We may not get a new federal poll this week, with the fortnightly Newspoll and Essential Research having reported last week, and the monthly Ipsos doing so the week before. However, two further Liberal resignations (with widespread suggestions Craig Laundy will shortly follow in Reid) are keeping the preselection news treadmill rolling:
• Christopher Pyne’s departure announcements opens a vacancy in the eastern Adelaide seat of Sturt, which he has held since 1993, when he was 25. However, the loss of his personal vote may damage the Liberals’ chances of defending the seat’s 5.4% post-redistribution margin, with Phillip Coorey of the Financial Review reporting a “senior South Australian Liberal” saying the party was in “big trouble” in the seat. Luke Griffiths of The Australian cites “multiple Liberal sources” as saying the preselection is “almost certain” to go to James Stevens, the chief-of-staff to Premier Steven Marshall, who is aligned with Pyne’s moderate faction and has his personal support. However, Pyne’s own former chief-of-staff, Adam Howard, is “considered an outside chance”, and there “might be a push by branch members to preselect a female candidate”.
• The Gold Coast seat of Moncrieff will be vacated by the retirement of Steve Ciobo, who came to the seat in 2001 at the age of 27. The aforesaid report in The Australian identifies four potential nominees: Karly Abbott, a staffer to Ciobo and the reputed front-runner; John-Paul Langbroek, who holds the state seat of Surfers Paradise and served as Opposition Leader from 2009 to 2011; Tim Rawlings, former chief-of-staff to Tracy Davis, then a minister in Campbell Newman’s government; and Bibe Roadley, managing director of a training company.
Also:
• The West Australian reports five nominees for preselection in Curtin: Celia Hammond, until recently the vice-chancellor of Notre Dame University, whom media reports suggest is the front-runner; Erin Watson-Lynn, director of Asialink Diplomacy at the University of Melbourne, who is said to have backing from Julie Bishop; Anna Dartnell, an executive for resources company Aurizon; Karen Caddy, Stirling councillor and management consultant for BusinX Consulting; and the sole male candidate, Andres Timmermanis, Cambridge councillor and manager for IT firm Scantek Solutions, who has been mentioned in relation to a number of western suburbs preselections over the years.
• The Saturday Paper reports a uComms poll conducted for UnionsACT on January 23 suggested ACT Liberal Senator Zed Seselja was in danger of losing his seat to an independent or the Greens. The polling is said to show Liberal support at 22.4%, down from 33.2% at the 2016 election and 24.2% in a poll conducted in October; Labor on 33.1%, down from 37.9% in 2016 and 39.3% in the October; the Greens on 19.9%, up from 16.1% in 2016 and 17.0% in October; and independent/other on 17.7%, up from 12.7% in 2016 and 13.9% in October. This leaves 6.9% undecided in the January poll, and 5.6% in the October poll. Seselja is also credited with an approval rating of just 29%, compared with 59% disapproval. Anthony Pesec, “local businessman, former investment banker and renewable energy developer”, announced last week he would run as an independent. Were Seselja to lose, it would be the first time in either of the two territories that the two Senate seats did not split between the two major parties.
Pegasus
In the past, I have also posted my continuing anger at the Vic govt’s forest clearing (https://www.theage.com.au/business/the-economy/how-to-lose-water-waste-money-and-wreck-the-environment-20190305-p511ti.html ), but you seem to class me with the Labor warriors and “the usual suspects”.
lizzie @ #2244 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 10:11 am
Oh noes. Ours had a belt with a metal clip buckle. I’ve come to think swimming should be a naked pursuit. Imagine the ratings.
By Labor kicking goals I am referring to the free abortion and other woman needs policy released today.
Pegasus @ #2249 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 10:16 am
You know that you were deliberately deceiving. You should be ashamed.
lizzie,
The issue is I don’t verbal you. End of discussion.
And, no, it wasn’t a Greens policy first.
“latest SkyNews viewing numbers.”
Those figures aren’t for SkyNews’ target audience.
Their target audience is the commercial TV newsrooms.
As far as Kooyong goes Burnside and Yates doing brilliantly.
$1 million to try and save Frydenberg in a safe sear.
Peter Dutton, bully boy in front of the cameras and microphones, spineless, quivering lump of potato jelly in reality(this is what he has done to stop protesters coming into his office):
Rocket Rocket @ #2247 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 7:13 am
😆
Greens , 24.5.2016 – Greens announce national plan for legal, accessible and affordable abortion
https://greens.org.au/qld/news/media-release/greens-announce-national-plan-legal-accessible-and-affordable-abortion
Senate Republicans: cheap dates and small men 😆
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/03/05/senate-republicans-cheap-dates-small-men/?utm_term=.8e3a322c1706
C@tmomma @ #2442 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 9:23 am
Not protestors, the fencing has written on it ” anti -terrorist periphery protection ”
, no doubt costing 10X the price of normal fencing.
C@tmomma @ #2258 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 10:23 am
That fits. Any opposition is terrorism in their filthy thought system.
C@tmomma @ #2254 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 9:21 am
Does it matter which left-wing party adopted which left-wing policy first? I’m not sure what point that would prove, especially in cases where both parties agree on the substance of the policy anyways.
https://greens.org.au/sites/default/files/2018-06/Greens%20-%20Access%20to%20Affordable%20Abortion%20and%20Contraception.pdf
If the fence was working as labelled, it would keep the terrorist inside.
a r @ #2264 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 10:28 am
Agree. Just wanted to make it plain before The Greens did their usual thing of claiming it as their own.
a r says:
Wednesday, March 6, 2019 at 10:28 am
C@tmomma @ #2254 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 9:21 am
And, no, it wasn’t a Greens policy first.
Does it matter which left-wing party adopted which left-wing policy first? I’m not sure what point that would prove, especially in cases where both parties agree on the substance of the policy anyways.
________________________________________
It matters to the Greens, as the post after yours demonstrates.
C@t:
The skin on the fence says anti terrorist something protection. Is Dutton expecting a terror attack on his electorate office?
a r
It matters when something is claimed as a fact when it is not.
The reason I want Burnside to win in Kooyong is simple. It sends a huge message on using those fleeing from persecution as a political tool to gain political advantage.
Reinforcing the Wentworth message. The likes of Howard to Dutton can play with dog whistles as much as they like for a few racist voters in marginal seats.
It won’t do them any good as they lose more seats that were considered safe.
Such an outcome will see an end to that tactic
VP
Not protestors, the fencing has written on it ” anti -terrorist periphery protection ”
, no doubt costing 10X the price of normal fencing.
_____________________________________
I’d be very surprised if the contractor is not a mate of Dutton’s.
Bowen interview on 24 now
“I reckon a show on SBS at 3 in the morning about the life and times of Uzbekistan’s national poet would get more viewers than that.”
Maybe Skynooze could get Borat on after dark as a commentator. I’d watch that!! 🙂
As long a they dont go Bolta in a mankini. 🙁
Pegasus says:
Wednesday, March 6, 2019 at 10:12 am
Quoll,
I was just about to check!
Have to love the disparate forces ranged against Burnside and their desperation to discredit him.
You would think Labor supporters would be happy a progressive is taking it up to Frydenberg and Yates (lib indy) but not all are it seems as the hatred for the Greens runs deeper.
——————————
Yes, such a shock to the Auspol system for the duopoly partisans, that ridiculous spite and smear is all they have.
Evidently many more people are interested in the challenge and supporting something different.
Whilst the self-evident problem for many people is that the major parties seem more interested in their own perceptions, or delusions, of survival than listening.
Vogon Poet @ #2262 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 10:27 am
Is the MUA a terrorist organisation? They were the ones who were going to protest outside Dutton’s office before the fencing went up. 🙂
Mich-Elle Myers
@MichMyersMUA
·
Mar 4
Hey
@PeterDutton_MP
what’s with the anti terrorist protection fencing? We have some sacked seafarers here that want to see you #auspol #saveaustralianshipping
And it’s a fair protest cause as well. You don’t want the Neoliberal agenda of destroying our local industries, to be replaced by the least cost employee option, which is overseas-sourced crew.
”Abdulla Oripov (Uzbek: Abdulla Oripov, Абдулла Орипов) (March 21, 1941 – November 5, 2016)” …..I would watch that over Bolt and co anyday….
Having been to Uzbekistan it is a fascinating place, highly recommend Samarkhand and Bukhara for a holiday…you can catch very high-speed rail between the cities now. Of course we cannot afford such things here.
Of course, if the shoe was on the other foot, GG and others would jump in with “weasel words”.
Anyway, time for me to depart.
Enjoy your day.
Julian Burnside, Green saint:
Pegasus says:
Wednesday, March 6, 2019 at 10:32 am
It matters because all the Greens have is policy positions and that’s where it will stay, whereas with Labor it will be most like be implemented in the first budget if they win Government.
When I first moved here a decade ago motorbike frogs were common. I’d hear them every night. I can’t remember the last time I heard one.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/mar/06/climate-change-puts-additional-pressure-on-vulnerable-frogs?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
https://twitter.com/i/status/1102999215826001921
C@t:
Ah yes. Dutton would likely perceive the MUA as a terrorist organisation!
Dutton’s anti-terrorist screen is funny – he’s obviously had them print the banner to pretend it is national security related and not because he’s scared of democratic protest. it looks about as effective as a whiteboard for stopping terrorists or scrutiny, but he has probably authorised ‘shoot to kill’ orders for anyone crossing the line. And because is the Border Protection he and morrison will not be able to discuss any aspect of it with the media is asked.
the absurdity of this government makes me feel as though John Clarke and Armando Iannucci are somehow collaborating on the script.
has dutton announced he is switching seats yet? I hope not – him getting mashed is going to be one of May’s highlights
Caught the end of Bowen. Asked if Labor would change tack on negative gearing and CGT he reminded us the party had taken the same policy to the last election.
Last time I loooked Labor picked up a dozen or so seats in the face the scare campaign on housing, among other scare campaigns.
Happy to see Frydenberg et al trot out the same old lies this time.
It works here too –
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2019/03/05/call-it-oppression-supermajority-americans-eager-bold-change-so-why-cant-they-get-it
Barney in Vinh Chau @ #2280 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 10:38 am
Agree. The Greens can have all the policies and brainfarts they like. However, without a credible means to implement those policies, then they aren’t worth a pinch of shite.
Wandered over and had a look here. The Swerf and Terf stuff.
https://www.facebook.com/greens.voters.oppose.maltzahn/
FFS….Greens eating each other. Having an offsprung going through transgender identification issues, have seen and been following a bit of this bullshit from the vocal fringe of trans activists. Its makes Luckily offspring has a brain he uses and appreciates hunor, rational thought and the concept of just ot being a dick.
These trans activists who get into the Swerf / Terf thing are deep into delusion, self entitlement/aggrandizement and a rather toxic brand of intolerance. If Burnside has this lot gunning for him from within his own party……???
Breaking News
John Howard Apprehended Outside Peter Dutton’s Office Attempting To Save LNP
https://www.betootaadvocate.com/breaking-news/john-howard-apprehended-outside-peter-duttons-office-attempting-to-save-lnp/
C@tmomma says:
Wednesday, March 6, 2019 at 10:21 am
Odds on the Greens were on board all of those before Labor. Labor would have had to wait until enough dinosaurs like De Bruyn and Bullock from the Taliban Wing were put out to pasture.
Gittins doesn’t know what he is talking about —
i. There is no logging in the water catchments for town water supplies.
ii. Try expanding plantations — in this area, we have hundred of hectares of pines, yet we had people up here chaining themselves to planting machinery. We’ve also had major protests about ‘prime agricultural land’ being used for plantations. There have also been major protests about the diversion of water to ‘grow trees’ rather than it being used for other agricultural purposes. When the existing plantations are logged – as they are designed to be – environmentalists object, as does the tourist industry.
iii. Many Australian forests are designed, ecologically, to be totally destroyed (by fire) on a regular basis and rejuvenate. Good logging practices mimic this process.
—– When we do replace native timbers because of concerns with logging (for example, with paper production) often all that we achieve is an ‘out of sight, out of mind’ solution, where the problem is shifted offshore, often to nations with less environmentally sound forestry regimes than our own.
— For the record, I agree with the plantation option, but there is huge resistance to it. And, of course, if you planted native trees, when it came to logging them in twenty years’ time, there would be exactly the same arguments against logging them as there are against logging State forests…
shellbell @ #2176 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 7:30 am
It would appear Doyle and Daley seem much the same in suburban Melbourne, when seen through Irish eyes. Some people are not detail minded. They tend to rely on faith, and unjustified self-certainty.
Vogon Poet @ #2262 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 7:27 am
Yeah, that’ll REALLY stop any terrorist.
imacca @ #2274 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 7:35 am
😆 😆 😆
As BiVC and GG say, respectively:
1. It matters because all the Greens have is policy positions and that’s where it will stay, whereas with Labor it will be most like be implemented in the first budget if they win Government.
2. Agree. The Greens can have all the policies and brainfarts they like. However, without a credible means to implement those policies, then they aren’t worth a pinch of shite.
Nobody but the Greens remember Greens policies because nobody cares unless they are so out there that only lunatics would support them and/or the Coalition want to pretend that Labor will implement them.
Otherwise, they are as practical as a wish for peace and goodwill forever before next Christmas.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZsSxifsevE
I wish that back in 2015 Jeremy Corbyn had started making a Lexit case and had outlined a vision for UK Government policy free of the constraints of the EU’s rules on state aid, competition policy, and investor-state dispute settlement. I wish he had used the strength and credibility of a freshly elected leader with the emphatic support of the membership to chart a different course – a course based on a Job Guarantee and active use of fiscal policy. Oh well. I think that now he has to adjust to the reality that most Labour voters are pro-Remain and would need quite a lot of time to get used to Lexit arguments.
If he had made a Lexit case consistently from 2015 he could have framed it as part of a fresh start for the party after the electoral failures of 2010 and 2015. He could have granted his MPs a conscience vote, that is, permitted them to make their own decision about how they wanted to influence the Brexit debate and vote in Parliament on the issue. If he had put his personal authority and integrity behind the Lexit argument, he could have publicized an important perspective and broadened the debate beyond the toxic right-wing nationalism that ended up dominating the Leave side of the argument. He would have come across as authentic because he would have been stating views that he has held for decades – indeed, since before the UK entered the EEC. It is a shame that Lexit did not become an important part of the Leave argument. Jeremy Corbyn could have changed that. Now I think it is too late for him to turn around and start making Lexit arguments. So he is doing the best he can to manage the tensions within Labour on the issue.
As leader of a party that is overwhelmingly pro-EU, but with a significant number of seats that voted Leave, he has a difficult tightrope to walk. What he is doing now is a reasonable response to the circumstances.
yabba @ #2293 Wednesday, March 6th, 2019 – 10:53 am
🙂