Essential Research: leadership ratings, US and China, abortion law

Higher disapproval ratings for both leaders in the latest Essential poll, which also records lukewarm feelings towards the United States and cooler ones for China.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll again comes up empty on voting intention, but it does offer the pollster’s third set of leadership ratings since the election. As with Newspoll, these record a drop in Scott Morrison’s net approval rating, owing to a three point rise in disapproval to 37%, while his approval holds steady at 48%. However, Essential parts company with Newspoll in finding Anthony Albanese up on disapproval as well, by five points to 29%, with approval down one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister narrows slightly, from 44-26 to 44-28.

Further questions suggest the public leans positive on most aspects of the “influence of the United States of America” (defence, trade, cultural and business), excepting a neutral result (42% positive, 40% negative) for influence on Australian politics. The same exercise for China finds positive results for trade, neutral results for culture and business, and negative ones for defence and politics. Asked which of the two we would most benefit from strengthening ties with, 38% of respondents favoured the US and 28% China.

The small sample of respondents from New South Wales were also asked about the proposed removal of abortion from the criminal code, which was supported by an overwhelming 71% compared with 17% opposed. The poll has a sample of 1096 and was conducted online from Thursday to Sunday.

Note also the post below this one, being the latest Brexit update from Adrian Beaumont.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,826 comments on “Essential Research: leadership ratings, US and China, abortion law”

  1. Greensborough Growler @ #344 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 4:40 pm

    Dan Gulberry @ #338 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 6:28 pm

    Jackol @ #283 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 3:06 pm

    This is politics, they must respond to what the voters demand or simply give up any hope of forming government in the foreseeable future.

    There go my people. I must find out where they’re going so I can lead them.

    There goes you talking to people in the way they want to be talked to.

    A good rule of political success is to frame your arguments so those you want to influence will listen. Of course, if you don’t want to do that and are pathologically incapable of such an approach, then rejoice in the joy of frustration and irrelevance. Which, you seem to do a lot.

    As a Christian you are no doubt aware of the things that Jehoshuah ben Joseph preached to the masses. His message was very unpopular with the powers that be at the time. In fact they were so unpopular, the powers that be had him executed.

    He was a Leader. He got people to follow him. Indeed many people around the world STILL follow his message. At no point did he gather a focus group and try to find out what people wanted to hear. At no point did he worry about whether his message would alienate One Nation voters in Queensland. At no point did he vote for bills he claimed to be opposed to. He was a Leader.

  2. There was a passing mention on ABC News 24 that the Nationals were having desultory conversations about expelling Mr Joyce from the Party.
    Apparently there is a degree of apoplexy in the stables because Mr Joyce is robocalling NSW Nationals members urging them to knock abortion reform on the head.
    But there is no neigh-saying Barnaby!

  3. “Barnaby Joyce’s defection to the cross-bench would be a blessing in disguise for the government.”

    Actually…not a particularly good disguise…….

    More of the Groucho glasses, nose and mo kind. 🙂

  4. There was a passing mention on ABC News 24 that the Nationals were having desultory conversations about expelling Mr Joyce from the Party.

    What a spectacular fall from grace.

  5. I see that Mr McCormack has apologized for putting it about that being rogered as a fruit picker in the surrounds of Wagga Wagga will save Tuvaluans from disappearing into the briny.
    Xi is playing a blinder here.
    The state that is doing most to make Pacific nations disappear by way of rising CO2 levels is putting itself forward as the good guy.
    Morrison and McCormack tried to play the Pacific nations for mugs.
    And got mugged.

  6. Dan Gulberry @ #351 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 6:51 pm

    Greensborough Growler @ #344 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 4:40 pm

    Dan Gulberry @ #338 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 6:28 pm

    Jackol @ #283 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 3:06 pm

    This is politics, they must respond to what the voters demand or simply give up any hope of forming government in the foreseeable future.

    There go my people. I must find out where they’re going so I can lead them.

    There goes you talking to people in the way they want to be talked to.

    A good rule of political success is to frame your arguments so those you want to influence will listen. Of course, if you don’t want to do that and are pathologically incapable of such an approach, then rejoice in the joy of frustration and irrelevance. Which, you seem to do a lot.

    As a Christian you are no doubt aware of the things that Jehoshuah ben Joseph preached to the masses. His message was very unpopular with the powers that be at the time. In fact they were so unpopular, the powers that be had him executed.

    He was a Leader. He got people to follow him. Indeed many people around the world STILL follow his message. At no point did he gather a focus group and try to find out what people wanted to hear. At no point did he worry about whether his message would alienate One Nation voters in Queensland. At no point did he vote for bills he claimed to be opposed to. He was a Leader.

    I know Jehoshuah ben Joseph. He’s a friend of mine.

    You are no Jehoshuah ben Joseph.

  7. Catprog @ #350 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 6:51 pm

    C@tmomma says:
    Thursday, August 22, 2019 at 5:58 pm

    I think Qld labor is trying to slow the RE rollout in at least one way (Laws about using electricians to install solar PV)

    I think QLD LNP is trying to stop it all together.

    Bullshit.

    The electrician thing is job protection for the ETU. it may also have intrinsic merits – I don’t know enough about the technicalities to judge. It won’t slow things down but may transfer a bit of money from generators’ to workers’ pockets – that’ what the squealing is really about, not about speed of rollout.

  8. ‘He was a Leader. He got people to follow him. Indeed many people around the world STILL follow his message. At no point did he gather a focus group and try to find out what people wanted to hear. At no point did he worry about whether his message would alienate One Nation voters in Queensland.’

    Ahem.

    Matthew 22:21 Jesus said “Render to Caesar the things that are Caesar’s…’

  9. One Nation leader Pauline Hanson has been suspended from Twitter after suggesting electric cattle prods could be used to disperse climate change protesters.

    Senator Hanson posted a video on Twitter earlier this week that featured her holding a cattle prod and urging the Queensland government to deploy them against protesters who disrupt the public.

    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/pauline-hanson-has-been-suspended-from-twitter-over-cattle-prod-stunt?cid=news:socialshare:twitter

  10. E. G. Theodore says:
    Thursday, August 22, 2019 at 6:46 pm

    Re: Aurecon terminating its relationship with Adani
    I call post hoc ergo propter hoc on all three commentators (Mr. Canavan, Adlani and the activists). They’re all pushing their respective barrows. Instead, Aurecon likely did as a business does (and should): it stopped because it started t fear it might not get paid.

    And it is not going ahead so it isn’t worth the pain.The sad thing is we have to tolerate the Greens using it to stop realistic action on climate change.

  11. Whenever I read nath’s Posts, I am reminded of Paul’s epistle..

    Philippians 4:8 ESV

    Finally, brothers, whatever is true, whatever is honorable, whatever is just, whatever is pure, whatever is lovely, whatever is commendable, if there is any excellence, if there is anything worthy of praise, think about these things.

  12. If you would prefer Trump not to turn up in your country, publicly call one of his absurd ideas ‘absurd’.
    What follows is as certain as night follows day.

  13. Tim Fischer ran flak for John Howard during the gun debate and needs to be applauded on that point on itself. He made a contribution to public life. RIP.

  14. Try to walk in another’s shoes, and looking at it from the point of view of Environment Minister Ley, the totally good thing about all the dry rivers and creeks we crossed over the past couple of days is that there will be no schlock horreur fish kill footage to have to deal with.

  15. Greensborough Growler @ #356 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 4:56 pm

    Dan Gulberry @ #351 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 6:51 pm

    Greensborough Growler @ #344 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 4:40 pm

    Dan Gulberry @ #338 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 6:28 pm

    Jackol @ #283 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 3:06 pm

    This is politics, they must respond to what the voters demand or simply give up any hope of forming government in the foreseeable future.

    There go my people. I must find out where they’re going so I can lead them.

    There goes you talking to people in the way they want to be talked to.

    A good rule of political success is to frame your arguments so those you want to influence will listen. Of course, if you don’t want to do that and are pathologically incapable of such an approach, then rejoice in the joy of frustration and irrelevance. Which, you seem to do a lot.

    As a Christian you are no doubt aware of the things that Jehoshuah ben Joseph preached to the masses. His message was very unpopular with the powers that be at the time. In fact they were so unpopular, the powers that be had him executed.

    He was a Leader. He got people to follow him. Indeed many people around the world STILL follow his message. At no point did he gather a focus group and try to find out what people wanted to hear. At no point did he worry about whether his message would alienate One Nation voters in Queensland. At no point did he vote for bills he claimed to be opposed to. He was a Leader.

    I know Jehoshuah ben Joseph. He’s a friend of mine.

    You are no Jehoshuah ben Joseph.

    Nor are you. Nor is anyone else.

  16. GG
    Agree on Fischer’s role in the national gun law reforms.
    Fischer lost a fair bit of political bark for so doing.
    As for the rest of his contribution, a mixed bag IMO.
    Put in context, delivering mixed bags is what normal human beings do.

  17. zoomster
    says:
    Thursday, August 22, 2019 at 7:30 pm
    Fischer retired to our area. Used to run into him frequently at the local supermarket. He kept trying to flog me
    _________________________
    kinky!

  18. This is one of the verses the wackos are using to pump up the ‘King of Israel’…

    Deuteronomy 28:1-68 ESV /

    “And if you faithfully obey the voice of the Lord your God, being careful to do all his commandments that I command you today, the Lord your God will set you high above all the nations of the earth. And all these blessings shall come upon you and overtake you, if you obey the voice of the Lord your God. Blessed shall you be in the city, and blessed shall you be in the field. Blessed shall be the fruit of your womb and the fruit of your ground and the fruit of your cattle, the increase of your herds and the young of your flock. Blessed shall be your basket and your kneading bowl. …

  19. Tim Fischer and John Anderson were the last of the relatively sane Nationals leaders before they went full numpty. It’s been downhill since then. Although the guy who came after Mark Vaile was possibly saved from full numpty by being more public curiosity, cut from the same ‘WhatsHisName’ cloth that the current Nats leader is.

  20. One of the world’s great coal provinces is moving to renewable power generation….no thanks to the Lib-kin, who will do their utmost to procure the election of Liberals.

  21. ..I once shared a car with him, accidentally (we were going from one local function to another – his wife wanted to catch up with me, so offered me a lift, then she wasn’t able to come). The other passenger, in the front seat, was a journo. Fischer dictated an entire media release off the top of his head, perfectly formatted, with a couple of killer grabs. He then advised the journalist precisely which time to release it to get the best coverage – “Put it out earlier, it’ll just be a normal ABC news item. Put it out later, it’ll be on Macca in the morning, and you’ll get the farmers.”

    And it was so.

  22. zoomster:

    My lasting memory of Fischer is that NSW state election when Kerry Chikaroski was Lib leader and Fischer was popping up all over the place with ‘Chika’s got the ticka!’ sound bites. Not his best moment 😆

  23. Dan Gulberry @ #374 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 7:28 pm

    Greensborough Growler @ #356 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 4:56 pm

    Dan Gulberry @ #351 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 6:51 pm

    Greensborough Growler @ #344 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 4:40 pm

    Dan Gulberry @ #338 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 6:28 pm

    Jackol @ #283 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 3:06 pm

    This is politics, they must respond to what the voters demand or simply give up any hope of forming government in the foreseeable future.

    There go my people. I must find out where they’re going so I can lead them.

    There goes you talking to people in the way they want to be talked to.

    A good rule of political success is to frame your arguments so those you want to influence will listen. Of course, if you don’t want to do that and are pathologically incapable of such an approach, then rejoice in the joy of frustration and irrelevance. Which, you seem to do a lot.

    As a Christian you are no doubt aware of the things that Jehoshuah ben Joseph preached to the masses. His message was very unpopular with the powers that be at the time. In fact they were so unpopular, the powers that be had him executed.

    He was a Leader. He got people to follow him. Indeed many people around the world STILL follow his message. At no point did he gather a focus group and try to find out what people wanted to hear. At no point did he worry about whether his message would alienate One Nation voters in Queensland. At no point did he vote for bills he claimed to be opposed to. He was a Leader.

    I know Jehoshuah ben Joseph. He’s a friend of mine.

    You are no Jehoshuah ben Joseph.

    Nor are you. Nor is anyone else.

    I know this.

    You’re the one who likes to play sneering smart arse game with people of faith. Is it because you are a sneering smart arse?

  24. Hugh Riminton
    @hughriminton

    Has any convicted criminal in Australian history had so many people speaking up for him?

    Not just any convicted criminal Hugh, but a child rapist.

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