laborite cabal always have the need to have a lightning rod for their angst and spite.

    If it’s not me, they will cast around for another. It has been forever thus.

    Bemused being banned changed nothing. Other posters have come and gone.

    The common denominator is the Laborite rat pack.

    Every one hates you, no one loves you.

    Eat some worms.

    Banning bemused has made a world of difference in my view.

    But what would be good is if commenters stopped talking about other commenters!

  27. Joyce (Alan, not Barnaby) certainly knows how to generate plenty of free publicity:

    As experiments go, this one should be pretty spectacular — 19 hours, 17,800 kilometers (about 11,060 miles), 100 metric tons of jet fuel and not one, but two separate sunrises.

    Australian airline Qantas on Thursday launched a one-off research flight that will carry about 50 people from London to Sydney nonstop, clocking up the longest commercial passenger flight in recent aviation history in the process.

    The flight, which departed London’s Heathrow Airport at about 6 a.m. local time, is part of Qantas’s “Project Sunrise,” a goal to introduce direct Sydney-London and Sydney-New York return services by 2022.

    It’s the second of three experimental trips being undertaken by Qantas. The first, flying from New York’s JFK Airport to Sydney Airport, took place in October.

    https://edition.cnn.com/travel/article/qantas-test-flight-london-sydney-nonstop/index.html

  28. poroti:

    It sounds like everyone has different interpretations for the specifics of each generation. My parents are Boomers so my grandparents were they still alive would be silent generation (or whatever the Oz equivalent is).

  29. Northern Territory Police Association on front foot

    [Northern Territory Police Association
    8 hrs ·
    NTPA STATEMENT ON YUENDUMU MURDER CHARGE:
    The Northern Territory Police Association (NTPA) acknowledges that a decorated member has now been charged with murder, in relation to a critical incident at Yuendumu on Saturday 9 November.
    Whilst we acknowledge the tragic circumstances of the event, the member has made it clear that he will plead not guilty and will vigorously contest the charge. He, like all, has the presumption of innocence in his favour.
    The member and his family have the complete support of the NTPA, as do all of his colleagues and all of our members, who put their lives at risk every day to protect the community of the Northern Territory from violent offending.]

  31. Confessions @ #2326 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 10:07 pm

    Greensborough Growler @ #2311 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 6:51 pm

    Pegasus @ #2293 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 9:34 pm

    Mavis,

    Cheers

    “You may be right but she has the right to strut her stuff in the absence of vitriol.”

    Never going to happen.

    The entrenched Laborite cabal always have the need to have a lightning rod for their angst and spite.

    If it’s not me, they will cast around for another. It has been forever thus.

    Bemused being banned changed nothing. Other posters have come and gone.

    The common denominator is the Laborite rat pack.

    Every one hates you, no one loves you.

    Eat some worms.

    Banning bemused has made a world of difference in my view.

    But what would be good is if commenters stopped talking about other commenters!

    Don’t disagree.
    But, PB is not a purity site and aggressive commentary has always been the way it works.

  34. Nick McKim made the effort and played a role, whatever the size, to keep Behrouz prominent in the mind of energetic, intelligent and effective Australians of good heart who in turn contributed to the trip to freedom.

    Who greeted him at Auckland?

  35. Sprocket @9:18 PM.
    “No more boats, negligible numbers still incarcerated, billions which could be better spent propping up the shaky surplus.”

    You are too optimistic. Remember Morriscum reopening Christmas Island at the start of the year and bellowing invitations to people-smugglers to send some boats for the election? The Coalition is on a winner dogwhistling (or trumpeting) to racists, cultivating moral panic over irregular arrivas by boat (planes are OK). A few hundred million down the toilet? Cheap at twice the price. They’ll take more off the ABC, the unemployed, health, education, emergency services and anywhere else that doesn’t affect their big donors to boost their re-election slush-fund (a.k.a. the “surplus”).

    Likewise climate action. Nine months after Black Saturday (173 dead, several thousand homes lost) the deniers took over the “Liberal” party. In a couple of weeks the current fires will be off the front pages. Nothing will change.

  36. “aggressive commentary has always been the way it works.”

    You mean like GAGF, GFY, STFU, fuck off and the like?

    Adds so much to the commentary doesn’t it? As I said – spite and malice.

  40. Rh + Diogenes

    No

    So – what stops the ‘phage “digesting” the biofilm and attacking the infection up to the point only the foreign body (port) is left? I.e. what are the limiting factors? (Animal bodies are complicated…)

    (Just for interest – surgeon pulled my port a while back and we’re not doing any continuous infusion so don’t need another one at the moment, although he’s happy to put a new one in)

  43. sprocket_ says:
    Thursday, November 14, 2019 at 9:41 pm

    Posted by Mark Jacka…

    As Australia burns, where is @ScottMorrrisonMP?

    2 days since a tweet. (Never happened before)
    2 days since last seen in Public. (Never happened before)
    3 days since last Press Conference. (Never happened before)

    Where the bloody hell are you Scott?
    —————————
    Probably at home since his diary was cleared for the now cancelled APEC summit.

  45. Some Republican senators and their advisers are privately discussing whether to pressure GOP leaders to stage a lengthy impeachment trial beginning in January to scramble the Democratic presidential race — potentially keeping six contenders in Washington until the eve of the Iowa caucuses or longer.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/republicans-discuss-a-longer-senate-impeachment-trial-to-scramble-democratic-primaries/2019/11/13/d7e46d24-064c-11ea-b17d-8b867891d39d_story.html

    That would advantage Joe Biden. No way Team Trump would agree to that.

  46. Mike Carlton
    @MikeCarlton01

    ‘Morrison must be delighted that the ABC has adopted his “Quiet Australians” slogan. Me, I think it’s piss poor, a bad error of judgement that reeks of partisan bias. RT if you agree.’

  47. Mavis @ #2321 Thursday, November 14th, 2019 – 10:05 pm

    Player One:

    A personal question, if you will: why do attempt to elicit a response from RI when he’s been unresponsive to your solicitations? I can only deduce thereof that you respect his opinion.

    Why do you say RI is unresponsive? I believe he has responded to almost all my posts. He (like a few others here) does not necessarily include direct quotes etc, but the fact that he is responding to my posts is perfectly clear from context.

  48. Gotta say the Australian vlogging, yachtie, YouTuber couple ferrying Greta Thunberg from America across the Atlantic to Spain are extremely televisual and refreshingly free of pretence.

    What a life though! Sailing on La Vagabonde from one paradise to another, making whoopee, friends (and babies) along the way, all in luxury catarmaran on indefinite loan to them by a French boatbuilding company, supplied as a sales promotional exercise.

    Good on them! Heros in my book for helping out the cause.

    AND I’m jealous.

    https://youtu.be/HklIKi6VJLI

    There’s a few of these vlogging YouTube yachties. “SV Delos” is another. Exploring the deserted British Indian Ocean Territory coral atolls is kind of a dream of mine (99.9% likely never to be fulfilled, alas). Watch and weep.

    https://youtu.be/0Q6jFb7f4Ao

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