There haven’t been any new polls this week, so the headline to this post isn’t news as such – the point is that a new thread is needed, and this is it. Developments worth noting:
• We do have one new poll, but it was privately conducted and so doesn’t count as canonical so far as BludgerTrack is concerned. The poll in question was conducted by uComms/ReachTEL for Greenpeace last Wednesday from a sample of 2134, and has primary votes of Coalition 38.8%, Labor 36.7%, Greens 9.7% and One Nation 6.1%. A 53-47 two-party split is reported based on respondent-allocated preferences, but it would actually have been around 51.5-48.5 based on preferences from 2016. The poll also features attitudinal questions on carbon emissions and government priorities, which you can read all about here.
• The Greens have landed a high-profile candidate in Julian Burnside, human rights lawyer and refugee advocate, to run against Josh Frydenberg in the normally blue-ribbon Melbourne seat of Kooyong. This further complicates a contest that already featured independent hopeful Oliver Yates, former Liberal Party member and chief executive of the Clean Energy Finance Corporation.
• The Liberal preselection to choose a successor to Julie Bishop in Curtin will be determined by a vote of 60 delegates on Sunday. Initial reports suggested the front-runners were Celia Hammond, former vice-chancellor of Notre Dame University, and Erin Watson-Lynn, director of Asialink Diplomacy at the University of Melbourne, which some interpreted as a proxy battle between bitter rivals Mathias Cormann and Julie Bishop. However, both have hit heavy weather over the past week, with concerns raised over Hammond’s social conservatism and Watson-Lynn’s past tweets critical of the Liberal Party. Andrew Tillett of the Financial Review reports that some within the party believe a third nominee, Aurizon manager Anna Dartnell, could skate through the middle.
• Tom Richardson of InDaily reports moderate faction efforts to install a male candidate – James Stevens, chief-of-staff to Premier Steve Marshall – in Christopher Pyne’s seat of Sturt are prompting a slew of conservative-aligned women to nominate against him. These include Deepa Mathew, a manager at the Commonwealth Bank and state candidate for Enfield last year; Joanna Andrew, a partner with law firm Mellor Olsson; and Jocelyn Sutcliffe, a lawyer with Tindall Gask Bentley. However, Stevens remains the “overwhelming favourite”.
Democrats block Fox News from televising debates after report on Trump ties
The Democratic National Committee will not allow Fox News to televise any of its candidates’ political debates through 2020, citing a report on the conservative media network’s ties to U.S. President Donald Trump, the Washington Post reported on Wednesday.
“Recent reporting in the New Yorker on the inappropriate relationship between President Trump, his administration and Fox News has led me to conclude that the network is not in a position to host a fair and neutral debate for our candidates,” DNC Chairman Tom Perez said in a statement to the Post. “Therefore, Fox News will not serve as a media partner for the 2020 Democratic primary debates.”
https://www.rawstory.com/2019/03/democrats-block-fox-news-televising-debates-report-trump-ties-washington-post/
There was an old story in banking to “never trust a solicitor with a cheque book”
And it basically stood the test of time
Even to solicitors such as Howard and Costello – what was Frydenberg if he had a past life?
Perhaps this is why the “Green” candidate has not responded to Frydenberg’s train wreck presentation yesterday – he is yet another solicitor
Sorry about double piccie. First one disappeared for an unknown (to me) reason.
Give us this day our daily bread (and pies… lots of pies); and forgive us our trespasses, as we forgive those who….. (nah bugger that bit)…. lead us not into temptation (WTF?) but deliver us from evil (evil leftys and greenies).
yabba
Brains trust indeed! Not an idea between them. 😆
Waleed Aly interview of Nationals McCormack being shared all over twitter
Last one I saw was by Senator Doug Cameron.
Burnside is finding out that politics is much harder than it looks.
Put me down for 53-47 in NP for the Goodies…….
Today, the West newspaper, which is morphing into MurdWest, has a presidential-looking Morrison gazing lovingly out on we Sandgropers with the header, “It’s Down To Perth” …………..to save Australia/the Liberal Party/his own political skin I suppose.
In an “Exclusive Interview” by Sarah Martin (like what other paper is in town?) the West’s in-house, tame-cat, Federal Political Editor (Andrew Probyn – all is forgiven – come back) we are told by Scomo that “Bill Shorten is………already………drunk with power…….”.
Anyway, the Libs are going after Cowan according to him, confident of holding all their current seats, and thereby we in the Golden West will be on the road to the next boom.
There is no mention of the over 6% unemployment here or the total fiasco of the gutted/broke Liberal party…………………….
The West has pitched in again with some vague, unrelated issue – straight after Morrison’s total failure of a trip to CI, about some so-called AS sending unsavoury messages via the internet. Boy, this is really scraping the barrel.
In the name of fairness the West does, on page 8, admit the “Economy is in a slump as home price falls bite” from another “Canberra” correspondent.
This piece is far removed from the crap spread out for us by Morrison and the West elsewhere.
I’m having a discussion on Twitter atm with a bloke who seems to think that Labor’s access-to-termination policy is going to lose them the election because the silent moral majority are going to “head to the trenches” to fight this, and the vast majority of people will join them.
Bloke is deluded.
Personally, I hope that Julian Burnside gets up.
I don’t see him as someone who will kowtow to a foolish but fixed party position.He might actually use his own brain.
It will be interesting what it does in Tasmania.
In general, it is hard to see the Libs using it effectively in a 3 word slogan.
Burgey @ #153 Thursday, March 7th, 2019 – 10:37 am
Would that be the same ‘silent majority’ that was going to stop marriage equality? Because they were super-effective at that one. 🙂
Simon,
I don’t think it will change any meaningful votes at all.
I refuse to believe that proliferation of violent games/videos doesn’t have an effect.
SK
Did you tell him he is delusional?
Burgey
Tell the guy when he and all his supporters take to the “trenches” it will look like this.
SK
I thought they already had one.
Fly to Melbourne
The Andrews government should charge Tasmania Health for the service. I am sure Tasmanian women would be happy to tell VicHealth which state they are from.
hi all not sure if this has been brought to the attention of the grand master of the blog.
but the heading 53.2 to 47.8 =101.
just saying
Unions will hold nationwide anti-Coalition protests during the federal election campaign, with tens of thousands of workers expected to walk off the job on April 10.
A meeting of the ACTU executive in Melbourne today passed a resolution calling on workers to join the capital city protests next month.
“The ACTU calls on working people to stand up for the fair go, for fair wage rises and better job security, by participating in national political protests on the 10th of April 2019,’’ the resolution, seen by The Australian, says.
“If we do not stand up for the fair go and demand political parties take action to turn around inequality, we will see the Americanisation of our society.
“This is not something Australian unions are prepared to accept.’’
The resolution condemns the Morrison government for policies which have seen workers “suffer the largest declines in living standards in decades while the wealth of billionaires continues to soar’’.
I’m having a discussion on Twitter atm with a bloke who seems to think that Labor’s access-to-termination policy is going to lose them the election because the silent moral majority are going to “head to the trenches” to fight this, and the vast majority of people will join them.
Hiroo Onoda? Someone needs to send on of the anti-gay marriage campaign leaders over to the Philippines to bring the poor lad home.
Tricot
Morrison thinks it’s all down to Perth.
I will be very disappointed if the election result is not obvious before the polls even close in WA.
I don’t think it will change any meaningful votes at all.
A lot of socially progressive women who were previously Liberal voters are looking for a new home.
S2K,
Tasmania highlights the issue perfectly.
Abortion is legal, but no one offers it.
Bringing it into Public hospitals addresses that problem of access and reduces the cost, so the economics don’t provide a barrier.
https://www.afr.com/news/politics/shorten-flags-new-living-wage-to-replace-minimum-wage-20190306-h1c1k8
Someone has already said it, but who could argue against a “living wage”?
I will be very disappointed if the election result is not obvious before the polls even close in WA.
Stunned (excepting Labor blowing itself up of course)…
Antony might not be calling it that early, but by 7:30 the result should be pretty obvious.
ratsak,
True, I was thinking more in terms of turning votes towards the Tories.
Only if he is trying to sell me jousting sticks.
Indeed. It is already an issue there that peeps (especially younger female peeps) are talking about.
lizzie @ #224 Thursday, March 7th, 2019 – 10:55 am
the muffin lady
This article was probably posted when it was published by Fairfax, but it’s worth another read:
https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/pell-s-toll-jailed-cardinal-s-legacy-remains-firmly-in-place-20190301-p51150.html
I believe that there is a current train of thought that with the record numbers of punters voting early at pre polling centres it might now have an effect on announcing the vote counts on the night of the election. There could be delays.
Yet more allegations of sexual impropriety:
https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/church-knew-pell-was-at-centre-of-decades-old-lurid-sex-claims-20190307-p512ci.html
Burgs,
Yeah, no fucking votes in it for them. I’m sure plenty of people who are quite intelligent (for Liberals) will have already been telling Robinson to stfu about it. The religious folk most passionate about it (to the point of voting specifically on this one issue) are already well in the Coalition camp.
A party seeking to try and pretend it gives a single fuck about the modern aspirations of the vast majority of modern women won’t be trying to turn this one into a campaign issue. The flogging they copped over gay marriage is far too fresh for such foolishness. You won’t hear a single peep about it from Abbott I’ll wager. He’s already in more than enough shit and he knows it.
Scotty in full election mode running around like a headless chicken in total desperation for a vote. Shorten is just biding his time until it really matters.
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/refugee-surgeon-who-landed-on-christmas-island-in-the-1990s-slams-pm-s-reopening-plan
https://sl.sbs.com.au/public/image/file/fa347d44-1187-4730-9f29-e644e9a4b2b4
The ghost of detention centres past.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/homemade-subs-may-give-australians-a-sinking-feeling/news-story/d5fba8e7474452364073556532c18133
https://outline.com/V2ZJSd
I crave a boon. When investigating Outline relating to the qualities
i.e. The Australian -I came on this pretentious little item ⏫ and thence to the following which I liken to a suitable description of the article in question.
and
Using my tried and (mostly bullshit) excuse to exit stage left and head out on today’s expedition to play the local ATM prior to visiting the lovelies at the hot bread shop – where was I ❓ Oh yes – the above has made my almost glaucoma free eyes water so much as to lead me to the wonderful pics available at:-
https://www.australia.com/en/things-to-do/nature-and-wildlife/7-most-breathtaking-waterfalls.html
And so, as the sun sinks slowly behind the bulk of the gentlemen pictured by Yabba, I bid a fond farewell as I gird my elderly self with suitable apparel to amaze and delight the unwary/ungodly unspectingly going about their lawful business at the local shopping centre.
Upon my return I will proceed to make dreams become reality with a prototype version of a home made submarine
Which will be an
The boon ❓ Dunno – I just like the sound of this ancient expression.
☮☕
I found it interesting that Steve Price on 3aw last night was asking his listeners to phone in and tell him how they thought things were going economically. Is there a down turn and if so how are they experiencing it personally? His own take on it was that there are signs that things are starting to look pretty ‘grim’ (his word).
When your own supporters start saying things like that you are really in trouble.
Scummo still going with that stupid line from yesterday about the only people who will get wage growth under Shorten are people smugglers.
zoomster @ #105 Thursday, March 7th, 2019 – 10:21 am
All recycled cans, both aluminium and stee, are recycled in Australia, and have been since cans started to be used for soft drinks. I personally wrote the recycling weighbridge and onwards logistics software (in Dataflex) for Visy way back, and installed it in Adelaide, Perth, Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane and Auckland. The SA version had the refund processing built in, and generated the invoices from, and payments to all suppliers of cans and bottles to the recycling centre.
The current problems relate to paper/cardboard and PET and HDPE plastic, because China has imposed much stiffer purity requirements which we can’t meet.
Visy and Amcor still take the same proportion of cardboard/paper as they always did, recycling it into carboard boxes.
Australian glass bottle manufacturers still use as much recycled glass as is possible, within processing practicalities, since doing so is much more energy efficient, and hence cheaper, than not doing so. The biggest problem with glass recycling is that idiots put broken Pyrex in their recycle bins, and sorting this out in the recycling machinery is very difficult.
PET can be easily recycled into more PET bottles, or polyester shirts, but we are not much good at that.
Separating plastic into single type streams is not easy at all.
😀
Morrison just claimed the Liberals want all industries to go forward. Grab that quote Labor. Then show Hockey and last days of Holden.
There could be delays.
Absolutely. Antony and other commentators will quite correctly hold fire in seats that could flip if the prepolls are significantly different to the election day booths.
But that won’t mean the result of the election won’t be 99% known pretty early on. Just that wise commentators will be cautious to say it’s looking dire rather than absolutely done and dusted.
Josh Frydenburg finally after several failed LNP treasurers drives the Australian economy into recession.
Hockey and Morrison gave it their best shot but Josh finally succeeded.
One of the few things they could unite around to provide a real team effort.
‘Sohar says:
Thursday, March 7, 2019 at 10:28 am
It is a bit rich of some of the precious ones on this blog to criticize Burnside for quoting a Nazi…’
Perhaps Burnside should prove your point by putting extracts of Mein Kampf on his facebook page?
The point is that the Greens hero Burnside, who could previously say pretty much anything he wanted to anytime he wanted to because no-one was actually listening, has suddenly entered the real world where words make a difference.
Out of half a thousand MPs around Australia, Burnside named Shorten for a bit of the old pizzling. That matters.
Quoting Goering, a guy who helped murder 7 million people, matters – even if Goering was right in that particular quote.
But I guess that bit of nuance is utterly beyond some Greens commentators.
ratsak,
The last Vic State Election showed the vote on election day was better for Labor than votes cast prior to election day.
This may make Antony more timid about declaring too early.
[‘We Will Survive. Probably.’]
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/06/opinion/michael-cohen-trump.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage
Pegasus says:
Thursday, March 7, 2019 at 10:51 am
The Greens party has proposed such a measure….’
The Great Proposers strike again.